Usdjpysell
DeGRAM | USDJPY short opportunityUSDJPY is in a downtrend. As we predicted last week, price action made lower lows.
Currently, the price has made a new lower lows and it's pulling back to previous levels.
The optimal level to sell would be a zone 127.500 - 127.600.
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USDJPY SELL DOWNTRENDING4H timeframe price is continuing to downtrend. Creating a range, we want to sell high. Fibonacci range 78.6% - 88.6% is the discount area. Entry is based on multi-timeframe analysis + institutional move + fib zone.
If price continues to go beyond previous low, will update on new idea as the trade has left without us.
USDJPY-SELL STThe correlation of 5Y USD Bond and USDJPY is diminishing. This is like decoupling scenario, and that allows a good correction for the pair.
Just view the historical movement, and one can observe it is not a bad tool to predict movements.
For now, I suspect we will see 125.57 test and perhaps even lower short-term.
USDJPY-SELL++No change in view.
I am inclined to add to the existing short @ 129.40 around 129.75. Further I will increase SELL @ 130.50-130.70 for now.
The overall view is to correct back to 125.57 coming weeks. we are still quite overbought and on the monthly chart this is even more severe and we need at least a move back below 122.50 to reduce the pressure.
USDJPY-SELL++The overall view is still a lower USDJPY in time. I suspect we may see a move towards 121.17-123.57 somewhere long-term basis. Medium-term for now I see 125.17 as a possibility.
the strategy is SELL @ 129.40 current and add 130.50-130.70 and 131.80-132.00 when seen. Of course small increments only until we are at the higher levels. For now small leverage to start the position.
USDJPY-SELL++We have recovered a bit from the lows and attempting higher once again.
As I had mentioned, when taking back all positions, I would consider selling again above 129.50 - 129.6 again. I might in fact start @ 129.20-129.40 and increase above 130.50. That is the strategy for now, and the profit order then would be placed @ 126.57.
USDJPY-SELL+++No change in view.
The pattern is building for a move down. We got Moon phase start indicating a turn lower, and stochastic is negative plus over bought situation. The latter very extreme on all fronts.
For now, we still are SELL @ 130.00-130.50 and add more above 131.60. The profit level can be done in stages, perhaps @ 127.87 and 126.57 for now.
My side,
take back are:
15% @ 129.00
20% @ 128.17
30% @ 127.87
Balance @ 126.57 for now.
USDJPY-SELL strategyI just wanted to added further analysis using MOON phase.
Moon phase is useful tool as it predicts changes to market condition. we are in fact influenced by everything around us, and the moon phase is one of them.
we are a WHITE or open moon and this predicts the change of trend to down. So even considering the overbought state of the pair, the cycle will change as one can observe in the chart. this is just information and it is up to the person to believe or follow this concept.
USDJPY-SELL++++No change in view.
The pair is remaining above 130.00 and for some this seems worrying... however, all what is needed some large offloading and then the ball will start rolling :) anyway, without jokes, we are really overextended and one should analyze the historical path with current period, and one will observe clearly we will correct. of course, no one (including me) cannot predict how high it will go, and some people are fearing 135.00 even.
I feel that we should not have emotions about it, and purely focus on what we analyze, and making sure we are comfortable with the leverage etc. For now we remain in SELL mode and sell current 130.40-130.60 and add above 131.60 again. For those short, only add higher as mentioned.
Profit orders for shorts can be @ 128.17 and 126.57 for now. I am lifting positions 15% @ 129.00, 20% @ 128.17 and rest @ 125.57 for now.
USDJPY-SELL+++No change in view.
The move lower is only a minor correction and much more will follow.
The market is overextended, and now we are forming a topping candle. The stochastic is negative and BUY pressure is reducing. this suggests LONGs are slowly getting out of the position.
Strategy is SELL @ 130.30-130.60 and add above 131.60. I had added at 131.20 infact and will have the following orders in place:
BUY 15% @ 129.00
BUY 20% @ 128.37
BUY 30% @ 127.17
balance @ 125.47 for now.
Sell USDJPY [4 May 2022]Monthly : Bearish. Even though price has not entered my sell zone between 131.5 and 135.3, there is a divergence on the monthly TF. So, there is a chance that market will start to drop before reaching my ideal sell zone.
Weekly: Bearish . Same reasoning as the above.
Daily :
Bearish divergence.
There is a signifcant increase in the buying volume on 21/April/2022, but the body of the candle is small, indicating a sign of weakness in the uptrend.
H1: Market made a Break of Structure (BOS) which acts a confirmation for market to drop further. Waiting for price to re-enter the POI zone before we can place a trade.
Considering that my bias is a strong bearish, the following price points would be the areas that I would be interested to sell and stack my positions.
Entry 1: 130.60
Entry 2: 131.00
Entry 3: 131.50
SL: 130.95 (I don't use SL because I will stack my positions until it goes to my direction).
TP: 124.00
USDJPY-SELL+++++No change in view.
The market is way over extended and it requires a strong correction. the position is medium-term and I suspect a fall of 4-5 big figures are required to decrease the pressure a bit.
Strategy SELL current @ 130.90-131.30 and add further on way up above 132.00. I know what feedback is expected, but for now I have added again @ 131.20 and average stands now at 128.97. Sightly more leverage and its fine in terms of position.
The take back orders are now
35% @ 128.57
30% % 127.47
balance @ 126.07 when seen.
Please note I will re-sell when positions are reduced based on the market situation that time.
USDJPY-SELL++++When using Kagi charts is useful to see some changes, and overall picture.
The Haikin Ashi takes out the noise on candle sticks.
Using that technique and RSI one can see the state of the market and its extreme.
For medium-term am fine in seeing a good correction in the near term.
For now SELL strategy unchanged for new positions SELL current 130.40-130.60 and add further above 131.60 for now.
For existing shorts add above 131.60 only.
Profit orders (you adjust to your own positions):
35% @ 128.17
30% @ 126.97
balance @ 125.17