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USDJPY | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upAfter an 8-week break from USD/JPY, I’m excited to bring it back to our watchlist as we prepare for next week’s trading! Over the past 9 months, this pair has experienced major shifts—from early-year expectations of Japan's monetary policy changes to the dollar's surge mid-year and the USD/JPY oscillating around the 150 zone in October. Key drivers include Japan's inflation data, with the latest CPI rising 2.5% YoY in September. As market rumours of another intervention grow, what opportunities lie ahead? Let's explore the key levels, trends, and setups for the coming week. USDJPY Technical Analysis: As discussed in the video, the recent upward momentum is showing signs of easing, leaving room for a possible USD pullback. However, for a confirmed uptrend continuation, we need to see sustained trading above 150.000. Our detailed technical analysis focused on the current bullish market structure, with particular attention to the key level of 150.000, set as a pivotal point for the upcoming week. This level gains significance as a potential catalyst for a clear uptrend if buying pressure persists. The market's response to this level at the beginning of the new week will strongly influence the direction of price action in the days ahead. #JapanInflation #USDJPY #Yen #BoJ #FederalReserve #Forex #CurrencyTrading #EconomicAnalysis #MarketAnalysis #Investing #Finance
by darcsherry
USDJPY | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upThe Tokyo Consumer Price Index (CPI) for January witnessed a deceleration in Japan's national capital, dropping to 1.6% from the previous reading of 2.4%. This marks the first time in almost two years that consumer inflation has fallen below the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) 2.0% target. Additionally, the Core CPI (YoY) experienced a decline from 3.5% to 3.1%. The Bank of Japan's December meeting minutes shed light on the monetary policy outlook and Yield Curve Control (YCC). Members of the BoJ Board expressed a consensus in favor of "patiently maintaining an easy policy." Several emphasized the need to observe a positive wage inflation cycle before contemplating the cessation of negative rates and YCC. BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda reaffirmed a strong commitment to achieving the 2.0% inflation target. His statements hinted at a potential gradual reduction of extensive stimulus measures in the future, aligning with the central bank's objectives for inflation and economic stability. On the flip side, the USD is experiencing a recovery driven by market adjustments in response to the Federal Reserve's (Fed) rate cut expectations. Despite soft Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) figures from the US in December, which didn't significantly impact market expectations on the upcoming Fed meeting, there is speculation about a delay in the easing cycle from March to May. However, the Fed's tone in the upcoming meeting could alter these expectations. Given these recent developments, how should we navigate the current market conditions? USDJPY Technical Analysis: As discussed in the video, the recent upward momentum is showing signs of easing, leaving room for a possible USD pullback. However, for a confirmed uptrend continuation, we need to see sustained trading above 148.800. Our detailed technical analysis focused on the current bullish market structure, with particular attention to the crucial level of 148.800, set as a pivotal point for the upcoming week. This level gains significance as a potential catalyst for a clear uptrend if buying pressure persists. The market's response to this level at the beginning of the new week will strongly influence the direction of price action in the days ahead. Join me in exploring potential trading opportunities using trendlines, key levels, and chart patterns. Stay connected to my channel, follow updates, and actively participate in the comment section as we navigate the dynamic USDJPY market together. Wishing you success as you navigate the USDJPY market this week! #USDJPY #technicalanalysis #tradingopportunities #inflation #monetarypolicy #Fed #interestrates #economicanalysis #Forextrading Disclaimer Notice: Please be aware that margin trading in the foreign exchange market, including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks, and other instruments, carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculative material, including all data, is provided by me for educational purposes only and to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not assume any responsibility for its accuracy. It is important that you carefully evaluate your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level. Before making any investment, it is advisable to consult with your independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your circumstances. Please note that I cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information provided, and I am not liable for any loss or damage that may directly or indirectly result from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications associated with it. Remember that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Keep this in mind while considering any investment opportunities.
by darcsherry
2
USDJPY | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upUSD/JPY appears to encounter resistance around 148.80 over the last three days, with fading bets on a Fed rate cut. While bullish sentiments persist, the bulls take a breather, gearing up for potential momentum next week, pending the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) monetary policy hints. On the USD front, resilience continues fueled by recovering US yields and positive University of Michigan (UoM) Consumer Sentiment data, providing the Greenback an additional boost. Eyes are on December's Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) figures, the Fed's preferred gauge of inflation, influencing market bets for upcoming decisions. Despite some easing in dovish expectations this week, the odds of cuts in March and May, according to the CME FedWatch Tool, remain at around 50% and 45%, respectively. USDJPY Technical Analysis: As discussed in the video, the recent upward momentum is showing signs of easing, leaving room for a possible USD pullback. However, for a confirmed uptrend continuation, we need to see sustained trading above 148.800. Our detailed technical analysis focused on the current bullish market structure, with particular attention to the crucial level of 148.800, set as a pivotal point for the upcoming week. This level gains significance as a potential catalyst for a clear uptrend if buying pressure persists. The market's response to this level at the beginning of the new week will strongly influence the direction of price action in the days ahead. Join me in exploring potential trading opportunities using trendlines, key levels, and chart patterns. Stay connected to my channel, follow updates, and actively participate in the comment section as we navigate the dynamic USDJPY market together. Wishing you success as you navigate the USDJPY market this week! #USDJPY #technicalanalysis #tradingopportunities #inflation #monetarypolicy #Fed #interestrates #economicanalysis #Forextrading Disclaimer Notice: Please be aware that margin trading in the foreign exchange market, including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks, and other instruments, carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculative material, including all data, is provided by me for educational purposes only and to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not assume any responsibility for its accuracy. It is important that you carefully evaluate your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level. Before making any investment, it is advisable to consult with your independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your circumstances. Please note that I cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information provided, and I am not liable for any loss or damage that may directly or indirectly result from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications associated with it. Remember that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Keep this in mind while considering any investment opportunities.
by darcsherry
6
USDJPY | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upExplore the unfolding story of USDJPY in our latest technical analysis! Japan's Current Account growth fell short of expectations, printing at ¥1,925.6 billion in November. Despite markets anticipating ¥2,385.1 billion, the actual figure raised concerns. With expectations of the BoJ maintaining its ultra-dovish stance, we analyze how this might impact the JPY's upside potential. The upcoming week brings Japan's Producer Price Index (PPI) figures for December, adding a layer of anticipation. Meanwhile, across the Pacific, the US Producer Price Index for final demand dipped 0.1% in the last month. This decline, coupled with service prices remaining unchanged, has heightened expectations of lower inflation in the future. Traders are now factoring in a 79% chance of a March rate cut, up from 73% on Thursday, according to the CME Group's FedWatch Tool. USDJPY Technical Analysis: As highlighted in the video, the recent upward pressure is beginning to ease, and the odds of USD pulling back further still exist. However, only persistent trading above 144.800 will validate an uptrend continuation. In this video, we conducted an in-depth technical analysis of the USDJPY chart, carefully examining the current bullish market structure. Our primary focus is within the key zone of 144.000/144.800, which will serve as our center of focus ahead of the upcoming week. The key level becomes an area of interest as continued buying pressure above this zone could incite a clear uptrend. The market's reaction around this area at the beginning of the new week will heavily influence the trajectory of price action in the days to come. Join me on this journey as we explore potential trading opportunities using trendlines, key levels, and chart patterns. Be sure to stay connected to my channel, follow my updates, and actively engage in the comment section as we navigate the dynamic USDJPY market together. Wishing you the best of luck as you chart your course in the USDJPY market this week. #USDJPY #technicalanalysis #tradingopportunities #inflation #monetarypolicy #Fed #interestrates #economicanalysis #Forextrading Disclaimer Notice: Please be aware that margin trading in the foreign exchange market, including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks, and other instruments, carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculative material, including all data, is provided by me for educational purposes only and to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not assume any responsibility for its accuracy. It is important that you carefully evaluate your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level. Before making any investment, it is advisable to consult with your independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your circumstances. Please note that I cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information provided, and I am not liable for any loss or damage that may directly or indirectly result from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications associated with it. Remember that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Keep this in mind while considering any investment opportunities.
by darcsherry
1
USDJPY | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upThings are heating up as the selling pressure surrounding this pair seems to be shifting gears. The US Dollar is riding high, boasting its loftiest daily close since March. What's fueling this surge? Well, it's all about the robust economic performance of the US economic docket. Let's dive into the numbers—brace yourself for some impressive stats. The Producer Price Index (PPI) recently flexed its muscles, growing by 1.5% YoY. That's a notable leap from the prior reading of 0.8%, and it's left expectations trailing in the dust. Meanwhile, Retail Sales in August defied predictions, surging by 0.6% MoM, way above the estimated 0.2%. Not to be outdone, the US Department of Labor shared some encouraging news: weekly Initial Jobless Claims stood at a mere 220,000, down from 217,000, comfortably beating market consensus pegged at 225,000. These numbers collectively paint a picture of a resilient US economy and a notable rebound in inflation throughout August. But here's the twist—the Federal Reserve (Fed) doesn't seem swayed by these developments. Market key player suggests that the Fed is likely to keep its interest rates steady at the upcoming meeting. In the background, the Fed's steadfast hawkish stance continues to give a nod to US bond yields and fortify the US Dollar's position—for now. Now, let's pivot to the Japanese Yen's corner, where the plot thickens. The Bank of Japan (BoJ) has made its stance clear: they're not considering an exit from their ultra-easy policy unless wage and inflation data play ball. This leaves the JPY exposed to the maneuvers of its global rivals. As we gear up for the upcoming week, we're bracing for a series of pivotal economic events, including the highly anticipated interest rate decisions from both sides of the Pacific. Stay tuned for the analysis that'll keep you ahead of the forex curve! USDJPY Technical Analysis: As highlighted in the video, the recent mild downward pressure is beginning to ease, and the odds of USD pulling back further have diminished. However, only a clear break of 147.950 will validate an uptrend continuation. In this video, we conducted an in-depth technical analysis of the USDJPY chart, carefully examining the current market structure which is evidently bullish. Our primary focus is within the key zone of 147.950, which will serve as our center of focus ahead of the upcoming week. The key level becomes an area of interest as buyers continue to knock this ceiling and a breakout/retest could incite a clear uptrend. The market's reaction around this area at the beginning of the new week will heavily influence the trajectory of price action in the days to come. Join me on this journey as we explore potential trading opportunities using trendlines, key levels, and chart patterns. Be sure to stay connected to my channel, follow my updates, and actively engage in the comment section as we navigate the dynamic USDJPY market together. Wishing you the best of luck as you chart your course in the USDJPY market this week. #USDJPY #technicalanalysis #tradingopportunities #inflation #monetarypolicy #Fed #interestrates #economicanalysis #Forextrading Disclaimer Notice: Please be aware that margin trading in the foreign exchange market, including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks, and other instruments, carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculative material, including all data, is provided by me for educational purposes only and to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not assume any responsibility for its accuracy. It is important that you carefully evaluate your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level. Before making any investment, it is advisable to consult with your independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your circumstances. Please note that I cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information provided, and I am not liable for any loss or damage that may directly or indirectly result from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications associated with it. Remember that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Keep this in mind while considering any investment opportunities.
by darcsherry
USDJPY | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upIn a fresh turn of events, USDJPY surged to new intraday highs on Friday, but the question remains: Can it sustain its four-week uptrend? Meanwhile, Japan's economic output hit levels above full capacity in April-June for the first time in nearly four years, raising questions about the possibility of a shift in ultra-low interest rate policy. Adding to the intrigue, Japan’s Finance Minister, Shunichi Suzuki, weighed in on Friday, emphasizing the undesirability of sudden FX movements and asserting that Forex rates should be influenced by market conditions and fundamental factors. On the flip side, wage growth in the U.S. is showing signs of slowing down, adding a layer of complexity to the job market. These mixed signals are fueling uncertainty about the Federal Reserve's forthcoming interest-rate decision, scheduled for September 20th. Fed Chair Jerome Powell's recent remarks at the Jackson Hole Symposium underscored the importance of incoming data, particularly in the context of the evolving relationship between inflation and employment. So, as we look ahead, what does the coming week hold in store for USDJPY? USDJPY Technical Analysis: In this video, we conducted an in-depth technical analysis of the USDJPY chart, carefully examining the current market structure which is evidently bullish. Our primary focus is still within the key zone of 144. 600 and 146.600 zone, which will serve as our center of focus ahead of the upcoming week. As price action remains within this zone, it becomes an area of interest that has led to choppy consolidation before a clear direction emerges. The market's reaction around this area at the beginning of the new week will heavily influence the trajectory of price action in the days to come. Join me on this journey as we explore potential trading opportunities using trendlines, key levels, and chart patterns. Be sure to stay connected to my channel, follow my updates, and actively engage in the comment section as we navigate the dynamic USDJPY market together. Wishing you the best of luck as you chart your course in the USDJPY market this week. #USDJPY #technicalanalysis #tradingopportunities #inflation #monetarypolicy #Fed #interestrates #economicanalysis #Forextrading Disclaimer Notice: Please be aware that margin trading in the foreign exchange market, including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks, and other instruments, carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculative material, including all data, is provided by me for educational purposes only and to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not assume any responsibility for its accuracy. It is important that you carefully evaluate your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level. Before making any investment, it is advisable to consult with your independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your circumstances. Please note that I cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information provided, and I am not liable for any loss or damage that may directly or indirectly result from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications associated with it. Remember that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Keep this in mind while considering any investment opportunities.
by darcsherry
1
USDJPY | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upIn Japan, the Bank of Japan's Governor Kazuo Ueda highlighted that underlying inflation remains slightly below the 2% target during a Federal Reserve research symposium. This observation reaffirms the central bank's commitment to maintaining the current monetary policy approach. Despite core consumer inflation in Japan hitting 3.1% in July, companies passing on higher costs have sustained inflation above the 2% target for the 16th consecutive month. Meanwhile, in the U.S., Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's recent speech at the Jackson Hole symposium solidified the Fed's intention to uphold a 'higher for longer' outlook on interest rates and bond yields. This stance is a boon for dollar enthusiasts, especially considering the contrasting economic scenarios. The U.S. economy is exhibiting robust performance, with the latest Atlanta Fed tracking estimate indicating a near-6% annualized growth rate. The widening short-dated yield spreads, which often influence exchange rates, favor the dollar over the Yen in recent weeks. This shift enhances the potential for the dollar to ascend into a higher trading range relative to the Yen. As we navigate the upcoming week, it's crucial to consider these significant market drivers. USDJPY Technical Analysis: In this video, we conduct an in-depth technical analysis of the USDJPY chart, carefully examining the current market structure which is evidently bullish. Our primary focus is still within the key zone of 146.500, which will serve as our center of focus ahead of the upcoming week. As price action remains within this zone, it becomes an area of interest that has led to choppy consolidation before a clear direction emerges. The market's reaction around this area at the beginning of the new week will heavily influence the trajectory of price action in the days to come. Join me on this journey as we explore potential trading opportunities using trendlines, key levels, and chart patterns. Be sure to stay connected to my channel, follow my updates, and actively engage in the comment section as we navigate the dynamic USDJPY market together. Wishing you the best of luck as you chart your course in the USDJPY market this week. #USDJPY #technicalanalysis #tradingopportunities #inflation #monetarypolicy #Fed #interestrates #economicanalysis #Forextrading Disclaimer Notice: Please be aware that margin trading in the foreign exchange market, including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks, and other instruments, carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculative material, including all data, is provided by me for educational purposes only and to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not assume any responsibility for its accuracy. It is important that you carefully evaluate your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level. Before making any investment, it is advisable to consult with your independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your circumstances. Please note that I cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information provided, and I am not liable for any loss or damage that may directly or indirectly result from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications associated with it. Remember that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Keep this in mind while considering any investment opportunities.
by darcsherry
USDJPY | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upThe USDJPY landscape is a complex interplay of monetary policy divergence between the US and Japan, actively influencing the Yen's weakening. Yet, optimism surrounding the peak of US interest rates introduces an intriguing caveat to the Greenback's ascent. Federal Reserve minutes unveiled this week emphasize a consensus among committee members about "significant upside risks to inflation", amplifying the allure of further tightening. Amid robust economic data – particularly retail sales – a compelling case for heightened tightening unfolds. Meanwhile, market participants exercise caution, mindful of potential FX intervention by the Bank of Japan (BoJ), evoking memories of last year's intervention triggered by similar price action levels. The yen's depreciation heightens vigilance, with traders poised for possible Japanese authority intervention. As attention shifts to Jackson Hole, Wyoming, where top central banks gather annually, all eyes are on Fed Chair Jerome Powell's upcoming speech. Anticipated next Friday, Powell's address is a golden opportunity for insights into the interest rate outlook, potentially laying the groundwork for the Fed's next policy steps. USDJPY Technical Analysis: In this video, we conduct an in-depth technical analysis of the USDJPY chart, carefully examining the current market structure. Our primary focus is still within the key zone of 145.000, which will serve as our center of focus ahead of the upcoming week. As price action remains within this zone, it becomes an area of interest that has led to choppy consolidation before a clear direction emerges. The market's reaction around this area at the beginning of the new week will heavily influence the trajectory of price action in the days to come. Join me on this journey as we explore potential trading opportunities using trendlines, key levels, and chart patterns. Be sure to stay connected to my channel, follow my updates, and actively engage in the comment section as we navigate the dynamic USDJPY market together. Wishing you the best of luck as you chart your course in the USDJPY market this week. Disclaimer Notice: Please be aware that margin trading in the foreign exchange market, including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks, and other instruments, carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculative material, including all data, is provided by me for educational purposes only and to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not assume any responsibility for its accuracy. It is important that you carefully evaluate your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level. Before making any investment, it is advisable to consult with your independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your circumstances. Please note that I cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information provided, and I am not liable for any loss or damage that may directly or indirectly result from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications associated with it. Remember that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Keep this in mind while considering any investment opportunities.
by darcsherry
3
USDJPY | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upIn light of recent data, Thursday's release indicated that U.S. consumer price index (CPI) inflation for July met expectations, mirroring the previous month's trajectory. This outcome has fueled speculation that the Federal Reserve will maintain its current interest rates in September. However, this development has concurrently prompted a reduction in expectations for a rate cut within the current year, leading to the anticipation of sustained rates at their 22-year highs. Consequently, this adjustment has exerted downward pressure on risk-oriented assets, inducing a sense of caution among investors reluctant to engage with Asian currencies, given the prevailing robust outlook on U.S. interest rates. As a result, the Japanese yen bore the brunt of this shift, registering a decline to a one-month low during overnight trading, only to stabilize in proximity to the pivotal 145 threshold on Friday. However, it is noteworthy that trading volumes remained subdued due to a market holiday observed in the country. USDJPY Technical Analysis: In this video, we conduct an in-depth technical analysis of the USDJPY chart, carefully examining the current market structure. Our primary focus is within the key zone of 145.000, which will serve as our center of focus ahead of the upcoming week. As price action remains within this zone, it becomes an area of interest that could lead to choppy consolidation before a clear direction emerges. The market's reaction around this area at the beginning of the new week will heavily influence the trajectory of price action in the days to come. Join me on this journey as we explore potential trading opportunities using trendlines, key levels, and chart patterns. Be sure to stay connected to my channel, follow my updates, and actively engage in the comment section as we navigate the dynamic USDJPY market together. Wishing you the best of luck as you chart your course in the USDJPY market this week. Disclaimer Notice: Please be aware that margin trading in the foreign exchange market, including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks, and other instruments, carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculative material, including all data, is provided by me for educational purposes only and to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not assume any responsibility for its accuracy. It is important that you carefully evaluate your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level. Before making any investment, it is advisable to consult with your independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your circumstances. Please note that I cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information provided, and I am not liable for any loss or damage that may directly or indirectly result from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications associated with it. Remember that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Keep this in mind while considering any investment opportunities.
by darcsherry
USDJPY | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upThe USDJPY market sentiment is undergoing a captivating transformation, edging from neutral to bearish, with intriguing signs of bullish exhaustion surfacing. The Japanese currency is on the rise, gaining traction as Bank of Japan (BoJ) comments reveal plans to widen the benchmark 10-year Japanese Government Bonds (JGB) from 0.5% to 1.0%. This move has propelled Japanese yields to their highest levels since 2014, sparking anticipation of a potential pivot by the BoJ. However, the Yen remains vulnerable unless the bank takes decisive action. Currently, there's a prevailing perception that the BoJ's hawkish signals and surging Japanese yields might curtail the pair's gains in the foreseeable future. As we journey through the US economy's realm, recent developments have dealt a blow to the bulls. The lower-than-expected increase in Nonfarm Payrolls, with a mere 187,000 new jobs reported in the July jobs report, has significantly impacted investor sentiment. The implications of Fitch's downgrade of the United States government's long-term debt rating further add complexity to the picture. Amidst this intricate landscape, all eyes now turn to the upcoming week, where no high-impact events are expected from Japan's economy. Traders are keenly observing US economic indicators for pivotal signals that could shed light on the likely direction of prices. The BoJ's hawkish stance continues to play a major role in shaping the currency's trajectory. USDJPY Technical Analysis: In this video, we conduct an in-depth technical analysis of the USDJPY chart, carefully examining the current market structure. Our primary focus is within the key zone of 142.000, which will serve as our center of focus ahead of the upcoming week. As price action remains within this zone, it becomes an area of interest that could lead to choppy consolidation before a clear direction emerges. The market's reaction around this area at the beginning of the new week will heavily influence the trajectory of price action in the days to come. Join me on this journey as we explore potential trading opportunities using trendlines, key levels, and chart patterns. Be sure to stay connected to my channel, follow my updates, and actively engage in the comment section as we navigate the dynamic USDJPY market together. Wishing you the best of luck as you chart your course in the USDJPY market this week. Disclaimer Notice: Please be aware that margin trading in the foreign exchange market, including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks, and other instruments, carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculative material, including all data, is provided by me for educational purposes only and to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not assume any responsibility for its accuracy. It is important that you carefully evaluate your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level. Before making any investment, it is advisable to consult with your independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your circumstances. Please note that I cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information provided, and I am not liable for any loss or damage that may directly or indirectly result from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications associated with it. Remember that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Keep this in mind while considering any investment opportunities.
by darcsherry
USDJPY Forecast: Insights for the New Week & Follow-Up AnalysisThe BOJ's decision to adopt a more flexible bond yield approach indicates a potential shift away from its ultra-dovish stance. Under this approach, bond yields will be allowed to fluctuate beyond the previous target range. The economic landscape was further impacted by surprising data on Friday, indicating that inflation in Japan's capital exceeded expectations during July, adding an element of complexity to the current situation. Despite these developments, the outlook for the Yen faced some headwinds due to the release of robust second-quarter U.S. GDP data. The stronger-than-expected economic performance raised expectations that the Federal Reserve will have the necessary economic space to continue its path of raising interest rates. However, this scenario poses challenges for regional currency units, including the Yen. With no high-impact events expected from Japan's economy in the upcoming week, all eyes are now turned toward the economic indicators from the US economy. Traders will closely be monitoring these indicators for signals that can provide insights into the likely direction of prices. USDJPY Technical Analysis: In this video, we conduct an in-depth technical analysis of the USDJPY chart, carefully examining the current market structure. Our primary focus is within the key zone of 141.000 and 142.000, which will serve as our center of focus ahead of the upcoming week. As price action remains within this zone, it becomes an area of interest that could lead to choppy consolidation before a clear direction emerges. The market's reaction around this area at the beginning of the new week will heavily influence the trajectory of price action in the days to come. Join me on this journey as we explore potential trading opportunities using trendlines and key levels. Be sure to stay connected to my channel, follow my updates, and actively engage in the comment section as we navigate the dynamic USDJPY market together. Wishing you the best of luck as you chart your course in the USDJPY market this week. Get ready for an exhilarating experience filled with valuable insights and exciting trading opportunities! Disclaimer: Trading on margin in the foreign exchange market (including commodities, CFDs, stocks, etc.) carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is provided by me for educational and informational purposes only to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not accept any responsibility for its accuracy. It is important that you carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your situation before making any investment. I do not guarantee the accuracy of the information provided and shall not be held liable for any loss or damage that may arise directly or indirectly from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications related to it. Please note that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
by darcsherry
3
USDJPY Forecast: Insights for the New Week & Follow-Up AnalysisThe Japanese economic docket reveals that consumer price index (CPI) inflation remained stubbornly high through June, despite government measures to curb prices. This has raised the possibility of the Bank of Japan (BOJ) tightening monetary policy. However, BOJ policymakers are cautious and prefer to analyze more data to ensure sustained growth in wages and inflation before making any changes to the yield control policy. Reports indicate that there is no consensus within the central bank, making the decision a close call. Nevertheless, recent reports suggest that the BOJ may lean towards maintaining its yield curve control (YCC) strategy in the upcoming policy meeting. With Japanese inflation staying above the BOJ's target, there have been speculations about the central bank potentially abandoning its yield curve control program, a move that could strengthen the yen. On the other side, the US dollar has made a sharp recovery from 15-month lows ahead of a Federal Reserve meeting, leading traders to seek safe-haven assets. The market remains uncertain about whether the Fed will signal a pause in its rate hike cycle despite the expectation of a 25 basis points interest rate hike. As we shift our focus to the upcoming week, all eyes are on high-impact economic features from both the US and Japanese economies that could significantly impact the USDJPY market. USDJPY Technical Analysis: In this video, we conduct an in-depth technical analysis of the USDJPY chart, carefully examining the current market structure. Our primary focus is on the key level of 142.000, which will serve as our center of focus ahead of the upcoming week. As price action remains within this zone, it becomes an area of interest that could lead to choppy consolidation before a clear direction emerges. The market's reaction around the 142.000 area at the beginning of the new week will heavily influence the trajectory of price action in the days to come. Join me on this journey as we explore potential trading opportunities using trendlines and key levels. Be sure to stay connected to my channel, follow my updates, and actively engage in the comment section as we navigate the dynamic USDJPY market together. Wishing you the best of luck as you chart your course in the USDJPY market this week. Get ready for an exhilarating experience filled with valuable insights and exciting trading opportunities! Disclaimer: Trading on margin in the foreign exchange market (including commodities, CFDs, stocks, etc.) carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is provided by me for educational and informational purposes only to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not accept any responsibility for its accuracy. It is important that you carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your situation before making any investment. I do not guarantee the accuracy of the information provided and shall not be held liable for any loss or damage that may arise directly or indirectly from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications related to it. Please note that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
by darcsherry
1
USDJPY Forecast: Insights for the New Week & Follow-Up AnalysisIn the previous week, we witnessed a remarkable 4.6% surge in the Japanese yen, propelling it to a two-month high against the greenback. However, as Friday's trading session unfolded, the U.S. dollar began to edge higher, with traders factoring in the potential end of the Federal Reserve's rate hike cycle amid easing inflation. Softer-than-expected U.S. inflation data, reported on Wednesday and Thursday, reinforced the belief that the Federal Reserve is nearing the end of its interest rate-hiking cycle. While markets still anticipate a 25 basis point hike later this month, another hike this year is no longer the base case. As we shift our focus to the upcoming week, all eyes are on the U.S. retail sales data, a vital indicator of consumer spending in the economy. A high reading is seen as positive for the USD, while a low reading is perceived as negative. USDJPY Technical Analysis: In this video, we provide an in-depth USDJPY technical analysis, dissecting the current market structure. Our attention centers around the key level of 138.800, which also serves as the neckline of a "potential" reversal pattern identified in the 1-hour timeframe. As price action remains within this zone, it becomes an area of interest that could lead to choppy consolidation before a clear direction emerges. The market's reaction around the 138.800 area at the beginning of the new week will heavily influence the trajectory of price action throughout the upcoming days. Join me on this journey as we explore potential trading opportunities using trendlines and key levels. Remember, that we place significant emphasis on the importance of the 138.800 level, as a breakout or retest of this zone will validate the potency of the identified reversal pattern. Stay connected to my channel, follow my updates, and actively engage in the comment section as we navigate the dynamic USDJPY market together. Wishing you the best of luck as you chart your course in the USDJPY market this week. Get ready for an exciting ride filled with insights and trading opportunities! Disclaimer: Trading on margin in the foreign exchange market (including commodities, CFDs, stocks, etc.) carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is provided by me for educational and informational purposes only to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not accept any responsibility for its accuracy. It is important that you carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your situation before making any investment. I do not guarantee the accuracy of the information provided and shall not be held liable for any loss or damage that may arise directly or indirectly from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications related to it. Please note that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
by darcsherry
1
USDJPY Forecast: Insights for the New Week & Follow-Up AnalysisThe Japanese authorities are facing mounting pressure as the yen continues to weaken due to market expectations of ultra-low interest rates maintained by the Bank of Japan. The yen gained traction in the second half of the previous week. Speculation of government intervention to counter the currency's weakness added further support. Although direct intervention did not occur, we witnessed a pullback from the key 145 level against the dollar, amidst numerous verbal warnings from Japanese officials cautioning against betting against the yen. Despite these developments, the outlook for the yen remains uncertain, especially as the Bank of Japan maintains its commitment to loose monetary policy. Shifting our attention to the U.S. economic landscape, the Labor Department's recent report revealed that June experienced a lower-than-expected increase in new hires, with downward revisions to May's figures. However, the unemployment rate declined to 3.6% in June, and average hourly earnings mirrored the growth seen in May. Amidst the recent market volatility, there is speculation that despite pausing its rate hike cycle last month, the Federal Reserve might resume rate hikes during its upcoming meeting on July 26. USDJPY Technical Analysis (Price Action): This video offers a comprehensive analysis of the current market structure. Our focus centers around the key level of 142.500, which was broken to the downside following a strong bearish move. As price action remains within this zone, it becomes an area of concern, which could potentially lead to choppy consolidation before a clear direction is established. Market participants will closely watch the key economic indicators from the U.S. docket to gauge sentiment. The video examines potential trading opportunities within this area using trendlines and key levels, with particular emphasis on the significance of the 144.000 level as a potential retest for a continuation of the downtrend. The market's reaction to the range around the 142.500 area at the beginning of the new week will heavily influence the direction of price action throughout the upcoming week. Stay connected to my channel, stay informed by following my updates, and actively engage in the comment section. Together, we'll navigate the dynamic USDJPY market. Wishing you the best of luck as you chart your course in the USDJPY market this week. Disclaimer: Trading on margin in the foreign exchange market (including commodities, CFDs, stocks, etc.) carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is provided by me for educational and informational purposes only to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not accept any responsibility for its accuracy. It is important that you carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your situation before making any investment. I do not guarantee the accuracy of the information provided and shall not be held liable for any loss or damage that may arise directly or indirectly from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications related to it. Please note that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
by darcsherry
1
USDJPY Forecast: Insights for the New Week & Follow-Up AnalysisThe USDJPY has experienced a depreciation of over 9% against the yen in the current year. Last Friday, the Japanese currency hit a low of 145.07 per dollar in early Asia trade, the lowest it had been in over seven months. However, it stabilized at 144.30 later on Friday following statements from Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki. Suzuki emphasized that Japan would take appropriate measures if the yen weakened excessively, cautioning against investors selling the currency too aggressively. This level, 145 to the dollar, has historically made speculators wary of potential intervention by Japanese authorities, as demonstrated last September when authorities intervened in the markets to support the currency for the first time in 24 years. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve (Fed) has been closely monitoring various economic aspects such as the labor market and energy-induced inflation as it prepares for its meeting on July 26 to decide on interest rates. The Fed's decision-making process is influenced by two crucial data points in the U.S.: the first quarter GDP and the Personal Consumption Expenditures Index. These indicators will help determine whether the central bank will proceed with rate hikes in the coming weeks or maintain the current pause in monetary tightening, which was decided on June 14. According to the Commerce Department, the U.S. GDP grew at an annualized rate of 2% in the first quarter of this year, providing some relief to the Fed and indicating that previous rate hikes did not significantly impede economic growth. However, inflation remains a concern, with a slowdown in the overall trend but still at relatively high levels. Next Friday, the US will release the June official employment report. The market consensus is for an increase of 200K in payrolls. Considering these factors, market expectations lean towards the Fed raising lending rates by another quarter percentage point on July 26, reaching a peak of 5.25%. USDJPY Technical Analysis (Price Action): This video provides an extensive analysis of the current market structure. The focus is on the key level of 145.000, which played a crucial role in the Bank of Japan's intervention last September. With price action returning to this zone, it becomes a point of concern, acting as either key support or resistance depending on how market participants react in the upcoming week. The video explores potential trading opportunities in this area using trendlines and key levels, highlighting the significance of the 144.200 level as a recent support line, particularly observed on Friday. The market's response to the range between 144.200 and 145.000 at the beginning of the new week will greatly influence the direction of price action in the upcoming week. Stay connected to my channel, follow my updates, and actively engage in the comment section to stay informed about further technical developments in the USDJPY market. I wish you the best of luck as you navigate the USDJPY market this week. Disclaimer: Trading on margin in the foreign exchange market (including commodities, CFDs, stocks, etc.) carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is provided by me for educational and informational purposes only to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not accept any responsibility for its accuracy. It is important that you carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your situation before making any investment. I do not guarantee the accuracy of the information provided and shall not be held liable for any loss or damage that may arise directly or indirectly from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications related to it. Please note that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
by darcsherry
1
USDJPY Forecast: Insights for the New Week & Follow-Up AnalysisIn this video, we delve into a comprehensive technical analysis of USDJPY, focusing on its bullish and bearish sentiments through price action analysis. Join us as we uncover potential trading opportunities for the upcoming week by identifying key support and resistance levels within the 4-hour timeframe. On Friday, the Japanese Yen experienced a decline after a three-and-a-half-day struggle, fueled by the strengthening of the US dollar. This was in response to Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's reiterated stance on the necessity of additional rate hikes. During his two-day testimony before Congress, Powell emphasized that U.S. interest rates may rise at least twice more this year to counteract high inflation. Market reactions to Powell's comments led to a significant increase in the likelihood of further rate hikes in July, with markets pricing in a nearly 75% chance of such action. Data released from the Japanese economic docket on Friday indicated that consumer inflation slightly exceeded expectations for the 12-month period up to May. However, a core reading excluding food and fuel prices surged to a 42-year high, indicating persistent inflationary pressures in Japan. These trends are placing increased pressure on the Bank of Japan to consider tightening its monetary policy, although the bank has recently reiterated its commitment to maintaining its ultra-loose policy. Nonetheless, the potential for Japanese monetary policy tightening may contribute to a resurgence in the yen, which has faced considerable downward pressure due to the dovish stance of the Bank of Japan. Additionally, the Japanese currency is rapidly approaching levels that could prompt government intervention in currency markets. USDJPY Technical Analysis (Price Action): In this video, I offered an extensive analysis of the USDJPY market's current structure, with a primary focus on price action-based technical analysis. Special attention was given to key support and resistance levels within the 4-hour timeframe, uncovering potential trading opportunities for the upcoming week. Notably, I highlighted a key level around 143.900, which was recently tested and represents the highest price reached this year. The market's response to this level at the start of the new week will play a pivotal role in determining the direction of price action in the upcoming week. Stay connected to my channel, follow my updates, and actively engage in the comment section to stay informed about further technical developments in the USDJPY market. I wish you the best of luck this week as you navigate the USDJPY market. Disclaimer: Trading on margin in the foreign exchange market (including commodities, CFDs, stocks, etc.) carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is provided by me for educational and informational purposes only to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not accept any responsibility for its accuracy. It is important that you carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your situation before making any investment. I do not guarantee the accuracy of the information provided and shall not be held liable for any loss or damage that may arise directly or indirectly from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications related to it. Please note that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
by darcsherry
1
USDJPY Forecast: Insights for the New Week & Follow-Up AnalysisThe Japanese yen experienced a slight decline as the Bank of Japan maintained its ultra-loose policy. However, it managed to recover some of its early losses following the BOJ decision, though it remained close to seven-month lows against the dollar. The BOJ opted to keep interest rates unchanged at record lows and expressed its intention to continue the yield curve control policy in support of economic growth. The bank also forecasted above-average strength in the Japanese economy for the year. The yen had been weighed down by expectations of a dovish BOJ, especially as the Federal Reserve signaled a relatively hawkish stance, indicating a widening gap between Japanese and U.S. interest rates. While the Fed had previously paused rate hikes, it foresees at least two more increases this year due to inflation trending above the central bank's target range. Nevertheless, weak U.S. economic indicators such as slowing industrial production, steady jobless claims, and sluggish retail sales raised doubts about the extent to which the Fed could continue raising interest rates. Anticipated higher U.S. interest rates for a longer period are likely to restrict significant gains in Asian markets. In the upcoming week, we will focus on economic events from both the U.S. and Japan, including the BoJ Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes and the Fed Chair's testimony before Congress. How will these events impact the USDJPY from a technical standpoint? During the video, I provide detailed analysis of the USDJPY's bullish and bearish sentiment, primarily focusing on price action-based technical indicators. We identify key support and resistance levels within the 4-hour timeframe to uncover potential trading opportunities. Notably, we highlight a significant level around 142.000 that was recently tested, and how market participants react to this level at the start of the new week may play a critical role in determining the direction of price action in the upcoming week. Stay connected to our channel, follow our updates, and engage in the comment section to stay informed about further developments in the USDJPY market. Disclaimer: Trading on margin in the foreign exchange market (including commodities, CFDs, stocks, etc.) carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is provided by me for educational and informational purposes only to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not accept any responsibility for its accuracy. It is important that you carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your situation before making any investment. I do not guarantee the accuracy of the information provided and shall not be held liable for any loss or damage that may arise directly or indirectly from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications related to it. Please note that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
by darcsherry
USDJPY Forecast: Insights for the New Week & Follow-Up AnalysisIn this video, we delve into a comprehensive technical analysis of USDJPY. We examine the impact of recent fundamental factors, including a surge in US unemployment claims, which led to a sell-off in the US Dollar. The upcoming week is set to witness crucial economic events that will strongly influence the price movements of this currency pair. With indications of a weakening labor market in the US, the release of May's consumer prices index just before the central bank officials' interest rate discussion holds significant importance. While the Japanese Yen struggles to gain an advantage, investors anticipate that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda will maintain the current policy. Governor Ueda has consistently emphasized the necessity of monetary stimulus to maintain inflation above 2%, primarily through increased wages and robust household demand. During the video, I detailed the USDJPY's bullish and bearish sentiment, focusing on price action-based technical analysis. We identify key Support and Resistance Levels in the 4-hour timeframe to identify potential trading opportunities. Notably, highlighted a robust demand zone around the 138.800 area that has consistently counteracted selling pressure in recent weeks, indicating the strength of buyers at this level. This zone may play a crucial role in determining the direction of price action in the upcoming week. Stay tuned to this channel, follow our updates, and engage in the comment section to stay informed about further developments. Disclaimer: Trading on margin in the foreign exchange market (including commodities, CFDs, stocks, etc.) carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is provided by me for educational and informational purposes only to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not accept any responsibility for its accuracy. It is important that you carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your situation before making any investment. I do not guarantee the accuracy of the information provided and shall not be held liable for any loss or damage that may arise directly or indirectly from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications related to it. Please note that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
by darcsherry
1
USDJPY Analysis: New Week Perspective and Follow-Up DetailsIn this USDJPY technical analysis video, we delve into the aftermath of the recent Nonfarm Payrolls data, which offers critical insights into the US labor market. With positive data surpassing expectations and the potential for a Federal Reserve interest rate hike this month, the US Dollar may be poised for a bullish upswing. The May report revealed a remarkable increase of 339,000 payrolls in both public and private sectors, surpassing the forecast of 190,000. Moreover, the recent signing of the bill by President Joe Biden, suspending the US government's $31.4 trillion debt ceiling and avoiding a default, adds another layer of anticipation to the market's reaction. From a technical standpoint, this video focuses on a detailed analysis of USDJPY Support and Resistance Levels, as well as Trendlines within the 4H timeframe. By examining these levels, we aimed to identify potential trading opportunities on the USDJPY chart for the upcoming week as it helped in making informed trading decisions. Disclaimer Notice: Please be aware that margin trading in the foreign exchange market, including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks, and other instruments, carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculative material, including all data, is provided by me for educational purposes only and to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not assume any responsibility for its accuracy. It is important that you carefully evaluate your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level. Before making any investment, it is advisable to consult with your independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your circumstances. Please note that I cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information provided, and I am not liable for any loss or damage that may directly or indirectly result from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications associated with it. Remember that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Keep this in mind while considering any investment opportunities.
by darcsherry
1
USDJPY Analysis: New Week Perspective and Follow-Up DetailsThe U.S. Dollar was steady amidst the debt ceiling impasse while the Japanese Yen recorded a significant drop making it among the worst-performing Asian currencies in the previous week. Softer-than-expected Tokyo inflation data on Friday spurred more expectations that the Bank of Japan will hold off on tightening policy this year, although the reading was still well above the BOJ’s 2% annual target. Is the current market structure mature for profit-taking activities despite the stronger-than-expected consumer spending in April which is generally seen as an excuse for the Federal Reserve to hike interest rates again in June? In this video, our technical dissection identified a simple setup that can aid us in making informed trading decisions ahead of the new week. Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
by darcsherry
2
USDJPY | Perspective for the new week | follow-up detailsThe USDJPY fell 0.54% to 137.955 on Friday after data showed that Japanese consumer inflation rose back to a 40-year peak in April, putting pressure on the Bank of Japan to adjust its ultra-loose monetary policy. However, news of constructive talks to end the current debt ceiling impasse in Washington raises optimism that a deal can be reached to avoid a damaging debt default. This video illustrates the technical side of the market, as we try to consider the fundamental factors that might affect buying or selling of this pair. Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
by darcsherry