USDJPY: The yen is at a 10-week low as the dollar rose for a fouThe Japanese yen remained near a 10-week low on Friday, with currency markets adjusting expectations around interest rate movements from global central banks. The yen traded slightly changed at 149.315 against the USD, after falling to 149.48 in the previous session, marking its lowest since November 27.
Bank of Japan Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida's comments on Thursday suggested the central bank is unwilling to raise interest rates quickly even after potentially ending its negative interest rate policy, which some Market participants predict it could happen as soon as next month.
Despite careful monitoring of foreign exchange movements by Japanese Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki, who reiterated that monetary policy decisions belong to the central bank, the yen did not show a significant reaction.
The dollar index, a gauge against six major currencies, remained steady at 104.15. It rose 0.1% on Thursday after data showed resilience in the US labor market, dampening expectations of an imminent interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve. For the week, the dollar index was up 0.18%, boosted by strong monthly payrolls data last Friday and hawkish comments from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell in a "60" interview. minutes" aired on Sunday.
Upcoming US economic data includes the Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation report for January, which will be released on Tuesday.
Traders have significantly reduced the odds of a rate cut at the Fed's March policy meeting to just 16.5%, down sharply from 65.9% a month ago, according to CME Group's FedWatch Tool .
Usdjpyshort
Bullish or bearish signs build in USD/JPY? Bullish or bearish signs build in USD/JPY?
The USD/JPY surpassed a crucial resistance level at 148.650 on Thursday and hit its highest value since November 2023.
The obvious next step is of course to explore the 150.00 threshold. However, any incremental advance beyond this point should be eyed with caution and uncertainty. The Yen faced is facing pressure due to dovish remarks from Bank of Japan (BoJ) Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida, where he emphasized a gradual approach to policy tightening.
On the other side of the trade, unexpected selling pressure might find defence around 148.300. Further downturns below this technical support may bring attention to 147.800, followed by 146.00. Notably, economists at ANZ Bank anticipate a near-term recovery for the JPY against the USD, projecting the USD/JPY to trade within the range of 146 to 148.50. A substantial decline to 136.00 is then envisaged by the end of 2024.
Sell USDJPY Bearish Channel The USD/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe displays a bearish signal due to a well-defined downward channel pattern, suggesting a potential selling opportunity in the coming minutes or hours.
Key Points:
Bearish Channel: The price has been confined within a descending channel characterized by two falling lines, one for resistance and one for support. This pattern indicates ongoing selling pressure and potential for further decline.
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 148.03, situated close to the channel resistance. This offers an entry point near a potential reversal zone.
Target Levels: Initial bearish targets lie at the support levels of 147.37 and 147.03, marking previous support zones within the channel.
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above the channel resistance line at 148.40. This helps limit potential losses if the trend breaks unexpectedly.
Yemi_Fx1 | Short Opportunity on USDJPY After three weeks of consolidation, USDJPY finally erupted, driven by the NFP release. This impulsive move respects the 90% rule.
However, the recent price action has formed a double top pattern, suggesting a potential reversal to the downside.
Based on the technical setup and potential reversal, I am biased towards a short position on USDJPY. I'm anticipating for continuation pattern for the move of price to the nearest support level at price 146.539
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USDJPY SHORT| SETUP → Day Trading AnalysisHello Traders, here is the full analysis.
I think we can soon see more fall from this range! Discernible indicators suggest a waning momentum within a descending price channel. GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity USDJPY
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
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USDJPY: Fed Chairman Powell: An interest rate cut in March is unFed Chairman Powell participated withinside the American tv program "60 Minutes":
With the economic system strong, we sense the want to take into account the timing of hobby price cuts carefully
Confidence is rising, however we need to be even greater assured as we take the `very critical step' of beginning to reduce hobby rates
Achieving desirable development on inflation
An early selection can be made if exertions marketplace weak spot is mentioned or there's convincing proof that inflation is surely falling.
An hobby price reduce in March is not going
Inflation expectancies will hold to say no withinside the first 6 months of this yr because of essential impacts
Expect the 12-month inflation index to say no this yr
Most 19 policymakers see hobby price cuts this yr as appropriate
We do now no longer convey politics into our selection making
There isn't anyt any excessive opportunity of recession
Do now no longer take into account business actual property loans because the purpose of the disaster as withinside the past
China issues are not going to have an effect on the United States economic system, there'll likely be a few impacts, however they may now no longer be large
Geopolitical danger is taken into consideration the largest short-time period danger, however for different areas of the arena it's miles even more than the United States
USDJPY - Long after filling the imbalance ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on USDJPY.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I am looking for a long. I wait price to make a retracement to fill the that huge imbalance lower and then to react from that zone.
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USDJPY - Short Term Japanese Yen SpeculationJapanese Yen, from a technical standpoint, has a potential appreciation of 2-3%. Yen looks cheap in my opinion and opened at the .786 level.
Despite the US Dollar becoming strong, I do believe the Japanese Yen would gradually appreciate due to its domestic price level pressure, and we should see some govt intervention or other traders pushing USDJPY down for a bit.
USDJPY Levels of interestI am waiting two level on USDJPY before entering. 150.600 is the level where i wil start shorting, otherwise at 144.000 i will start buying. This two levels are really important, because they are daily support and resistance. This levels also fit as fibo level 1.618 and -0.618 of recent leg
USDJPY M30 / Bullish Move Forecast 💲Hello Traders!
This is my idea related to USDJPY M30. I expect a continuation of the bullish trend and I will look for a long entry on USDJPY. We have a very strong bullish move and I want to see a retracement at the FIB 50% level.
Traders, if you liked my idea or if you have a different vision related to this trade, write in the comments. I will be glad to see your perspective.
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USDJPY | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upThe Tokyo Consumer Price Index (CPI) for January witnessed a deceleration in Japan's national capital, dropping to 1.6% from the previous reading of 2.4%. This marks the first time in almost two years that consumer inflation has fallen below the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) 2.0% target. Additionally, the Core CPI (YoY) experienced a decline from 3.5% to 3.1%.
The Bank of Japan's December meeting minutes shed light on the monetary policy outlook and Yield Curve Control (YCC). Members of the BoJ Board expressed a consensus in favor of "patiently maintaining an easy policy." Several emphasized the need to observe a positive wage inflation cycle before contemplating the cessation of negative rates and YCC.
BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda reaffirmed a strong commitment to achieving the 2.0% inflation target. His statements hinted at a potential gradual reduction of extensive stimulus measures in the future, aligning with the central bank's objectives for inflation and economic stability.
On the flip side, the USD is experiencing a recovery driven by market adjustments in response to the Federal Reserve's (Fed) rate cut expectations. Despite soft Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) figures from the US in December, which didn't significantly impact market expectations on the upcoming Fed meeting, there is speculation about a delay in the easing cycle from March to May. However, the Fed's tone in the upcoming meeting could alter these expectations.
Given these recent developments, how should we navigate the current market conditions?
USDJPY Technical Analysis:
As discussed in the video, the recent upward momentum is showing signs of easing, leaving room for a possible USD pullback. However, for a confirmed uptrend continuation, we need to see sustained trading above 148.800. Our detailed technical analysis focused on the current bullish market structure, with particular attention to the crucial level of 148.800, set as a pivotal point for the upcoming week. This level gains significance as a potential catalyst for a clear uptrend if buying pressure persists. The market's response to this level at the beginning of the new week will strongly influence the direction of price action in the days ahead.
Join me in exploring potential trading opportunities using trendlines, key levels, and chart patterns. Stay connected to my channel, follow updates, and actively participate in the comment section as we navigate the dynamic USDJPY market together.
Wishing you success as you navigate the USDJPY market this week!
#USDJPY #technicalanalysis #tradingopportunities #inflation #monetarypolicy #Fed #interestrates #economicanalysis #Forextrading
Disclaimer Notice:
Please be aware that margin trading in the foreign exchange market, including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks, and other instruments, carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculative material, including all data, is provided by me for educational purposes only and to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not assume any responsibility for its accuracy.
It is important that you carefully evaluate your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level. Before making any investment, it is advisable to consult with your independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your circumstances.
Please note that I cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information provided, and I am not liable for any loss or damage that may directly or indirectly result from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications associated with it.
Remember that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Keep this in mind while considering any investment opportunities.
USDJPY (H4) There are signs of weakening momentumOANDA:USDJPY
Observing USDJPY (H4), discernible indicators suggest a waning momentum within a descending price channel. This presents an opportune entry point with anticipated gains outweighing potential risks.
Selling at current price: 147.775
Stop loss at: 148.901
Take profit at: 145.600
Note: Risk management 2%
USDJPY → Bull Trend Over! Short to 145.000? Short Answer, Yes!USDJPY completed its third leg up in this bull trend then failed to break the Resistance Zone on a second attempt, creating a double top reversal pattern. It followed by breaking the Bull Trend Support line. Should we short?
How do we trade this? 🤔
We have three legs up, failed to break the Resistance Zone on the third leg, then a second attempt, followed by a strong close below the Bull Trend Support line, which is right on the 4HR 30EMA. This is an ideal time to short.
Entering a 1:2 Risk/Reward trade with a 1:1 Take Profit target for half of my position. Once the first take profit is hit, the stop loss moves up to the entry price to lock in profits. The second half will be held to the second take profit of 145.515 or if there is a major reversal signal that is clear.
This analysis works directly off my last one, reference here:
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Short Entry: 147.207
🟥 Stop Loss: 148.055
✅ Take Profit #1: 146.355
✅ Take Profit #2: 145.515
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Double Top Reversal after the third leg up in a bull channel
2. Near a Resistance Zone
3. Broke the Bull Trend Line
4. Gap to 4HR 200EMA and Support Zone
5. RSI at 38.00 and Below the Moving Average Supports a slight pullback and then fall.
💰 Trading Tip 💰
The longer a trend continues after 3 legs, the probability of that trend continuing lessens. Because of this decreased probability, we ought to reduce our risk when entering trades.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
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1. Reading Price Action
2. Chart Analysis
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USDJPY,🔴Daily perspective🔴(Read the caption)
Well, as you can see the price hit the important supply zone that is on the 0.705 Fibonacci level and had a bearish reaction.
Once the price grabbed the internal liquidity and entered the FVG.
Now we can expect the price to continue the bearish trend to fill the FVG and then hit the bullish order block that formed at the 50% Fibonacci level. (First scenario)
The second scenario is, that the price rises to fill the FVG that is formed above the price and then falls.
💡Wait for the update!
🗓️30/01/2024
🔎 DYOR
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USDJPY→ Day Analysis | Sell SetupHello Traders, here is the full analysis.
Great SELL opportunity USDJPY
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
Support the idea with like and follow my profile TO SEE MORE.
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 🤝
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TRADE PLAN ON USDJPYHey Trader,
Check this analysis out on USDJPY
After the FOMC data that simply put the Dollar in a more stable state, USDJPY has successfully broken the demands zone and it is yet ravaging above the second main support area, looking forward to that zone being broken, and then we go to a sell trade
Keep a close tab on this one.
USDJPY - Short term downside ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on USDJPY.
Technical analysis: Here I expect bearish price action for short term as price filled the imbalance and rejected from bearish order block M30. My target is liquidity below equal lows and institutional big figure 147.000.
Fundamental news: This week is full of news in USA. Firstly on Wednesday we have Interest Rate followed by FOMC Conference, then on Friday NFP and Unemployment Rate. Pay attention to the results in order to validate the analysis.
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USDJPY Trade of the monthWhen i say that patience is the key, this is exactly what i mean. USDJPY was a trade of patience. It try multiple times to be bullish, but i was pretty sure that 148.5 was the top. I was lucky to catch the exact top with my first trade, honestly i was expecting a little upside moves. The second trade was placed on retest, and both trade are now close to the target. I think we will see more sell pressure, and there are good chance to reach 145.75 first and 143.5 next.
USDJPY - W1\D1USDJPY
W1 - The price can form a potential 3-wave structure and continue falling, the nearest level is 140.170, breaking through the 1st wave to implement the 3rd wave
D1 - The price has approached the breakout of the 1st wave, which can form the 3rd wave and begin a downward movement to local levels 143.012
What can you expect?
You can consider entering from the current levels of 146.634 with a target of 143.012. Also, if you are considering an entry, you can wait for the price to fix below the low of the 1st wave, which will make the entry point more confident.
Cancel if the price breaks the maximum of the 2nd wave - 148.322.
Short
Target 146.183 - 145.283 - 144.401 - 143.012 - 140.170
USDJPY SELL BOJ INTRESET RATES AHEAD!!!HELLO TRADERS
I am looking USDJPY chart and its now consolidation & trading in a channel. as we know tomorrow is BANK OF JAPAN interest rates coming out and I hope so it will be good for JPY even they are same as in forecast maybe it can be surprising expected the BOJ to end its negative rate policy, which has set Japan's short-term deposit rate to minus 0.1% over the past seven years, Governor Kazuo Ueda told a newspaper interview earlier this month the BOJ might get enough data by year-end to judge whether it could end negative rates, prompting traders to buy the yen to hedge against a possible earlier-than-expected rate hike.
While it has bounced back in the last couple of trading sessions due to some “bargain hunting” amid oversold conditions, the downside may not be done just yet.
it's just a trade idea friends share your thoughts with us it helps us all.
STAY TUNED for more updates.
USDJPY,🔴Sell opportunity🔴The price had a bearish reaction after collecting the liquidity above the previous daily high.
In addition, the price created the liquidity pool formed equal highs below the supply zone.
So we can expect the price rise to collect the liquidity and have a bearish reaction to our supply zone.
Please pay attention; we need a lower time frame confirmation for entry.
💡Wait for the update!
🗓️29/01/2024
🔎 DYOR
💌It is my honor to share your comments with me💌