Usdjpysell
USD/JPY Technical Analysis: Bearish Momentum RemainsThe outlook for the US dollar was boosted last Friday when official figures confirmed US inflation had risen to a new multi-decade high last month, which is likely to keep the Federal Reserve (Fed) on course to accelerate its monetary policy normalization. The price of the USD/JPY currency pair moved towards the level of 113.80 after the data and settled around the level of 113.46 as of this writing. The US dollar's exchange rates fluctuated briefly before the weekend as figures from the Bureau of Labor Statistics revealed that a 0.8% US inflation increase in November lifted the annual pace of price growth in the US to 6.8% last month.
Meanwhile, inflation rose from 4.6% to 4.9% for November, the highest level since the year ending June 1991, even after excluding changes in volatile food and energy prices from the figures after a 0.5% increase in November in core inflation. Gasoline, housing, food, used cars and trucks and new vehicles were among the biggest contributors to the price increases in November, all goods whose supplies were recently disrupted by efforts to contain the Corona virus, which has led to prices rising sharply over the past year.
Catherine Judge, CIBC Capital Markets economist, says: “With inflation at a high pace, the Fed is expected to accelerate its quantitative easing schedule at the December meeting, to end in early spring, and to allow for a rate hike in the second quarter of 2022, when the winter wave of Covid is late for us.”
Inflation has risen sharply around the world this year due to shortages of goods and labor as well as other factors, although price increases have been stronger in the United States where publicly funded financial support for households was much greater than elsewhere at the height of the pandemic. November was the second consecutive month that the headline CPI rose more than six percent, well above the Fed's average inflation target of 2 percent and likely to keep the bank on track to accelerate the normalization of its monetary policy settings.
The strength and persistence of recent increases in inflation have led Fed policy makers to rethink earlier expectations that price pressures would quickly dissipate on their own, and they almost cut the bargain for a decision this week to speed up the process of winding down the bank's bond-buying program.
Ten of the twelve FOMC voting members have publicly indicated over the past month that they might support a decision to scale back the Fed's monthly bond purchases at a faster pace than agreed in November. Many economists now expect the Fed to end its bond purchases in March instead of June 2022, which would provide room for the bank to start raising its key rate as soon as possible in the second quarter of next year if inflation pressures remain high enough in the interim.
Technical Analysis
How the USD/JPY will close out this year will depend on what will be issued by the US Federal Reserve this week. So far, the currency pair is in a neutral position with a bearish bias, and stability below the 113.00 support will increase the bears' control to move further downwards. According to the performance on the daily chart, the next bearish targets will be 112.50, 111.75 and 110.60.
On the upside, and according to the performance over the same time period, the 114.20 resistance will be important for the bulls to launch further and change the current situation. In addition to the raising of interest rates, it is necessary to take into account the extent of risk appetite.
USDJPY , We should wait until the price arrive in ...Hello everybody
According to the chart you can see that after the trend was changed, the price dumped and now we need to correction to recovery the power and again ready to dump and re-test that area again or dump more .
But in this analysis to should check the chart and that zone in lower time frame to take signal than take position and put stop loss and wait until the target reach .
Another method to take in this position is put sell limit in the area and put stop loss and put target than set and forget and go , anything happen and after 2 3 days you can come back and see it
If you have any question just ask us and send us messages in private
Good Luck
Abtin
USDJPY Analysis: What's Next After the Weak GDP Data from Japan What's up with USDJPY? Japan's economy contracted sharply in the 3d quarter. GDP declined by 0.8% on a Q/Q basis. This was a substantial decline from the 2d quarter’s growth of 0.5% and slightly lower than the median estimate of -0.8%.
More fundamentals here: forexezy.com
As the Japanese economy will probably record the slowest recovery among the G7 countries and with the US inflation numbers ahead, here is my technical analysis for the upcoming price action:
The 4H chart shows that the USDJPY has some significant support at the 112.71 level. It has struggled to move below this point after bullish breakout in October. This price is notable since it is slightly below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. It also seems like it is the neckline of a potential head and shoulders pattern that is forming.
Therefore, there is a likelihood that the pair will break out lower in the coming days. If this happens, the pair can test the 50% retracement level at 112.40.
UsdJpy- Down continuationAfter the recent top at 115.50, UsdJpy dropped aggressively and reached 112.50 support zone.
From here a rebound has followed at this moment the pair is reversing from 113.50 zone resistance.
I think we will have a new leg down from this point and the first target for sellers can be 112.50 recent low, but I wouldn't be surprised if UsdJpy drops under 112
USDJPY: May Stay in Same RangeOn the daily chart, the USD/JPY is still stable to the downside and turned the general trend to the bottom, and stability around and below the 113.00 support level motivates the bears to move further downward. The closest support levels for the pair may currently be 112.55 and 111.80 And 110.90, which are sufficient levels to push the technical indicators towards strong oversold levels. On the upside, for the bulls need to break through the 114.55 resistance to get back on the upside trajectory. So far I still prefer selling USDJPY from every bullish level.
The currency pair will be affected today by risk appetite, in addition to the announcement of the number of US weekly jobless claims.
The USD/JPY's attempts to recover were still weak yesterday. It tried to rebound but did not get past the 113.63 level, and collapsed in early trading today to the support level at 112.62 and settles around the 113.05 level as of this writing. The US dollar has benefited a bit from its safe-haven appeal after the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention revealed the first confirmed case of Covid-19 caused by the new Omicron variant in the US.
The CDC said the first confirmed case of Omicron was detected in an individual in California who returned from South Africa on November 22, 2021. The CDC said: “A person who is fully vaccinated and has mild symptoms improve, He is subject to self-quarantine and since then his test result has been positive.” And “all contacts were contacted and the results of the tests were negative.”
A report released by the payroll processor ADP showed that US private sector employment increased slightly more than expected in November.The ADP said that employment in the private sector jumped by 534,000 jobs in November after rising by a revised 570 thousand jobs in October. Economists had expected US private sector employment to jump by 525,000 jobs, compared to an addition of 571,000 jobs originally reported for the previous month. For its part, Nella Richardson, chief economist at ADP, noted that "it is too early to tell whether the alternative Omicron can slow the job recovery in the coming months."
The Institute for Supply Management released a separate report showing US manufacturing activity grew at a slightly faster rate in November. The ISM said that its manufacturing PMI rose to 61.1 in November from 60.8 in October, and according to the index's data, any reading above the 50 level indicates growth in the sector. Economists had expected the index to reach 61.0.
On the other hand, according to the Beige Book, US economic activity grew at a modest to moderate pace during October and early November. The Beige Book, a collection of anecdotal evidence of economic conditions in each of the 12 federal districts, was released two weeks before the next monetary policy meeting.
The Fed noted that many regions saw strong demand, but growth was constrained by supply chain disruptions and labor shortages. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell noted during congressional testimony that the emergence of the coronavirus Omicron variant could slow progress in the labor market and exacerbate supply chain disruptions.
The Beige Book added that consumer spending increased slightly during this period, although lower inventories hampered sales of some items, particularly light vehicles.
USD/JPY SELL NOW...
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis for this pair,
let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions,
the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be
satisfied. I suggest you keep this pair on your watch list and see if
the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
Dear Traders,
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USDJPY top-down analysis, UPDATEDHello traders, this is the full breakdown of this pair. We will take this trade if all the conditions are satisfied as discussed in the analysis. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USDJPY top-down analysisHello traders, this is the full breakdown of this pair. We will take this trade if all the conditions are satisfied as discussed in the analysis. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USDJPYhello Traders
Here we are expecting a USDJPY Short trade idea. push like And keep us going ,
usdjpy - it may be reverse from here so we are looking for short
- Now the current price is approached towards strong area and where i am expecting reverse and there is no need to wait .
waiting for dollar weakness
SHORT
Why are we entering?
- Expecting JPY strength and USD weakness
- Price broke the ascending trendline = bearish
Entry
now is a good time
Once entered, where will our Stoploss be?
- above the rejected price
Where do we take profits?
- TP: 112.200