Usdjpyidea
USDJPY: Economic volatility!During the Asian session on Wednesday, the USD/JPY pair faced selling pressure, causing a partial erosion of the previous day's gains that had exceeded the 144.00 level, reaching a new high since November 2022. The spot price is currently trading around 143.80, down nearly 0.20% for the day, although any significant downward adjustments still seem elusive.
Japanese officials continue to issue warnings against the recent weakness of the Japanese Yen (JPY), which is considered a key factor driving some long-term relaxation around the USD/JPY pair. In fact, Japanese Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki stated on Tuesday that they will closely monitor the forex market with a sense of urgency and will react accordingly if currency movements become excessive. This warning was reiterated by top Japanese currency diplomat Masato Kanda earlier this Wednesday.
USDJPY: Breakout bullish channelEven if sellers break the immediate support level at 143.20, a two-week uptrend around 142.40 acts as an additional downside filter.
Notably, the upward sloping trendline from early May and the 200-SMA, near 140.80 and 139.40 respectively, serve as additional support levels for the bearish USD/JPY before taking control.
On the other hand, an eight-week-old uptrend, with a slowest near 144.30, limits the immediate upside of the USD/JPY pair.
USDJPY Trade SETUP H4The USDJPY closed at 143.70. Speaking of its resistance, the area around 144.06 will act as a resistance area. If a candle rejects from this level, you can open a sell position with a stop loss of 40 pips and target the support level at 142.20. I hope we can make a good profit from this trade.
Disclaimer: The information provided is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always consult with a professional before making any financial decisions.
USDJPY 23June2023if you look at the elliot notation and fibo extension placement, then wave 3 is right at 1.618, which means wave 3 is already 1.6x longer than wave 1.
I want to predict where the USDJPY price moves using the fibo extension, and it could be that the price goes to the fibo extension of 1.618 as well. if you look at the trendline, there is a possibility that the price will respond positively to the trendline, which also meets the fibo extension area.
I think this notation is quite correct, because wave 3 is not the shortest wave. as evidenced by the price at 1,618, and wave 5 could be a bullish continuation, this type of bullish can run for quite a long time. if you want to go short, it's better to wait for a fairly positive bearish confirmation.
We Could expect USDJPY to make a monthly higher higherThe reason why I am still firmly convinced that this movement is going to happen is supported by several compelling factors. Let's explore them in detail:
1.Non-commercials continue to aggressively add long positions in this currency pair. This indicates a strong bullish sentiment and suggests that these market participants have high expectations for its future performance. Their sustained interest and confidence in this pair contribute to my conviction.
2.Taking a closer look at the Monthly time frame, we can observe a clear and well-defined bullish structure. This pattern provides additional validation for the anticipated movement. The consistent upward trajectory of the price points towards a potential upward trend that could further strengthen the case for a positive outcome.
3.Another crucial aspect to consider is the unanimous agreement among all members of the Federal Reserve (Fed) regarding the likelihood of another interest rate hike. This collective stance underscores the consensus among policymakers that an increase in interest rates is imminent. Such a move is expected to bolster the value of the dollar, as it signifies a strengthening of the US economy and reflects the Fed's confidence in its monetary policies.
4.In contrast, the interest rate in Japan remains unchanged and continues to be in negative territory. This divergence between the interest rate policies of Japan and the United States further reinforces the potential for a favorable outcome in the currency pair. The persistent negative interest rate in Japan could lead to increased selling pressure on the yen, potentially benefiting the other currency in the pair.
Considering these factors collectively, it becomes evident why my conviction remains steadfast regarding the occurrence of this movement. The combination of aggressive long positions by non-commercials, a bullish structure on the Monthly time frame, the anticipated interest rate hike by the Fed, and the contrasting interest rate policies between Japan and the United States all contribute to a compelling case for the expected movement.
USDJPY Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USDJPY Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USDJPY Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
BluetonaFX - USDJPY Range Zone Opportunity Hi Traders!
There is a range zone setup on the USDJPY 1H chart. From looking at the price action, it looks bullish, and we are close to a breakout.
There is resistance at 141.973 and support at 141.442.
We are looking for a resistance break above the zone to target the psychological 142 barrier. If there is a break of the 142 barrier, then we have further levels to the upside, we have a long-term vector level at 142.255 (PLEASE SEE LINK BELOW).
If we fail to break the range zone, we are likely to stay in the range zone, so there will be opportunities to just trade the range.
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BluetonaFX
USDJPY Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USDJPY SHORT TERM TRADE IDEAThe price is extremely bullish in all major time frames. If we look at the non-commercial's positions, we can see that short are aggressively increasing in JPY. Meaning JPY is getting weaker.
Monthly:
The price is in the retracement phase. If you take the fib form low to high of the retracement, .5 fib level is in confluence with important structure that the price respected.
Daily
The price created the 123-pattern stablishing a low. The price liquidated important sell side liquidity. We can expect the price to chase important buy side liquidity.
Non-commercials are aggressively adding shorts in JPY. This mean that they are selling the JPY aggressively. JPY long positions: 40,736 short: 136,929. Added last week short: 3,976 long: 19,509
As you can see short are way more and they keep aggressively adding more shorts.
Potential Long Trade Opportunity in USD/JPYBased on analysis, an enticing opportunity has emerged for a potential long trade in the USD/JPY currency pair. The suggested entry level for buyers is at 140.000. 📈💰
To maximize profit potential, a take-profit level has been set at 140.300, targeting a potential upward move in the market. 🎯💥
To manage risk, it is crucial to set a stop-loss (SL) level at 139.925, ensuring protection against potential adverse price movements. 🛡️⚠️
Remember, market conditions can shift swiftly, so it is essential to stay vigilant and adapt your trading strategy accordingly. As always, exercise your own discretion and adjust the stop-loss and take-profit levels based on your risk tolerance and trading plan. ⚙️💪
Successful trading relies on diligent analysis, effective risk management, and disciplined execution. Wishing you the best of luck and profitable trades! 📊💼✨
#TradingView #USDJPY #LongTradeOpportunity #TakeProfitTarget #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketAnalysis #RiskManagement #TradingStrategy #ForexTrading
JPY RAISING OR DOLLAR HAVENJPY is in a technical correction and is reaching local support at 139.9.
I think this FOMC meeting officials will skip the rate hike and project hawkish sentiment for the next meeting. Some other reasons for dollar strength have also subsided.
A lot of this trade is dependent on the idea, that US inflation is going to be flat or lower then expected. This will be revealed when CPI reports.
Nothing much has changed for the JPY, except for higher inflation than usual. BOJ probably will continue its fiscal policy as is.
What do you think? Let me know in the comments below.
USDJPY: Movements in a volatile market!The hurdle for raising rates this month is higher, implying fresh US Dollar falls
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) report is the final significant piece of information before the bank's decision. However, it's doubtful that it will alter the current situation. The bank's inclination to take a break, as indicated by May's Nonfarm Payrolls and echoed by Fed Chair Jerome Powell, suggests that they will stop raising interest rates. As bond markets haven't priced in this possibility entirely, there's potential for the US Dollar to weaken further in conjunction with returns on US debt.
USDJPY: The correction and the opportunity of the sellers!technical analysis:
The price line for USDJPY experienced a slight correction, leading to a decrease and breaking of the uptrend line. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently below the average of 43.59 and maintaining its position at the support level. The Exponential Moving Average (EMA) with values of 34 and 89 is still above the price line, forming a dynamic resistance area. With these indicators, there is a high likelihood of a decrease in USDJPY.
Market analysis:
In the Tokyo session, the USD/JPY pair is trading back and forth below 140.00. However, it is anticipated that the asset will continue its downward trend since the USD Index's upward movement is expected to remain limited until the United States Employment data is released.
Following a lackluster Tuesday, the S&P500 futures have made marginal gains during the Asian session. The market sentiment appears to be subdued as investors anticipate the release of complete US labor market data.
Plan trade in the intro