Mega Analysis on USDJPY outrageous Levels so this analysis is based on high time frame weekly
1) so i identified a CUP & HANDLE pattern, the range for the cup size is from 127.50 to 151.946
2) Handle range from 140.188 to 151.946
so the target projected based on size of pattern
1st target = 163.513
2nd target = 176.392
last three weeks has a price action of three soldiers which has left behind bullish fvg at 159.778 and 158.258
so, if you dont have any position this area could be offer fair value and if you already holding some position then we can trail the stop loss just below the fvg we have marked
note - market is based on buyer and seller and ups and downs so short term pullbacks are considerable
leave your comment on my analysis and lets have trading related deep talks !!
Usdjpylongsetup
#USDJPY: Possible Second Buy Entry Worth up to +800 pips! Dear Traders,
Our first entry turn out to be in our favour and we expect price to rise even higher and higher. USD dominance over JPY is significant and in no soon time, we can expect BOJ to change any policies or intervene in the market. We may see some correction in the market but it is very unlikely that it will be reversal.
Good luck and trade safe!
Team Setupsfx
Japan's efforts to protect the yen exchange rate fell into vain"ALL THE PROBLEM IS WITH THE FED"
On Wednesday`s buying and selling consultation, the yen fell to 160.88 yen for 1 USD, the bottom degree due to the fact that 1986. Early this morning (June 27) withinside the Asian marketplace, the yen rebounded slightly. 160.sixty three yen to at least one USD.
The yen has depreciated approximately 2% this June and fallen 12% due to the fact that the start of the yr as compared to the USD, withinside the context of a regular growth withinside the USD alternate price due to the fact expectancies approximately whilst the Fed will begin decreasing hobby prices are constantly driven back. .
The Dollar Index, which measures the power of the USD in opposition to a basket of six different predominant currencies, has accelerated 1.25% this month and is up 4.sixty three% due to the fact that the start of the yr - consistent with facts from MarketWatch. On Wednesday consultation, Dollar Index handed 106 points, the very best in 2 months.
The predominant motive of the yen devaluation as compared to the USD is the hobby price distinction among americaA and Japan. The Fed's short-time period hobby price is five.25-five.five% and the Bank of Japan (BOJ) is 0-0.1%, making the yen an appealing investment foreign money. in hobby price differential transactions (bring trade).
According to Bloomberg, international traders recognize that the yen will face downward stress so long as USD hobby prices stay high. In the worldwide foreign money marketplace with a transaction fee of 7.five trillion USD according to day, the non-stop devaluation of the yen is a clearer proof of US affect withinside the economic sector.
“The hassle is all with the Fed. Higher and longer hobby prices withinside the US are attracting cash to americaA and making the USD robust," stated leader bond funding strategist of NatAlliance Securities LLC, Mr. Andrew Brenner. Mr. Brenner stated that for Japan, that is a challenge.
Wednesday's buying and selling consultation completely contemplated America's dominant function in international economic markets. The Dollar Index's 0.4% growth this consultation positioned downward stress on nearly all different currencies withinside the world. The US inventory marketplace is on course to finish some other area of robust gains, whilst the Ministry of Finance without difficulty bought all 70 billion USD of Treasury bonds withinside the public sale at the equal day.
For the yen, the tale is absolutely different. At an alternate price of almost 161 yen to at least one USD, the foreign money has depreciated past the factor in which Japanese government intervened withinside the forex marketplace in past due April and early May. This manner efforts Spending greater than 60 billion USD to defend Tokyo's yen alternate price has "failed", however happily it handiest bogged down the price of devaluation of the yen.
USDJPY: 800+ Pips Buying Opportunity! Swing Trading Dear Traders,
Hope you are doing great, price of USDJPY remain tricky. Previously, we had anticipated that price will drop heavily, however, due to weak Japanese yen price remain bullish as it was before. We still currently in a correction zone, where we can expect price to drop slightly lower to our area of entry and then we can see a strong buyers liquidity kicking in the market.
*If you like the idea then please like, comment and follow us which will encourage us to bring you more educational ideas like this**
Team Setupsfx_
USDJPY Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaAnalyzing the USDJPY on the daily chart reveals a clear bullish trend. The pair is currently testing a significant resistance level. Although I'm considering a long position, I won't enter at this point. Instead, I’m looking for a pullback. On the 30-minute chart, there’s a noticeable bullish imbalance and an order block just below the current price. My ideal entry would be a retracement to the 50-61.8% Fibonacci level, which aligns with these areas. In the accompanying video, we delve into the trend, market structure, price action, and other crucial technical analysis elements. Remember, this video is purely educational and not financial advice.
USDJPY Bullish Side Money heist Plan to Become RichMy Dear Robbers / Traders,
This is our master plan to Heist USDJPY Bank based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous Level, market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich.
Note: If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan,
Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money Use Trailing Stop To Protect Looted Money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order Block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target it will update after the Breakouts.
support our robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Join your hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday.
💡USDJPY: Analysis May 14USDJPY increased yesterday, and bar D1 yesterday closed beyond the previous Inside bar pattern, creating a breakout to establish a new high, continuing the push to the bottom. This breakout could add further upside momentum to USDJPY D1. Structurally, USDJPY D1 is still moving sideways in the main price increase in D1.
USDJPY H1 broke out of the accumulation price range to set a new high price peak, returning to the short-term upward price trend. However, right now USDJPY H1 is starting to be overbought - overbought - because the price has exceeded the upper boundary. At this time, you should not buy to chase, but should wait for the recovery period to decline before buying USDJPY H1. The buy zone for the day is the round number 156.00 + the upward sloping trend line at the bottom. If this zone is broken down, USDJPY H1 will weaken and serve as a basis for the idea of waiting to sell later.
H1 trend: USDJPY increases.
Today's trading idea: Buy USDJPY.
USDJPY: Japanese Yen reverses some gains, USDJPY risesThe Japanese yen USDJPY rose 0.6% on Monday, although trading volumes in the currency were limited due to a market holiday in Japan.
The rate is inversely linked to the strength of the yen, which has fallen sharply from a 34-year high of more than 160 yen last week amid signs of repeated government intervention in currency markets.
But given that the fundamentals behind the yen's weakness - primarily the wide gap between US and domestic interest rates - remain, the yen's decline continues.
Do you remember it? USDJPYMy old friend finally decided to listen to me and make a good drop. More is coming of course, and i expect a reclaim of the 146.000 level sooner or later (probably before june). I placed another sell limit at 154.500, in case will see a spike to liquidate some shorts. Holding all for the long term
#USDJPY: Still Bullish, Next Target 163.00| SetupsFX_ |Dear Traders,
Hope you are doing great, right here we have an excellent opportunity of buying USDJPY, JPY plummeted few days ago as BOJ kept the interest rate as the same and decided not to change. Leading a heavy sell off on YEN. However, price did make strong correction right after the sell off, though we think it was temporary correction. Right now price is at perfect buying area from which it can rebound strongly.
Like and Comment if you like or agree with our idea! :)
USDJPY LOOKING FOR 160 ZONEHELLO FIRENDS
As we can see USDJPY holding the bullish trend strongly and looking for these design levels if they will not break our Stop loss zone, we are expecting these move incoming days or weeks on weekly based chart there is a clear view that why we are looking for more higher high and let the chart makes a double top on these levels let's see what market bring ahead FOMC meeting and Interest rates coming out Stay Tuned with us it's a trade idea share your thoughts with us
it help many traders
USDJPY → Aiming for 176.500!? Let's Dig In.USD/JPY broke ascending triangle pattern at the 152.00 Resistance level per my last analysis. Since then, we have seen the completion of the measured move to 154.500 followed by a third leg up to 158.350! Is this the moment to long? Or are we in for a hard sell-off?
Previous Analysis:
How do we trade this? 🤔
I would not long the market open. After a strong Friday push, traders are far more likely to take profits, likely pulling the price down to the 156.000-157.000 range with the possibility of a hard wick to the 153.000-154.000 area. That being said, we should remain long-biased and buy these pullbacks, as USD/JPY has been on this bull trend since January 2021.
This trade pertains to the Weekly timeframe. I would drill into the 4HR and Daily to find more precise entries. It's reasonable to assume the pullback at this level, so we should look for a bounce at one of the key areas mentioned and enter a long position. On the Weekly, aim for a first take profit of 169.500 where half the position is taken off the table, then move the stop loss up to the entry price. The second take profit should be taken just before the 1978 key level of 176.900.
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Long Entry: 156.700
🟥 Stop Loss: 150.300
✅ Take Profit #1: 169.500
✅ Take Profit #2: 175.900
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:3
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Breakout of key 152.000 price level
2. Strong bullish price action completing the measured move to 154.500
3. Third leg to 158.350 complete, wait for a pullback
4. Enter a 1:3 Risk/Reward trade taking half profits at 1:2 Risk/Reward.
5. RSI at 74.00 and above the Moving Average, supports pullback.
💰 Trading Tip 💰
The longer a trend continues after 3 legs, the probability of that trend continuing lessens. Because of this decreased probability, we ought to reduce our risk when entering trades.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
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1. Reading Price Action
2. Chart Analysis
3. Trade Management
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USDJPY: Japan resolves currency concerns with the USThe US greenback has visible wide appreciation this year, in large part because of expectancies of a put off withinside the Federal Reserve`s circulate to reduce hobby rates. However, the yen and received have weakened appreciably towards the greenback in comparison to maximum different currencies. Following the joint statement, the yen noticed a healing as markets predicted feasible intervention, even as the received additionally stabilized.
The communicate included loads of topics, together with cooperation towards "monetary coercion and overcapacity in key sectors" with the aid of using different countries, a message simply aimed toward Beijing. Still, the forex difficulty has attracted good sized marketplace interest and is a political victory for Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida, who's grappling with low approval rankings because the price of residing rises. High.
In Japan, actual wages fell for 23 consecutive months thru February, regardless of large groups supplying pay increases. A vulnerable yen worsens the state of affairs for a rustic that is based closely on imports including gas and food.
USDJPY: 1200+ Swing Buy Idea in Making | Share your views?Due to yen bearish dominance and usd strong bullish momentum USDJPY has reached a record high where it is harder to pin point the bearish reversal. Though we can identify the next swing buying opportunity and that what we did, we have identified possible bullish rebound point.
Good luck and trade safe.
USDJPY BUYHello, according to my analysis of the USDJpy pair, there is a good opportunity to buy. The pair appears to be in a positive state with the break of the downward trend, breaking a very strong double-botton pattern, and breaking the resistance at the level of 141,900. All of these factors confirm a strong entry for buyers. Good luck to everyone.
USDJPY: USD/JPY returns to 152 regardless of intervention threat
The Japanese yen weakened barely on Tuesday, with USDJPY now lower back toward 152 - its maximum stage in view that 1990.
The yen`s weak spot comes whilst Japanese officers time and again warn that they'll reply correctly to hypothesis in opposition to the yen. However, promoting momentum piled at the yen, specially withinside the face of better longer-dated US hobby costs, that have been the principle weight at the Japanese foreign money for almost years.
The yen additionally obtained little assist from the Bank of Japan's first hobby fee hike in 17 years, because the valuable financial institution presented dovish alerts on destiny coverage decisions. .
Dollar steadies on CPI information, recognition on Fed assembly minutes
The greenback index and greenback index futures had been little modified in Asian buying and selling after posting a few in a single day losses. But buyers are nevertheless in large part biased toward the dollar given the numerous alerts on US hobby costs this week.
Consumer Price Index inflation information for March is due out on Wednesday and is extensively anticipated to expose inflation final properly above the Fed's 2% annual target, leaving the valuable financial institution with little Motivation to begin reducing hobby costs soon.
Minutes from the Fed's March assembly can also be launched on Wednesday and are available amid developing doubts approximately whether or not the valuable financial institution will begin reducing hobby costs in June.
A string of Fed officers warned that difficult inflation could maintain the Fed from reducing hobby costs early this year.
Decoding USD/JPY Future in a Changing Economic Landscape
Multi-Timeframe Technical Analysis for USD/JPY
1. Monthly Time Frame:
- Key Observation: Noticeable rejection of the USD/JPY price at a significant support level, indicating potential bullish sentiment or a reversal point.
- Additional Note: High liquidity observed at price highs, marked by two equal highs, which could signify resistance zones.
2. Weekly Time Frame:
- Key Observation: Transition in market structure from bearish to bullish, indicating a potential longer-term upward trend for USD/JPY.
3. Daily Time Frame:
- Key Observation: A shift in market sentiment is evident, aligning with the bullish outlook observed in the weekly timeframe.
Fundamental Analysis: Federal Reserve Policies and Economic Indicators
1. Federal Reserve's Stance:
- Policy Outlook: Continuation of a restrictive monetary policy for the foreseeable future, with the possibility of rate peaks being reached.
- Inflation Control: Strong emphasis on reducing inflation sustainably before policy easing.
2. Economic Indicators:
- Optimism on Inflation: Growing confidence in managing inflation, with potential rate cuts envisioned in 2024, though the exact timing remains uncertain.
3. Market Reaction:
- Impact on USD/JPY: The Federal Reserve's stance typically has a direct impact on USD/JPY. A more restrictive policy tends to strengthen the USD against the JPY, while a more dovish stance or rate cuts could weaken it.
4. Future Projections:
- Interest Rate Trajectory: Anticipation of three rate cuts in 2024, suggesting a potential future weakening of the USD against the JPY.
- Economic Growth Forecast: Slow growth expected in 2024, which could influence currency strength dynamics.
5. USD/JPY Specifics:
- Japanese Economic Factors: Apart from U.S. economic indicators, USD/JPY traders should also consider Japan's economic health, monetary policy, and geopolitical factors influencing the yen.
Trading Implications for USD/JPY
- Short-Term Strategy: The bullish technical signals on higher timeframes suggest potential long positions in the short to medium term. However, be mindful of resistance levels highlighted by the liquidity at price highs.
- Long-Term Outlook: Fundamental analysis indicates potential weakening of the USD in 2024 due to anticipated rate cuts. Traders may look for signs of trend reversal or strengthening of the JPY for future positioning.
- Risk Management: Keep an eye on upcoming Federal Reserve meetings and announcements, U.S. economic data releases, and Japanese economic indicators. These can cause significant volatility in the USD/JPY pair.
Conclusion
For USD/JPY, the current technical analysis suggests a bullish trend in the near term, but fundamental factors indicate potential shifts in 2024. You should maintain a balanced approach, staying updated with economic developments and central bank policies in both the U.S. and Japan. As with any currency trading, risk management and continual reassessment of the market conditions are crucial.