USDJPY - D1\MNUSDJPY
MN - The price may push off from the level, a potential rebound to the values of 127.111
D1 - The price has left the ascending trend channel, a potential retest is now forming (which forms a potentially 3-wave structure) and a continuation of the downward movement from a strong level on the MN timeframe.
H4 - The price has broken through the triangle line, which may indicate a continuation of the fall.
Goals for this position can be taken from levels on D1.
What can you expect?
You can consider entering from the level of 141.018 with further movement to the target of 139.550. Cancellation of the idea so as not to take increased risk on the idea levels beyond the end of the 2nd wave - 149.910 or 1st wave - 152.015
Short
Targets 146.150 - 144.197 - 142.417 - 139.550
Usdjpyshort
USDJPY Navigating Retracement&Identifying Short Opportunities!Introduction:
The USD/JPY pair has experienced a dynamic week marked by a double top pattern, providing insightful clues for traders. While recent days showcased a retracement and an apparent uptrend tendency, the most recent price action is signaling a potential shift.
Retracement Dynamics:
The past week witnessed a retracement in the intense and continuous bearish flow of USD/JPY. The retracement is characterized by an uptrend tendency line, suggesting a temporary shift in market sentiment. However, recent hours are indicating a potential reversal, prompting a closer examination of key technical levels.
Fibonacci Retracement:
Zooming into the 4-hour timeframe, the current movement aligns closely with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, centered around the price of 0.750.700. This level serves as a critical reference point, providing insights into potential reversal zones.
Bearish Order Block on Lower Timeframes:
Detailed analysis on smaller timeframes, specifically the 1-hour and 30-minute charts, reveals the formation of a Bearish Order Block. This is a crucial technical pattern signaling a Short Position opportunity. The identified price range of 0.750.600 becomes significant for traders considering a short entry.
Break of Uptrend Tendency Line:
A pivotal moment in this analysis is the recent break of the uptrend tendency line. The breach of this trendline, coupled with a reaction around the strong high of 0.750, suggests a potential re-establishment of the bearish sentiment.
Conclusion:
In conclusion, the USD/JPY pair has undergone a retracement in the past week, challenging the prevailing bearish flow. However, with the recent break of the uptrend tendency line and the formation of a Bearish Order Block on lower timeframes, there is a compelling case for a short position opportunity. Traders are encouraged to closely monitor the price action around the 0.750.600 range, as it may serve as a key entry point for those anticipating a continuation of the bearish trend. As always, risk management and vigilant monitoring of price dynamics are essential for traders navigating these evolving market conditions.
USDJPY → Falling to 1.46? Or Rocket to 1.52? Lets Answer That.USDJPY fell below the 30EMA to my previously predicted area of 147.100 then immediately bounced back to 150.000 only to stall and leave us wondering what the next move will be.
How do we trade this?
We're in a bull channel which should put us in a bias to long. But we have a double top reversal signal at a key level of resistance (the previous Weekly high of 152.000 staring us in the face. We need to see what happens here at the 30EMA. If we get a strong bear bar closing on or near its low, shorting to the bull channel bottom around 146.300 or even the previous high of 145.000 is reasonable. The protective stop should be just above the 30EMA.
You can also wait for a long at the bull channel support or previous high support, looking for a bull channel signal bar and confirmation closing on or near its high. Protective stop just below those levels with a take profit at the 30EMA and then the previous high of 152.000.
Key Takeaways
1. Bull Channel, Bias to Long.
2. Double Top Reversal Signal. Close the Gap to Bull Channel Support.
3. Fell below 30EMA, Gap to Bull Channel Support
4. Previous Channel High of 145.000 Final Target.
5. Wait for Bear Signal Bar for Confirmation to Short.
6. RSI at 47.00, below Moving Average. Supports Short.
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UDS/JPY Falling to 146.000!? Double Top Reversal Signal CompleteUDS/JPY has a double top reversal signal on the Daily candles and a triple top on the 4HR candles with a massive gap to fill. This reversal signal happened at a key level, 152.00 which is the previous high from October 2022. As shown in my previous prediction, a short position is reasonable at this level. The double/triple top is the confirmation of that short, which increases the probability of profit significantly.
If there was a time to short in this bull channel, it would be now .
Key Points
1. Double Top Reversal Signal on the Daily Chart
2. Triple Top Reversal Signal on the 4HR Chart
3. Gap to bottom of the channel at 146.000
4. The lowest target price is the Previous Channel High of 145.000
5. RSI at 52.00, Plenty of room to fall and supports #1-4
You are solely responsible for your trades, trade at your own risk!
Let us know what you think in the comment section below!
USDJPY Long Term SELLING Trading IdeaHello Traders
In This Chart USDJPY DAILY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today USDJPY analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (USDJPY market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on USDJPY Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
USDJPY SHORT USDJPY is retesting the broken horizontal support level on the 4-hour timeframe, or the lower trend line.
We expect the pair to re-test the key support levels listed on the chart,
We are taking this trade based on technical analysis and candlestick patterns.
These are long-term trades, It is advisable to have enough margin to handle the fluctuation of the markets. Use proper risk management depending on your account size.
TRADING RULES:
Rule 1: Once the market reaches Target 1, close some of your trades/positions or Move your STOP LOSS price to ENTRY price (break-even) for safe trading.
Rule 2: Once the market reaches Target 1, never place a new trade again on the same signal/alert.
Rule 3: When the market is consolidating for more than 2 days, please close the trade and wait for the next good opportunity trade signal/Alert.
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UsdJpy- New leg down after correction?As I explained in my previous post, UsdJpy could accelerate its decline and test 3 October's low.
After this anticipated drop, the pair started to correct to the upside and now it's approaching an important sell zone.
I'm looking to fade rallies around 149.50 for a new leg down.
A close above 150 zone would negate this scenario
Drops to an eight-week low, hovers around 147.50FX:USDJPY extended the losing streak that began on Thursday and marked an eight-week low, trading around 147.40 during the European session on Tuesday. The 147.00 psychological level emerges as the immediate support following the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement at 146.32.
The US Dollar (USD) has plunged to a nearly three-month low, influenced by dovish expectations from the Federal Reserve (Fed). This development is a significant factor contributing to the decline of the USD/JPY pair.
The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) lies below the 50 level, signaling a weaker sentiment for the USD/JPY pair. This could potentially prompt bearish movements toward the psychological support region around 146.00. If a decisive break occurs below this level, it may pave the way for the USD/JPY pair to navigate the area near the 50.0% retracement at the 144.60 level.
Moreover, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) line is positioned below the centerline and diverges below the signal line, signaling a bearish momentum in the market for the USD/JPY pair.
On the upside, the major level at 147.50 serves as the immediate barrier, followed by the psychological level at 148.00. A breakthrough above the latter could provide support for the USD/JPY pair to explore the region around the 149.00 level following the nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 149.62.
USDJPY 4H: Support further decline USDJPY
New forecast
The price of the dollar pair against the yen fell to exceed the level of 149.41, and now it is trying to stabilize below it, the support level of 148.35, and stability below this level will confirm the continuation of the dominance of the downward trend in the immediate term, and the way is open to heading towards our next target at 147.87 and 146.98.
Therefore the downward scenario will be remain valid once stabilized under 148.35 level , taking into account that failure to stabilized under 148.35 level and reversed above 148.89 will support the price to rise up again and do a positive correction .
The expect range trading for today it will between resistance line 149.41 and support line 146.98.
support line : 147.87 , 146.98
resistance line : 148.89 , 149.41
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective and If this post was useful to you , don't forget to subscribe and like ❤️
Something is setting up on USDJPY, I'm just not sure what. USDJPY has been in decline again the Yen since last weeks CPI release. The thing I find most interesting though is the rate of the fall. The left hand chart shows the expected daily range (ExMo) for the pair, with price moving further than expectation in the last 4 sessions.
Yesterday we dropped double ExMo by 9:30am! With price sitting on the low for the rest of the session.
The issue right now is I'm not sure if the opportunity is in a reversion to the upside, or if we should fade any pops?
Let me know your thoughts, and I'll continue to update this idea as we go.
PIMCO Is Buying Yen to Brace for Imminent BOJ Monetary Policy ShPIMCO, one of the world's leading investment management firms, has taken a significant position in buying yen, indicating their preparedness for an imminent tightening of the Bank of Japan's (BOJ) monetary policy.
The BOJ has long been known for its accommodative stance, but recent economic indicators and signals from policymakers suggest a potential shift towards a more hawkish approach. PIMCO's move to buy the yen serves as a clear indication that they anticipate the BOJ to take actions that could strengthen the Japanese currency.
Given PIMCO's reputation and expertise in navigating global markets, their decision to buy yen should not be taken lightly. It is crucial for us to consider the potential implications of this move and the impact it may have on the USDJPY currency pair.
Given these developments, I strongly encourage you to consider a short position on USDJPY. While this decision ultimately rests in your hands, weighing the potential risks and rewards is important. As PIMCO's move suggests, a tighter BOJ monetary policy could lead to yen appreciation, thereby weakening the US dollar against the Japanese yen.
Timing is of the essence, and it is essential to act swiftly in the face of this potential shift in the market dynamics. I recommend conducting thorough research, analyzing market trends, and consulting with your trusted advisors before making any investment decisions.
As always, it is essential to remain vigilant and adaptable in these uncertain times. The global financial landscape is constantly evolving, and it is our responsibility as traders to stay informed and make informed decisions.
If you have any questions or require further assistance, please do not hesitate to reach out. Together, we can navigate these challenging market conditions and seize the opportunities they present.
Wishing you success in your trading endeavors.
USDJPY: It cannot be said with certainty that a weak JPY has a nBank of Japan Governor Ueda said:
It cannot be said that the weak yen will have a negative impact on the Japanese economy.
A weaker yen promotes domestic inflation due to higher import costs.
Weak yen has a positive impact on exports and profits of Japanese companies globally
We do not comment on exchange rate fluctuations
As we get closer to our inflation target, we will be discussing exit strategies and outlooks, including ETF purchases.
The Bank of Japan has no concrete plans to sell ETFs.
When we sell ETFs, we do so in a manner that minimizes market disruption and significant losses to the Bank of Japan's balance sheet.
Potential deeper pullbackFX:USDJPY retraces some of Wednesday’s 0.60% gains on Thursday due to overall US Dollar (USD) weakness amid a risk-off impulse. Worse than expected, fundamental data from Japan’s triggered flows toward safe-haven assets, boosting appetite toward the Japanese Yen (JPY). At the time of writing, the major trades at 150.61, virtually unchanged in the early Asian Friday session.
According to the daily chart, the USD/JPY remains upward biased for the long term, but in the short term, the drop below the Tenkan-Sen at 150.92 could open the door for a deeper pullback, and test key support levels.
The first support would be the Kijun-Sen at 150.32, before diving to the 150.00 psychological figure. The correction would extend further, once traders clear the latter, with intermediate support seen at the November 3 low of 149.18, before sliding toward the Senkou Span B level at 148.91.
On the other hand, if USD/JPY buyers reclaim the Tenkan-Sen at 150.91, that would sponsor a leg-up above the 151.00 mark, opening the door to retesting the year-to-date (YTD) high at 151.91.
USDJPY: Japan's Economic Minister warned that the global recessiStatement from Japan's Minister of Economy on the third quarter GDP report:
It should be noted that the threat of global recession is depressing the Japanese economy
Domestic demand, including consumption and investment funds, decreased significantly in the third quarter
Personal consumption slumps due to rising prices
Industrial production is under pressure due to rising raw material prices and reduced investment in construction and machinery.
Consumption of services such as eating out continues to recover
Concerns about the future of the Chinese economy need to be carefully monitored