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Usdjpyshort

USD/JPY - Trendline Breakout (14.05.2025)The USD/JPY Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Trendline Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 145.34 2nd Support – 143.81 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
29
USOIL Temporary Drop seems inevitableYesterday's analysis perfectly predicted today's market movement. The USD/JPY rebounded from the low of 140.00, recovered from the downtrend channel, and then encountered resistance and pulled back at 148.65. Sellers are currently testing the support level of 146. If this level is broken, it may decline further to the round - number levels of 145.00 and 143.50. If 146 holds, buyers will attempt to break through the resistance level of 148.65 and further aim for the 200 - day moving average at 149.60. Today, the released U.S. retail sales and PPI inflation data will provide clues about the consumer situation and the wholesale inflation landscape. The market expects that after a 1.5% increase in March, U.S. retail sales will be flat at 0% in April. Meanwhile, the PPI is projected to rise 0.2% after a 0.4% decline in March. The USD/JPY rebounded from the low of 140.00, recovered from the downtrend channel, and then encountered resistance and pulled back at 148.65. Sellers are currently testing the support level of 146. If this level is broken, it may decline further to the round - number levels of 145.00 and 143.50. Federal Reserve Chair Powell will also give a speech, likely reiterating the Fed's stance that it will not be hasty to cut interest rates again until the impact of Trump's tariffs on the economy becomes clearer. you are currently struggling with losses, or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow, at this moment, you can choose to observe the operations within our channel.
Long
by HilaryBloomer
USDJPY SHORT📉 TRADE IDEA – SHORT USD/JPY 🗓️ May 14, 2025 🔻 Position: Short 📍 Entry: 148.164 🎯 Target: 145.414 🛑 Stop Loss: [Set based on your risk — e.g., 148.189 Reasoning: Rejection from resistance zone above 148 Bearish structure forming on the 4H and daily charts Possible shift in sentiment around JPY with BoJ pressure mounting USD weakening as Fed rate expectations tilt dovish 📉 Targeting a drop toward key support at 145.414 — a clean level on the daily chart. This is a short- to medium-term swing trade based on technicals + macro shifts. Risk managed, watching upcoming Fed & BoJ commentary closely. 📊 Let the trade play out.
Short
by Ttzoncepts
USDJPY BEARISH SETUP ONFIRMED.?USD/JPY Bearish Scenario Analysis Trend: Downtrend (bearish bias confirmed by lower highs and lower lows on the daily timeframe) Current Price Action: After a failed attempt to sustain above the 148.200 resistance level, USD/JPY has shown rejection patterns such as bearish engulfing candles and increasing selling volume. Price is now breaking below key moving averages (e.g., 50 and 100 EMA), confirming momentum shift to the downside Key Technical Levels Resistance: 148.200 – Strong supply zone, multiple rejections seen here. 1st Bearish Target: 143.900 – Recent swing low and minor support zone; break below confirms bearish continuation. 2nd Bearish Target: 141.600 – Major horizontal support from previous consolidation area. Support: 140.100 – Long-term support level; likely to attract strong buying interest or signal a trend exhaustion. Bearish Scenario Setup 1. Entry Zone: Between 147.500 - 147.800 (pullback/retest of broken structure) 2. Stop Loss: Above 148.500 (just beyond the resistance zone to avoid false breakouts) 3. Take Profit Targets: TP1: 143.900 TP2: 141.600 4. Bonus Target (extended move): 140.100 – if selling momentum continues and macro conditions favor JPY strength.
Short
by Zickey_11
3
USD/JPY H4 | Approaching a swing-high resistanceThe hawkish stance of the Federal Reserve and the market's optimistic sentiment regarding a potential Sino-US trade agreement have driven the overall strength of the US dollar. The Federal Reserve's suspension of interest rate cuts and the absence of hints of near-term rate cuts have enhanced the attractiveness of the US dollar, providing support for the upward movement of the USD/JPY exchange rate. On the four-hour chart, the Marlin oscillator has reversed downward from the zero line, which coincides with the reversal on the daily chart, forming a strong reversal pattern. The price is testing the support of the MACD line and the key level of 143.45. If the daily candlestick closes below the 143.45 level, it will open the path for a decline towards 141.70 and even the lower boundary of the price channel near 139.50. If the closing price is higher than yesterday's high of 144.00, it is likely to rise towards 144.75, with a long-term target of 145.91. Considering the actual closing price of 145.0930, the upward scenario has been activated. In addition, the MACD indicator shows that the bullish momentum has been somewhat restored, but it is still in the initial stage of the rebound. The RSI indicator remains above 45 and has not entered the strong area, indicating that the current exchange rate is in the stage of consolidation and accumulation of momentum. Although there has been a certain upward movement in the short term, the overall strength of the bulls and bears has not reached an obviously strong state. you are currently struggling with losses, or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow, at this moment, you can choose to observe the operations within our channel.
Short
by HilaryBloomer
1
Yen rally ends, markets eyes Fed rate decision and BoJ minutesCurrently, the market sentiment is rather complex. On the one hand, some traders are betting on the restart of negotiations by the US side, believing that policy uncertainty will be alleviated with the convening of the meeting. On the other hand, from the perspective of the capital market, the market's concern about the medium - to - long - term depreciation trend of the US dollar is increasing. In particular, the " $2.5 trillion capital withdrawal" view proposed by the Eurizon SLJ report, if realized, will substantially suppress the US dollar. In the short term, if the USD/JPY exchange rate fails to hold above the 145.5 level, the rebound may come to an end, and the price may test the two key support levels of 143.00 and 141.650. Especially if the Fed's policy language continues to be dovish, the exchange rate may decline further. you are currently struggling with losses, or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow, at this moment, you can choose to observe the operations within our channel.
Short
by HilaryBloomer
Strengthen your trading strategy? How about a statistical entryFor those watching or trading the USD/JPY pair: the spread of 0.007–0.0072 on the Yen futures is still in play We're 30 days out from expiry, and there are no clear reasons to brake a rally in the futures contract (which would mean a drop in USD/JPY). Now, a quick word on Expected Range (ER) and its boundaries. As we’ve seen, price didn’t quite reach the 2 ER level before bouncing back up. Quick note here — price doesn’t owe us anything. It doesn’t have to hit any statistically calculated levels just because we’re watching them. But if it *had* reached that 2 ER boundary, it would’ve been a killer entry setup. Why? Because as a reminder, 2 ER marks about a 95% probability that price won’t break through — meaning a strong chance of a bounce. P/S For more detailed insights, don’t forget to check out our website and leverage the extensive original analysis from our team to enhance your trading performance! 💪💼
CME:6J1!Long
by ClashChartsTeam
USDJPY Retest of Supply Zone Before Bearish ContinuationUSDJPY pair is reacting to key supply around 143.70–144.00 but shows signs of weakness after failing to hold above this level. With renewed risk-off sentiment and escalating global trade tensions—especially involving Japan and the U.S.—this pair may be setting up for a bearish continuation. Here's what both the chart and macro backdrop suggest. 📊 Technical Breakdown (4H Chart) Key Supply Zone Retested: The pair retraced into a previously broken structure zone (blue box), rejecting the 143.70–144.00 area multiple times. Price is now forming lower highs, indicating bearish pressure building beneath resistance. Bearish Continuation Pattern: Price action resembles a bear flag, with a minor pullback likely before continuation lower. A retest of 143.00–143.50 could serve as an ideal sell zone. Major Support Levels: 142.04–142.02: Immediate support, already tested. 140.16: Key structure low from late April. 138.04: Final measured move target based on Fibonacci extension and prior demand zone. Bearish Trade Setup: Entry Zone: 143.00–143.50 Stop: Above 145.35 TP1: 142.00 TP2: 140.15 TP3: 138.00 🌐 Macro Fundamentals Trump Tariffs Stir Instability: President Trump is pressing Japan in trade talks with threats of new tariffs, already impacting investor confidence A 25% tariff on Japanese auto exports has gone into effect, disrupting trade negotiations. Urgency for a Deal, But No Progress Yet: Trump says multiple deals are “coming,” but little substance has emerged. Analysts fear economic fallout and potential global recession if tensions continue JPY Strengthening on Safe-Haven Flows: With U.S. economic indicators weakening and global uncertainty rising, the yen may benefit from risk aversion. ✅ Summary USDJPY remains vulnerable to downside continuation from the 143–144 resistance zone. If price breaks below 142.00 again with conviction, expect momentum to build toward 140.15 and potentially 138.00.
Short
by ultreosforex
4
USD/JPY) bullish trend analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of USD/JPY chart shows a bullish reversal setup. Here’s a breakdown behind the analysis: 1. Downtrend & Channel Breakout: Price was trending downward within a descending channel (marked “channel trend”). Recently, the price broke out of the channel, signaling a potential trend reversal. 2. Demand Zone (Diamond Zone): The yellow box labeled “Diamond Zone” represents a demand/support zone where price previously found buyers. A retest of this zone is expected before the bullish move. 3. EMA (200): The EMA (200) is currently above the price but close. A break above this level (142.522) could add to bullish momentum. 4. RSI Indicator: RSI is showing a bounce off a mid-level (~50), suggesting bullish momentum is gaining. 5. Target Level: The analysis targets 147.838, which aligns with a prior resistance zone. The move projects a 5.19% gain (~778.5 pips) from the current setup. Trading Idea Summary: Entry: Around the “Diamond Zone” after a successful retest. Confirmation: Watch for bullish candlestick patterns or a break above EMA 200. Target: 147.838 Stop Loss (implied): Below the Diamond Zone (~140.000) Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
Long
by SMC-Trading-Point
18
USD/JPYThe Japanese Yen (JPY) oscillates in a narrow trading band at the start of a new week and remains close to a two-week trough touched against its American counterpart on Friday. Mixed signals from the US and China temper hopes for a quick resolution of the trade conflict between the world's two largest economies, which, in turn, offers support to the safe-haven JPY. Moreover, expectations that Japan will strike a trade deal with the US turn out to be another factor underpinning the JPY. Meanwhile, investors have been scaling back their bets for an immediate interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) as rising economic risks from US tariffs overshadow signs of broadening inflation in Japan. This holds back the JPY bulls from placing aggressive bets, which, along with a modest US Dollar (USD) uptick, acts as a tailwind for the USD/JPY pair. However, the divergent BoJ-Federal Reserve (Fed) policy expectations should cap the USD and benefit the lower-yielding JPY.
Short
by xauusd_rr
2
USDJPY Idea for short....This chart is a trade setup for the USD/JPY currency pair on a 1-hour timeframe. Here's a breakdown of the key elements in the chart: Pair: USD/JPY Timeframe: 1 Hour 🔸 Entry Zone (Sell Area): Marked in light orange Price range approximately from 143.000 to 142.710 This is the suggested zone to enter a short (sell) trade. 🔴 Stop Loss (SL): Level: 143.660 If the price hits this level, the trade should be exited to limit loss. ✅ Targets: Target 1: 141.828 Target 2: 141.105 Final Target: 140.196 These are take-profit levels where you can partially or fully close the trade to secure profits. 📈 Trade Idea: The strategy shown in the chart is a short setup, expecting the price to reverse downward after entering the sell zone. The trader anticipates a decline toward the targets, with a clear risk-to-reward plan.
Short
by m_zeeshan3644
1
Japanese Yen seems poised to appreciate further against weaker UFrom a technical perspective, the daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) is already flashing slightly oversold conditions and warrants some caution for bearish traders. Hence, it will be prudent to wait for some near-term consolidation or a modest bounce before positioning for an extension of the USD/JPY pair's well-established downtrend witnessed over the past three months or so. In the meantime, attempted recovery might now confront some resistance near the 141.60-141.65 region. This is followed by the 142.00 round figure and the 142.40-142.45 hurdle, above which a fresh bout of a short-covering move could lift the USD/JPY pair to the 143.00 mark en route to the 143.25-143.30 zone. Any further move up, however, might still be seen as a selling opportunity. On the flip side, a sustained break and acceptance below the 141.00 mark could be seen as a fresh trigger for bearish traders and makes the USD/JPY pair vulnerable. The subsequent downfall below the 140.45-140.40 intermediate support might expose the 140.00 psychological mark. The downward trajectory could extend to the 2024 yearly swing low, around the 139.60-139.55 region.
Long
by xauusd_rr
USDJPY Outlook – Bearish Continuation or Bullish Reversal??In this analysis, I'm breaking down the USDJPY structure starting from the 4H to identify the overall market direction (Bearish/Sells), then zooming into the 1H to fine-tune potential trade setups. On the 4H timeframe, we’re assessing whether the recent bearish momentum is likely to continue or if price action is showing early signs of a bullish reversal. The LOW created at 141.800 level is our first target IF we continue to sell as its creating that LowerLow. IF price closes bullish above 142.500, I will switch sides and look for potential buys. On the 1H timeframe, I’m watching for a bullish liquidity sweep below141.888, followed by a clear break of structure to the upside on the 15m or 1H for more confirmation. That would indicate smart money accumulation and a potential shift in market sentiment—giving me confirmation to start looking for long setups. 🚀 Give me a boost and follow for upcoming $niper entries this week! 🦇🔥 CMCMARKETS:USDJPY
Long
by nonstopkev888
2
Yen Outlook: Preparing for the Coming Week! During the recent short trading week, we did not observe significant changes in the portfolios of major players. No outflows or overbought conditions—this indicates that the targets remain unchanged, and we are getting closer to the 0.0072 mark. 📊 I recall how, back in mid-December of last year, we noticed the first signs of volume accumulation in the portfolio. It felt like discovering a new horizon! We shared this insight with our subscribers, allowing us to prepare a plan in advance and identify well-founded entry points for the rise of the yen futures. 🚀 Currently, as we maintain a long position on the futures (or a short on the dollar/yen pair), it is essential to keep in mind the boundaries of the expected volatility range. We have marked these on the chart: the yellow rectangle for Monday and the red rectangle for the upcoming week. 📅 Given the sustained positive sentiment surrounding yen futures, opening a long position as the price approaches the lower boundary of the range could present an excellent opportunity . As indicated by the arrows on the screenshot, don’t miss your chance! 🎯 Summary, we see that the yen continues to be in focus, and we have a clear action plan. We are holding our long position, monitoring the range boundaries, and preparing for the opportunities the market presents. 🌈 No Valuable Data, No Edge!
CME:6JM2025Long
by ClashChartsTeam
2