USDJPY H1 / TARGET TAKEN ✅ LOOKING FOR A SHORT ENTRY 📉Hello Traders!
The target for UADJPY H1 was hit. Now I see a good opportunity to execute a short entry, taking into consideration the retracement from the resistance level, and the fact that DXY at the moment is weak.
Traders, if you liked my idea or if you have a different vision related to this trade, write in the comments. I will be glad to see your perspective.
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Usdjpyshort
USDJPY Limit orderUSDJPY is in strong downtrend on H4 timeframe. On daily timeframe we switched to downtrend also some days ago. I do not exclude a possible pullback, that's the reason for short limit order at 144.400, where i see a good confluence of trendline as a resistance a liquidity resistance zone
USDJPY H1 / A LONG TRADE OPPORTUNITY 📈Hello Traders!
This is my perspective for USDJPY H1. I see a very strong descendant trend, and I expect a Bullish move until the price of 145.000. At the same level, the liquidity gap will be closed. In case of confirmation, I expect to see a strong Bearish move until the price of 142.500.
Traders, if you liked my idea or if you have a different vision related to this trade, write in the comments. I will be glad to see your perspective.
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USDJPY Shorts from 145.200 down towards 140.000USDJPY continues to display a strong bearish outlook as the price has once again broken structure to the downside, affirming a long-term bearish trajectory. Regarding potential opportunities around the current price, my strategy involves awaiting a price retracement to the nearest supply, identified on the 15-hour time frame. This scenario represents the next potential phase for the price to initiate a downward movement.
At present, I'm in a wait-and-see mode, anticipating the price to fill in the imbalance and undergo redistribution. This would serve as an indication that bullish pressure is diminishing, signaling the potential for another impulsive downward move. If the price proceeds further downward, I'm also prepared for a potential buying opportunity around the 7-hour demand zone near 140.000.
Confluences for USDJPY Sells are as follows:
- Price broke structure to the downside confirming a long term bearish trajectory.
- Dollar (DXY) looks like its going to continue a bearish trend which acts as a positive correlation for this pair.
- Lots of liquidity below that hasn't been taken on higher timeframes like trend lines etc.
- In order for price to continue in its bearish course it must retrace back to a major supply so it can create another impulsive move to the downside.
P.S. Being decidedly bearish on this pair, I am eager to observe the response from the 7-hour demand zone, situated at a significant psychological level of 140.000. Furthermore, the zone has initiated a Break of Structure (BOS) to the upside, providing an additional positive confluence that suggests the potential temporary holding of this zone. Feel free to share your thoughts on the USDJPY market in the comments below.
USDJPY: Goldman Sachs: Reduced 12-month USD/JPY forecast to 140 Goldman Sachs Data reported on December 18 that Goldman Sachs has revised its forecast for next year's exchange rate and expects the US dollar to weaken further.
“The biggest revisions to our forecasts are on exchange-sensitive currencies like the Japanese yen,” strategists including Danny Suwanapruti and Michael Cahill wrote in a Dec. 15 report. , the Swedish krona and the Indonesian rupiah, these currencies will struggle under a 'keep interest rates higher for longer' regime. "
Goldman Sachs forecasts USD/JPY three-month target at 145, six-month target at 142 and 12-month target at 140; previous forecasts for the same period were 155, 155 and 150 respectively.
USDJPY: Japan's ruling party proposes to reduce income taxReuters reported:
The tax reform council of Japan's ruling Liberal Democratic Party has agreed to reduce income taxes to compensate households suffering from soaring prices and support a change in the deflationary mindset that has pervaded the country. past decades
The move is also intended to encourage a healthy growth cycle driven by private sector demand, with tax policymakers increasing tax breaks for businesses planning to increase wages.
The draft of tax breaks under the framework of tax reform in fiscal year 2024 will be finalized on Thursday
Usd jpy sellHello, according to my analysis of USDJPY. It exists in a very negative state. The price broke the ascending channel, with the formation of a descending channel as shown in the analysis: All these factors confirm the sellers’ control over the market. More declines in the coming days. Good luck to everyone
USDJPY Shorts from 147.000 down to 140.000My breakdown for USDJPY this week involves sustaining its temporary bearish trend. Currently, the price has shown a bullish reaction at our identified Point of Interest (POI), resulting in a pullback to tap into a Daily supply zone above. Following this, our strategy involves anticipating a redistribution on lower time frames to facilitate selling opportunities, targeting the equal lows.
Considering the impact of NFP Friday on our demand, we await the formation of a correction to prolong the downward trend. In case the price opts for breaching equal lows first, our plan involves waiting for entry at the 7-hour demand zone, presenting an opportunity to buy at a more favorable price.
Confluences for USDJPY Sells are as follows:
- Price retraced from a 2-day demand and now slowly approaching a daily level of supply zone.
- Supply Zone is on the daily time frame that has also caused a Break of structure to the downside.
- Lots of liquidity to the downside in the form of equal lows, and major trendlines.
- Price needs to fill the imbalance as well which has been left from the supply zone.
- The dollar is also expected to be bearish so this pair is also projected to move in a similar way.
P.S. Since the price on the higher time frame couldn't surpass the all-time highs and experienced a significant sell-off, my expectation is that the price may continue its decline to target substantial liquidity below. Consequently, I am inclined to seek pro-trend trading opportunities to prolong this downward movement, aiming for the 140.000 mark.
USDJPY → Drop to 144.000!? Or Fly back to 152.000? Let's Answer.USDJPY fell from the double top as predicted in last week's analysis, hitting my take profits all the way down to 147.120. Will there be more downside or are we ripe for a rip back to 152.000?
How do we trade this? 🤔
This analysis shows us three clean support areas: 146.000 (Bull Channel Support), 145.000 (Previous High), and 144.000 (200EMA). It's reasonable to zoom into small timeframes and look for short scalp setups down to those levels. Since the macro trend is bullish, I would be careful to hold any shorts now that the gap from 152.000 has closed the majority of the way. The RSI is still below the moving average and has *some* room to fall, supporting the short-term bear bias.
Long-term, look to get long! We'll need a strong show of support with a bull signal bar and confirmation candle closing on or near its high and for the RSI to head upward breaking above the Moving Average.
💡 Trade Ideas 💡
Short Entry: 146.850
🟥 Stop Loss: 150.000
✅ Take Profit: 143.700
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:1
Long Entry: 145.500
🟥 Stop Loss: 143.200
✅ Take Profit: 150.100
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Bull Channel, Bias to Long.
2. Double Top Reversal Signal. Still Gaps to Fill.
3. Wait for Support at Channel Support, Previous High, or 200EMA.
4. Previous Channel High of 145.000 Final Target.
5. RSI at 35.00, below Moving Average. Supports Short-term Short, Long-Term Long.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
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There is a very good potential for usdjpy to dropIn the daily time frame, the price has reached its resistance
In the 4-hour time frame, the price has broken its long-term uptrend line that started on July 14, 2023.
For better confirmation, it needs to break the price of 148.900, but in this current area, it is also a good signal for a sell position to the price of 145.900.
Tipping Point: Are We Poised for a Breakthrough or Breakdown?This pair is at a crucial point. What happens here will set its course for the next few months or even longer.
Last week, it went above 150, but then there was a big drop. It seems the Bank of Japan (BOJ) stepped in, just like they did last year. When they did that last year, the price dropped over 2,000 pips in the following months. Will the same thing happen again?
The 152 mark is a significant resistance level. If the we manages to break and get a weekly or monthly close above this level, it could pave the way for a rally towards the Monthly SUPPLY/SELL zone at 157.
Given the circumstances, such as ten consecutive weeks of the market reaching new highs and recent BOJ interventions, I don't see this happening for now anyhows. I believe that buying this pair at current levels is risky. Though I do anticipate another attempt to breach the 150 mark, perhaps even surpassing last week's high, before an imminent sell-off.
I'll be using the TRFX king indicator to spot sell signals on the 4-hour to daily charts, especially as the market nears or exceeds 150. My stop-loss will be set slightly above 152.
If this rally does not occur I will wait for the break lower and then enter on the first sell signal on the first pull back.
First target that should be easily hit is 145 ,this should act as some sort of support and could be an area for buyers to regroup and try to push for a move to break 152 (I don't see this happening though this is trading anything can happen)
If the pair dives below 145, it could signify an even deeper correction, potentially below 140. Further sell-offs, potentially triggered by the BOJ altering their negative rate policy, could lead to rapid unwinding of carry trade positions.
To sum it up, I believe entering buying positions at current levels is very risky and if you are looking to buy I would wait for pull backs towards 145. In contrast, a sell position seems to offer a more attractive risk-reward proposition and has the potential to result in a substantial trade.
UDSJPY - Short from bearish order block ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on USDJPY.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I am looking for short. I want price to continue the retracement to fulfill the imbalance higher and then to reject from bearish order block + institutional big figure 148.000.
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