Usdjpyidea
DeGRAM | USDJPY short opportunityUSDJPY has reached a major resistance level.
Price action has already rejected that level, like before.
Price action is moving in a ascending channel.
We expect test the support level and lower border of the channel.
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USDJPY still bullish.A few words about the current market. Two weeks ago I wrote:
The whole macro picture is still so weak that I find it really hard to write down: we're in a reflation trade now. I don't know how long it will last, but my guess is: until we get a sense how the September FOMC meeting might play out.
Yes, we are still in that trade, everybody hates it (including me), because fundamentally we shouldn't be. But we see it everywhere:
The market is ignoring hawkish Fedspeak
It's ignoring hawkish data (NFP last week)
It's rallying on dovish data ( CPI this week)
Sector performance is reflationary, high-yield spreads are narrowing, breadth is strong, the Aussie is performing, Commodities are off lows and so on
I still don't believe it's going to last, but for now it is what it is. So, again I reiterate my main message from the last two weeks:
Strong opinions, weakly held. Being nimble. Trading the market, not expectations. That's going to be even more essential for the coming weeks.
USDJPY possible sell zone!!USDJPY (4H) has formed a daily head & shoulder and has broken down. On the 4H price laready grabbed liquidity and has formed a bearing price action. also currently rejecting the monthly resistance zone. Upon close, USDJPY may drop to a daily support level.
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USDJPY ForecastWhile the price falls below the 133 mark then, a fall below 130 is expected before an up wave.
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USDJPY - Buy/Long at Pullback/Support - Uptrend ContinuationUSDJPY Buy/Long
Buy 134.385
Looking to buy at this level to see the continuation of the uptrend, this could be a good pull back level and this buy zone is previous resistance which could turn support. Also lines up with the 0.382 Fib level, (0.50 Fib Level is also covered by our stop los), should price decide to hit that.) After Fridays NFP results, US printed stronger than expected employment figures so I think we will continue to see bull strength.
Stop: 133.828
Stop has been set at this level, i have given the 0.382/buy zone some breathing space, also as mentioned previously 0.50 fib level is covered within this stop area. if price hits stop I would no longer believe price is respecting this zone and would look for another buy opportunity at 133.00 level.
TP: 136.630
Take profit has been set at 136.630 - this is a key Daily support/resistance area. Look at moving stop to break even and trailing profit.
Time to go long USDJPY?For the time being should not hesitate to take additional easing measures if necessary. It is appropriate for the Bank to maintain the current forward guidance for the policy rates.
In this situation, it is appropriate that the Bank encourage wage increases through monetary easing, aiming to achieve the price stability target in a sustainable and stable manner.
Given that a rise in some determinants of underlying inflation , such as services prices, and CPI inflation exceeding 2 percent in a stable manner have not come in sight, it is natural to continue the current monetary easing.
USDJPY Bull trap in PlayHi there,
USDJPY has just retested the downtrend line and it has not broken the trendline which means this pair will resume the downtrend on Monthly timeframe again
We can easily go to 80 target again in couple of next months, or to new lows, DXY has peaked from the Monthly charts aswell + massive divergence in Play on USDJPY Monthly chart
Time to go long USDJPY?For the time being should not hesitate to take additional easing measures if necessary. It is appropriate for the Bank to maintain the current forward guidance for the policy rates.
In this situation, it is appropriate that the Bank encourage wage increases through monetary easing, aiming to achieve the price stability target in a sustainable and stable manner.
Given that a rise in some determinants of underlying inflation, such as services prices, and CPI inflation exceeding 2 percent in a stable manner have not come in sight, it is natural to continue the current monetary easing.
USDJPY has formed reversal on daily, possible drop!!USDJPY( Daily) was in a bullish move for the long term. The price action only daily has created a reversal pattern and on the close of the monthly candle, we could see deeper retracement and a potential drop in USDJPY. We see a double top, followed by a head and shoulder and, today's daily candle has just tested the neckline of this double as resistance and strongly rejected. At the same time, daily head & shoulder has lower highs on the right side. As the monthly & weekly close is nearing, there is highly likely that USDJPY will come for a deeper retracement to the downside!!
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USDJPY top-down analysisHello traders, this is the full breakdown of this pair. We will take this trade if all the conditions are satisfied as discussed in the analysis. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.