USD/JPY) Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of USD/JPY on the 4-hour timeframe, signaling a breakout and possible rally toward the 151.016 target zone. Here's the detailed breakdown:
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Technical Analysis – USD/JPY (4H)
1. Bullish Structure Breakout
Price has broken above a long-term resistance trendline, indicating a bullish breakout from a rising wedge or ascending channel.
The breakout is confirmed by bullish momentum and sustained price action above the previous highs.
2. Trendline + EMA Confluence
Price remains well above the 200 EMA (145.143), reinforcing the bullish bias.
A clear higher low was formed at the inner trendline (support), followed by strong upside moves.
3. RSI Strength
RSI is around 63.16, indicating strong bullish momentum without being overbought yet.
Suggests more upside potential while maintaining healthy trend conditions.
4. Price Target Projection
The chart shows two upward extensions:
First move projected ~+2.20%, indicating a measured move target around 149.7.
Final target point is 151.016, based on previous price action extension and resistance level.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Summary
Bias: Bullish
Current Price: 147.366
Key Support: Rising trendline + 145.143 EMA
Targets:
Short-term: ~149.7
Final: 151.016
RSI: Strong but not overbought (63.16)
Invalidation: Break below the inner trendline support and EMA (below 145.00)
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Usdjpylong
USDJPY M15 Support & Resistance Levels🚀 Here are some key zones I've identified on the 15m timeframe.
These zones are based on real-time data analysis performed by a custom software I personally developed.
The tool is designed to scan the market continuously and highlight potential areas of interest based on price action behavior and volume dynamics.
Your feedback is welcome!
USD/JPY) LOGN TIME Analysis Read The captionSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of USD/JPY on the daily timeframe, highlighting a long-term downtrend reversal with potential for significant upside.
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Analysis Summary
Pair: USD/JPY
Timeframe: Daily
Current Price: 147.442
Bias: Bullish breakout from a descending wedge structure.
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Key Technical Insights
1. Descending Trendline Break:
Price has broken above the long-term downtrend line, signaling a reversal.
Breakout area is circled in yellow, confirming bullish intent.
2. Trendline & Structure Support:
Multiple rejections from the ascending support trendline (marked by green arrows) confirm accumulation and higher lows.
3. 200 EMA as Dynamic Resistance/Support:
Price is now above the 200 EMA (147.920) — a bullish signal, turning resistance into support.
4. RSI (14):
RSI at 62.99, approaching overbought territory, but still has room to push further.
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Target Point
Target: 158.951
Based on measured move from wedge breakout and historical resistance level.
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Trade Setup Idea
Direction Entry Stop-Loss Target
Buy 147.40–147.60 Below 145.80 158.95
Mr SMC Trading point
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Summary
This chart signals a major bullish breakout on USD/JPY, with the break of a year-long downtrend structure, reclaiming the 200 EMA. If this breakout sustains, price could aim for 158.95 in the coming weeks.
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USD/JPY Profit Heist – Are You In or Missing Out?"🔥💰 "USD/JPY NINJA HEIST: Bullish Loot Before the Trap! (Thief Trading Style)" 💰🔥
🌟 Attention Market Robbers & Profit Takers! 🌟
🚨 Thief Trading Alert: USD/JPY "The Ninja" is primed for a BULLISH HEIST!
Based on our stealthy technical & fundamental analysis, we’re locking in a long entry strategy. The plan? Loot profits before the RED ZONE danger hits! Overbought? Maybe. Risky? Sure. But the real robbery happens before the bears wake up! 🏴☠️💸
🎯 ENTRY: The Vault is OPEN!
Buy Limit Orders: Swipe the dip on pullbacks or jump in at key swing lows.
Aggressive? Enter now & ride the wave!
🛑 STOP LOSS (Thief-Style Escape Plan):
Swing Low (5H TF): 143.600 (Adjust based on your risk & lot size!)
Multiple orders? Scale SL wisely—don’t get caught!
🎯 TARGETS:
Main Take-Profit: 151.000 (Or escape earlier if the trap triggers!)
Scalpers: Only play LONG—trail your SL & lock in quick loot!
📢 SCALPERS & SWING TRADERS:
Got deep pockets? Ride the wave now!
Small account? Join the swing heist & rob the trend slowly!
📈 WHY USD/JPY?
Bullish momentum + Macro/Fundamental tailwinds!
COT Report, Sentiment, & Intermarket Analysis all hint at more upside! go ahead to check 👉🔗🌏
⚠️ WARNING: NEWS = VOLATILITY!
Avoid new trades during high-impact news!
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Stay tuned—next heist coming soon! 🚀💰
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USD/JPY - H1- Wedge Breakout (07.07.2025)The USD/JPY pair on the H1 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Wedge Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 148.00
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$UJ (USDJPY) 1HPrice tapped into a 4H FVG (gray zone 146.800–146.300), a high-probability reversal zone when paired with liquidity sweep and break of structure.
The bullish internal trendline was cleanly broken, signaling a short-term shift in momentum.
Prior to the drop, price ran buy-side liquidity resting above previous highs (marked $$$), fulfilling liquidity objectives before reversing.
The move into the 4H-FVG occurred in premium territory, ideal for institutional distribution.
As long as price holds below 146.300 (top of the FVG), the bearish leg remains valid.
Next liquidity target is around 145.240, where previous sell-side liquidity (lows marked $$$) is resting.
Smart 15-Min Entry on USDJPY – Clear Plan with 2.33 R/R📢 Hey Guys;
I've placed a buy limit order on USDJPY at a key support level.
🔵 Entry: 145.956
🔴 Stop Loss: 145.743
🟢 Targets:
• TP1: 146.069
• TP2: 146.232
• TP3: 146.468
📐 Risk/Reward Ratio: 2.33
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Huge thanks to everyone who shows love and appreciation! 🙏
USD/JPY Long Trade SetupBuy dips - 146.50-146.60
Stop Loss -145.80 - Below retest zone; invalidates breakout.
TP-1 148.80 - Scale 50 % Pattern target / June high cluster.
TP-2 150.00 - Round-number magnet, option strikes.
Rationale
The dollar-yen cross has snapped out of its early-summer drift and vaulted back above the 100-day simple moving average for the first time since February, reaching ¥147.19 on 9 July – a two-and-a-half-week high – as the greenback rides an upswing in U.S. yields and tariff-driven inflation fears. The technical breakout puts the familiar 148.00/150.00 band – the June swing high and the psychological round number – back in play for trend-followers over the next several sessions.
Policy divergence as wide as ever
Federal Reserve – higher-for-longer: Minutes from the June FOMC showed staff pushing inflation projections higher and flagging “upside risks” should tariff pass-through accelerate, reinforcing the market’s view that rate cuts will be pushed into Q4 at the earliest. Five straight sessions of rising Treasury yields have followed, lifting the 10-year to 4.45 % and widening the U.S.–Japan real-rate gap.
Bank of Japan – stuck on hold: Former BOJ board member Makoto Sakurai told Reuters the central bank will “wait at least until March 2026” before considering another hike, as Trump’s 25 % tariff on Japanese goods (effective 1 August) clouds the export outlook and will likely force the BOJ to cut its growth forecast at the 31 July Outlook Report. With headline CPI still only just above target and real wages contracting.
USDJPY – Key Support Bounce with Macro TailwindsUSDJPY is bouncing off a key trendline and 61.8% Fib zone (143.25–143.60) with confluence across multiple JPY crosses (EURJPY, AUDJPY, CADJPY). This area has historically triggered strong upside momentum, and the current setup aligns with both technical structure and macro drivers.
📊 Fundamentals Supporting the Move:
✅ US Yields Stable: US10Y is holding above 4.20%, keeping USDJPY supported. If yields push back toward 4.30%, expect USDJPY to retest 145.30 and potentially 147.80.
✅ BoJ Dovish: Japan shows no shift in policy. Despite weak Tankan data, BoJ remains patient, and no meaningful rate hike or YCC change is expected soon.
✅ USD Macro Resilience: Core PCE held firm at 2.6%. Focus now shifts to ISM Services PMI (Wed) and NFP (Fri). Markets are still pricing a soft landing – supporting risk-on and a stronger USD.
✅ JPY as a Fading Safe Haven: Even with geopolitical headlines (Trump tariff tensions, Taiwan, Middle East), JPY demand remains weak. Traders are favoring USD and Gold over JPY as risk hedges.
⚠️ Risks to Watch:
Dovish US Data Surprise: Weak NFP or ISM could drag yields down and trigger USDJPY reversal.
Verbal or Actual BoJ Intervention: If we approach 148.50–150, Japan may step in again.
Geopolitical Escalation: Any sharp risk-off could trigger safe haven demand for JPY, though this has underperformed recently.
🔎 Correlation Dynamics:
📈 USDJPY is leading JPY crosses like EURJPY and AUDJPY. The recent bounce started simultaneously across the JPY complex, with USDJPY slightly ahead.
📉 If US yields drop or risk sentiment shifts, USDJPY may lag gold or bonds but eventually catch up.
🧠 Trading Plan:
📍 Entry Zone: 143.30–143.60 (trendline + Fib confluence)
🎯 Target 1: 145.30 (38.2% Fib)
🎯 Target 2: 147.80 (channel resistance)
🛑 Invalidation: Daily close below 141.50 with US yields breaking down
📅 Upcoming Events to Watch:
Wed July 3: ISM Services PMI (key for USD reaction)
Fri July 5: US Non-Farm Payrolls + Average Hourly Earnings
JPY Risk: Verbal intervention possible near 148+
🧭 Summary:
USDJPY is positioned for a bullish continuation, backed by:
Rising yields
Resilient US macro
Weak JPY fundamentals
Technical structure respecting trendline support
Short-term traders can target the 145–147.80 range ahead of NFP, with a tight eye on yield and risk sentiment.
📌 If this analysis helps, drop a like and follow for more real-time macro-technical breakdowns. Stay nimble ahead of NFP! 🧠📈
USDJPY Price Accumulated|Time For Bullish Distribution|Setupsfx|The price has accumulated nicely and is now distributing. We have three targets in mind, but set your own based on your analysis. Our approach is purely technical, but also includes a basic fundamental approach. This analysis concludes over 1500 pips and is a swing move. Please use this analysis as educational purposes only, as it does not guarantee that price will move exactly as predicted.
If you like our idea, please consider liking and commenting on it.
Good luck and trade safely!
Team Setupsfx_
USD/JPY Range- weekly chart setupUSD/JPY abhi ek strong range-bound structure mein trade kar raha hai jisme clearly defined support aur resistance zones dikhai de rahe hain. Chart par price 144.50 ke aas paas consolidate kar raha hai, jahan se dono directions mein breakout ka potential bana hua hai.
📉 Resistance Zone: 145.80 – 146.20
📈 Support Zone: 142.30 – 142.70
🔍 Current Price: 144.50 (As of July 6, 2025)
🧠 Trading Scenarios:
🔽 Bearish Scenario:
Agar price 145.80 zone se reject hota hai, to short-term selling pressure dekhne ko mil sakta hai, jisme target 1: 143.50 aur target 2: 142.50 ka ho sakta hai.
🔼 Bullish Scenario:
Agar price support zone (142.50) se strong bounce karta hai, to range ke upper bound (145.80) tak ka upside move expected hai. Breakout ke baad extended target 147.00+ tak ho sakta hai.
📊 Timeframe: 4H
📍 Setup Type: Range Trade | Mean Reversion | Breakout Watch
💬 Idea by: Liquidity_Gold_FX
🔔 Follow for more FX setups and updates.
LONG ON USD/JPYUSD/JPY has given us a CHOC (change of character) from down to up.
It has engineered sell side liquidity right above a demand zone.
I expect price to sweep sell side liquidity, tap into the demand zone then take off to the upside.
looking to catch 150-250 pips on UJ. (Economic News could set this trade on Fire!)
#USDJPY: Price is currently accumulating ! Wait For DistributionAt present, the USDJPY currency pair appears to be in an accumulation phase, as evidenced by the absence of significant price movement throughout the current week. Several factors contribute to this trend.
Firstly, several significant economic events are scheduled for this week, particularly tomorrow and Friday. These developments hold substantial implications for the future trajectory of the USDJPY pair. Consequently, there exists a possibility that the price may experience a decline prior to initiating a bullish trend.
Secondly, there are two primary areas where the price could reverse its course. The extent to which the USD reacts to the economic data will serve as an indicator of the potential reversal zones.
It is imperative that you conduct your own analysis before making any financial decisions. This chart should be utilised solely for educational purposes and does not guarantee any specific outcome.
Regarding the stop loss, as this is a swing trade, it is advisable to employ a larger stop loss if the price reaches entry zones. The take profit level can be determined based on your entry type and analysis.
We wish you the best of luck in your trading endeavours and emphasise the importance of trading safely.
Kindly share this analysis with others through likes, comments, and social media platforms. If you have any questions or require further assistance, please do not hesitate to comment below. We are here to provide support.
Team Setupsfx_
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USD/JPY Bullish Reversal AnalysisUSD/JPY Bullish Reversal Analysis 📈💹
🔍 Technical Overview:
The chart illustrates a strong bullish reversal pattern forming on USD/JPY after price reacted from a key support zone at 144.600. This level has held firm multiple times, marked by green arrows, signaling strong buying interest.
📐 Chart Patterns & Structure:
✅ A bullish harmonic pattern (possibly a bullish Bat or Gartley) is completing near the 144.600 zone.
🔄 Multiple rejection wicks and bullish engulfing patterns indicate a potential upside reversal.
🔵 Descending trendlines have been broken, confirming momentum shift.
🔁 Previous resistance turned support (near 145.000) is acting as a possible launchpad for the next move.
🎯 Upside Target:
The projected move targets the resistance zone at 147.698, aligning with previous highs and a significant supply area.
If price breaks above 145.900 convincingly, continuation toward this resistance is expected.
🔻 Downside Risk:
A break below 144.600 would invalidate the bullish setup and expose price to the lower support range near 142.000–143.000.
📊 Conclusion:
USD/JPY is showing signs of bullish reversal from a strong demand zone. If price sustains above 145.000 and breaks the minor consolidation, the pair could rally toward 147.698 🎯.
Bias: Bullish ✅
Support: 144.600
Resistance: 147.698
USD/JPY Bullish Reversal Trade Setup – Key Support Test at 145.2Entry Point: 145.273 (highlighted in blue)
Stop Loss: ~144.817–145.260 (purple zone)
Target Point (TP): 148.133 (upper resistance zone)
📉 Recent Price Action:
Price peaked near 148.05 before reversing sharply and breaking the trendline.
The market is currently testing the support zone (near the 145.273 entry level).
Moving averages (red = short-term, blue = long-term) show a crossover to the downside, suggesting short-term bearish momentum.
📈 Trade Setup:
Strategy Type: Long (Buy) Setup
Risk/Reward: Favorable, approximately 1:2+
Entry Zone: The current price is close to the entry level at 145.273, making this a timely area to watch for a bounce or confirmation.
⚠️ Risk Factors:
If price breaks below 144.817, the setup becomes invalid.
Short-term momentum is still bearish; confirmation (like a bullish engulfing candle or support hold) is important before entering.
✅ Confirmation Triggers for Entry:
Strong bullish candlestick pattern near entry zone.
RSI or MACD bullish divergence (not shown but useful to check).
Volume spike on bounce from support.
USD/JPY Long Trade Setup – Key Support Rebound Targeting 148.674Entry Point:
Price: 143.373
The chart suggests initiating a long (buy) position at this level, which is just slightly below the current market price.
Stop Loss:
Price: 141.707
Positioned below a strong support zone. This level protects the trade from excessive downside risk if the price breaks down.
Target Point:
Price: 148.674
The target is clearly defined, indicating a potential gain of approximately 5.991 points, or 4.20% from the entry.
🟪 Support/Resistance Zones
The purple boxes indicate demand (support) and supply (resistance) zones.
The lower zone (entry/stop area) shows a historically significant support range that has been tested multiple times (indicated with orange circles).
The upper purple zone marks the take-profit area, which coincides with previous resistance.
📊 Moving Averages
Blue Line: 200 EMA (Exponential Moving Average) – acting as dynamic resistance.
Red Line: 50 EMA – price is currently trading below it, indicating bearish short-term pressure but potential for reversal.
🧠 Trade Idea Summary
Bias: Bullish (long position)
Risk-Reward Ratio: Favorable
Risk: ~1.67 points (from 143.373 to 141.707)
Reward: ~5.3 points (from 143.373 to 148.674)
Approx. R:R = 1:3.17
Validation: The setup relies on the price holding the key support zone and bouncing higher, targeting the next major resistance.
⚠️ Considerations
Monitor for bullish candlestick patterns near the entry zone.
Keep an eye on macroeconomic news (like BoJ or Fed updates) that could cause volatility in USD/JPY.
Confirm momentum shift with RSI or MACD if using indicators.
USD/JPY Breaks Higher – Bullish Momentum Targets 148.40FX:USDJPY CMCMARKETS:USDJPY USD/JPY continues to climb, extending gains above the key 146.00 breakout level, supported by Fed–BoJ policy divergence and rising geopolitical tensions. Despite Japan’s strong CPI and PMI prints, the BoJ maintains a dovish tone, while tariff concerns continue to cap yen sentiment. The Middle East conflict further fuels demand for the USD as a safe haven.
Technically, the pair confirmed a bullish breakout, with price hugging the upper Bollinger Band – a sign of sustained upside pressure. As long as 146.00 holds, bulls may aim for the 148.40 monthly resistance.
Key Levels :
Resistance : 146.75 / 148.40
Support : 146.00 / 145.25
⚠️ Momentum favours the upside while above 146.00. Break below may trigger short-term pullback toward 145.25.
Long - the final move up before moving to the downsideMy macro bias for USDJPY is bearish. However, I opened a long position today.
Reasons for a long trade:
Weekly chart:
1) Both MACD and RSI are in the bear territory, however, both MACD and RSI lines are starting to cross and move to the upside.
2) The price has been moving sideways for weeks, however, weekly candle has been forming higher low since late April (subtle move).
3) There is a major support line at 140.50 area and weekly EMA200 is also sitting right below it.
Although the price has been moving to the downside, it will require strong momentum to pierce through the major support zone that has been holding since July 2023.
Daily chart:
1) EMA9 > EMA14 > EMA 21 - bullish trend
2) Yesterday's daily candle retested EMA 9/14/21 and closed above all of them.
3) MACD has entered the bull zone.
4) RSI has entered the bull zone.
5) There is an unmitigated fair value gap in the Fib 0.618-0.786 area. (see blue rectangular box in the chart).
As I said above, it will take strong momentum for the price to break below the major support line. It makes sense for the price to retrace to the unmitigated fair value gap area to take out all the liquidity to fuel the momentum to the downside.
My trade setup is below:
Entry: 145 Stop/Loss: 144.25 (just under yesterday's candle wick)Target: 147.12
Risk:Rewards 1:1.78
buy is coming on USDJPYThe USD/JPY pair recently experienced a bearish movement, which is largely influenced by heightened concerns surrounding the ongoing trade and tariff tensions between the U.S. and its global counterparts. This risk-off sentiment triggered a flight to safe-haven assets, weighing on the pair.
However, price action has now approached a key trendline support zone, which has held firmly in previous sessions. Technical indicators like RSI are also beginning to show signs of bullish divergence, suggesting a potential reversal. If this trendline continues to act as strong support, we may see a bullish bounce from the current level, aligning with the overall ascending trend structure but if the trade break these support zones, then the bearish movement might continues
for now we will be watching for confirmation signals such as bullish candlestick patterns or a break above near-term resistance levels to validate the upward movement.
USD/JPY 4H Chart Analysis – Bullish Breakout Ahead?📈 USD/JPY 4H Chart Analysis – Bullish Breakout Ahead? 🚀💹
The USD/JPY pair is currently approaching a critical resistance zone (145.800 - 146.000), which has acted as a strong supply area in the past. The price has shown bullish momentum as it builds higher lows and heads toward this resistance.
🔍 Key Observations:
🔵 Resistance Zone: Clearly marked and tested multiple times. A breakout above this level could trigger a bullish continuation.
📊 Bullish Structure: The pair is forming a strong uptrend with higher highs and higher lows on the 4H timeframe.
🔄 Retest Scenario: Chart suggests a potential breakout above the resistance, followed by a bullish retest before continuing toward the target zone at ~148.900.
🟢 Upside Target: 148.900 (Previous swing high) – a potential gain of over 300 pips from breakout point.
📌 Trading Outlook:
✅ A confirmed breakout and retest of the resistance zone could offer a high-probability long setup.
❌ A failure to break and hold above the resistance may result in short-term consolidation or reversal.
📅 Watch Levels:
Resistance: 145.800 – 146.000
Support (breakout retest): 145.200 – 145.500
Bullish Target: 148.900
📢 Conclusion: Bulls are in control as long as price sustains above the resistance zone. A clean breakout followed by a retest could offer an attractive buying opportunity with a well-defined risk-to-reward setup. 🔥📊