USD/JPY Channel Breakout (Weekly Forecast Mar 3-7)The USD/JPY pair on the H2 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Channel Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 153.90
2nd Resistance – 155.60
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USDJPY BuyUSDJPY Trade Signal
📉 Pullback & Potential Reversal
Price Level: 150.41
Support Zone: 148.37 - 149.98
Resistance Targets: 152.06 / 154.00
📌 Trade Plan:
Wait for a pullback confirmation before entering long.
Stop Loss: Below 148.37
Targets: 152.06 → 154.00
⚠️ Risk Management: Control risk and wait for a clear breakout.
USD/JPY Market Analysis – Potential Reversal or Continuation?This 15-minute chart of USD/JPY displays a clear bullish impulse following a Change of Character (ChoCh) and a Break of Structure (BoS) . Price action has reached a key resistance zone, and traders are now anticipating the next move based on market reactions.
Key Observations :
1. Change of Character (ChoCh) :
- This indicates a shift from bearish to bullish sentiment.
- The market rejected lower prices and started forming higher highs and higher lows.
2. b]Break of Structure (BoS) :
- This confirms bullish momentum as previous resistance levels are broken.
- A strong bullish move suggests demand is dominating.
3. Current Price Action :
- The price has approached a liquidity zone (previous high).
- Potential rejection at this level suggests profit-taking or a shift in order flow.
Possible Scenarios:
✅ Bullish Continuation :
- If price retraces into the M15 demand zone (marked on the chart) and finds support, a continuation to the upside is likely.
- A break above the current high could push price towards 149.950 or even 150.000.
❌ Bearish Reversal :
- If price aggressively rejects the current high and breaks the M15 demand zone , we could see a bearish move towards **149.100 - 148.900**.
- This would indicate a deeper correction or potential trend reversal.
Trading Plan:
- **Wait for confirmation at the M15 demand zone.**
- **Look for bullish price action signals for continuation trades.**
- **If demand fails, shift bias to bearish setups.**
📌 Conclusion :
USD/JPY is at a critical decision point. The next move will depend on whether buyers defend the demand zone or if sellers step in to drive price lower. Stay patient and react to market structure shifts accordingly. 🚀📉
#USDJPY 4HUSDJPY (4H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price is currently respecting a trendline support, indicating that buyers are maintaining control. Additionally, the presence of a buy engulfing area suggests strong bullish momentum, signaling a potential continuation of the uptrend.
Forecast:
A buy opportunity may arise if the price continues to hold above the trendline support, confirming bullish pressure.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: A buy position can be considered near the trendline support after confirmation of bullish price action.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed below the trendline support to manage risk.
- Take Profit: Target key resistance levels based on previous price action.
Market Sentiment:
The combination of trendline support and a buy engulfing area indicates strong buying interest. A confirmed bullish move from this level can provide better validation for a buy setup.
IS USDJPY HAVE BUY SIDE LEQUIDITY?USDJPY is Sweep Buy Side Lequidity now sell side Lequidity Rest In Upside Market Will Go And Hunt These Lequidities That I Mentioned In Chart Be Patience Be Discipline With Your Strategies Without Knowing Market Behaviors Not Put Your Harder Money.
This Is Analysis Not A Financial Advice DYOR.
USD/JPY Bullish Reversal Setup: Key Levels and TargetsThe USD/JPY chart on the 4-hour timeframe indicates a potential bullish setup. Here's a breakdown of the analysis:
1. Support Zone & Trendline Confluence**
- Price is currently reacting to a strong demand zone** around 149.000–149.500, marked in green.
- There's also a visible ascending trendline acting as dynamic support, reinforcing the bullish outlook.
2. Change of Character (ChoCH) & Break of Structure (BOS)
- A series of **bearish BOS and ChoCH confirm the prior downtrend.
- However, the most recent ChoCH to the upside signals a potential shift in market direction.
3. Target Zone & Resistance Area
- The next resistance zone** is marked around 152.000, aligning with a supply area.
- This is also the short-term bullish target, as indicated on the chart.
4. Potential Trade Setup
- If the price holds above the demand zone and breaks the minor resistance at 150.000, bullish momentum could push it toward 152.000.
- A higher low formation** would further confirm bullish continuation.
5. Risk Factors
- A break below the **strong low (148.800–149.000) could invalidate the bullish setup and signal further downside.
Conclusion
USD/JPY is showing signs of a potential bullish reversal. If price respects the support and trendline, it could rally toward 152.000. However, a breakdown below 149.000 would invalidate the bullish bias.
USDJPY Signal - 5 months support test 24.2.25148.60 to 152.70 range
Currently trading at 149.70
Support of 148.60-149.80 range is holding strong for the past 5 months.
Standard correction 300 pips up towards 152.70 makes sense following the expanding wedge pattern highlighted on the chart.
100 pip downside compared to 300 pip upside swing trade.
Make logical, timed, calculated action sticking to a plan and managing risk as top priorities.
GOOD LUCK!
USDJPY: remains below 150.00Furthermore, any significant retracement could find immediate support near the 149.50 level, which is followed closely by the 149.00 round number. A break below the latter might expose the USD/JPY pair to a retest of the 148.50 region, a level seen as the next strong support. Sustained weakness below this area could pave the way for a deeper corrective decline, with the next target around the 148.00 level. Traders will likely keep a close eye on these levels, as they could provide fresh directional impetus for the pair.
USDJPY DOWNWARDhello fellow traders, we wait for another down/retracements on this pair FX:USDJPY , but this is only my view, you can share yours if you have any idea.
1st target 148.6,
Long zone 145 . this idea base on my own understanding, on my other pairs that posted, still valid folks. GU, GJ, XAU. are we all connected?
this is not a financial advice,
follow for more swing trades. swing it....
USDJPY - Tuesday Recovery , BUY zone FiboPLAN : 18 Feb, 2025
USDJPY News:
🔆The Japanese Yen (JPY) remains under pressure during the early European session on Tuesday, though downside momentum is limited as markets increasingly expect the Bank of Japan (BoJ) to continue raising interest rates. Additionally, the recent decline in the US-Japan yield gap, driven by growing speculation of further rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed), helps cushion losses for the lower-yielding JPY.
Personal opinion:
🔆Short-term buying pressure at support zone helps USDJPY price recover
Analysis:
🔆support fibonaccy H1 frame
Plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:
👉BUY USDJPY 151.600 – 151.400
❌SL: 151.100 | ✅TP: 151.900 – 152.300 – 152.600
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
USDJPY at Key Support - Potential Buying OpportunityOANDA:USDJPY is inside a support zone, which has been a turning point for bullish move before. The recent bearish pressure brings the price into this area, creating a potential buying opportunity.
If bullish signals emerge, such as strong buying volume or bullish candlestick patterns, I expect the price to move toward 152,750. However, a break below this support would invalidate the bullish bias and could lead to further declines.
Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management!
Scenario on USDJPY 12.2.2025On this chart, this scenario makes the most sense. If I should take a short, the first levels are around the monthly level, which is at the level of 157.503, the next one is around the price of 160, which is above the bulls zone, which could also mean the continuation of the uptrend, and therefore I have two options. If I should take a long, then not earlier than at the price level around the monthly level of 151.875, then below the current sfp on the price 148.806 where the next monthly level is located.
USD/JPY "The Gopher" Forex Market Bullish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
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Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the breakout (156.500) then make your move - Bullish profits await!"
however I advise placing Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at 154.700 (swing Trade) Using the 2H period, the recent / nearest low or high level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many orders you have to take.
Goal 🎯: 160.000 (or) Escape Before the Target
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📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
USD/JPY "The Gopher" Forex Market market is currently experiencing a bullish trend,., driven by several key factors.
🔰 Fundamental Analysis
The USD/JPY pair is currently extending gains above 155.50, driven by resurgent US dollar demand due to global trade war concerns. The Bank of Japan's (BoJ) Summary of Opinions has had little impact on the pair.
🔰 Macroeconomics
The US economy is expected to slow down, with the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growing at an annual rate of 2.3% in the fourth quarter, below market expectations. In Japan, consumer prices in Tokyo rose in January, keeping hopes alive for further BoJ policy tightening.
🔰 COT Report
The latest CoT report shows that speculative traders are net long on the USD/JPY pair, indicating a bullish sentiment. However, it's essential to note that the CoT report is a lagging indicator and may not reflect current market conditions.
🔰 Market Sentiment
Market sentiment is currently bearish, with 55% of traders expecting a decline in the USD/JPY pair. However, this sentiment can change rapidly, and it's essential to monitor market news and events.
🔰 Institutional and Retail Banks Positioning
Institutional traders are net long on the USD/JPY pair, while retail traders are net short. This divergence in positioning can lead to a potential bullish move in the pair.
🔰 Overall Outlook
Based on the analysis, the USD/JPY pair is expected to move in a bullish trend, with a 60% chance of an uptrend and a 40% chance of a downtrend. However, it's essential to monitor market news and events, as they can impact the pair's direction.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
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USDJPY - Analysis and Potential Setups (Intraday- 10.02.25) Overall Trend & Context:
The OANDA:USDJPY pair is in an overall downtrend on the higher time frames and has reached highly significant support/demand levels. Lower time frame has given bullish indications, we can try to capitalize on this.
Technical Findings:
Price broke above the 200 EMA - this can act as dynamic support so watch current levels.
Demand zone was formed after sweeping internal liquidity (which resulted in an impulsive bullish break).
RSI shows overbought conditions - resulting in a pullback which is what we want to see to confirm price action (currently trading below the 50% level of the RSI)
Potential Scenarios:
Since we have seen a reaction off HTF supply zones we should wait for proper confirmations prior to entry.
If the demand fails, short positions should be considered - analysis will need to be adjusted to adapt to changing supply levels.
USDJPY Long: NFP ON TAP!!! NFP is expected to come in at about 169k. We will watch the actual news results before deciding whether to continue the trade. If the news comes in better than expected, we expect the US dollar to become stronger against the Yen. If NFP comes in lower than expected, we will be looking to other major pairs for trading setups.
We can see price is moving in a bullish direction, which is supported by the short-term trendline breakout and a change in market structure from bearish to bullish.