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Usdjpyshort

Tipping Point: Are We Poised for a Breakthrough or Breakdown?This pair is at a crucial point. What happens here will set its course for the next few months or even longer. Last week, it went above 150, but then there was a big drop. It seems the Bank of Japan (BOJ) stepped in, just like they did last year. When they did that last year, the price dropped over 2,000 pips in the following months. Will the same thing happen again? The 152 mark is a significant resistance level. If the we manages to break and get a weekly or monthly close above this level, it could pave the way for a rally towards the Monthly SUPPLY/SELL zone at 157. Given the circumstances, such as ten consecutive weeks of the market reaching new highs and recent BOJ interventions, I don't see this happening for now anyhows. I believe that buying this pair at current levels is risky. Though I do anticipate another attempt to breach the 150 mark, perhaps even surpassing last week's high, before an imminent sell-off. I'll be using the TRFX king indicator to spot sell signals on the 4-hour to daily charts, especially as the market nears or exceeds 150. My stop-loss will be set slightly above 152. If this rally does not occur I will wait for the break lower and then enter on the first sell signal on the first pull back. First target that should be easily hit is 145 ,this should act as some sort of support and could be an area for buyers to regroup and try to push for a move to break 152 (I don't see this happening though this is trading anything can happen) If the pair dives below 145, it could signify an even deeper correction, potentially below 140. Further sell-offs, potentially triggered by the BOJ altering their negative rate policy, could lead to rapid unwinding of carry trade positions. To sum it up, I believe entering buying positions at current levels is very risky and if you are looking to buy I would wait for pull backs towards 145. In contrast, a sell position seems to offer a more attractive risk-reward proposition and has the potential to result in a substantial trade.
Short
by TheFxAce
43
USDJPY I Fed expectations soft thus more potential downsideWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments! ** USDJPY Analysis - Listen to video! We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met. Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support!
Short
by BKTradingAcademy
USDJPY I Wait for pullback to structure high Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments! ** USDJPY Analysis - Listen to video! We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met. Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support!
Short
by BKTradingAcademy
USDJPY Analysis. SHORT SWING SIGNAL!!!Hello Everyone i want share my idea about USDJPY. Japan currency is dead, its coming downside clear and beautiful but in this week we had some rejection from buyers and this rejection was strong. In my opinion dollar will start strong bearish movement for that i will try to catch movement, at the chart we have some good rejection from sellers which broke range and gave us new high after strong downside movement. i think this fall will continue to daily support which is at 144.9. Open short position - 149.6 Stop loss - 151.1 Take Profit - N/A ALWAYS MAKE YOUR OWN RESEARCH!!!
Short
by elmakacho
2
USDJPY: Anticipating Bearish MomentumHello traders, Trust you are doing great. Here is my concise Elliott wave view of the USDJP pair. Trend : Bearish (Local trend) initiated at 151.912. Structure : Wave 4 ABC correction, began at 147.150, appears completed at 149.746. Anticipation : Expecting impulsive bearish structure in Wave 5. Confirmation : Await breakout below 148.889 to the downside. Invalidation Zones : 149.760 and ultimate invalidation at 150.059. Targets : Downside objectives at 147.150 and 146.630. Cheers and happy trading!
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by Samuel124
USDJPY: Asian foreign exchange increased, USD hit 3-month lowMost Asian currencies rose on Tuesday, pushing the dollar to a three-month low as confidence grew that the U.S. Federal Reserve is done raising interest rates. However, gains for most regional currencies were limited this week as traders remained cautious on a number of key economic indicators. This week, all eyes will be on the PCE price index, the Fed's preferred inflation measure. The Japanese yen had a particularly strong day, rising 0.3% on the day, as traders said they expect the Bank of Japan to exit its ultra-easy stance in 2024. Japan's stable inflation figures released last week further support this assumption. Thanks to the Fed's reassurance, the yen continued to recover from the 150 yen level. The immediate focus will be on Japan's industrial production and retail sales figures, which will be released later in the day. week.
Short
by Chart_MasterPro
USDJPY Shorts from 149.500 down towards 147.500My bias for USDJPY is bearish due to the fact that price has reacted off the last supply from the whole chart, and has now given a CHOCH and BOS's on the higher time frame. Price has also took all the liquidity that was left above leaving price to now melt downwards and target all the asian lows, trend lines, equal lows, and imbalances that was left previously. Currently, price has reacted nicely off an 8hr supply which we can enter imminent sells to target the (8hr) demand below at 147.500. I am expecting the 8hr demand to cause a retracement back up but from there we can take short term buys up to a premium supply around 150.500. As Wyckoff distribution has been completed we can look for the asian high to get swept in order to enter our sell positions because a CHOCH has already been presented to us on the 15min. My confluences for USDJPY Shorts are as follows: - Price has taken all the magnets that lies above and reacted off the last supply of the chart. - Price has CHOCH'd and BOS on the higher time frame confirming a bearish trend. - Lots of liquidity to the downside in the form of trend line liquidity, asian lows, EQLs and IMB's - Wyckoff distribution has been completed on the Higher time frame and now melting. - A re accumulation has been presented inside our current 8hr supply in which we have got a clean reaction from. - Dollar (DXY) is also temporarily bearish for me so it matches with my sell bias for this market. P.S. even though we are bearish I would also be interested in buying from 147.500 up towards 150.500 or higher to then eventually sell again. For now, we will see if price reaches that demand below as short term buys will be interesting there. Remember being adaptive is very crucial and because I am a day trader, I can counter trend trade up to better POI's to then enter pro trend trades.
Short
by Hassan_fx
3