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USD/JPY 4-Hour Chart Analysis4-hour chart displays the price movement of the U.S. Dollar against the Japanese Yen (USD/JPY) from June to August 2025. The chart shows a significant upward trend in July, followed by a correction. Key levels are highlighted, including support at 147.031 and resistance at 150.130, with the current price at 148.809. The chart suggests a potential bullish continuation, as indicated by the upward arrow and green box, targeting higher levels above 150.000.
Long
by Alee_Gold_Trader
USD/JPY 4-Hour Forex Chart4-hour performance of the U.S. Dollar (USD) against the Japanese Yen (JPY) from late June to mid-July 2025, sourced from FOREX.com. The current exchange rate is 147.436, with a 1.178 (+0.81%) increase. Key levels include a sell price of 147.393 and a buy price of 147.479. The chart shows a recent upward trend with a resistance zone highlighted between 147.436 and 148.092, and support around 146.598. Candlestick patterns indicate volatility, with notable price movements around early July.
Short
by Alee_Gold_Trader
USDJPY LONG & SHORT – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | D15 | W29 | Y25💼 USDJPY LONG & SHORT – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | D15 | W29 | Y25 📊 MARKET STRUCTURE SNAPSHOT USDJPY is currently reaching for a key higher time frame supply zone, looking for price action to show weakness at premium levels. Structure and momentum are now aligning for a short opportunity backed by multi-timeframe confluence. 🔍 Confluences to Watch 📝 ✅ Daily Order Block (OB) Looking for Strong reaction and early signs of distribution. ✅ 4H Order Block Break of internal structure (iBoS) confirms a short-term bearish transition. ✅ 1H Order Block 📈 Risk Management Protocols 🔑 Core principles: Max 1% risk per trade Only execute at pre-identified levels Use alerts, not emotion Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2 🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk. 🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight "Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants." Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work. 🏁 Final Thoughts from FRGNT 📌 The structure is clear. The confluences are stacked. Let execution follow discipline, not emotion.
Short
by JCFRGNT
USDJPY: Bearish Divergence – Eyeing Shorts to 143 CAPITALCOM:USDJPY We’re seeing strong bearish divergence in USDJPY near the 148 resistance zone, shifting our focus to short opportunities with a medium-term target at 142. 📈 Trading Plan: 🔻 SELL Stop: 147.040 ❌ Stop Loss: 149.220 ✅ Take Profit: 143.000 (Click 👉 Trade Now 👈 on your mobile to copy SL & TP easily) 🔍 Why am I short here? ✅ Technical: Clear bearish divergence on the H4 (RSI & MACD), indicating potential reversal signals. ✅ Resistance Zone: Price is testing the key 148 resistance, providing an ideal risk-reward location for shorts. ✅ Macro Event: Ahead of tomorrow’s US CPI release, a conservative trade structure is maintained to manage volatility risks. 📰 Fundamental Snapshot: Japan’s economy shows signs of stabilization: Core machinery orders fell only 0.6% MoM in May to ¥913.5B, much better than April’s -9.1% and forecasts of -1.5%. Despite the headline decline, it indicates resilience in Japan’s capital spending, supporting the JPY’s medium-term outlook amid global trade and growth risks. Trade cautiously!
Short
by ProfessorSingapore
1
USDJPY – Key Support Bounce with Macro TailwindsUSDJPY is bouncing off a key trendline and 61.8% Fib zone (143.25–143.60) with confluence across multiple JPY crosses (EURJPY, AUDJPY, CADJPY). This area has historically triggered strong upside momentum, and the current setup aligns with both technical structure and macro drivers. 📊 Fundamentals Supporting the Move: ✅ US Yields Stable: US10Y is holding above 4.20%, keeping USDJPY supported. If yields push back toward 4.30%, expect USDJPY to retest 145.30 and potentially 147.80. ✅ BoJ Dovish: Japan shows no shift in policy. Despite weak Tankan data, BoJ remains patient, and no meaningful rate hike or YCC change is expected soon. ✅ USD Macro Resilience: Core PCE held firm at 2.6%. Focus now shifts to ISM Services PMI (Wed) and NFP (Fri). Markets are still pricing a soft landing – supporting risk-on and a stronger USD. ✅ JPY as a Fading Safe Haven: Even with geopolitical headlines (Trump tariff tensions, Taiwan, Middle East), JPY demand remains weak. Traders are favoring USD and Gold over JPY as risk hedges. ⚠️ Risks to Watch: Dovish US Data Surprise: Weak NFP or ISM could drag yields down and trigger USDJPY reversal. Verbal or Actual BoJ Intervention: If we approach 148.50–150, Japan may step in again. Geopolitical Escalation: Any sharp risk-off could trigger safe haven demand for JPY, though this has underperformed recently. 🔎 Correlation Dynamics: 📈 USDJPY is leading JPY crosses like EURJPY and AUDJPY. The recent bounce started simultaneously across the JPY complex, with USDJPY slightly ahead. 📉 If US yields drop or risk sentiment shifts, USDJPY may lag gold or bonds but eventually catch up. 🧠 Trading Plan: 📍 Entry Zone: 143.30–143.60 (trendline + Fib confluence) 🎯 Target 1: 145.30 (38.2% Fib) 🎯 Target 2: 147.80 (channel resistance) 🛑 Invalidation: Daily close below 141.50 with US yields breaking down 📅 Upcoming Events to Watch: Wed July 3: ISM Services PMI (key for USD reaction) Fri July 5: US Non-Farm Payrolls + Average Hourly Earnings JPY Risk: Verbal intervention possible near 148+ 🧭 Summary: USDJPY is positioned for a bullish continuation, backed by: Rising yields Resilient US macro Weak JPY fundamentals Technical structure respecting trendline support Short-term traders can target the 145–147.80 range ahead of NFP, with a tight eye on yield and risk sentiment. 📌 If this analysis helps, drop a like and follow for more real-time macro-technical breakdowns. Stay nimble ahead of NFP! 🧠📈
Long
by ultreosforex
17
USD/JPY) back down Trend Read The captionSMC trading point update Technical analysis of USD/JPY (U.S. Dollar / Japanese Yen) on the 3-hour timeframe, anticipating a rejection from a descending trendline resistance and a move down toward key support levels. --- Analysis Overview: Trend Bias: Bearish correction expected Structure: Price is reacting at a descending trendline, which has held as resistance on multiple occasions. Indicators: EMA 200 (144.756): Price is currently above, but projected to break below it. RSI (14): Overbought at ~74, signaling potential for a reversal. --- Key Technical Components: 1. Descending Trendline Resistance: Price is approaching/has touched a well-respected downtrend line, marked by three strong rejections (red arrows). This trendline has consistently capped bullish moves, indicating strong seller interest. 2. Bearish Reversal Expectation: The projected path suggests a potential fake breakout or double-top, followed by a steep decline. A two-stage drop is anticipated, with price first targeting the EMA 200 zone, then extending lower. 3. Target Points: First target: Around 145.244, near EMA 200. Final target: 143.048, aligning with the key support zone (highlighted in yellow), where price previously bounced. 4. RSI (14): Currently overbought (73.29), signaling a likely retracement. Prior peaks at this level led to notable corrections. --- Trade Setup Idea: Parameter Level Entry Near current price (~146.85) if bearish pattern confirms Stop-Loss Above trendline (~147.30–147.50) Target 1 145.24 (EMA 200 zone) Target 2 143.05 (Support zone) This setup offers a high-probability short opportunity if resistance holds. --- Risk Factors: Upcoming economic events could trigger volatility (news icon marked). A clean breakout and close above the trendline (~147.50+) would invalidate this bearish thesis. Mr SMC Trading point --- Summary: The analysis suggests a potential USD/JPY reversal from a descending trendline, supported by overbought RSI and prior rejections. The bearish projection targets a move toward 143.048, following a dip below the EMA 200 level at 145.244. Please support boost 🚀 this analysis)
Short
by SMC-Trading-Point
4
USDJPY h4 strongly downBearish Expectation Disruption / Bullish Counterpoint Resistance (147.5) Rejection and drop Breakout and continuation toward 148.5+ Breakout FVG Fakeout and reversal True breakout — bullish trend continues Bullish Zone (~144) Clean break below Accumulation zone, strong buying interest may emerge Target (~143) Next leg down May not be reached if price stabilizes above 145 Support (~142.5) Final drop destination Could become irrelevant if trend flips decisively bullish Original Assumption: Market is behaving in isolation from fundamentals. Disruption: If U.S. data (e.g., strong NFP, CPI, or Fed commentary) supports rate hikes, USD/JPY may remain bid and breakout to 148+ instead of reversing. Watch For: Strong dollar narrative or dovish BOJ language.
Short
by Zara_FVG
21
USD/JPY) Back support level Read The captionSMC trading point update Technical analysis of USD/JPY pair using a combination of price action, resistance/support levels, and indicators. Here's a breakdown of the idea behind the analysis: --- Chart Breakdown (2H - USD/JPY) 1. Key Zones: Resistance Level (Yellow Box at Top): Price has previously been rejected from this zone multiple times. Recent bearish wicks and aggressive sell-offs are marked by red arrows—showing strong seller interest. Support Level / Target Point (Bottom Yellow Box): Price has found strong buying interest around 142.142. This zone is the anticipated downside target if the bearish scenario plays out. 2. Bearish Bias Justification: Liquidity Grab / Fakeout (labeled “fug”): The price briefly broke above the smaller resistance block but quickly reversed. This "fake breakout" often traps buyers, strengthening the bearish case. EMA 200 (Blue Line): Price is currently near or slightly under the 200 EMA (144.553), suggesting a potential rejection area aligning with resistance. RSI Indicator: RSI shows divergence and has not confirmed a bullish breakout. The values (56.77 and 42.82) indicate loss of bullish momentum. 3. Projection (Black Lines): The black zig-zag lines represent a forecasted drop to the support level. Suggests a short setup near 144.50–145.00 with targets near 142.14. Mr SMC Trading point --- Summary: Bias: Bearish Entry Zone: Near resistance area (144.50–145.00) Target: 142.142 (support zone) Invalidation: Strong break above 145.00 and hold Confirmation: Rejection from resistance with bearish candle pattern --- Please support boost 🚀 this analysis)
Short
by SMC-Trading-Point
5
USD/JPY) bearish Trand analysis Read The captionSMC trading point update Technical analysis of USD/JPY (U.S. Dollar vs Japanese Yen) on the 1-hour timeframe. Here's a clear breakdown of the idea presented: --- Overview of the Setup Current Price: 144.620 EMA 200 (Blue Line): 144.973 – price is trading below the EMA, indicating bearish momentum. Resistance Zone: Around 145.000 – 145.500 Support/Target Zone: Around 142.799 RSI Indicator: ~51.11 – neutral zone (not overbought or oversold) --- Interpretation of Chart Structure 1. Resistance Level: Price tested the resistance zone and sharply rejected it. This zone has held multiple times historically, making it strong. 2. EMA 200 as Resistance: Price rejected just under the EMA, further confirming downside pressure. 3. Bearish Flag / Rising Wedge Breakdown: There is a visible bearish continuation pattern (likely a rising wedge or bear flag). Price is projected to break down from this pattern, continuing the downtrend. 4. Measured Move Projection: Previous drop of ~230 pips (-1.5%) is mirrored for the next expected move. The same size move projects the price to reach the target zone around 142.799. 5. Support/Target Zone: Marked as the final take-profit zone. Corresponds with historical demand and likely buyer interest. --- Trade Idea Summary Bias: Bearish Entry Idea: After breakdown confirmation below wedge structure or rejection from resistance zone. Target: 142.799 Stop-Loss Consideration: Above the resistance zone (~145.500) or just above the recent swing high. Confirmation: Breakdown of rising wedge + below EMA + repeated resistance rejections. Mr SMC Trading point --- Key Considerations Upcoming News Events (Three Icons): These symbols signal potential USD or JPY volatility, so watch out for data releases that could disrupt the pattern. RSI Neutral: RSI is not yet oversold, allowing room for more downside before hitting exhaustion levels. False Breakouts Possible: Price may fake a break upward before continuing lower – wait for strong candle confirmation if entering a trade. plesse support boost 🚀 this analysis)
Short
by SMC-Trading-Point
7
USD/JPY Bearish Flag (30.06.2025)The USD/JPY Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bearish Flag Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 143.40 2nd Support – 142.86 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
84
SELL: USDJPY 144.75 Trade Recommendation – 1H Chart🎯 Trade Setup: Sell Entry Zone: 144.75 – 144.78 Stop Loss (SL): 145.15 Take Profit (TP): 142.60 Risk:Reward Ratio (R:R): Approx. 1:4 → Excellent for swing or intraday setups 📊 Technical Analysis Breakdown: 1. Strong Resistance Zone – High Reversal Probability: The 144.75–144.78 zone: A clear historical resistance area with multiple rejections in the past Converges with the SMA 89 (red line) → acts as a strong dynamic resistance Price has consistently formed lower highs around this region → showing selling pressure is building 2. Volume Analysis – Distribution Signals: Volume slightly increased as price approached the resistance but did not accompany a breakout No “breakout volume” → Indicates possible distribution phase, not accumulation → Favoring SELL positions 3. Price Action & Pattern: The structure is forming lower highs – a key sign of bearish momentum After the sharp rejection from the 145.22 zone (June 26), the market has shifted toward a bearish correction cycle 4. Target Area – Key Support: 142.60 is a well-defined support level: Matches a previous major low Corresponds with a high-liquidity zone from prior trading sessions Ideal area to take profit before any potential bounce ⚠️ Risk Management Notes: Trade confirmation increases if you see bearish candlestick signals (e.g., bearish engulfing, pin bar) in the entry zone Exit immediately if price breaks and closes above 145.15 with strong volume – that invalidates the bearish setup
Short
by HungDaoGlobalTrading
1
USD/JPY) bearish Trand analysis Read The captionSMC trading point update Technical analysis of USD/JPY on the 3-hour timeframe, highlighting a breakdown from trendline resistance and projecting a move toward a significant downside target. --- Technical Breakdown 1. Trendline Rejection Price sharply rejected from the descending resistance trendline near 148.00 (red arrow), forming a potential lower high. This suggests continuation of the broader downtrend structure. 2. Break Below EMA 200 Price has broken below the 200 EMA (144.752), signaling a shift in momentum from bullish to bearish. EMA is likely to act as dynamic resistance if price attempts a pullback. 3. Bearish Projection The chart outlines a measured move downward toward the target point at 139.955, implying a drop of over 5.36% (approximately 770 pips). The projected path shows lower highs and lower lows, confirming bearish structure. 4. RSI Confirmation RSI (14) is currently at 29.98, indicating oversold conditions, but this often supports strong momentum in trending markets—suggesting a possible continuation lower after minor retracements. Mr SMC Trading point --- Conclusion / Idea Summary Bias: Bearish Entry: After trendline rejection and EMA 200 break (~144.75) Target: 139.955 Invalidation: Break above 148.00 resistance trendline --- Please support boost 🚀 this analysis)
Short
by SMC-Trading-Point
1