USD/JPY Eyes Bullish Impulse on Japan's Economic SignalsUSD/JPY Eyes Bullish Impulse on Japan's Economic Signals
Recent data from Japan indicates progress in achieving sustained inflation, sparking speculation of a possible shift in the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) ultra-dovish policy in the early months of 2024. This contrasts with the belief among investors that the Federal Reserve (Fed) has concluded its rate hikes and might initiate a policy easing as early as March 2024.
In line with our analysis from yesterday, the USD/JPY appears to be leveraging a new bullish impulse, particularly given its negative correlation with the EUR/USD, which is currently facing bearish pressure. During the Asian session, the price retraced to the 61.8% Fibonacci level from the recent low, creating a potential setup for a new bullish movement in the pair.
Our Preference:
Above 147.500 look for further upside with 150.30 & 151.50 as targets.
Usdjpylong
7 Dimension Analysis For USDJPY 🕛 TOPDOWN - Navigating Breakouts and Corrections
Overview: This currency pair broke a 25-year resistance level last year, displaying a fakeout. This year, a robust flow confirms the breakout, with potential for a yearly closing above this level. There's also proximity to breaking a multi-year head and shoulders pattern, accompanied by substantial multi-year buy volume. On the monthly chart, a cup and handle formation is observed, potentially forming a twizzer top for a last pullback. The weekly chart indicates a pre-breakout buildup, with the last week's liquidity sweep candle hinting at further upward movement, especially given its location above the yearly CIP levels.
😇 7 Dimension Analysis
Time Frame: Daily
1️⃣ Swing Structure: Bullish
🟢 Structure Behavior/BoS: Break of Structure
🟢 Swing Move: Corrective, but a classic bullish pinbar signals the end of correction and a valid high. The upcoming FVG area may guide the final decision based on potential rejection.
🟢 Inducement: Done; the next unmitigated order block is crucial if prices decline further.
🟢 1st Pullback: Possibly deep; internal structure is bearish corrective. Noteworthy is the liquidity sweep indicating potential fakeouts or continuations on the buy side.
🟢 Resistance/Support Areas: Resistance, supply, and trendline broken, yet resistance is yet to be broken. Buildup and pre-breakout QC suggest cautious optimism.
2️⃣ Pattern
🟢 CHART PATTERNS
Reversal
Rounding Patterns, Double Top.
Consolidation
Rectangle signaling a bearish breakout.
Raising Wedge with bearish breakout.
Shakeout Continuation, favorable for bulls.
🟢 CANDLE PATTERNS
Key Observations:
Long wicks: Hammer at yearly CIP.
Momentum candles: Engulfing/Fakeout/FOMO favor bulls.
Inside: Narrow Range 4, anticipating breakout direction.
Tower top/bottom signals climax players favoring bullish FOMO.
3️⃣ Volume: Average volume observed, necessitating observation during corrections and cycles.
4️⃣ Momentum RSI:
🟢 Momentum State: Sideways yet.
🟢 Range Shift: From super bullish to sideways.
🟢 Divergence: Back-to-back bearish divergence suggests a potential correction.
🟢 Grandfather-Father-Son Entries: Strongest buy area post-correction.
5️⃣ Volatility Bollinger Bands:
🟢 Middle Band Trend: Bullish; crossing for buy signals.
🟢 Headfake: Lower line head fake signifies a strong buy signal.
6️⃣ Strength - ROC Values: JPY is the weakest against all currencies currently.
✔️ Entry Time Frame: Two areas for buy consideration - Daily (144.555) and Hourly (149.49).
✅ Entry TF Structure:
☑️ Current Move:
✔ Support/Resistance Base:
☑️ Candles Behavior: RSC, Longwicks, Doji, Inside, Momentum.
☑️ FIB Trigger Event
☑️ Trend Line Breakout
☑️ Final Comments:
💡 Decision:
🚀 Entry:
✋ Stop Loss:
🎯 Take Profit: 2nd Exit if Internal Structure Changes, 3rd Trendline Breakout, FOMO.
😊 Risk to Reward Ratio:
🕛 Expected Duration:
SUMMARY: The analysis showcases a bullish scenario with a breakout from a significant resistance level. While corrections are anticipated, the structure remains bullish, with potential buy entries on both daily and hourly time frames. Divergence signals caution, and key candle patterns, volume analysis, and strength indicators contribute to a comprehensive strategy for navigating this intricate market situation.
I will update this idea further with coming market condition and also update all tp and stop level
USDJPY I Rejecting support and potential riseWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** USDJPY Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future.
Thanks for your continued support!
USD/JPY 💱 Moving in the Path of Least Resistance UsdJpy heading into Q4 23' . Interesting time because the USD may be over-extended but is it? What is the call for Q4 here Kingpin USD. Little weary to Sell UJ just because it is nearing the highs of structure.. Very likely we could continue highertimeframe momentum because wicks get filled in momentum. Taking a moment to look to the left, we may observe 152 is a range that we can go fill as the market moves to the upside with momentum. The Monthly timeframe is pushing up into the close of the Yearly candle. Next target that may occur for Q1 2024 is 155. What're your thoughts about medium term UsdJpy?
USDJPY Long Term SELLING Trading IdeaHello Traders
In This Chart USDJPY DAILY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today USDJPY analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (USDJPY market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on USDJPY Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
UsdJpy off to the Races or 1 more Retest 🏎 UsdJpy increases this week despite significant retail imbalances from last week failing to take price lower with notable inlfation data. We may observe a move to go down now after jumping up with news release volatility from last week. Otherwise, UsdJpy is currently testing a Daily Resistance level for the first time. We may anticpate a move down early in the week but consequential upside movement laster in the week. The Monthly candle has confirmed an upside breakout to our next monthly zone at 158. We may observe initial retest of 148.71 once more before seeing more upisde movement.
USDJPY: The USD weakened without the catalyst of important econoIn the foreign exchange market, the U.S. dollar weakened, closing at the day's low, extending Tuesday's losses. Data: October building permit applications were higher than expected, but did not provide much support for the dollar. Sterling fell by nearly 40 pips following October's retail sales data, but then rebounded sharply as the US dollar weakened. The yen led the rise among major currencies at the close of trading.
USDJPY Long position analysis.In my opinion that Huge bearish candle with high volume means that market is pushing the price dow to that specified level and I think it's good opportunity for going long.
if the price has come to this level you can wait for a change of character in 1 minute time frame for more confirmation about this trade.
Let's see what will happen...
Something is setting up on USDJPY, I'm just not sure what. USDJPY has been in decline again the Yen since last weeks CPI release. The thing I find most interesting though is the rate of the fall. The left hand chart shows the expected daily range (ExMo) for the pair, with price moving further than expectation in the last 4 sessions.
Yesterday we dropped double ExMo by 9:30am! With price sitting on the low for the rest of the session.
The issue right now is I'm not sure if the opportunity is in a reversion to the upside, or if we should fade any pops?
Let me know your thoughts, and I'll continue to update this idea as we go.
USD/JPY Bullish Trade Setup: Buy Limit at 149.5This USD/JPY trade strategy capitalizes on the currency pair's strong uptrend as identified from the monthly, weekly, and daily charts. The current price near 149.5 presents a compelling entry point for a bullish position. The setup involves:
Entry Point: A buy limit order at 149.5, positioned just below the current market price, aiming to capture potential upward momentum.
Stop Loss: Set at 148.5, below a recent swing low on the daily chart, providing a safeguard against unexpected downward movements.
Take Profit: The initial target is 151.5, just below the key resistance level of 152.0. This level is chosen based on the price’s historical performance, where it has yet to break this significant barrier.
The trade is backed by an overarching bullish trend, reflected in the higher highs and lows observed across all three timeframes. While the fundamental outlook indicates the USD's strength, particularly with better-than-expected retail sales data, the high sell sentiment in the market suggests a possibility of a short squeeze, further supporting a bullish approach.
USDJPY I Potential long from support Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** USDJPY Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future.
Thanks for your continued support!
USDJPY: Comments on USDJPY on November 14Yomiru: Japan plans to reduce taxes for businesses that increase wages
A source from the Yomiuri website said that the Japanese Government is considering tax reductions for companies that increase wages by 8%.
The Japanese government wants to encourage wage increases as part of its fight to promote sustained and stable inflation.
If the wage increase is widely applied, it will create a premise for the BoJ's arguments around gradually reducing the level of monetary policy easing, thereby supporting JPY.
USDJPY → Moves on the upward trajectory toward 152.00 levelFX:USDJPY continues to move on the upward trajectory, trading around yearly highs at 151.70 during the European session on Monday. The USD/JPY pair eyes a potential ascent toward the major resistance at the psychological level of 152.00. This could materialize if the strength of the US Dollar (USD) gathers momentum, propelled by higher US Treasury bond yields and the hawkish comments from Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell.
The technical indicators paint an interesting picture for the USD/JPY pair. The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is positioned above the 50 level, indicating upward support. This signals a bullish momentum and reflects a robust market sentiment. With this, there's potential for the pair to advance toward the next barrier at the resistance level of 152.50.
Adding to the positive outlook, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) line is situated above the centerline and the signal line in the USD/JPY pair. This configuration suggests a stronger momentum and reflects a prevailing confidence in the market.
On the flip side, the USD/JPY pair could meet the support at the 21-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 150.35, followed by the 150.00 psychological level. A decisive break below the latter could push the pair to navigate the area around the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement at 148.40.