USDJPY Daily & H4 Forecasts, Technical Analysis & Trading IdeaTechnical analysis is on the chart!
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FX:USDJPY
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Technicals USDJPY Key Level (Horizontal Resistance)
A horizontal resistance zone around 143.90 has been tested multiple times.
Price is currently retesting this zone, marked as an "Entry Zone", suggesting a potential breakout or rejection.
2. Price Structure
Prior downtrend bottomed near 140.00, then formed higher lows, showing a potential trend reversal.
Current price is approaching the resistance with strong bullish candles, indicating possible momentum buildup.
3. Volume
Volume spikes align with swing highs and lows, suggesting these moves were backed by stronger participation.
4. Scenarios Outlined
Bullish Path (Black Arrow): Breakout above the entry zone could lead to targets near 147.00–150.00, continuing a bullish reversal.
Bearish Path (Red Wave): Rejection at the resistance may cause a drop toward 140.00, forming a ranging or distribution pattern.
The Fed (USD) maintains relatively high interest rates, while the BoJ (JPY) continues a dovish stance, creating upward pressure on USD/JPY.
USD/JPYThe Japanese Yen (JPY) oscillates in a narrow trading band at the start of a new week and remains close to a two-week trough touched against its American counterpart on Friday. Mixed signals from the US and China temper hopes for a quick resolution of the trade conflict between the world's two largest economies, which, in turn, offers support to the safe-haven JPY. Moreover, expectations that Japan will strike a trade deal with the US turn out to be another factor underpinning the JPY.
Meanwhile, investors have been scaling back their bets for an immediate interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) as rising economic risks from US tariffs overshadow signs of broadening inflation in Japan. This holds back the JPY bulls from placing aggressive bets, which, along with a modest US Dollar (USD) uptick, acts as a tailwind for the USD/JPY pair. However, the divergent BoJ-Federal Reserve (Fed) policy expectations should cap the USD and benefit the lower-yielding JPY.
USD/JPY 1H Chart AnalysisStructure: Bullish, with higher highs (H1) and higher lows consistently forming.
Key Zone: A demand zone around 143.00 – 143.20. Price could pull back here for liquidity before continuing higher.
Current Price: Consolidating near 143.70 after a strong impulse.
Bias: Bullish, as long as price holds above 143.00. Watching for a possible dip into demand before resuming the uptrend toward 144.20 highs.
USD/JPY Bullish Breakout Setup: Key Resistance at 144.939 and TaEntry Point: ~144.037
Stop Loss: ~144.939 (above the recent resistance zone)
Resistance Zone: Between 144.037 and 144.939 (highlighted by purple area)
First Target Point (EA Target Point): ~139.731 (Bearish target if reversal happens)
Second Target Point (Bullish EA Target Point): ~148.737
Current Price:
As of the chart, price is around 143.743, slightly below the entry point.
Possible Scenarios:
Bullish Breakout:
If price breaks and closes above 144.939, expect strong bullish momentum toward 148.737.
Confirmation: Look for strong bullish candles with volume above the resistance zone.
Bearish Rejection:
If price fails to break 144.939 and shows bearish reversal patterns (e.g., bearish engulfing), a pullback toward 144.037 or even down to 139.731 is likely.
Additional Notes:
The orange circles highlight key points where price respected trendlines and support zones — showing strong buyer interest.
A rising trendline (drawn underneath recent lows) supports the ongoing bullish structure.
Risk-Reward seems well balanced: small risk (~90 pips) for a potential reward (~400+ pips).
Summary:
Bias: Cautiously bullish, but watch carefully around the 144.939 resistance.
Action: Wait for a clean breakout or a rejection pattern before deciding.
buy is coming on USDJPYThe USD/JPY pair recently experienced a bearish movement, which is largely influenced by heightened concerns surrounding the ongoing trade and tariff tensions between the U.S. and its global counterparts. This risk-off sentiment triggered a flight to safe-haven assets, weighing on the pair.
However, price action has now approached a key trendline support zone, which has held firmly in previous sessions. Technical indicators like RSI are also beginning to show signs of bullish divergence, suggesting a potential reversal. If this trendline continues to act as strong support, we may see a bullish bounce from the current level, aligning with the overall ascending trend structure but if the trade break these support zones, then the bearish movement might continues
for now we will be watching for confirmation signals such as bullish candlestick patterns or a break above near-term resistance levels to validate the upward movement.
USDJPY - Analysis and Potential Setups (Intraday- 25.04.25)Overall Trend & Context:
This pair is in an overall uptrend and has reacted off the 140.00 support levels (as well as the 200 EMA on the Daily chart).
Technical Findings:
Price is trading above 25, 50,100 and 200 EMA's on intraday charts.
Powerful break of structure which leaves no question about bullish force.
Current consolidation - Demand needs to be built before continuation.
Notes:
Price is currently at a historic support level however has not closed above daily supply, we are still in the area of doing so.
Manage your risk, take the trade with confirmations only.
#USDJPY: 2050+ Pips Swing Buy| Trend Confirmed| Comment Views? **FX:USDJPY** A significant market movement has confirmed, indicating the potential for a substantial bullish swing that could reach approximately 2050 pips. Three targets have been identified, allowing you to select the one that aligns best with your analysis. The primary catalyst for this move is the reversal of the Japanese Yen (JPY) to a bearish trend. It is crucial to employ precise risk management techniques and exercise caution during this period.
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USDJPY Short Term Buy Trading Plan Update!!!Hi Traders, on April 23rd I shared this idea "USDJPY Short Term Buy Trading Plan"
I expected bullish continuation higher from the marked Fibonacci support zones. You can read the full post using the link above.
Price reached the first Fibonacci support zone, respected it and bounced higher as expected!!!
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USDJPY Short Term Buy Trading PlanM15 - Strong bullish momentum followed by a pullback
No opposite signs
Expecting bullish continuation until the two Fibonacci support zones hold.
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Japanese Yen seems poised to appreciate further against weaker UFrom a technical perspective, the daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) is already flashing slightly oversold conditions and warrants some caution for bearish traders. Hence, it will be prudent to wait for some near-term consolidation or a modest bounce before positioning for an extension of the USD/JPY pair's well-established downtrend witnessed over the past three months or so.
In the meantime, attempted recovery might now confront some resistance near the 141.60-141.65 region. This is followed by the 142.00 round figure and the 142.40-142.45 hurdle, above which a fresh bout of a short-covering move could lift the USD/JPY pair to the 143.00 mark en route to the 143.25-143.30 zone. Any further move up, however, might still be seen as a selling opportunity.
On the flip side, a sustained break and acceptance below the 141.00 mark could be seen as a fresh trigger for bearish traders and makes the USD/JPY pair vulnerable. The subsequent downfall below the 140.45-140.40 intermediate support might expose the 140.00 psychological mark. The downward trajectory could extend to the 2024 yearly swing low, around the 139.60-139.55 region.
USDJPY Outlook – Bearish Continuation or Bullish Reversal??In this analysis, I'm breaking down the USDJPY structure starting from the 4H to identify the overall market direction (Bearish/Sells), then zooming into the 1H to fine-tune potential trade setups.
On the 4H timeframe, we’re assessing whether the recent bearish momentum is likely to continue or if price action is showing early signs of a bullish reversal. The LOW created at 141.800 level is our first target IF we continue to sell as its creating that LowerLow.
IF price closes bullish above 142.500, I will switch sides and look for potential buys.
On the 1H timeframe, I’m watching for a bullish liquidity sweep below141.888, followed by a clear break of structure to the upside on the 15m or 1H for more confirmation. That would indicate smart money accumulation and a potential shift in market sentiment—giving me confirmation to start looking for long setups.
🚀 Give me a boost and follow for upcoming $niper entries this week! 🦇🔥
CMCMARKETS:USDJPY
USDJPY LONG FORECAST Q2 W16 D18 Y25USDJPY LONG FORECAST Q2 W16 D18 Y25
Fun Coupon Friday
SUMMARY
- Trading in the absolute Depths of the ocean, anticipating orders are being created for price to take an explosive breath. IMO!
- Weekly order block breached, YES.
- Weekly order block still valid due to no clear close below- Long positions only.
- A setup for break and close above key 15' structure point of interest creating higher high.
- B setup to await for lower time frame break of structure.
FRGNT X
USDJPY SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D17 Y25USDJPY SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D17 Y25
GM GM
SUMMARY
- Weekly low long setup
- Weekly order block Long set up
- 15' break of structure is required
- Lower time frame break of structure required
- Price action turn around in bullish direction required. Higher time frame closure. 1H minimum required.
Trade Well.
FRGNT X
USD/JPY Bullish Reversal Setup – Long Entry at 141.964 Targeting ahemdsaeed25: USD/JPY Long Setup – Eyeing 150.537 Target"
"Potential Bullish Reversal on USD/JPY"
"Swing Trade Alert: USD/JPY Long from 141.964"
"USD/JPY Breakout Play – Buy Zone Identified"
Let me know your tone preference (technical, casual, professional, etc.) and I can tailor the title further.
ahemdsaeed25: This chart is for the USD/JPY (U.S. Dollar / Japanese Yen) pair on the 1-hour timeframe, and it's displaying a bullish setup with a clear trade idea. Here's a breakdown of the analysis:
Key Components:
Current Price: Around 142.574.
Entry Point: 141.964
Stop Loss: 140.547
Take Profit / Target Point: 150.537
Reward-to-Risk Ratio: Favorable (approximately 5.94% upside, large potential move).
Indicators:
EMA 50 (Red Line): 142.798 — acting as near-term dynamic resistance.
EMA 200 (Blue Line): 144.699 — major resistance and a trend filter (downward trend visible).
Zone Analysis:
Support Zone (Purple Box near 141.964 - 140.547): This is the accumulation/buy zone.
#USDJPY: Huge Risk To Buy Read The Description
Trading JPY pairs is risky due to the market’s volatility.
USDJPY fell below our buying zone due to JPY’s bullishness and USD’s weakness. While USD has yet to recover, JPY is consolidating. The market is undecided, leading to unusual market movements. We have three targets in this chart analysis. Use it as an alternative bias and have your own analysis and trade management.
Thanks for your support. We expect it to increase, helping us post more analysis.
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Team Setupsfx
USDJPY LONG FORECAST Q2 W16 D16 Y25USDJPY LONG FORECAST Q2 W16 D16 Y25
Good morning all.
It may look like we are holding onto a bias. I can understand why that assumption is created. However, a short position is invalid for FRGNT whilst in a higher time frame order block long.
As per, that does not mean LONG blindly.
Two set ups illustrated.
1) 15' Break of structure
2) Lower time frame Break of structure without 15' break.
Trading is risky.
Both positions of course come with a side dish of risk and reason to loose. The question is, would you like to see USDJPY explode long without you?
Lets see how price actions plays.
FRGNT X
USD/CAD 1H Breaking Structure: The Start of a New Trend?Hi traders! Analyzing USD/CAD on the 1H timeframe, spotting a potential bullish reversal from a descending wedge pattern:
🔹 Entry: 1.38846
🔹 TP: 1.40286
🔹 SL: 1.37692
Price is bouncing off the lower boundary of a falling wedge, showing signs of bullish divergence with RSI also turning upwards. The breakout of the descending structure may signal a trend reversal or at least a corrective move to the upside.
The RSI is recovering from the oversold region, reinforcing the idea of a possible bullish push. A break and close above the minor resistance zone could confirm the move towards higher levels.
Watching closely for momentum confirmation!
⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice. Every trader must evaluate their own risk and strategy.
USDJPY LONG FORECAST Q2 W16 D14 Y25USDJPY LONG FORECAST Q2 W16 D14 Y25
We caught a the long play for a similar setup. We need more this time around.
Why? To be sure of the weekly order block rejection. Compared to EURUSD and EURGBP for example... That is the type of weekly order block rejection we prefer. With that said we will not give up on USDJPY. We simply must await more levels of confluences.
15' break of structure, Order block creation as a result of the BOS. Pull back into area, lower time frame break of structure.
Let's see what USDJPY provides us with.
FRGNT X