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USDJPY: The Japanese yen rose suddenly amid intervention speculaThe Japanese yen experienced a notable rise on Monday, which analysts interpreted as a potential sign of intervention by Japanese authorities in the foreign exchange market. The move comes after a significant depreciation of the yen, which has fallen nearly 11% against the dollar this year and 35% over the past three decades, recently hitting a 34-year low. Monday's operation follows months of warnings from Japan that it may intervene in foreign exchange markets. The Japanese government's most recent intervention took place in September and October 2022, with an estimated 9.2 trillion yen ($60.78 billion) spent to support the currency. This is not the first case of intervention; During the 1998 Asian financial crisis, the yen fell nearly 25% in 14 months, prompting the United States to join Japan in a successful intervention effort.
Long
by Chart_MasterPro
#USDJPY: Still Bullish, Next Target 163.00| SetupsFX_ |Dear Traders, Hope you are doing great, right here we have an excellent opportunity of buying USDJPY, JPY plummeted few days ago as BOJ kept the interest rate as the same and decided not to change. Leading a heavy sell off on YEN. However, price did make strong correction right after the sell off, though we think it was temporary correction. Right now price is at perfect buying area from which it can rebound strongly. Like and Comment if you like or agree with our idea! :)
Long
by Setupsfx_
Silent Samurai: Why Japan Keeps Mum on the Yen's Fate f JapanThe Japanese Yen has been on a rollercoaster ride recently, weakening against the US dollar. This has sparked concerns in Japan, but the government has remained tight-lipped on whether they've intervened to prop up the currency. This silence, some argue, is a strategic necessity in the face of a more dominant player: the US Federal Reserve. Traditionally, governments use currency intervention – buying or selling their own currency – to influence exchange rates. A weaker yen can benefit Japanese exporters by making their goods cheaper overseas. However, a rapidly depreciating yen can also lead to inflation, hurting Japanese consumers. So, why the silence from Japan? Here are some key reasons: • The Power of the Fed: The US Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions have a massive impact on global currency markets. When the Fed raises interest rates, it strengthens the dollar as investors seek higher returns in US assets. This, in turn, weakens currencies like the yen. Japan's silence could be a way to acknowledge this reality. Publicly admitting intervention against the Fed's tightening stance might be seen as futile or even provocative. • Preserving Intervention Ammunition: Currency intervention is expensive. It depletes a country's foreign reserves and can be ineffective in the long run if underlying economic conditions don't improve. By staying silent, Japan might be trying to keep the markets guessing about potential intervention. This uncertainty itself can sometimes deter speculators from further weakening the yen, achieving some effect without actually spending reserves. • Signaling Commitment to Market Forces: Openly intervening can be seen as a lack of confidence in a market-driven exchange rate system. Japan might be prioritizing long-term economic stability by allowing the yen to find its natural level based on market forces, even if it's uncomfortable in the short term. • Focus on Broader Economic Policy: The yen's weakness is just one piece of a complex economic puzzle. Japan's government might be prioritizing other measures to stimulate the economy, such as fiscal spending or structural reforms. Addressing these underlying issues could have a more lasting impact on the currency than short-term intervention. However, the silence isn't without its critics. Some argue that a lack of transparency undermines market confidence. Additionally, if the yen weakens excessively, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) might be forced into raising interest rates, contradicting its current ultra-loose monetary policy. This could create unwelcome economic disruptions. What's Next for the Yen? The future of the yen hinges on several factors, including: • The Fed's Path: The pace and extent of the Fed's interest rate hikes will significantly influence the dollar-yen exchange rate. If the Fed slows down its tightening, the pressure on the yen could ease. • Japan's Economic Performance: A stronger Japanese economy with signs of inflation could naturally lead to a yen appreciation. • Intervention Decisions: While Japan might remain tight-lipped, any covert intervention could impact the market. The coming months will be crucial for the yen. The silence from Japanese authorities might be a calculated strategy, but its effectiveness remains to be seen. Only time will tell if Japan can navigate these choppy currency waters and achieve a stable yen without sacrificing its broader economic goals.
Long
by bryandowningqln
The Yen's Wobble: Bank of Japan in a Policy BindThe Bank of Japan (BOJ) finds itself caught in a precarious situation as it grapples with defending the weakening Japanese Yen (JPY). With global inflation on the rise and other central banks tightening monetary policy, the BOJ faces a difficult choice: intervene in the currency market or stick to its ultra-accommodative stance. The Yen's depreciation stems from a divergence in monetary policies between Japan and other major economies. The BOJ has stubbornly maintained an ultra-loose policy, keeping interest rates at a negative 0.1% for nearly eight years. This stands in stark contrast to the US Federal Reserve, which has begun raising rates to combat inflation. This difference in interest rates makes the US Dollar (USD) a more attractive asset for investors, leading to a decline in the Yen's value. A weakening Yen presents a double-edged sword for Japan. On the one hand, it benefits exporters by making their products cheaper in foreign markets. However, on the other hand, a weaker Yen translates to higher import costs, particularly for essential commodities like oil and gas, which are already experiencing price hikes due to global factors. This translates to a squeeze on Japanese consumers' wallets and fuels inflationary pressures domestically. The BOJ has a couple of options to address this dilemma. One option is to intervene directly in the foreign exchange market by selling US Dollars from its massive war chest of over $1.2 trillion worth of US Treasuries (as of February 2024 data). This intervention would theoretically raise the value of the Yen by increasing demand for it. However, such a move is not without its risks. Selling a significant amount of US Treasuries could cause their yields, or the interest rates investors receive for holding them, to spike. This could have a ripple effect on global financial markets, potentially destabilizing them. Furthermore, Japan's intervention might be seen as futile if the underlying cause, the policy divergence with other central banks, is not addressed. The effectiveness of currency intervention is often debated, with some economists arguing that it is a temporary solution at best. The other option for the BOJ is to raise interest rates. This would bring Japan more in line with other central banks and potentially make the Yen a more attractive asset for investors. However, the BOJ has been reluctant to raise rates for several reasons. One concern is that raising rates could derail Japan's fragile economic recovery. The country has struggled with deflation, or persistently falling prices, for decades, and raising rates could dampen economic activity. Additionally, many Japanese businesses and households have become accustomed to, and even dependent on, the low-interest-rate environment. Raising rates too quickly could lead to financial instability. The BOJ's decision to maintain negative interest rates at its April 26th meeting underscores this cautious approach. This decision, while expected by many analysts, further highlights the difficult balancing act the BOJ faces. The path forward for the BOJ remains uncertain. The bank may eventually be forced to raise interest rates as global inflationary pressures persist. However, the timing and pace of such hikes will be crucial. The BOJ needs to find a way to defend the Yen without jeopardizing the economic recovery or causing undue financial market volatility. This situation serves as a reminder of the complex challenges central banks face in a time of global economic uncertainty.
by bryandowningqln
USDJPY Cup & Handle Pattern Indicates Bullish Breakout PotentialInstrument: USD/JPY Pattern Formation: Cup and Handle Current Situation: Near Key Resistance Level Analysis: The USD/JPY currency pair has been exhibiting a compelling technical setup, characterized by the formation of a Cup and Handle pattern near a crucial resistance level. This pattern suggests a potential bullish continuation in the prevailing uptrend. The Cup and Handle pattern typically signifies a period of consolidation followed by a breakout to the upside. As such, we anticipate a bullish breakout in the near term, indicating favorable trading opportunities for market participants. Trade Recommendation: - Entry Point: Initiate long positions upon a re-test of the price near 151.900, ideally confirming the bullish momentum. - Stop Loss: Place a stop-loss order at 150.180 to mitigate potential downside risk and preserve capital in the event of adverse price movements. - Take Profit Targets: - TP-1: Set the first take-profit target at 153.650, reflecting a conservative projection of the upward price movement. - TP-2: Aim for a secondary take-profit level at 155.400 to capitalize on extended bullish momentum, considering the potential for further upside. Risk Management: It is crucial to adhere to proper risk management practices, including position sizing and stop-loss placement, to safeguard against unexpected market fluctuations. Traders should also remain vigilant and adjust their positions accordingly based on evolving market conditions. Conclusion: In summary, the technical analysis suggests a bullish outlook for the USD/JPY currency pair, with the formation of a Cup and Handle pattern near a key resistance level. Traders may consider implementing long positions, with defined entry, stop-loss, and take-profit levels, to capitalize on the anticipated upward breakout. Note: This analysis is based solely on technical factors and does not account for fundamental or external market influences. Traders should conduct their own research and exercise discretion before entering any trades.
Long
by trading_jupiter
1
USDJPY → Trade Analysis | SELL SetupHello Traders, here is the full analysis. I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity USDJPY I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment. Support the idea with like and follow my profile TO SEE MORE. Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 🤝 Patience is the If You Have Any Question, Feel Free To Ask 🤗 Just follow chart with idea and analysis and when you are ready come in THE GROVE | VIP GROUP, earn more and safe, wait for the signal at the right moment and make money with us💰
Short
by TheGrove
9
USDJPY: Japan resolves currency concerns with the USThe US greenback has visible wide appreciation this year, in large part because of expectancies of a put off withinside the Federal Reserve`s circulate to reduce hobby rates. However, the yen and received have weakened appreciably towards the greenback in comparison to maximum different currencies. Following the joint statement, the yen noticed a healing as markets predicted feasible intervention, even as the received additionally stabilized. The communicate included loads of topics, together with cooperation towards "monetary coercion and overcapacity in key sectors" with the aid of using different countries, a message simply aimed toward Beijing. Still, the forex difficulty has attracted good sized marketplace interest and is a political victory for Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida, who's grappling with low approval rankings because the price of residing rises. High. In Japan, actual wages fell for 23 consecutive months thru February, regardless of large groups supplying pay increases. A vulnerable yen worsens the state of affairs for a rustic that is based closely on imports including gas and food.
Short
by Chart_MasterPro
2
USDJPY Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaThe USDJPY currency pair has recently exhibited a bullish trend. However, it has been consolidating sideways for an extended period, lacking a clear directional bias. In our video analysis, we explore a couple of scenarios and provide detailed insights regarding price action considerations. Notably, we look for heightened volatility as liquidity is tested both above and below the current range. We anticipate a trend to emerge at some point. Currently, we are examining a 15-minute chart for potential trade opportunities, as discussed in the video. As always, this information is strictly for educational purposes and should not be construed as financial advice.
by fxtraderanthony
USDJPY SELL | Day Trading AnalysisHello Traders, here is the full analysis. I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity USDJPY I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment. Support the idea with like and follow my profile TO SEE MORE. Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 🤝 Patience is the If You Have Any Question, Feel Free To Ask 🤗 Just follow chart with idea and analysis and when you are ready come in THE GROVE | VIP GROUP, earn more and safe, wait for the signal at the right moment and make money with us💰
Short
by TheGrove
1
Decoding USD/JPY Future in a Changing Economic Landscape Multi-Timeframe Technical Analysis for USD/JPY 1. Monthly Time Frame: - Key Observation: Noticeable rejection of the USD/JPY price at a significant support level, indicating potential bullish sentiment or a reversal point. - Additional Note: High liquidity observed at price highs, marked by two equal highs, which could signify resistance zones. 2. Weekly Time Frame: - Key Observation: Transition in market structure from bearish to bullish, indicating a potential longer-term upward trend for USD/JPY. 3. Daily Time Frame: - Key Observation: A shift in market sentiment is evident, aligning with the bullish outlook observed in the weekly timeframe. Fundamental Analysis: Federal Reserve Policies and Economic Indicators 1. Federal Reserve's Stance: - Policy Outlook: Continuation of a restrictive monetary policy for the foreseeable future, with the possibility of rate peaks being reached. - Inflation Control: Strong emphasis on reducing inflation sustainably before policy easing. 2. Economic Indicators: - Optimism on Inflation: Growing confidence in managing inflation, with potential rate cuts envisioned in 2024, though the exact timing remains uncertain. 3. Market Reaction: - Impact on USD/JPY: The Federal Reserve's stance typically has a direct impact on USD/JPY. A more restrictive policy tends to strengthen the USD against the JPY, while a more dovish stance or rate cuts could weaken it. 4. Future Projections: - Interest Rate Trajectory: Anticipation of three rate cuts in 2024, suggesting a potential future weakening of the USD against the JPY. - Economic Growth Forecast: Slow growth expected in 2024, which could influence currency strength dynamics. 5. USD/JPY Specifics: - Japanese Economic Factors: Apart from U.S. economic indicators, USD/JPY traders should also consider Japan's economic health, monetary policy, and geopolitical factors influencing the yen. Trading Implications for USD/JPY - Short-Term Strategy: The bullish technical signals on higher timeframes suggest potential long positions in the short to medium term. However, be mindful of resistance levels highlighted by the liquidity at price highs. - Long-Term Outlook: Fundamental analysis indicates potential weakening of the USD in 2024 due to anticipated rate cuts. Traders may look for signs of trend reversal or strengthening of the JPY for future positioning. - Risk Management: Keep an eye on upcoming Federal Reserve meetings and announcements, U.S. economic data releases, and Japanese economic indicators. These can cause significant volatility in the USD/JPY pair. Conclusion For USD/JPY, the current technical analysis suggests a bullish trend in the near term, but fundamental factors indicate potential shifts in 2024. You should maintain a balanced approach, staying updated with economic developments and central bank policies in both the U.S. and Japan. As with any currency trading, risk management and continual reassessment of the market conditions are crucial.
Long
by Wiiso
USDJPY: First Entry dropped 400 pips, Focusing on ReentryDear Traders, OANDA:USDJPY first entry dropped successfully 400 pips, now there is possibility of price filling up the liquidity and dropping from that region. Bullish price will likely to push the price up to our area of entry where price will fall strongly. Use accurate stop loss and take profit as described in our chart, if you have any doubt or finding it hard to understand something, please leave a comment. good luck and trade safe as always
Short
by Setupsfx_
7
USDJPY 15 / Potential Breakout / Bullish JPY Basket?Hello Traders! This is my idea related to USdJPy M15. I expect to see a breakout of the bullish channel as I see the JPY Basket for a potential bullish move. If confirmed, I will execute this trade. Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also, share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is the best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free, and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ____________________________________ www.tradingview.com
Short
by GoodTradeST
USD/JPY H4 | Rising to 61.8% pullback supportUSD/JPY is rising towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to fall lower. Buy entry is at 149.180 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. Stop loss is at 149.915 which is a level that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level. Take profit 1 is at 148.148 which is a pullback resistance that aligns close to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. Risk/Reward Ratio: 1 : 1.40 Take profit 2 is at 147.510 which is a pullback resistance that aligns close to the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level. Risk/Reward Ratio: 1 : 2.27 Total risk 1.28% High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Short
by Alvard
2