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Usdjpyidea

USDJPY Shorts from 142.500 down towards 140.000My bias for USDJPY is pro-trend, aiming for a bearish move within a nearby 10hr supply zone. Currently, I expect a bit more upside and a redistribution within my point of interest (POI). Upon confirmation of these factors and other confluences, I'm inclined to sell down towards the psychological level of 140.000. I am also anticipating a bullish reaction from the 7hr demand, which has caused a break of structure (BOS) to the upside, I recognise the importance of waiting for price to reach a discounted or premium area due to its current equilibrium state. However, considering the recent BOS to the downside, I anticipate a retracement to a supply zone for a potential sell-off. Confluences for USDJPY Sells are as follows: - price has broken structure to the downside and has left clean 10hr supply zone. - Price is currently in a retracement so we can expect a wyckoff distribution to play out. - Lots of major trendiness still left below on the high time frame that needs to get swept. - Price has been in a very bearish trend ever since it failed to take the all time highs. - The dollar is also looking bearish so I can expect more downside for this pair too. P.S. As this trade aligns with the prevailing trend, the selling proposition is currently highly favorable. While the Fibonacci range indicates that the 14hr supply is more likely, I foresee the possibility of the 10hr supply failing to react off the 14hr at a more premium level. HAPPY NEW YEARS TO ALL OF YOU AND HOPE THIS YEAR BRING EVERYONE PROFITABILITY AND CONSISTENCY. LETS CATCH THESE PIPS!
by Hassan_fx
1
USDJPY Shorts from 143.500 down towards 140.000Currently, with the recent reaction from the 22-hour demand zone, there's an expectation for a retracement towards a nearby supply to trade in line with the trend. At the current price, I'll wait for the small bullish reaction to lose steam in order for price to distribute. Once the Wyckoff distribution occurs on the lower time frame, accompanied by a CHOCH, I plan to initiate sells targeting the 140.00 mark, a zone associated with strong demand. However, I'm also mindful that the price might ascend further and react off a more premium supply above. Confluences for USDJPY Sells are as follows: - This bias aligns with the current bearish trend that has been perpetuated. - Lots of major trend lines, equal lows and asian lows below on the higher time frame. - There's a near by 14hr supply zone that looks promising and a better supply on the 10hr just above it. - For price to maintain its bearish trend it must react off a supply to trigger another sell off. - Bullish pressure is looking exhausted and we could see a wyckoff distribution play out soon. P.S. Regarding the overall market sentiment, it remains evidently bullish. However, with a strong emphasis on respecting the all-time high (ATH), I am steadfast in my belief that a long-term bearish trend is likely to emerge, given the significant liquidity present below. This is why selling positions are highly preferable and exhibit more favorable reactions. If you found this post insightful, drop a like & comment!
Short
by Hassan_fx
1
USDJPY Looking BearishIf you anticipate a bearish trend in USDJPY and decide to sell, it's crucial to ensure that your decision is in line with your overall trading strategy. Evaluate the risk-reward ratios carefully and establish suitable stop-loss levels to mitigate potential losses. When considering increasing your position size, exercise caution to effectively manage potential risks. Stay well-informed about market developments and be prepared to adapt your trading strategy as necessary in response to changing conditions. It's essential to remain vigilant and proactive in monitoring the market to make informed decisions and protect your investments.
Short
by HUMCRYPTOCLUB
USDJPY: Dollar fluctuates as views of interest rate cuts grow; TThe US dollar is experiencing volatility against most major currencies today, with market sentiment affected by predictions that the US Federal Reserve may start cutting interest rates. The Japanese yen remains an exception, maintaining its position against the dollar following the Bank of Japan's decision to continue its expansionary monetary policy. Federal Reserve officials tried to manage market expectations after a Federal Open Market Committee meeting last week, which hinted at the possibility of interest rate cuts in 2024. This outlook has led to a surge in financial markets, with current forecasts suggesting a 67.5% chance of a rate cut at the Fed's March meeting, based on the CME FedWatch tool. Senior financial markets analyst at Capital.com, Kyle Rodda, commented on the situation, saying that the Federal Reserve must now decide whether to match market expectations or counter them, potentially causing market instability. Atlanta Federal Reserve President Raphael Bostic on Tuesday reiterated his forecast for two interest rate cuts in the second half of the year, but emphasized that immediate action was not necessary. At the same time, Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin noted that the central bank's ability to lower interest rates will depend on the trajectory of the economy. The dollar index, which compares the US dollar to a basket of other currencies, remained relatively unchanged at 102.20 after falling more than 0.3% earlier. Last week, the index hit a four-month low at 101.76. Rodda also mentioned that upcoming economic data will be important in determining the direction of the dollar, as it will indicate whether the expected interest rate cuts for next year are justified. Investors are now awaiting the release of the core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index, the Fed's preferred inflation measure, which could shed light on whether inflation is slowing enough to justify easing. policy next year or not. In Japan, the yen traded lower at 143.78 yen against the dollar, having weakened after comments from Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda, which did not suggest a change was imminent from negative interest rates. According to National Australia Bank senior foreign exchange strategist Rodrigo Catril, expectations are now set for a policy change no sooner than April.
Short
by Chart_MasterPro
2
USDJPY: Goldman Sachs: Reduced 12-month USD/JPY forecast to 140 Goldman Sachs Data reported on December 18 that Goldman Sachs has revised its forecast for next year's exchange rate and expects the US dollar to weaken further. “The biggest revisions to our forecasts are on exchange-sensitive currencies like the Japanese yen,” strategists including Danny Suwanapruti and Michael Cahill wrote in a Dec. 15 report. , the Swedish krona and the Indonesian rupiah, these currencies will struggle under a 'keep interest rates higher for longer' regime. " Goldman Sachs forecasts USD/JPY three-month target at 145, six-month target at 142 and 12-month target at 140; previous forecasts for the same period were 155, 155 and 150 respectively.
Short
by Chart_MasterPro
USDJPY: Japan's ruling party proposes to reduce income taxReuters reported: The tax reform council of Japan's ruling Liberal Democratic Party has agreed to reduce income taxes to compensate households suffering from soaring prices and support a change in the deflationary mindset that has pervaded the country. past decades The move is also intended to encourage a healthy growth cycle driven by private sector demand, with tax policymakers increasing tax breaks for businesses planning to increase wages. The draft of tax breaks under the framework of tax reform in fiscal year 2024 will be finalized on Thursday
Short
by Chart_MasterPro
💡 USDJPY: Next predictionLast Friday, the yen experienced a decline, reversing the strong trend observed on Thursday. This shift in market dynamics was attributed to the transition of focus from speculations about the Bank of Japan's recent monetary policy to robust Japanese jobs data. On the other side of the Pacific, the US economy exceeded expectations by creating more job openings last month, prompting investors to scale back their expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut in the coming year. Furthermore, the increase in US Treasury bonds and the strength of the US dollar are additional factors contributing to the yen's depreciation. Following the release of the US non-farm data, USD/JPY swiftly rebounded, with the MACD double line and bar chart forming a golden cross below the zero axis. Nevertheless, it is still trading below the 48-hour moving average, suggesting the possibility of a short-term pullback. -> Sell ​​strategy can be applied and stop loss is necessary.
Long
by Stone_Haven
USDJPY Shorts from 147.000 down to 140.000My breakdown for USDJPY this week involves sustaining its temporary bearish trend. Currently, the price has shown a bullish reaction at our identified Point of Interest (POI), resulting in a pullback to tap into a Daily supply zone above. Following this, our strategy involves anticipating a redistribution on lower time frames to facilitate selling opportunities, targeting the equal lows. Considering the impact of NFP Friday on our demand, we await the formation of a correction to prolong the downward trend. In case the price opts for breaching equal lows first, our plan involves waiting for entry at the 7-hour demand zone, presenting an opportunity to buy at a more favorable price. Confluences for USDJPY Sells are as follows: - Price retraced from a 2-day demand and now slowly approaching a daily level of supply zone. - Supply Zone is on the daily time frame that has also caused a Break of structure to the downside. - Lots of liquidity to the downside in the form of equal lows, and major trendlines. - Price needs to fill the imbalance as well which has been left from the supply zone. - The dollar is also expected to be bearish so this pair is also projected to move in a similar way. P.S. Since the price on the higher time frame couldn't surpass the all-time highs and experienced a significant sell-off, my expectation is that the price may continue its decline to target substantial liquidity below. Consequently, I am inclined to seek pro-trend trading opportunities to prolong this downward movement, aiming for the 140.000 mark.
Short
by Hassan_fx
1
#USDJPY: Still bull have the control! Dear traders, with usdjpy we expect price to rise continuously moving forward due to two main reason, firstly we think buyers presence in the market is significate and this was just a small short of retracement. Secondly, there are many majors news that will have huge impact on DXY moving forward. About entries, there are two areas of entries first is where price from the current trading price rise from this moment. Second, is where price can drop around 144-143 region and bounce from that point.
Long
by Setupsfx_
2
USDJPY - H4USDJPY W1 - The price has reached the trend line level, which could potentially result in a corrective movement. D1 - The 3rd wave is being realized, the price is near a strong level, which can lead to a correction. If you opened positions from a previous idea, you can securely transfer yourself to the break-even point, and then enter again after the correction. H4 - A triangular formation has been formed, which can lead to further continuation of the movement down the 3rd wave on D1. If the price breaks upward, it may begin a correction. What can you expect? For purchases with low risk per transaction: You can consider entering from the level of 147.464 with further movement to the target of 148.674. Cancel the idea so as not to take increased risk on the idea level - 146.555 For sales during a trend movement: You can consider entering from the level of 146.509 with further movement to the target of 145.013. Cancel the idea so as not to take increased risk on the idea level - 147.480 Long Target 147.701 - 148.209 - 148.674 - 149.424 Short Target 146.008 - 145.484 - 145.013 - 144.254
by Trade_Hive_Signals
USDJPY Longs from 145.000 up to 148.300This week, the current position of USDJPY appears favorable, positioned near two promising Points of Interest (POIs). We are inclined towards buying opportunities as the price has recently responded to a supply zone, and we anticipate a slowdown and accumulation. Upon the completion of Wyckoff accumulation within our designated zone, we will seek buy positions for a short-term trade, aiming to reach the nearest significant supply. This counter-trend trade will serve as a retracement, acknowledging the temporary bearish trend. Confluences for USDJPY Longs are as follows: - To sustain its bearish trend, the price must respond to a demand level, prompting a retracement. - The price is nearing a crucial demand level on the 13-hour chart that has broken the structure to the upside. - There are remaining equal highs and imbalances above, which needs to get mitigated. The Dollar Index (DXY) is poised for an upward retracement, aligning with this bias. - The overall market trend on higher time frames, such as the monthly chart, remains generally bullish. - Price has taken some significant liquidity like asian lows so price might be due for a correction. P.S. Upon the price reaching our 4-hour supply zone, we will patiently await a form of redistribution to align ourselves with the bearish trend. Currently, our focus is on the anticipation of a slowdown and pullback, which we expect to occur in response to the 13-hour demand.
Long
by Hassan_fx
1
USDJPY Analysis. SHORT SWING SIGNAL!!!Hello Everyone i want share my idea about USDJPY. Japan currency is dead, its coming downside clear and beautiful but in this week we had some rejection from buyers and this rejection was strong. In my opinion dollar will start strong bearish movement for that i will try to catch movement, at the chart we have some good rejection from sellers which broke range and gave us new high after strong downside movement. i think this fall will continue to daily support which is at 144.9. Open short position - 149.6 Stop loss - 151.1 Take Profit - N/A ALWAYS MAKE YOUR OWN RESEARCH!!!
Short
by elmakacho
2
USDJPY Shorts from 149.500 down towards 147.500My bias for USDJPY is bearish due to the fact that price has reacted off the last supply from the whole chart, and has now given a CHOCH and BOS's on the higher time frame. Price has also took all the liquidity that was left above leaving price to now melt downwards and target all the asian lows, trend lines, equal lows, and imbalances that was left previously. Currently, price has reacted nicely off an 8hr supply which we can enter imminent sells to target the (8hr) demand below at 147.500. I am expecting the 8hr demand to cause a retracement back up but from there we can take short term buys up to a premium supply around 150.500. As Wyckoff distribution has been completed we can look for the asian high to get swept in order to enter our sell positions because a CHOCH has already been presented to us on the 15min. My confluences for USDJPY Shorts are as follows: - Price has taken all the magnets that lies above and reacted off the last supply of the chart. - Price has CHOCH'd and BOS on the higher time frame confirming a bearish trend. - Lots of liquidity to the downside in the form of trend line liquidity, asian lows, EQLs and IMB's - Wyckoff distribution has been completed on the Higher time frame and now melting. - A re accumulation has been presented inside our current 8hr supply in which we have got a clean reaction from. - Dollar (DXY) is also temporarily bearish for me so it matches with my sell bias for this market. P.S. even though we are bearish I would also be interested in buying from 147.500 up towards 150.500 or higher to then eventually sell again. For now, we will see if price reaches that demand below as short term buys will be interesting there. Remember being adaptive is very crucial and because I am a day trader, I can counter trend trade up to better POI's to then enter pro trend trades.
Short
by Hassan_fx
3