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Usdjpylongsetup

USDJPY BEARISH SETUP ONFIRMED.?USD/JPY Bearish Scenario Analysis Trend: Downtrend (bearish bias confirmed by lower highs and lower lows on the daily timeframe) Current Price Action: After a failed attempt to sustain above the 148.200 resistance level, USD/JPY has shown rejection patterns such as bearish engulfing candles and increasing selling volume. Price is now breaking below key moving averages (e.g., 50 and 100 EMA), confirming momentum shift to the downside Key Technical Levels Resistance: 148.200 – Strong supply zone, multiple rejections seen here. 1st Bearish Target: 143.900 – Recent swing low and minor support zone; break below confirms bearish continuation. 2nd Bearish Target: 141.600 – Major horizontal support from previous consolidation area. Support: 140.100 – Long-term support level; likely to attract strong buying interest or signal a trend exhaustion. Bearish Scenario Setup 1. Entry Zone: Between 147.500 - 147.800 (pullback/retest of broken structure) 2. Stop Loss: Above 148.500 (just beyond the resistance zone to avoid false breakouts) 3. Take Profit Targets: TP1: 143.900 TP2: 141.600 4. Bonus Target (extended move): 140.100 – if selling momentum continues and macro conditions favor JPY strength.
Short
by Zickey_11
2
USDJPY BREAKOUT BULLISH PATTERN Technical Pattern Analysis Current Trend: USD/JPY has shown a strong bullish structure, characterized by higher highs and higher lows. This indicates increasing buying pressure and positive momentum. Possible Bullish Patterns Observed: Ascending Triangle: This is a bullish continuation pattern often indicating that buyers are gaining strength before a breakout. Bullish Flag: A short-term consolidation that generally resolves in the direction of the previous trend (upward). Breakout Above Resistance: Recent candles show breakout attempts above key resistance zones, validating bullish sentiment. Key Support and Resistance Levels Immediate Support: 144.50–145.00 1st Resistance / Target Zone: 146.400 2nd Resistance / Target Zone: 147.900 Final Resistance / Target Zone: 150.200
Long
by Zickey_11
1
USDJPY Retest of Supply Zone Before Bearish ContinuationUSDJPY pair is reacting to key supply around 143.70–144.00 but shows signs of weakness after failing to hold above this level. With renewed risk-off sentiment and escalating global trade tensions—especially involving Japan and the U.S.—this pair may be setting up for a bearish continuation. Here's what both the chart and macro backdrop suggest. 📊 Technical Breakdown (4H Chart) Key Supply Zone Retested: The pair retraced into a previously broken structure zone (blue box), rejecting the 143.70–144.00 area multiple times. Price is now forming lower highs, indicating bearish pressure building beneath resistance. Bearish Continuation Pattern: Price action resembles a bear flag, with a minor pullback likely before continuation lower. A retest of 143.00–143.50 could serve as an ideal sell zone. Major Support Levels: 142.04–142.02: Immediate support, already tested. 140.16: Key structure low from late April. 138.04: Final measured move target based on Fibonacci extension and prior demand zone. Bearish Trade Setup: Entry Zone: 143.00–143.50 Stop: Above 145.35 TP1: 142.00 TP2: 140.15 TP3: 138.00 🌐 Macro Fundamentals Trump Tariffs Stir Instability: President Trump is pressing Japan in trade talks with threats of new tariffs, already impacting investor confidence A 25% tariff on Japanese auto exports has gone into effect, disrupting trade negotiations. Urgency for a Deal, But No Progress Yet: Trump says multiple deals are “coming,” but little substance has emerged. Analysts fear economic fallout and potential global recession if tensions continue JPY Strengthening on Safe-Haven Flows: With U.S. economic indicators weakening and global uncertainty rising, the yen may benefit from risk aversion. ✅ Summary USDJPY remains vulnerable to downside continuation from the 143–144 resistance zone. If price breaks below 142.00 again with conviction, expect momentum to build toward 140.15 and potentially 138.00.
Short
by ultreosforex
4
USDJPY Technical Outlook: SMC and Wyckoff Analysis 5 May 2025As of May 5, 2025, the USDJPY pair is trading around ¥144.30, reflecting a 0.40% decrease from the previous session. This movement follows the Bank of Japan's decision to maintain interest rates while revising growth forecasts downward, leading to a depreciation of the yen. Technical Analysis: Support and Resistance Levels: The pair is approaching a significant support zone near ¥143.00. A break below this level could expose the next support at ¥141.00, while resistance is observed around ¥148.00. Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI is nearing oversold territory, suggesting potential for a short-term rebound. Smart Money Concepts: Order Blocks: A bullish order block is identified between ¥142.50 and ¥143.00, indicating potential institutional buying interest. Liquidity Pools: Liquidity above the recent highs near ¥148.00 may attract price action if bullish momentum resumes. Wyckoff Method Perspective: Accumulation Phase: The recent price action suggests a possible accumulation phase, with the pair trading within a range between ¥140.00 and ¥146.00. Spring Test: A false breakout below ¥143.00 could serve as a spring, leading to potentially high buying volume. Fundamental Factors: Bank of Japan (BOJ) Policy: The BOJ's decision to keep rates unchanged, despite lowering growth forecasts, has contributed to yen weakness. Federal Reserve Outlook: Market participants are closely watching the ISM Services PMI later today and the upcoming FOMC meeting for signals on US monetary policy, which could impact USDJPY dynamics. Conclusion: The USDJPY pair is at a critical juncture, with technical indicators pointing to potential support near ¥143.00. Traders should monitor price action around this level for signs of accumulation or further downside. Fundamental developments, particularly central bank policies, will play a crucial role in determining the pair's direction in the near term.
Long
by Apexfx_Alpha
USD/JPY 4H Analysis: Demand Zone Re-Test Before Bullish Continua1. Trend Channel 🔼 Uptrend: The pair is moving inside an ascending channel. ▪️ Support: Lower boundary of the channel. ▪️ Resistance: Upper boundary of the channel. 2. Recent Price Action 🔴 Pullback: After reaching the top at 146.199, price is retracing. 📉 Price is now heading toward the Demand Zone. 3. Demand Zone 🟦 Demand Zone (142.405 – 143.180): This zone could act as a strong support Buyers might step in here Watch for bullish patterns or rejections around this area 4. EMA 70 📏 EMA 70 (143.568) is slightly below current price (143.949) — this may offer temporary support/resistance. 5. Target 🎯 Target Point: 146.194 If price bounces from demand zone, this is the next bullish target. Possible Scenario 1. 🔽 Price dips into the Demand Zone 2. 🟢 Bullish bounce → Confirm with candlestick signals 3. 🚀 Upside move targeting 146.194
Long
by Jameshead007
9
Bearish reversal?US Dollar Index (DXY) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support. Pivot: 100.51 1st Support: 97.85 1st Resistance: 101.83 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
TVC:DXYShort
by ICmarkets
USD/JPY) bullish trend analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of USD/JPY chart shows a bullish reversal setup. Here’s a breakdown behind the analysis: 1. Downtrend & Channel Breakout: Price was trending downward within a descending channel (marked “channel trend”). Recently, the price broke out of the channel, signaling a potential trend reversal. 2. Demand Zone (Diamond Zone): The yellow box labeled “Diamond Zone” represents a demand/support zone where price previously found buyers. A retest of this zone is expected before the bullish move. 3. EMA (200): The EMA (200) is currently above the price but close. A break above this level (142.522) could add to bullish momentum. 4. RSI Indicator: RSI is showing a bounce off a mid-level (~50), suggesting bullish momentum is gaining. 5. Target Level: The analysis targets 147.838, which aligns with a prior resistance zone. The move projects a 5.19% gain (~778.5 pips) from the current setup. Trading Idea Summary: Entry: Around the “Diamond Zone” after a successful retest. Confirmation: Watch for bullish candlestick patterns or a break above EMA 200. Target: 147.838 Stop Loss (implied): Below the Diamond Zone (~140.000) Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
Long
by SMC-Trading-Point
18
USD/JPY "The Ninja" Forex Bank Money Heist (Bullish)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰💸✈️ Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the USD/JPY "The Ninja" Forex Market Heist. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is to escape near the high-risk YELLOW MA Zone. It's a Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bullish loot at any price - the heist is on! however I advise to Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level. I Highly recommended you to put alert in your chart. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at the Nearest / Swing low level Using the 1H timeframe (143.000) Day trade basis. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. 🏴‍☠️Target 🎯: 147.000 💰💵💸USD/JPY "The Ninja" Forex Money Heist Plan is currently experiencing a bullishness,., driven by several key factors. .☝☝☝ 📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Quantitative Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Future trend targets.... go ahead to check 👉👉👉🔗🔗🌎🌏🗺 ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰🗞️🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
Long
by Thief_Trader
USDJPY: 300+ Pips From Previous Idea, What Hold Next? Hey Everyone USDJPY is on a roll! It’s rebounded a whopping 300+ pips and is now on the positive side. We reckon it’s going to keep climbing in the coming days as DXY is starting to regain its strength. And here’s the cherry on top: there’s some exciting news coming up, including the NFP tomorrow. This could really boost the USDJPY to a new record high. But remember, when trading, it’s crucial to manage your risk carefully. Now, let’s talk about the potential for a significant market movement. We’ve spotted a chance for a substantial bullish swing that could reach around 2050 pips. We’ve also identified three potential targets, so you can choose the one that best fits your analysis. The main driver behind this move is the reversal of the Japanese Yen (JPY) from a bullish trend to a bearish one. So, let’s be cautious and use precise risk management techniques during this period. Good luck and happy trading! 😊 Oh, and if you’d like to help us out, here are a few things you can do: - Like our ideas - Comment on our ideas - Share our ideas Thanks a bunch for your support! 😊 Cheers, The Setupsfx_ Team
Long
by Setupsfx_
17
USD/JPYThe Japanese Yen (JPY) oscillates in a narrow trading band at the start of a new week and remains close to a two-week trough touched against its American counterpart on Friday. Mixed signals from the US and China temper hopes for a quick resolution of the trade conflict between the world's two largest economies, which, in turn, offers support to the safe-haven JPY. Moreover, expectations that Japan will strike a trade deal with the US turn out to be another factor underpinning the JPY. Meanwhile, investors have been scaling back their bets for an immediate interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) as rising economic risks from US tariffs overshadow signs of broadening inflation in Japan. This holds back the JPY bulls from placing aggressive bets, which, along with a modest US Dollar (USD) uptick, acts as a tailwind for the USD/JPY pair. However, the divergent BoJ-Federal Reserve (Fed) policy expectations should cap the USD and benefit the lower-yielding JPY.
Short
by xauusd_rr
2
buy is coming on USDJPYThe USD/JPY pair recently experienced a bearish movement, which is largely influenced by heightened concerns surrounding the ongoing trade and tariff tensions between the U.S. and its global counterparts. This risk-off sentiment triggered a flight to safe-haven assets, weighing on the pair. However, price action has now approached a key trendline support zone, which has held firmly in previous sessions. Technical indicators like RSI are also beginning to show signs of bullish divergence, suggesting a potential reversal. If this trendline continues to act as strong support, we may see a bullish bounce from the current level, aligning with the overall ascending trend structure but if the trade break these support zones, then the bearish movement might continues for now we will be watching for confirmation signals such as bullish candlestick patterns or a break above near-term resistance levels to validate the upward movement.
Long
by Adhemola
#USDJPY: 2050+ Pips Swing Buy| Trend Confirmed| Comment Views? **FX:USDJPY** A significant market movement has confirmed, indicating the potential for a substantial bullish swing that could reach approximately 2050 pips. Three targets have been identified, allowing you to select the one that aligns best with your analysis. The primary catalyst for this move is the reversal of the Japanese Yen (JPY) to a bearish trend. It is crucial to employ precise risk management techniques and exercise caution during this period. Good luck and trade safely. Thanks for your support! 😊 If you want to help us out, here are a few things you can do: - Like our ideas - Comment on our ideas - Share our ideas Team Setupsfx_ ❤️
Long
by Setupsfx_
27
Japanese Yen seems poised to appreciate further against weaker UFrom a technical perspective, the daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) is already flashing slightly oversold conditions and warrants some caution for bearish traders. Hence, it will be prudent to wait for some near-term consolidation or a modest bounce before positioning for an extension of the USD/JPY pair's well-established downtrend witnessed over the past three months or so. In the meantime, attempted recovery might now confront some resistance near the 141.60-141.65 region. This is followed by the 142.00 round figure and the 142.40-142.45 hurdle, above which a fresh bout of a short-covering move could lift the USD/JPY pair to the 143.00 mark en route to the 143.25-143.30 zone. Any further move up, however, might still be seen as a selling opportunity. On the flip side, a sustained break and acceptance below the 141.00 mark could be seen as a fresh trigger for bearish traders and makes the USD/JPY pair vulnerable. The subsequent downfall below the 140.45-140.40 intermediate support might expose the 140.00 psychological mark. The downward trajectory could extend to the 2024 yearly swing low, around the 139.60-139.55 region.
Long
by xauusd_rr
USD/JPY Bullish Reversal Setup – Long Entry at 141.964 Targeting ahemdsaeed25: USD/JPY Long Setup – Eyeing 150.537 Target" "Potential Bullish Reversal on USD/JPY" "Swing Trade Alert: USD/JPY Long from 141.964" "USD/JPY Breakout Play – Buy Zone Identified" Let me know your tone preference (technical, casual, professional, etc.) and I can tailor the title further. ahemdsaeed25: This chart is for the USD/JPY (U.S. Dollar / Japanese Yen) pair on the 1-hour timeframe, and it's displaying a bullish setup with a clear trade idea. Here's a breakdown of the analysis: Key Components: Current Price: Around 142.574. Entry Point: 141.964 Stop Loss: 140.547 Take Profit / Target Point: 150.537 Reward-to-Risk Ratio: Favorable (approximately 5.94% upside, large potential move). Indicators: EMA 50 (Red Line): 142.798 — acting as near-term dynamic resistance. EMA 200 (Blue Line): 144.699 — major resistance and a trend filter (downward trend visible). Zone Analysis: Support Zone (Purple Box near 141.964 - 140.547): This is the accumulation/buy zone.
Long
by EA_GOLD_MAN_COPY_TRADE
21
#USDJPY: Huge Risk To Buy Read The Description Trading JPY pairs is risky due to the market’s volatility. USDJPY fell below our buying zone due to JPY’s bullishness and USD’s weakness. While USD has yet to recover, JPY is consolidating. The market is undecided, leading to unusual market movements. We have three targets in this chart analysis. Use it as an alternative bias and have your own analysis and trade management. Thanks for your support. We expect it to increase, helping us post more analysis. Much Love🧡 Team Setupsfx
Long
by Setupsfx_
18
USDJPY LONG FORECAST Q2 W16 D16 Y25USDJPY LONG FORECAST Q2 W16 D16 Y25 Good morning all. It may look like we are holding onto a bias. I can understand why that assumption is created. However, a short position is invalid for FRGNT whilst in a higher time frame order block long. As per, that does not mean LONG blindly. Two set ups illustrated. 1) 15' Break of structure 2) Lower time frame Break of structure without 15' break. Trading is risky. Both positions of course come with a side dish of risk and reason to loose. The question is, would you like to see USDJPY explode long without you? Lets see how price actions plays. FRGNT X
Long
by JCFRGNT
USDJPY LONG FORECAST Q2 W16 D14 Y25USDJPY LONG FORECAST Q2 W16 D14 Y25 We caught a the long play for a similar setup. We need more this time around. Why? To be sure of the weekly order block rejection. Compared to EURUSD and EURGBP for example... That is the type of weekly order block rejection we prefer. With that said we will not give up on USDJPY. We simply must await more levels of confluences. 15' break of structure, Order block creation as a result of the BOS. Pull back into area, lower time frame break of structure. Let's see what USDJPY provides us with. FRGNT X
Long
by JCFRGNT
2
USDJPY LONG FORECAST Q2 W15 D11 Y25 USDJPY LONG FORECAST Q2 W15 D11 Y25 Happy Friday Traders, It has been a week of sitting on capital. Being cautious, awaiting for breaks of structures at key areas and not not getting dragged into trades that do not fully present themselves. The clues have been there. The carrot has been continually dangled however as risk managers... You know how the saying goes. We stay true to our trading plan. We hold firm with what we know works. We are aware of our market edge. We know our "perfect" set up does present itself. with that said, we are dynamic! We do of course entertain the "Imperfect" setup. We simply approach with caution. A slightly different take. Can we snap the lows of Tokyo in the London session. Tap into the 4 hour order block, push bullish to break Lower time frame structure? A quick setup with a take profit area where FRGNT anticipates a potential turn around in price short. Lets see how it plays ! Trade well. FRGNT X
Long
by JCFRGNT
USDJPY Bearish Flag Breakdown – Eyes on 140.11 Support ZoneUSDJPY is showing signs of a bearish continuation, following a breakdown from a rising wedge pattern. The recent strong drop confirms a shift in momentum from bullish to bearish, with price now forming a bear flag just below a key structure. Key Technical Zones: Current Price: 147.78 Resistance Area (Invalidation Zone): 148.11 – 151.44 Support Targets: TP1: 142.87 TP2: 140.11 Technical Confluence & Patterns: ✅ Series of Rising Wedges followed by sharp breakdowns ✅ Bear Flag Pattern forming after recent drop ✅ Lower highs & lower lows confirming downtrend ✅ Volume spike during breakdown, low volume on pullback Trade Outlook: 📉 Bias: Bearish below 148.11 📌 Entry Zone: On confirmation of flag breakdown 🎯 Target 1: 142.87 – Previous horizontal support 🎯 Target 2: 140.11 – Major swing support / demand zone 🛑 Invalidation: Break above 151.44 (major resistance zone) Conclusion: USDJPY is set up for a potential bearish continuation as it respects a textbook flag breakdown setup. A close below 147.50 would reinforce bearish pressure with further downside toward 142.87 and 140.11. Traders should monitor momentum and structure confirmation before entering positions. Let me know if you want a short caption or video script version! 📉
Short
by ultreosforex
7
#USDJPY:1351+ Bullish Move One Not To Miss| Three TPs| JPY has been bullish since the dollar strengthened, potentially leading to a trade war that would make the Japanese yen more valuable to global investors. However, we may see a strong correction on all XXXJPY pairs, potentially returning stronger with a major bullish correction. We’re not sure if the price will hit all three take profit zones, but we’re interested in how far it goes. Use accurate risk management. This analysis is purely for educational purposes only. Use your own knowledge and analysis before taking any entries. Team Setupsfx_
Long
by Setupsfx_
25