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Usdjpysell

Timing the BOJ's next intervention? We have seen 2 interventions from the BOJ over the past 2 weeks. The first came when the USDJPY hit between 158.000 and 160.000 and the second when it hit almost 158.000. With the BOJ warning that it is ready and willing to step in again, how smart is it to try to catch the ride down if or when the BOJ steps in again? Finance Minister Shunich Suzuki reiterated the authorities' readiness to counter excessive foreign exchange fluctuations. At the same time, Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda expressed intent to assess yen movements' impact on inflation for guiding policy decisions. "Foreign exchange rates make a significant impact on the economy and inflation,” Ueda underscored in response to questions in parliament yesterday. But this is perhaps a slightly different story, but still, something for traders to consider. Last week, BOJ data suggested it had spent $60 billion to defend the yen. But all this has done, according to some analysts, is buy the Japanese authorities time, with the USDJPY steadily climbing back to intervention levels (given the substantial interest rate difference between Japan and the US). But can we expect the BOJ to intervene again and again? US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen emphasized interventions should be infrequent and ideally coordinated with the broader central banking community, or at least signaled in advance. So, the BOJ will be wary of its international reputation too.
by BlackBull_Markets
USDJPY → Huge Fall from 160.000 Heading for 148.000!?USD/JPY raced to test 160.000 last week and as expected, had a massive sell-off that ended Friday just below the 152.000 breakout area. Should we still be long? Or is it time to get short? How do we trade this? 🤔 The question in my last analysis was are we in for a hard sell-off? And should we buy these pullbacks? The conditions we see today change the perspective on buying the pullbacks. That wasn't just any sell-off, that was a hard rejection and reversal pattern. The sell-off from 160.200 dropped nearly 600 pips in 8 hours. This was followed by a meandering pullback toward the previous candle close high of around 158.400, which ended in another massive drop to 153.100. We then had a final bear push just below the breakout level of 152.000. We can read this a couple of ways, the first is that this is our re-test of the breakout area as I expected two analyses ago where I expected a confirmation of the 152.000 area as support before making it to 160.000: However, we never tested 152.000, we went to 160.000 in rapid fashion first. Such volatility is a sign of a reversal or at least, a push below the breakout level. We have a rough double-top from the initial sell-off, then its follow-up, followed by a third push to the breakout point. We're three pushes up after the 152.000 breakout, a massive sell signal and follow-through at the 1990 Key Resistance Level of 160.400, and we've closed below the 4HR 200EMA. A similar pattern played out in October 2022 with some slight differences as seen here: October 2022 Pattern: This was the first time we touched 152.000 and had a massive sell-off, followed by the same meandering pullback to the 4HR 30EMA, which acted as a rough head-and-shoulders reversal pattern. However, the close was below the 4HR 30EMA on the pullback and above the 200EMA on the first bounce. This time, the pullback went above the 4HR 30EMA to touch the channel top and then closed below the 4HR 200EMA. That last point is a key difference. Both instances are clear reversal signals with follow-through, but the 160.000 rejection was much stronger with a close below the 4HR 200EMA. If the price comes back up to test that 200EMA and gets rejected, that's our signal to short. I would then be targeting levels below 152.000, where the price previously met resistance, which will now likely act as support. Those levels are 150.800 and 148.800. It's very possible we fall much further. But I recommend waiting for that rejection from the 4HR 200EMA and then short 1:2 Risk/Reward to those two key levels. It would be reasonable to swing 25%-50% of your position to lower levels if the price action warrants it. If the price does not get rejected at the 4HR 200EMA, we need to wait and see if the bullish pressure resumes and adjust our bias accordingly. We are still in the channel, the confirmed break below is what we need to justify getting short. 💡 Trade Idea 💡 Short Entry: 153.550 🟥 Stop Loss: 155.800 ✅ Take Profit: 149.050 ⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2 🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑 1. Three pushes up after the 152.000 breakout to the key level of 160.400 2. Strong rejection and follow-through back down to the 152.000 level 3. This strong volatility at the end of a trend is a sign of a reversal 4. Enter a 1:2 Risk/Reward trade down to 149.050. Potentially swing some of your position lower. 5. RSI at 35.00 and below the Moving Average, supports pullback before fall. 💰 Trading Tip 💰 The longer a trend continues after 3 legs, the probability of that trend continuing lessens. Because of this decreased probability, we ought to reduce our risk when entering trades and start looking for reversals. ⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️ Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk! Like 👍 and Follow to learn more about: 1. Reading Price Action 2. Chart Analysis 3. Trade Management 4. Trading Psychology
Short
by TraderEngineering
3
USDJPY: Japanese Yen reverses some gains, USDJPY risesThe Japanese yen USDJPY rose 0.6% on Monday, although trading volumes in the currency were limited due to a market holiday in Japan. The rate is inversely linked to the strength of the yen, which has fallen sharply from a 34-year high of more than 160 yen last week amid signs of repeated government intervention in currency markets. But given that the fundamentals behind the yen's weakness - primarily the wide gap between US and domestic interest rates - remain, the yen's decline continues.
Long
by Chart_MasterPro
1
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Short
by Thief_Trader
USDJPY → Trade Analysis | SELL SetupHello Traders, here is the full analysis. I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity USDJPY I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment. Support the idea with like and follow my profile TO SEE MORE. Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 🤝 Patience is the If You Have Any Question, Feel Free To Ask 🤗 Just follow chart with idea and analysis and when you are ready come in THE GROVE | VIP GROUP, earn more and safe, wait for the signal at the right moment and make money with us💰
Short
by TheGrove
9
USDJPY: Japan resolves currency concerns with the USThe US greenback has visible wide appreciation this year, in large part because of expectancies of a put off withinside the Federal Reserve`s circulate to reduce hobby rates. However, the yen and received have weakened appreciably towards the greenback in comparison to maximum different currencies. Following the joint statement, the yen noticed a healing as markets predicted feasible intervention, even as the received additionally stabilized. The communicate included loads of topics, together with cooperation towards "monetary coercion and overcapacity in key sectors" with the aid of using different countries, a message simply aimed toward Beijing. Still, the forex difficulty has attracted good sized marketplace interest and is a political victory for Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida, who's grappling with low approval rankings because the price of residing rises. High. In Japan, actual wages fell for 23 consecutive months thru February, regardless of large groups supplying pay increases. A vulnerable yen worsens the state of affairs for a rustic that is based closely on imports including gas and food.
Short
by Chart_MasterPro
2
USDJPY capitulates before BOJ blows up this summerThe FED is either: A. Going to be hawkish and provoke a mini-meltdown before another FED speaker comes out next week and hints at rate cuts in June for sure. B. Going to be dovish Either way, USDJPY will fall to 97 area, bringing a roar of inflation back into the limelight. People will think it's the death of the dollar, but what happens here is the opposite everywhere else since the dollar TVC:DXY is the reserve currency. This means when the dollar comes down, inflation goes up HERE - which means everyone else experiences DEFLATION. Deflation will force higher unemployement and a destruction of their foreign export base which is everyone. This will force them (especially the BOJ) to print their own currency forcing the dollar higher up past 140-160+. This will explode the foreign currencies with ours being last. By this time there will be enough chaos that the central bankers will hope people will clamour for their enslaving CBDC's which allows them to have negative interest rates based on social credit scores.
Short
by EmptyEternity
2
usdjpy signalUSD/JPY is the forex ticker that shows the value of the US Dollar against the Japanese Yen. It tells traders how many Yen are needed to buy a US Dollar. The Dollar-Yen is one of the most traded forex pairs - second only to EUR/USD - and is a benchmark for Asian economic health and even the global economy. View the live Dollar-Yen rate with the USD/JPY chart and improve your technical and fundamental analysis with the latest USD/JPY forecast, news and analysis. The Japanese Yen remains depressed near a multi-decade low amid the BoJ’s dovish outlook. Reduced Fed rate cut bets lift the USD to a fresh YTD top and further lend support to USD/JPY. Intervention fears and a softer risk tone could help limit deeper losses for the safe-haven JPY. From a technical perspective, the recent breakout through a short-term trading range hurdle near the 152.00 round figure and the subsequent move up was seen as a fresh trigger for bullish traders. That said, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily chart is flashing overbought conditions, making it prudent to wait for some near-term consolidation or a modest pullback before positioning for any further gains. Meanwhile, any meaningful corrective slide below the 154.00 mark is likely to attract fresh buyers and remain limited near the 153.40-153.35 region.
Short
by Mark804
SHORT USD/JPY from 153.91Since the open last night USD/JPY has pushed stronlgy higher, so much so that the price has already reached the WR1 weekly pivot. Its a never ending mystery to me why everyone doesn't use weekly pivots as they are lines of interest on the charts known at the start of the week and when price reaches weekly support (WS1) or weekly resistance (WR1) there's a high chance buerrs ar sellers will be lying in wait. Usually price hits these pivot levels during the week and its unusual to see the price reached before lunch on Monday (if you're in the UK). Its not a hard and fast rule that price will always reverse when it hits WR1 or WS1 (we'd all be millionaires if it did) so we need other confirming signs that the price may reverse. ON this pair: a). we have a pinbar followed by 3 dogi indecision candles on H1. b). RSI has been over 70 for the last 6 hours and is beginnign to decline. c). The fast MA on MACD is weakenig and heading south (we haven't crossed the slow MA so its not certain we are heaed lower d). The R/R is massive as we can get a STOP on this trade just above the WR1 pivot at 154.05 (14 pips). e) Target could be anything and will depend on what happens in 40 minutes when get Core Retail Sales, Retail Sales and Empire State numbers but initial target is the 200 EMA on H1 at 152.42 (+149 pips) e). The green BUY line of the Andean Oscillator has crossed south over the signal line and the red SELL line has risen from zero. f). The entire structure is an M-Top on the 15m time frame. With luck I can get this trade at b/e before the news at 13:30. If the news comes out in green numbers then this trade is doomed but if the print misses then we should see USD/JP decline by 100 pips at least over the next 24 hours.
Short
by forextraplaces
USD/JPY back in a strong resistance zone - SHORT from 151.90I'm SHORT USD/JPY for the following reasons: a). Price is back at a confirmed area of resistance last hit on 3rd April and 27th March b). The Andean Oscillator on 15m time frame has seen a rise of the red SELL line and is now reading .0082 having been at .0027 previous candle and .0010 candle before that having been reading zero for several bars. c). Andean Oscillator has just signalled a BUY trade on EUR/USD, GBP/USD suggesting the USD is losing support. d). Andean Oscillator is suggesting a SELL on USD/CAD confirming that the USD is coming under SELLING pressure. e). Price has broken the 20 EMA on 15M and is pushing through the 50 EMA f). MACD is signalling SELL as the fast MA has croseed south under the slow MA. g). RSI has been decling for the last 4 bars having reached the resistance zone. Taken all together this looks a decent SELL trade though we do not have as many confirmations as we would like but as there's a natural STOP just above the recent high and this STOP is just 10 pips above our entry then the reward for this trade should the selling pressure on USD increase is potentially very good as our initial target would be WPP mid pivot/200 EMA at 151.48. There is an absense of news this week until Wednesday when US CPI numbers are printed so the market will drive the price over the next several sessions.
Short
by forextraplaces
Usdjpy short USD/JPY is the forex ticker that shows the value of the US Dollar against the Japanese Yen. It tells traders how many Yen are needed to buy a US Dollar. The Dollar-Yen is one of the most traded forex pairs - second only to EUR/USD - and is a benchmark for Asian economic health and even the global economy. View the live Dollar-Yen rate with the USD/JPY chart and improve your technical and fundamental analysis with the latest USD/JPY forecast, news and analysis. The Japanese Yen struggles to capitalize on the overnight modest uptick against the USD. The BoJ’s dovish stance undermines the JPY, though intervention fears limit the downside. Reduced bets for a June Fed rate cut should lend support to the Greenback and USD/JPY. Once surpassed, the next support emerges at the Senkou Span A at 10.17, followed by the Kijun-Sen at 149.23. Further weakness in the pair could send it toward the Senkou Span B at 148.93, well inside the Ichimoku Cloud (Kumo). Confirm signal
Short
by JohnHarry_7
usdjpy shortUSD/JPY is the forex ticker that shows the value of the US Dollar against the Japanese Yen. It tells traders how many Yen are needed to buy a US Dollar. The Dollar-Yen is one of the most traded forex pairs - second only to EUR/USD - and is a benchmark for Asian economic health and even the global economy. View the live Dollar-Yen rate with the USD/JPY chart and improve your technical and fundamental analysis with the latest USD/JPY forecast, news and analysis. The Japanese Yen fails to lure buyers despite intervention fears and the risk-off impulse. The BoJ’s cautious outlook continues to undermine the JPY and lend support to USD/JPY. Reduced bets for a June Fed rate cut lift the USD to a multi-week top and act as a tailwind. From a technical perspective, the range-bound price action witnessed over the past two weeks or so might still be categorized as a bullish consolidation phase against the backdrop of the recent rally from the March swing low. Moreover, oscillators on the daily chart are holding comfortably in the positive territory and have also eased from overbought conditions, suggesting that the path of least resistance for the USD/JPY pair is to the upside. That said, it will still be prudent to wait for a move beyond a multi-decade high, around the 152.00 mark set last week, before positioning for any further gains.
Short
by Mark804
USDJPY SELL | Day Trading AnalysisHello Traders, here is the full analysis. I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity USDJPY I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment. Support the idea with like and follow my profile TO SEE MORE. Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 🤝 Patience is the If You Have Any Question, Feel Free To Ask 🤗 Just follow chart with idea and analysis and when you are ready come in THE GROVE | VIP GROUP, earn more and safe, wait for the signal at the right moment and make money with us💰
Short
by TheGrove
1