Decoding USD/JPY Future in a Changing Economic Landscape
Multi-Timeframe Technical Analysis for USD/JPY
1. Monthly Time Frame:
- Key Observation: Noticeable rejection of the USD/JPY price at a significant support level, indicating potential bullish sentiment or a reversal point.
- Additional Note: High liquidity observed at price highs, marked by two equal highs, which could signify resistance zones.
2. Weekly Time Frame:
- Key Observation: Transition in market structure from bearish to bullish, indicating a potential longer-term upward trend for USD/JPY.
3. Daily Time Frame:
- Key Observation: A shift in market sentiment is evident, aligning with the bullish outlook observed in the weekly timeframe.
Fundamental Analysis: Federal Reserve Policies and Economic Indicators
1. Federal Reserve's Stance:
- Policy Outlook: Continuation of a restrictive monetary policy for the foreseeable future, with the possibility of rate peaks being reached.
- Inflation Control: Strong emphasis on reducing inflation sustainably before policy easing.
2. Economic Indicators:
- Optimism on Inflation: Growing confidence in managing inflation, with potential rate cuts envisioned in 2024, though the exact timing remains uncertain.
3. Market Reaction:
- Impact on USD/JPY: The Federal Reserve's stance typically has a direct impact on USD/JPY. A more restrictive policy tends to strengthen the USD against the JPY, while a more dovish stance or rate cuts could weaken it.
4. Future Projections:
- Interest Rate Trajectory: Anticipation of three rate cuts in 2024, suggesting a potential future weakening of the USD against the JPY.
- Economic Growth Forecast: Slow growth expected in 2024, which could influence currency strength dynamics.
5. USD/JPY Specifics:
- Japanese Economic Factors: Apart from U.S. economic indicators, USD/JPY traders should also consider Japan's economic health, monetary policy, and geopolitical factors influencing the yen.
Trading Implications for USD/JPY
- Short-Term Strategy: The bullish technical signals on higher timeframes suggest potential long positions in the short to medium term. However, be mindful of resistance levels highlighted by the liquidity at price highs.
- Long-Term Outlook: Fundamental analysis indicates potential weakening of the USD in 2024 due to anticipated rate cuts. Traders may look for signs of trend reversal or strengthening of the JPY for future positioning.
- Risk Management: Keep an eye on upcoming Federal Reserve meetings and announcements, U.S. economic data releases, and Japanese economic indicators. These can cause significant volatility in the USD/JPY pair.
Conclusion
For USD/JPY, the current technical analysis suggests a bullish trend in the near term, but fundamental factors indicate potential shifts in 2024. You should maintain a balanced approach, staying updated with economic developments and central bank policies in both the U.S. and Japan. As with any currency trading, risk management and continual reassessment of the market conditions are crucial.
Usdjpyidea
USDJPY: First Entry dropped 400 pips, Focusing on ReentryDear Traders,
OANDA:USDJPY first entry dropped successfully 400 pips, now there is possibility of price filling up the liquidity and dropping from that region. Bullish price will likely to push the price up to our area of entry where price will fall strongly. Use accurate stop loss and take profit as described in our chart, if you have any doubt or finding it hard to understand something, please leave a comment.
good luck and trade safe as always
USDJPY 15 / Potential Breakout / Bullish JPY Basket?Hello Traders!
This is my idea related to USdJPy M15. I expect to see a breakout of the bullish channel as I see the JPY Basket for a potential bullish move. If confirmed, I will execute this trade.
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💡 USDJPY: Forecast March 19USDJPY fluctuated insignificantly in the past session, still slowing down before the resistance area of 149.5. This may change today with the BoJ's new policy decision. You should patiently stay outside and observe, in case new notable bearish signals appear, especially on the daily frame. You may consider selling. This selling strategy only changes when the price breaks the 151 resistance and creates a higher peak.
USD/JPY H4 | Rising to 61.8% pullback supportUSD/JPY is rising towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to fall lower.
Buy entry is at 149.180 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 149.915 which is a level that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit 1 is at 148.148 which is a pullback resistance that aligns close to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. Risk/Reward Ratio: 1 : 1.40
Take profit 2 is at 147.510 which is a pullback resistance that aligns close to the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level. Risk/Reward Ratio: 1 : 2.27
Total risk 1.28%
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
USDJPY I BOJ will possibly end negative interest ratesWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** USDJPY Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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USDJPY Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USDJPY USD/JPY is the forex ticker that shows the value of the US Dollar against the Japanese Yen. It tells traders how many Yen are needed to buy a US Dollar. The Dollar-Yen is one of the most traded forex pairs – second only to EUR/USD – and is a benchmark for Asian economic health and even the global economy. View the live Dollar-Yen rate with the USD/JPY chart and improve your technical and fundamental analysis with the latest USD/JPY forecast, news and analysis.
USD/JPY Sinks on Bets BoJ Will End Negative Rates Soon, US Inflation in Focus
comfirm signal
USDJPY: Has bears taken over UJ?Dear Traders,
FX:USDJPY reached the maximum bullish exhaustion point, currently the consolidation phase is going on expecting huge volume coming on tomorrow. Sellers will likely to dominate in this month as corrections on all JPY pairs will begin in soon time. Meanwhile, We will be focusing on targeting the ‘target one’ and then we will update the chart idea to alert you all. Focus on keeping the stop loss around 100-120 pips max since it is swing entry stop loss will be greater and so the take profit; overall we are targeting 700 pips.
Good luck and trade safe!
USDJPY H2 / Possible Reversal from OB and Supply Area✅💡Hello Traders!
This is my idea related to USDJPY H2. I expect another retracement in the OB level and after that I will execute a long trade in case of confirmation. I see the price to go up until the level of 149.500.
Wait for confirmation!
Apply Risk Management!
Traders, if my proposal resonates with you or if you hold a divergent viewpoint regarding this trade, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments. I welcome the opportunity to hear your perspectives.
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USDJPY big picture in daily time frame USDJPY: On the daily time frame, after hitting the middle line of the horizontal white channel, it cannot return to its upward purple channel. Therefore, it can hunt for twin ceiling after collecting liquidity. If it turns, it will most likely lose its last support and enter a long-term downtrend
USDJPY: Asian Foreign Exchange market is quietThe Japanese yen hovered close to a four-month low, whilst statistics confirmed inflation in Tokyo recovered as predicted in February. Stable inflation offers the Bank of Japan extra motivation to elevate hobby costs from extraordinarily low levels.
The greenback index and greenback index futures had been consistent at some point of the session
buying and selling in Asia on Tuesday, after seeing a few volatility in latest sessions.
While latest statistics indicates inflation withinside the US relatively stabilizing, buyers appear like preserving bets that the Fed will reduce hobby costs in June.
But the change is predicted to be in large part examined this week, with a two-day testimony from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell in which analysts anticipate him to preserve tons of his hawkish stance. .
Then key nonfarm payrolls statistics is due out this Friday and is predicted to offer similarly alerts at the hard work market.
usd jPY LONGThe Japanese Yen drifts lower on Friday and moves away from over a two-week high. The BoJ policy uncertainty and the risk-on environment undermine the safe-haven JPY. Hawkish Fed expectations underpin the USD and remain supportive of the momentum.
rom a technical perspective, any subsequent move up is likely to confront stiff resistance near the 150.65-150.70 region. This is closely followed by a multi-month peak, around the 150.90 zone touched on February 13, which if cleared decisively will be seen as a fresh trigger for bullish traders. Given that oscillators on the daily chart are holding comfortably in the positive territory, the USD/JPY pair might then climb to the 151.45 hurdle en route to the 152.00 neighbourhood, or a multi-decade peak set in October 2022 and retested in November 2023.
USDJPY BUY USING PO3 ? (market cycles)hello guys i hope you are having a good week ,
today i am looking at USDJPY
this weekly candle on usdjpy closes as a hammer looking like candle indicating buy.
for the daily tf the price started consolidating for a while now (accumulation) , since friday candle closed as inverted hammer am guessing monday we are going to see a red candle possible the candlle that will do the manipulation.
my point of interest is the Orderblock/Demand zone on the 1Dtf i will llook for entries in that area it also serves as a rejection block we can see a candle leaving a big whick in that area.
but i have to be careful since the price is on the 150 zone this zone is notorious because of the manipulations caused by bank of japan in that price range it is also a psycological level that the price has been testing for a while now so my tp will not be crazy .
keep in mind very very action packed week ahead trade safe !
USDJPY I Technical and fundamental analysis & Trading PlanWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** USDJPY Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future.
Thanks for your continued support!
Usdjpy short USD/JPY is the forex ticker that shows the value of the US Dollar against the Japanese Yen. It tells traders how many Yen are needed to buy a US Dollar. The Dollar-Yen is one of the most traded forex pairs – second only to EUR/USD – and is a benchmark for Asian economic health and even the global economy. View the live Dollar-Yen rate with the USD/JPY chart and improve your technical and fundamental analysis with the latest USD/JPY forecast, news and analysis.
Inflation in Japan printed better-than-expected for the month of January, coming in at 2.2% vs the prior 2.6%. Markets appear to have bushed aside the recent easing of price pressures as inflation has been falling every month since October’s 3.3%. Instead they remain focused on the fact that the headline measure remains above 2% and the core figure surpassed expectations of 1.8% to come in at 2%.
The Japanese Yen (JPY) strenghtens during the Asian session on Tuesday following the release of slightly hotter-than-expected Japanese consumer inflation figures, which revived bets for an imminent shift in the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) policy stance.