USD/JPY) bullish trend analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of USD/JPY chart shows a bullish reversal setup. Here’s a breakdown behind the analysis:
1. Downtrend & Channel Breakout:
Price was trending downward within a descending channel (marked “channel trend”).
Recently, the price broke out of the channel, signaling a potential trend reversal.
2. Demand Zone (Diamond Zone):
The yellow box labeled “Diamond Zone” represents a demand/support zone where price previously found buyers.
A retest of this zone is expected before the bullish move.
3. EMA (200):
The EMA (200) is currently above the price but close. A break above this level (142.522) could add to bullish momentum.
4. RSI Indicator:
RSI is showing a bounce off a mid-level (~50), suggesting bullish momentum is gaining.
5. Target Level:
The analysis targets 147.838, which aligns with a prior resistance zone.
The move projects a 5.19% gain (~778.5 pips) from the current setup.
Trading Idea Summary:
Entry: Around the “Diamond Zone” after a successful retest.
Confirmation: Watch for bullish candlestick patterns or a break above EMA 200.
Target: 147.838
Stop Loss (implied): Below the Diamond Zone (~140.000)
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
Usdjpyshort
USDJPY Idea for short....This chart is a trade setup for the USD/JPY currency pair on a 1-hour timeframe. Here's a breakdown of the key elements in the chart:
Pair: USD/JPY
Timeframe: 1 Hour
🔸 Entry Zone (Sell Area):
Marked in light orange
Price range approximately from 143.000 to 142.710
This is the suggested zone to enter a short (sell) trade.
🔴 Stop Loss (SL):
Level: 143.660
If the price hits this level, the trade should be exited to limit loss.
✅ Targets:
Target 1: 141.828
Target 2: 141.105
Final Target: 140.196
These are take-profit levels where you can partially or fully close the trade to secure profits.
📈 Trade Idea:
The strategy shown in the chart is a short setup, expecting the price to reverse downward after entering the sell zone. The trader anticipates a decline toward the targets, with a clear risk-to-reward plan.
Still bullish on the downward trend, the latest trading strategyToday, the DXY has recovered somewhat, leading to an increase in the USD/JPY exchange rate.
However, the overall trend is still downward. The continuous criticism of Federal Reserve Chairman Powell by U.S. President Trump has dampened market confidence in the U.S. dollar. Due to the strong bearish sentiment towards the U.S. dollar in the current market and the fact that the USD/JPY is technically in a downward trend, before effectively breaking through the upper resistance level, one can consider going short on rallies.
Trading Strategy:
sell@141.500 - 141.000
TP:140.500-140.000
The signals last week resulted in continuous profits, and accurate signals were shared daily.
👇 signals👇
USDJPY:Still under pressure. Sharing the latest trading strategyThe credibility crisis of the U.S. dollar has intensified 😰. The DXY has dropped sharply to 98 📉, causing the USD/JPY exchange rate to fall to above 140.400. (👉signals👉)
Currently, the U.S. dollar remains under pressure, and the downward trend has not been fully reversed. Pay attention to the resistance level near 143.300 (It seems there is a mistake in your original text where you wrote 43.300. Considering the context of USD/JPY, it should likely be 143.300) 🎯. Wait for a rebound and then take a short position 📉.
Trading Strategy:
sell@141.500 - 141.000
TP:140.500-140.000
The signals last week resulted in continuous profits, and accurate signals were shared daily.
👇 signals👇
Japanese Yen seems poised to appreciate further against weaker UFrom a technical perspective, the daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) is already flashing slightly oversold conditions and warrants some caution for bearish traders. Hence, it will be prudent to wait for some near-term consolidation or a modest bounce before positioning for an extension of the USD/JPY pair's well-established downtrend witnessed over the past three months or so.
In the meantime, attempted recovery might now confront some resistance near the 141.60-141.65 region. This is followed by the 142.00 round figure and the 142.40-142.45 hurdle, above which a fresh bout of a short-covering move could lift the USD/JPY pair to the 143.00 mark en route to the 143.25-143.30 zone. Any further move up, however, might still be seen as a selling opportunity.
On the flip side, a sustained break and acceptance below the 141.00 mark could be seen as a fresh trigger for bearish traders and makes the USD/JPY pair vulnerable. The subsequent downfall below the 140.45-140.40 intermediate support might expose the 140.00 psychological mark. The downward trajectory could extend to the 2024 yearly swing low, around the 139.60-139.55 region.
USDJPY Outlook – Bearish Continuation or Bullish Reversal??In this analysis, I'm breaking down the USDJPY structure starting from the 4H to identify the overall market direction (Bearish/Sells), then zooming into the 1H to fine-tune potential trade setups.
On the 4H timeframe, we’re assessing whether the recent bearish momentum is likely to continue or if price action is showing early signs of a bullish reversal. The LOW created at 141.800 level is our first target IF we continue to sell as its creating that LowerLow.
IF price closes bullish above 142.500, I will switch sides and look for potential buys.
On the 1H timeframe, I’m watching for a bullish liquidity sweep below141.888, followed by a clear break of structure to the upside on the 15m or 1H for more confirmation. That would indicate smart money accumulation and a potential shift in market sentiment—giving me confirmation to start looking for long setups.
🚀 Give me a boost and follow for upcoming $niper entries this week! 🦇🔥
CMCMARKETS:USDJPY
Yen Outlook: Preparing for the Coming Week! During the recent short trading week, we did not observe significant changes in the portfolios of major players. No outflows or overbought conditions—this indicates that the targets remain unchanged, and we are getting closer to the 0.0072 mark. 📊
I recall how, back in mid-December of last year, we noticed the first signs of volume accumulation in the portfolio. It felt like discovering a new horizon! We shared this insight with our subscribers, allowing us to prepare a plan in advance and identify well-founded entry points for the rise of the yen futures. 🚀
Currently, as we maintain a long position on the futures (or a short on the dollar/yen pair), it is essential to keep in mind the boundaries of the expected volatility range.
We have marked these on the chart: the yellow rectangle for Monday and the red rectangle for the upcoming week. 📅
Given the sustained positive sentiment surrounding yen futures, opening a long position as the price approaches the lower boundary of the range could present an excellent opportunity . As indicated by the arrows on the screenshot, don’t miss your chance! 🎯
Summary, we see that the yen continues to be in focus, and we have a clear action plan. We are holding our long position, monitoring the range boundaries, and preparing for the opportunities the market presents. 🌈
No Valuable Data, No Edge!
USD/JPY Dynamics & Investment StrategiesOn Wednesday, the USD/JPY exchange rate kept falling, trading around 141.950 with a drop of about 0.90%. Weakened by the US dollar's continuous decline, it hit a low of 141.645 and then recovered slightly. The yen's appreciation was due to the dollar's weakness, as new US tariff plans caused selling pressure on the dollar. Trump's call to investigate key mineral import tariffs added to investors' anxiety.
The USD/JPY was consolidating around 143.20. A downward break might lead to 141.70, the third wave of decline, while an upward break could trigger a pullback to 145.00, supported by the MACD indicator. It formed a wider consolidation range between 142.46 and 144.07 with a triangular pattern. Breaking above might cause a rally to 145.00, also supported by the Stochastic Oscillator.
The yen's rapid appreciation reflected the dollar's weakness and Japan's manufacturing optimism. However, trade policy uncertainty and technical patterns suggest the exchange rate will remain volatile, with key levels at 141.70 (downside) and 145.00 (upside).
Investment itself doesn't carry risks; it's only when investment is out of control that risks arise. When trading, always remember not to act on impulse. I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate without any mistakes for a whole month. No matter what gains or losses you've had in the past, with my help, you have the hope of achieving a breakthrough in your investment.
USDCAD and USDJPY Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USD/JPY) demand and supply analysis ); Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
shows a bearish setup for USD/JPY on the 1-hour timeframe. Here’s a breakdown
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1. Trend Context:
Downtrend: The pair is clearly in a bearish channel, forming lower highs and lower lows.
200 EMA (~146.297) is above price and sloping down — confirms bearish bias.
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2. Key Zones Identified:
Supply Zone (~144.800–145.200): A strong area of resistance where sellers may re-enter. If price returns here, it’s a potential short setup.
Demand Zone (~142.800–143.100): A possible reaction point where short-term buyers may provide a bounce.
Target Point (~141.168): A projected target if the downtrend continues and demand zone fails.
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3. Expected Scenarios:
Primary Bearish Move:
Price may react from current levels or from the demand zone.
A pullback to the supply zone is expected before continuation downward.
Then, sell-off toward the target zone around 141.168.
Alternate Play:
Price could bounce between the demand and supply zones a bit more before breaking down.
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4. Indicators:
RSI (~46.37): Shows room to the downside before oversold, aligning with bearish momentum.
Mild bullish divergence in RSI recently, suggesting potential for a small pullback or bounce.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Summary of Idea:
This is a sell setup:
Sell entries: Ideal around the supply zone (144.8–145.2).
First target: Demand zone (~143.0)
Final target: 141.168
Invalidation: Break above 146.30 (200 EMA and channel resistance).
pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow,)
USD/JPY: Yen's Bull Run Amid UncertaintyThis week, the Japanese yen made a remarkable performance in the foreign exchange market. The USD/JPY exchange rate started with a significant decline. Reaching a high on Monday, it then trended downwards and hit a low of 142.050 during the week. By Friday, it closed at 143.486, registering a weekly drop of around 1.35%.
In the context of surging market risk - averse sentiment, the yen became a much - sought - after asset. Although its appreciation against the US dollar was relatively moderate, its volatility increased substantially. This sharp rise in volatility clearly shows that the market's appetite for the yen as a safe - haven currency has grown rapidly.
The ongoing Russia - Ukraine conflict remains a major source of uncertainty in the global financial arena. Coupled with tariff - related discussions and potential trade - policy changes, these factors have further enhanced the yen's attractiveness as a safe - haven. Additionally, the US dollar index has dropped to a two - year low. This decline has relieved the downward pressure on the USD/JPY exchange rate, enabling the yen to gain some ground.
The yen's strength this week mainly stems from the weakness of the US dollar and the influx of risk - averse capital. Looking ahead in the short - term, the USD/JPY exchange rate is expected to test the 143.00 level. The Russia - Ukraine situation and persistent trade uncertainties will likely continue to support the yen. Moreover, the market's close attention to the Bank of Japan's monetary policies may exacerbate the yen's volatility.
The bullish momentum of the yen is steadily accumulating. If the US dollar continues to be under pressure, there is a high probability that the USD/JPY exchange rate could decline towards 142.00. However, it should be noted that currency markets are highly complex and prone to sudden reversals. Even though the current trends indicate continued strengthening of the yen, unforeseen geopolitical events or shifts in central - bank policies could quickly change the market situation.
Investment itself doesn't carry risks; it's only when investment is out of control that risks arise. When trading, always remember not to act on impulse. I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate without any mistakes for a whole month. No matter what gains or losses you've had in the past, with my help, you have the hope of achieving a breakthrough in your investment.
Traders, if this concept fits your style or you have insights, comment! I'm keen to hear.
USDJPY:Trading Strategy for Next WeekIn view of the fact that the US dollar is currently facing multiple pressures and the Japanese yen is strong, the USD/JPY is likely to remain under pressure in the short term. If the exchange rate stabilizes above 143.00, one can attempt to take a short position in USD/JPY with a light position, targeting the range of 142.00 - 141.00. If the exchange rate breaks below 143.00, one can add to the short position following the trend, with the target set at the lower range of 140.00 - 139.00.
The signals last week resulted in continuous profits, and accurate signals were shared daily.
USD/JPY Bullish Breakout Setup – Entry, Stop Loss & Target AnalyPair: USD/JPY
Timeframe: 15 minutes
Indicators Used:
EMA (30-period) – Red line
EMA (200-period) – Blue line
Chart Features:
Downward channel (declining trendline)
Identified entry point, stop loss, and target
Key support/resistance zones shaded in purple
🟢 Trade Idea Summary:
🔹Entry Point: 143.126
🔹Stop Loss: 142.702
🔹Target (Take Profit): 148.249
🔹Risk/Reward Ratio: ~1:5 (Excellent R/R)
🔍 Technical Analysis:
✅ Bullish Breakout Signal
Price has broken above the descending channel and has retested the breakout area (highlighted purple zone) – a classic bullish breakout structure.
The breakout retest near 143.126 is acting as support, with potential to launch a new bullish move.
📈 Moving Average Analysis
EMA 30 is starting to flatten and curve up – indicating potential shift in momentum.
EMA 200 is still above price, but a breakout above it could strengthen the bullish case.
🔁 Support and Resistance
Strong support zone around 143.000 – 143.200 area (highlighted zone).
Major resistance and target zone is between 148.000 – 148.250.
🔔 Trade Plan Suggestion:
Go Long at or near 143.126
Place Stop Loss below support at 142.702
Target 148.249 for profit
Reasoning:
This setup offers a trend reversal potential from a downtrend to uptrend, with a clean breakout-retest-confirmation pattern. The wide take profit range gives room for extended upside as momentum builds.
⚠️ Watch For:
Reaction to the 144.325 (EMA 200) level
Increased buying volume to confirm breakout
Any re-entry into the channel (would invalidate setup)
Quotes Dropping? Here’s How to Find Support & Gain Best DealHave you ever found yourself wondering how to make sense of fluctuating quotes?
What if I told you that the powerful key lies in understanding the power of expected range volatility?
Ready? Let me 5 min to introduce you how understanding expected range volatility can give you the edge you need to succeed.
The expected range volatility (ER) provides a framework for understanding how much the asset could move within a specific timeframe. Statistically, price movements within the expected volatility corridor have a 68% probability, based on CME market data and a Nobel Prize-winning calculation formula. This means that traders can rely on these insights as a powerful filter for making more precise entry points into trades.
Key insight: when the market is quiet, and we approach certain price levels, there’s a 68% chance that the price won’t break through those boundaries.
The ER formula is available on the CME exchange's website, and in just a few minutes, you can input the data to get incredible results. It’s truly amazing!
I remember the first time I stumbled upon the ER tool. It felt like finding a gold mine in the trading world! I was amazed that such a powerful resource was available for free, yet it remained unnoticed by 95% of traders.
At that moment, I began to explore the trading community and was shocked to see how underestimated this tool was. I couldn’t find a single author who utilized such valuable data in their analysis.
But once I began to focus on expected range volatility and the data provided by the CME, everything changed. Since that I never make intraday trades without ER data was checked.
Limitations:
• Market Dynamics: Short-term price movements can be unpredictable due to various factors like market sentiment, news, and economic events. The Expected Range provides a statistical estimate but does not guarantee outcomes.
• Assumptions: The formulas assume that price movements follow a log-normal distribution , which may not hold true in all market conditions.
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No Valuable Data - No Edge!🚀💰
USDJPY Bearish Flag Breakdown – Eyes on 140.11 Support ZoneUSDJPY is showing signs of a bearish continuation, following a breakdown from a rising wedge pattern. The recent strong drop confirms a shift in momentum from bullish to bearish, with price now forming a bear flag just below a key structure.
Key Technical Zones:
Current Price: 147.78
Resistance Area (Invalidation Zone): 148.11 – 151.44
Support Targets:
TP1: 142.87
TP2: 140.11
Technical Confluence & Patterns:
✅ Series of Rising Wedges followed by sharp breakdowns
✅ Bear Flag Pattern forming after recent drop
✅ Lower highs & lower lows confirming downtrend
✅ Volume spike during breakdown, low volume on pullback
Trade Outlook:
📉 Bias: Bearish below 148.11
📌 Entry Zone: On confirmation of flag breakdown
🎯 Target 1: 142.87 – Previous horizontal support
🎯 Target 2: 140.11 – Major swing support / demand zone
🛑 Invalidation: Break above 151.44 (major resistance zone)
Conclusion:
USDJPY is set up for a potential bearish continuation as it respects a textbook flag breakdown setup. A close below 147.50 would reinforce bearish pressure with further downside toward 142.87 and 140.11. Traders should monitor momentum and structure confirmation before entering positions.
Let me know if you want a short caption or video script version! 📉
Short! I opened two short positions yesterday. I have a few short positions that I opened last week, but I feel comfortable adding more now.
Entry - blue horizonal line in the chart.
Stop loss - red horizontal line in the chart.
Target 1, 2, 3 - black horizontal lines in the chart.
If it hit target one, I will move a stop loss to the entry position.Target 1 is the previous month low so I anticipate some correction. Once it resumes the downward movement, I plan to add position.
4H RSI provides reliable indication for pull back or trend reversal. So I will keep an eye on it.
If you are interested in knowing my reasoning for my bearish bias, please check out the linked articles I published last week.
USD/JPY Bearish Reversal Setup – Short from Resistance ZoneCurrent Price: ~146.252
EMA 30 (Red): ~146.573
EMA 200 (Blue): ~146.662
The price is below both EMAs, suggesting short-term bearish momentum.
📉 Trade Setup:
Entry Point: 146.551 (marked on the chart)
Stop Loss (SL): 148.514 (above resistance zone)
Take Profit (TP): 142.374 (marked as “EA TARGET POINT”)
Risk/Reward Ratio (RR): Approx. 1:2.5+
📌 Zone Analysis:
Resistance Zone: 147.6 – 148.5 (highlighted in purple)
Previous highs rejected from this level multiple times.
Sellers appear to be defending this zone strongly.
Support Zone: 142.3 – 143.0
Previous accumulation zone marked for the TP.
🧠 Bias & Interpretation:
Bearish Bias: Confirmed by:
Price rejection from resistance.
Below both EMA 30 & EMA 200.
Bearish engulfing patterns near the resistance zone.
Potential Strategy: Short from 146.551 targeting 142.374 with tight SL at 148.514.
⚠️ Watch for:
Any bullish crossover between EMA 30 and EMA 200 could shift momentum.
False breakouts above the resistance zone before actual reversal.
Key U.S. or Japan news that may cause volatility.
USDJPY SHORT LIVE TRADE AND EDUCATIONAL BREAKDOWNUSD/JPY tumbles below 147.00, awaits US CPI for fresh impetus
USD/JPY has come under intense selling presure and drops below 147.00 in the Asian session on Thursday. The US-China trade war escalation and the divergent BoJ-Fed policy expectations underpin the Japanese Yen and weigh heavily on the pair amid a renewed US Dollar downtick. US CPI awaited.
USDJPY Breakdown?Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USDJPY to continue in the downward move?USDJPY - 24h expiry
The rally was sold and the dip bought resulting in mild net gains yesterday.
Selling posted in Asia.
We have a Gap open at 147.02 from 04.04 to 06.04.
The medium term bias remains bearish.
A Fibonacci confluence area is located at 143.68.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
We look to Sell at 147.02 (stop at 148.02)
Our profit targets will be 143.68 and 143.10
Resistance: 147.02 / 148.09 / 150.49
Support: 144.58 / 143.68 / 143.07
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
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