USDJPY - Accumulation move - trendline SELL H1News:
The price of gold (XAU/USD) is stabilizing after reaching new record highs, seeking a clear direction on Tuesday following China’s response to U.S. tariffs announced over the weekend. In retaliation, Beijing applied a 15% tariff on under $5 billion worth of U.S. energy imports, including coal and liquefied natural gas (LNG), along with a 10% levy on American oil and agricultural machinery. Additionally, China plans to launch an antitrust investigation into Google. The markets remain uncertain about the impact of these countermeasures, leading to volatile price movements on Tuesday.
Analysis:
Price is mainly moving sideways in the price range of 155,800 - 153,800, waiting for entry SELL TRENDLINE USDJPY today
Signal :
SELL USDJPY : zone 155.550 - 155.750 SL 156.100
TP: 155.300 - 155.000 - 154.500
Good luck trading everyone
Usdjpyshort
Short opportunity coming in 1H ?$151.850 is a major resistance and support area.
USDJPY failed to reclaim the recent ATH and it is currently hovering around that major R/S area.
All daily momentum indicators are in the bear zone so my overall bias is bear.
When you look at 1H RSI, you can see the RSI lines are travelling inside the ascending parallel channel.
I will open a short position IF the RSI lines breaks below the bottom ascending line, and 1H candle closes below EMA 21and the major R/S line,
I am going to use a 15 min chart to find an entry. You can see the idea for the trading entry, S/L and, P/T in the 15 min chart.
USD/JPY "The Ninja" Forex Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
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Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the USD/JPY "The Ninja" Forex market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 👀 Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📉 : Traders & Thieves with New Entry A Bear trade can be initiated at any price level.
however I advise placing sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 4h period, the recent / nearest high level
Goal 🎯: 153.000 (or) Before escape in the market
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📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
The USD/JPY "The Ninja" Forex market is currently experiencing a mixed market sentiment. Here's a breakdown of the factors influencing its movement:
⚪Fundamental Analysis:
- The Bank of Japan's (BoJ) recent interest rate hike decision has strengthened the Japanese Yen, making it a safe-haven asset.
- The US Federal Reserve's dovish stance on interest rates has put downward pressure on the US Dollar.
🟤Macroeconomic Analysis:
- The divergent policy expectations between the Fed and BoJ might continue to act as a tailwind for the currency pair.
- Trade war fears could limit any downside movement.
🟠Commitment of Traders (COT) Report:
- Non-Commercial Traders (Speculators): Net short USD/JPY by 24,444 contracts, indicating a bearish sentiment.
- Commercial Traders (Hedgers): Net long USD/JPY by 15,101 contracts, indicating a bullish sentiment.
- Small Traders (Retail): Net short USD/JPY by 9,343 contracts, indicating a bearish sentiment.
🟣Sentimental Analysis:
- Trader sentiment is mixed, with some investors expecting a bullish movement due to the BoJ's hawkish stance, while others are bearish due to the Fed's dovish stance.
- Market sentiment is cautious ahead of the Fed's interest rate decision.
🟢Institutional and Retail Market Analysis:
- Institutional investors are watching the currency pair closely, awaiting the Fed's decision before making any significant moves.
- Retail investors are also cautious, with some taking long positions on the Yen due to its safe-haven status.
🔵Outlook:
- Based on the analysis, the USD/JPY currency pair is expected to move into a bearish direction in the short term, with a target level of 153.00. However, the movement is likely to be volatile, and investors should be cautious ahead of the Fed's interest rate decision.
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USDJPY - BoJ Interest Rate Decision?!Here is our in-depth view and update on USDJPY . Potential opportunities and what to look out for. This is a long-term overview on the pair sharing possible entries and important Key Levels.
Alright first, let’s take a step back and take a look at USDJPY from a bigger perspective. For this we will be looking at the H4 time-frame .
USDJPY is currently trading at around 155.800 . Our scenarios are in play after the BoJ (Bank of Japan) Interest Rate Decision is out. Let’s take another look at them with more in-depth outcomes. These scenarios are written from just a TA (Technical Analysis) point of view.
Scenario 1: BUYS
-We broke above 156.700 .
With the break of 156.700 we can expect a possible move up to 158.748. With a a further break of this KL (Key Level) we can expect more upside on the pair potentially reaching top of the long-term range sitting at 161.820.
Scenario 2: SELLS
-We broke below 154.881 .
If we break bellow 154.881 we can expect more downside on the pair even up to 152.000. With breaks of this level we could see even lower levels sitting at around 149.394 or “bottom of the long-term range”.
IMPORTANT KEY LEVELS:
- 161.820; top of the long-term range
- 158.748; breaks above would result in more upside
- 154.881; breaks below would result in sells
- 152.817; breaks below confirming lower levels
- 152.030; breaks below confirming lower levels
- 149.394; bottom of the long-term range
Personal opinion:
It’s not advised to enter into sells or buys before we have a clear break or the BoJ Interest Rate Decision data out. For now we are patiently waiting on either breaks to the upside or breaks to the downside. More volatility on the pair is expected tomorrow so be careful.
KEY NOTES
- USDJPY breaking above 156.700 would confirm buys.
- USDJPY breaking below 154.881 would confirm sells.
- BoJ Interest Rate Decision is tomorrow.
Happy trading!
FxPocket
Short Opened a short position based on 1H and 15 minutes.
1H MACD crossed to the downside.15 min MACD endered the bear zone.The 15 min candle closed below VWAP, EMA 21, Pivot R1, and previous day's high. S/L 159.95 and P/T 153.95 Risk: Reward 1:1.84
When the price reaches 154.5 (the previous day mid price), I will move my stop loss to the previous day high.
WEEKLY RECAP - Week 1, 2025The most important thing to reflect on each week is NOT your profit and loss balance.
Instead, reflect on these three questions:
- Did I follow my core habits for success?
- Am I ready to let my attachments from last week go?
- Am I focusing on this current moment, or a destination I'm trying to reach?
I won't put a whole lot of words here. It's all in the video, but here are the three setups from last week, and here is my notion journal so you can follow along.
USDJPY
EURUSD
EURUSD
Notion Journal
Enjoy the ride,
-Gio
USDJPY Shorts Based on Current Re-DistributionBy combining Wyckoff and SMC principles we have a clear guide on what to expect, and what to do when it happens.
Patience is the name of the game, so set your alerts and hang tight until then.
- Option 2 could turn into a short term swing trade (until we reach daily demand levels)
USD/JPY Ready For Sell To Give Us 250 Pips In The Next Days !This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
SELL USDJPY H4 | FOREX BEEHey Traders,
This USD/JPY H4 chart appears to show a descending triangle formation, typically signaling a bearish continuation pattern. The key levels and considerations are:
1. Trend Analysis:
- The market seems to have broken the ascending trendline (blue) decisively, suggesting strong bearish momentum.
- The price is currently trading below key resistance zones (highlighted in red).
2. Fibonacci Level:
- The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement (155.01) was tested but failed to hold, further indicating bearish strength.
3. Target Zones:
- A bearish move toward the next demand zone near the 0.236 Fibonacci level (~151.18) appears likely, as marked on the chart.
4. Retest and Continuation:
- The blue arrow suggests a possible retest of the broken support-turned-resistance zone before continuing downward.
### My Thoughts:
The chart indicates bearish bias, with the next likely target near 151.18. However, monitoring the retest area closely for rejection signals to confirm the continuation is essential. Fundamental factors like USD or JPY economic data can further drive this movement.
USDJPY Short? Patience is key hereYes, price reached the white Center-Line, which means: Price is at balance.
And yes, price is at the red U-MLH, which means: price is stretched.
Two good indications that a potential breather is lurking in the throat. But I'd better wait for more evidence. More momentum to the south.
Not stalking yet, but observing on the lower time frame too.
USDJPY - Idea for a long !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on USDJPY.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from daily timeframe perspective, so I look for a long. My point of interest is rejection from bullish OB + institutional big figure 154.000 + trendline.
Like, comment and subscribe to be in touch with my content!
USD/JPY Short Scalp-USD/JPY has been pulling back for the past 12H, it is currently trading below a Trading Range and could evolve into a bear flag. Bulls do not show significant buying. FX:USDJPY
There is an extending triangle and an inside triangle forming, and could be sign of bears stepping in.
Target is 155.00, might not get it today but trade may evolve over next week depending on volatility.
Careful short, evolving
USD/JPY, Where to Next?As explained before before, USD/JPY drowned almost two percent this week, three scenarios can play out next:
- Bearish scenario: Current 4H chart is evolving into a bear flag from previous TR, bears could get a second or third (depending on ur analysis) leg down towards 154.00 target:
-Bullish scenario: Bulls could fight of the downtrend and reclaim 156.000 to evolve into a trading range. This will be hard as they have to reclaim 20 EMA where bears might be present. Bulls would need to show consecutive buying to show they are back in control.
-Sideways trading: Trading could be sideways to reach 20 EMA on the daily before next move is decided.
So far, odds favour the Bear scenario, the longer we stay below the trading range, the more likely bears are will get their bear leg.
- Scalp idea for the day traders:
Currently, theres an extending triangle evolving with an inside wedge top, this could be a sign bears are stepping in again. Bulls did not show strength at start of day, they got two small legs, but were not satisfied, likely to start selling again. Day could evolve into trading range day depending on reaction at day open.
If extending triangle plays out and there's consecutive selling, 155 is the target with 20 EMA acting as resistance.
Peace,
B Setup
Bottom Wedge USD/JPY - Which side will we see a breakout from ?
-> Following FX:USDJPY downfall, price almost fell two percent this week.
-> Bottom wedge was identified, which side it will break down to is still to be determined. Either way, an upside breakout can justify a scalp on 5-15 min timeframe a after consecutive bull bars are seem. Looking at the other side of the coin, a downside breakout would lead to a third leg down a indicate that the bear trend is soon halting or reversing.
-> Most importantly, be cautious and patient with such trades, wait for breakout and follow through buying- or selling- to place trade. Remember that USD/JPY is reversing with a strong Yen and odds favour bears, as seen with bear flag on this 4h chart:
Will the bear flag will get a secong leg and gain downside momentum?, or will we have a failed trading range breakout with a short term reversal around the 156.000 area is still to be determined.
B setup
Peace