USDJPY: USD/JPY returns to 152 regardless of intervention threat
The Japanese yen weakened barely on Tuesday, with USDJPY now lower back toward 152 - its maximum stage in view that 1990.
The yen`s weak spot comes whilst Japanese officers time and again warn that they'll reply correctly to hypothesis in opposition to the yen. However, promoting momentum piled at the yen, specially withinside the face of better longer-dated US hobby costs, that have been the principle weight at the Japanese foreign money for almost years.
The yen additionally obtained little assist from the Bank of Japan's first hobby fee hike in 17 years, because the valuable financial institution presented dovish alerts on destiny coverage decisions. .
Dollar steadies on CPI information, recognition on Fed assembly minutes
The greenback index and greenback index futures had been little modified in Asian buying and selling after posting a few in a single day losses. But buyers are nevertheless in large part biased toward the dollar given the numerous alerts on US hobby costs this week.
Consumer Price Index inflation information for March is due out on Wednesday and is extensively anticipated to expose inflation final properly above the Fed's 2% annual target, leaving the valuable financial institution with little Motivation to begin reducing hobby costs soon.
Minutes from the Fed's March assembly can also be launched on Wednesday and are available amid developing doubts approximately whether or not the valuable financial institution will begin reducing hobby costs in June.
A string of Fed officers warned that difficult inflation could maintain the Fed from reducing hobby costs early this year.
Usdjpylong
Yen Bear Onslaught Tests Resolve at 152, Intervention LoomsThe Japanese Yen finds itself in a precarious position, facing the strongest selling pressure in 17 years. Net yen shorts, a measure of bearish bets, have skyrocketed to their highest level since January 2007 . This relentless shorting comes as the Yen precariously approaches a key psychological barrier: 152 Yen per US Dollar.
A Perfect Storm for the Yen
Several factors are fueling the Yen's decline:
• Central Bank Tug-of-War: The Bank of Japan (BOJ) stubbornly clings to its ultra-loose monetary policy, keeping interest rates near zero. This starkly contrasts with the US Federal Reserve, which is aggressively hiking rates to combat inflation. This disparity makes the US Dollar a far more attractive investment for yield-hungry traders.
• Double-Edged Sword: A weaker Yen benefits Japanese exporters by making their products cheaper overseas. However, the boon for exporters translates to pain for consumers, as imports become significantly more expensive.
Intervention: A Looming Wildcard
The Japanese government has a well-established history of intervening in the currency market to support the Yen. With the currency teetering near 152, a level considered a potential trigger for intervention, all eyes are on the BOJ's next move. Their recent warnings about intervention haven't deterred the bears, adding another layer of intrigue.
Will the Bears Breach the 152 Fortress?
The record-high short positions suggest investors are firmly convinced the Yen will weaken further. A break below 152 could trigger a domino effect of selling, accelerating the Yen's decline. However, a few factors could offer the Yen some respite:
• Intervention by the BOJ: The government might decide to step in and buy Yen to stabilize the currency, especially if the decline becomes disorderly.
• Profit-taking: As the Yen weakens, some short-sellers may choose to lock in their profits, potentially alleviating some downward pressure.
Trading the Yen: A Delicate Dance
The Yen's future trajectory remains shrouded in uncertainty. Here's how traders can navigate this volatile market:
• Stay Glued to Geopolitical and Economic News: Monitor US interest rate decisions, BOJ policy announcements, and any signs of intervention by the Japanese government.
• Technical Analysis is Your Ally: Utilize TradingView's advanced charting tools to identify potential support and resistance levels for the Yen.
• Risk Management is Paramount: The Yen market is highly volatile. Employ stop-loss orders to mitigate potential losses.
Disclaimer
This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Please consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions.
USD/JPY will break 152 soon(4/3/2024)USD/JPY is consolidating under the resistance zone. it's alarming that the 152 zones will be broken soon.
It has been 3 times when the price reached the 152 zone and every time we see the reaction becomes smaller and weaker.
This is not a buy signal because maybe BOJ is attempting to manipulate the market.
Our technical view has been shown in the chart.
If you like it then Support us by Like, Following, and Sharing.
Thanks For Reading
Team Fortuna
-RC
(Disclaimer: Published ideas and other Contents on this page are for educational purposes and do not include a financial recommendation. Trading is Risky, so before any action do your research.)
USDJPY SELL | Day Trading AnalysisHello Traders, here is the full analysis.
I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity USDJPY
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
Support the idea with like and follow my profile TO SEE MORE.
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 🤝
Patience is the If You Have Any Question, Feel Free To Ask 🤗
Just follow chart with idea and analysis and when you are ready come in THE GROVE | VIP GROUP, earn more and safe, wait for the signal at the right moment and make money with us💰
BUY TRADE SETUP ON USDJPYHey Traders,
Check out this technical analysis on USDJPY; it appears to be undergoing a small range pullback, potentially indicating a bullish momentum continuation.
However, I would recommend waiting for a proper retest of the broken key level before considering a buy-trade entry.
Alternatively, there may be an opportunity for a sell trade if the market breaches the evident support area.
Keep a close eye on this.
USDJPY I Technical and fundamental overviewWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** USDJPY Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future.
Thanks for your continued support!
USDJPYIn the 4-hour timeframe, USD/JPY appears to be in a bullish trend, adhering to an ascending channel pattern and displaying an ABC correction. The current price action suggests a bullish pennant formation following a breakout above a resistance level. Traders may anticipate a short-term bullish movement towards the ascending channel's resistance trendline, completing the C point, before considering potential long-term bearish positions based on subsequent price action.
Long USDJPY as Bank of Japan Raises Rates!The hedge fund industry's short weakness on the yen is creating a fantastic opportunity for us to long USDJPY! As the Bank of Japan prepares to raise rates, now is the perfect time to capitalize on this trend and potentially make some significant profits.
The recent weakness in hedge fund shorts on the yen has created a favorable environment for us to take advantage of. With the Bank of Japan signaling a potential rate hike shortly, the USDJPY pair is poised for a strong upward movement. This is a golden opportunity for us to get in on the action and potentially ride the wave of a bullish trend.
I urge you all to consider taking a long position on USDJPY and seize this opportunity to potentially profit from the upcoming rate hike. Don't miss out on this chance to make some serious gains in the forex market!
Let's make the most of this exciting opportunity and maximize our potential profits together. Get ready to long USDJPY and ride the wave of success as the Bank of Japan raises rates!
www.hedgeweek.com
Decoding USD/JPY Future in a Changing Economic Landscape
Multi-Timeframe Technical Analysis for USD/JPY
1. Monthly Time Frame:
- Key Observation: Noticeable rejection of the USD/JPY price at a significant support level, indicating potential bullish sentiment or a reversal point.
- Additional Note: High liquidity observed at price highs, marked by two equal highs, which could signify resistance zones.
2. Weekly Time Frame:
- Key Observation: Transition in market structure from bearish to bullish, indicating a potential longer-term upward trend for USD/JPY.
3. Daily Time Frame:
- Key Observation: A shift in market sentiment is evident, aligning with the bullish outlook observed in the weekly timeframe.
Fundamental Analysis: Federal Reserve Policies and Economic Indicators
1. Federal Reserve's Stance:
- Policy Outlook: Continuation of a restrictive monetary policy for the foreseeable future, with the possibility of rate peaks being reached.
- Inflation Control: Strong emphasis on reducing inflation sustainably before policy easing.
2. Economic Indicators:
- Optimism on Inflation: Growing confidence in managing inflation, with potential rate cuts envisioned in 2024, though the exact timing remains uncertain.
3. Market Reaction:
- Impact on USD/JPY: The Federal Reserve's stance typically has a direct impact on USD/JPY. A more restrictive policy tends to strengthen the USD against the JPY, while a more dovish stance or rate cuts could weaken it.
4. Future Projections:
- Interest Rate Trajectory: Anticipation of three rate cuts in 2024, suggesting a potential future weakening of the USD against the JPY.
- Economic Growth Forecast: Slow growth expected in 2024, which could influence currency strength dynamics.
5. USD/JPY Specifics:
- Japanese Economic Factors: Apart from U.S. economic indicators, USD/JPY traders should also consider Japan's economic health, monetary policy, and geopolitical factors influencing the yen.
Trading Implications for USD/JPY
- Short-Term Strategy: The bullish technical signals on higher timeframes suggest potential long positions in the short to medium term. However, be mindful of resistance levels highlighted by the liquidity at price highs.
- Long-Term Outlook: Fundamental analysis indicates potential weakening of the USD in 2024 due to anticipated rate cuts. Traders may look for signs of trend reversal or strengthening of the JPY for future positioning.
- Risk Management: Keep an eye on upcoming Federal Reserve meetings and announcements, U.S. economic data releases, and Japanese economic indicators. These can cause significant volatility in the USD/JPY pair.
Conclusion
For USD/JPY, the current technical analysis suggests a bullish trend in the near term, but fundamental factors indicate potential shifts in 2024. You should maintain a balanced approach, staying updated with economic developments and central bank policies in both the U.S. and Japan. As with any currency trading, risk management and continual reassessment of the market conditions are crucial.
#USDJPY: Possible 600 Pips Bullish Move Expected | It is on DXY|Happy weekends Everyone!
FX:USDJPY it had created higher and then dropped to fill the order blocks, now price is at very critical area, if DXY remain bullish next week we can see a nice and clean 600 bullish move. For JPY, it is already bearish and will likely to remain bearish next week as the current economic conditions are not stable. Currently, what we expecting , watch for price to come down to our area then we advise you to take buy entry with 70-100 pips max and set tp at 147-149-151 as followed.
Good luck and trade safe, remember to trade safe and use strict risk management.
USDJPY → Day Analysis | BUY SetupHello Traders, here is the full analysis.
Price reversal going up, levels for BUY . USDJPY long
! Great BUY opportunity USDJPY
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
Support the idea with like and follow my profile TO SEE MORE.
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 🤝
Patience is the If You Have Any Question, Feel Free To Ask 🤗
Just follow chart with idea and analysis and when you are ready come in THE GROVE | VIP GROUP, earn more and safe, wait for the signal at the right moment and make money with us💰
USDJPY: USD/JPY stabilizes, market focuses on BOJ interest rate The Japanese yen changed into mildly risky on Monday after a risky week amid hypothesis approximately an cease to the BOJ`s yield curve manage and terrible hobby quotes policies. The BOJ started a two-day assembly on Monday, with a choice to be introduced on Tuesday.
The USD/JPY change fee has fallen to 146 in line with dollar, specifically after reviews that Japanese hard work unions have performed big salary will increase this year. Recent facts additionally suggests that inflation stays stable, with each elements giving the BOJ sufficient self belief to cease its ultra-dovish policies.
However, analysts stay divided on whether or not the financial institution will increase hobby quotes in March or April, with the overall consensus barely leaning in the direction of an April move. BOJ predicted to elevate hobby quotes through 20% foundation factor to 0.1% from terrible 0.1%.
While any fee hike bodes properly for the yen, hypothesis over the timing of a fee hike has visible USD/JPY mark risky actions in latest weeks. The fee hovered round 149 on Monday.
USDJPY is Ready to GO UP by Symmetrical Triangle Pattern🚀🏃♂️ USDJPY is moving near the 🟡 Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ)(147.520 JPY-147.318 JPY) 🟡.
✅It also seems that USDJPY has succeeded in forming a Symmetrical Triangle Pattern .
📚 What is a Symmetrical Triangle❗️❓
🔸 The symmetrical triangle, which can also be referred to as a coil, usually forms during a trend as a continuation pattern. The pattern contains at least two lower highs and two higher lows. When these points are connected, the lines converge as they are extended and the symmetrical triangle takes shape.
🔔I expect USDJPY to rise to at least the 🔴 Resistance zone(148.930 JPY-148.520 JPY) 🔴 after breaking the upper line of the triangle .
U.S.Dollar/Japanese Yen Analyze ( USDJPY ), 1-hour time frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
USDJPY Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.