USDJPY LONG, and short USDJPY, Buy from the 1h orderblock until the next order upside, then sell until the next orderblock. Daily is bearish.
Usdjpyshort
USDJPY BEARISH CHART ANALYSIS IN 1-HHello Guys Here Is Chart Of USDJPY in 1-H AT
Entry Level: SELL Around 149.800
Resistance: 150.100
Target Will Be : 148.500
If USDJPY breaks upper resistance level, Then It went to go up more and setup invalid
USD/JPY Bearish Continuation📉 Trend Analysis:
The chart shows a breakdown from an ascending channel, indicating a potential bearish reversal after an extended uptrend.
Price has formed a descending channel, reinforcing the short-term bearish structure.
🔍 Key Levels:
Sell Zone: Around 0.0066848 - 0.0066919, acting as resistance.
First Target: Around 0.006490, a strong support area.
Second Target: Around 0.0065692, marking a deeper level of bearish continuation.
Final Target: Around 0.0064632, a critical demand zone.
📌 Trade Plan:
Look for sell entries on a possible pullback to the resistance zone.
Confirmation through rejection candles or continuation patterns could strengthen the bearish case.
⚠ Risk Management:
Stop loss above the previous resistance around 0.0067184.
Take profits gradually at key support zones.
USDJPY Trading strategyThe USDJPY is currently at a critical level, with the price fluctuating around 149.00. The resistance level above is at 150.00, and if broken through, it may further test 151.00. The support level below is at 148.50, and if it falls below, it may drop to 148.00. Recently, the market has been focusing on the monetary policy trends of the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan. The strengthening of the US dollar and the weakness of the Japanese yen may push USDJPY higher.
USDJPY Trading strategy:
buy@148.50-149.00
tp:150.00-150.50-151.00
Traders, if this concept fits your style or you have insights, comment! I'm keen to hear.
For those who are seeking professional guidance in trading trend analysis, strategy formulation, and risk management, please click below to get the daily strategy updates.
USDJPY Price ActionHello Traders,
Due to USD weakness, this pair presents a potential short opportunity. We have a valid supply zone, strengthened by liquidity presence.
🔹 Trade Plan:
1️⃣ Wait for a liquidity sweep before entering.
2️⃣ Let the price tap into the supply zone.
3️⃣ Switch to a lower timeframe (5M or 15M) for precise entry confirmation.
4️⃣ Look for a Mitigation Block or Fair Value Gap (FVG) as an entry trigger.
⚠️ Risk Management is Key:
Always manage risk, avoid greed, and never trade blindly.
Stick to your plan, and let the market come to you.
Wishing you all the best & happy trading! 🚀📊 Thank you!
USDJPY EA MAN UPDATE > READ THE CHAPTIAN Key Observations:
Resistance Level: The price is testing a key resistance zone around 150.026, where selling pressure could emerge.
EMA Confluence: The price is currently above both the 30 EMA (149.639, red) and 200 EMA (149.339, blue), indicating an overall bullish trend.
Projected Bearish Move: A rejection from the resistance zone could lead to a pullback towards the 149.117 support level, aligning with the potential short-term bearish scenario.
If price fails to break above the resistance and starts forming lower highs, a move towards the target point at 149.117 could unfold.
USDJPY SELL/SHORTBy utilizing Fibonacci retracement levels, historical patterns, , we can formulate a hypothesis that the market might follow a similar trajectory if bearish sentiment prevails.
USDJPY Price ActionHello Traders,
I've marked a Liquidity Area and another Supply Zone on the chart. Here's what might happen next: after sweeping the liquidity, the price could touch the Supply Zone and then drop. Before acting on this, make sure you switch to either the 5-minute or 15-minute timeframe and clearly mark a Demand Zone there.
Wait patiently for the breakout. When the price breaks through that Demand Zone on the lower timeframe, set a pending order. Place your stop-loss at the recent swing high, and set your take profit at the next targeted Liquidity Level.
Many traders often wait for Fair Value Gaps (FVG), but this causes them to miss opportunities. Especially if you're struggling to pass trading challenges, give this method a try. Managing your risk carefully is the key to success.
Good luck and happy trading!
Thank you!
USDJPY Setup: SHORT on 200 EMA Rejection📉 Best Risk/Reward Setup: SHORT on 200 EMA Rejection
🔻 Entry: Sell in the 148.50 - 148.80 zone after rejecting the 200 EMA (⚪)
🎯 Take-Profit (TP1): 146.50 (RRR: 5:1)
🎯 Take-Profit (TP2): 145.00 (RRR: 9:1)
🛑 Stop-Loss (SL): 149.20
📊 Market Overview & Bias
🟥 Bearish Outlook (Macro Trend - Daily & 4H)
✅ USD/JPY remains in a clear downtrend, trading below the 200 EMA (⚪).
✅ Price has consistently rejected the 100 EMA (🟡) as resistance.
✅ Lower highs and lower lows are forming on the daily & 4H charts.
✅ If 146.50 breaks, next downside targets are 145.00 and 143.50.
🟩 Short-Term Bullish Retracement (1H & 30M)
🔹 USD/JPY has found temporary support at 146.50.
🔹 RSI shows bullish divergence, suggesting a possible short-term bounce.
🔹 If price breaks 148.00, we could see a move toward 149.00 – but this remains a counter-trend move within a larger downtrend.
📉 Why This Trade?
🔻 Major resistance at the 200 EMA (⚪) and previous swing highs.
🔻 The macro trend is bearish, so selling rallies is safer than counter-trend longs.
🔻 RSI may enter the overbought zone, signaling a sell opportunity.
🔻 If price struggles at 148.50, expect another bearish impulse.
⚠️ Trading carries a high level of risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always manage your risk carefully and never trade with money you cannot afford to lose. This is for educational purposes only and not financial advice.
💬 Do you think USD/JPY will respect the 200 EMA or break through? Drop your thoughts below! 👇🔥
USDJPY ShortThe overall trend indicates a bearish price action. The pullback on the upper side is viewed as a seller's order block being filled, which will likely continue the bearish trend.
For a bullish scenario to unfold, the price must remain above 149.800 on a 4-hour closing basis; only then can a bullish trade be initiated.
USDJPYYes, USD/JPY is following a strong downtrend, respecting the descending trendline. The break of the 148.000 support confirms further downside momentum. If sellers maintain control, the next key level to watch is 146.000, which aligns with previous demand zones and potential psychological support.
Keep an eye on fundamental factors like U.S. Treasury yields, BOJ interventions, and upcoming economic data, as they can influence the speed of the decline.
Are you looking to take a short trade on this move?
USD/JPY "The Gopher" Forex Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
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Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the breakout (148.000) then make your move - Bearish profits await!" however I advise placing Sell Stop Orders below the breakout MA or Place Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest.
📌I Highly recommended you to put alert in your chart.
Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at (150.000) swing Trade Basis Using the 4H period, the recent / swing high or low level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 145.000 (or) Escape Before the Target
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📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Quantitative Analysis, Intermarket Analysis, Sentimental Outlook:
USD/JPY "The Gopher" Forex Market is currently experiencing a Bearish trend in short term, driven by several key factors.
💡Fundamental Analysis
Fundamental analysis evaluates the economic indicators of the United States and Japan, which directly influence the USD/JPY pair.
💡United States Economic Indicators:
GDP growth is forecasted at around 2.0% to 2.5% for 2025, reflecting steady expansion Economic Forecast for the US Economy.
Inflation rate is expected to be around 2.5% to 3.0%, with recent data showing stability United States Inflation Rate.
Interest rates are at 4.50%, with expectations of cuts to around 4.0% to 4.25% by the end of 2025, reflecting a dovish shift United States Fed Funds Interest Rate.
Trade balance shows a deficit of $50 billion in January 2025, a persistent challenge but manageable with strong growth United States Balance of Trade.
💡Japan Economic Indicators:
GDP growth is projected at 1.1% for 2025, with recent Q4 2024 data showing 2.8% annualised growth, indicating recovery Japan's GDP beats forecasts.
Inflation is expected at around 2%, with core inflation robust, driven by wage gains Japan Economic Outlook.
Interest rates are at 0.5%, with expectations to reach 1.0% by the end of 2025, reflecting policy normalization Japan Outlook.
Trade balance shows a deficit, with recent figures at -2759 JPY Billion in January 2025, impacted by import costs Japan Balance of Trade.
The narrowing interest rate differential, with US rates expected to cut and Japan's rates rising, could support JPY strength, though US economic resilience remains a counterforce.
💡Macroeconomics
Macroeconomics encompasses broader economic factors influencing the pair:
Global GDP growth is projected at 3.0% to 3.3% for 2025, according to recent forecasts, with mixed regional performances World Economic Outlook Update.
Commodity prices are expected to decline by 5% in 2025, with energy prices leading the drop, impacting JPY due to Japan's import reliance Commodity Markets Outlook.
Stock markets show mixed performance, with US indices up 5% YTD and Japanese indices showing recovery, supporting risk-sensitive currencies Global Stock Market Performance.
Bond yields are expected to be range-bound, with the US 10-year Treasury yield possibly around 3.5% to 4.5%, suggesting lower USD appeal 2025 Bond Market Outlook.
💡Global Market Analysis
Global economic conditions play a significant role in currency movements:
Geopolitical events, such as potential tensions, could boost JPY as a safe-haven currency, though no major events are currently noted.
Central bank policies are diverging, with the Fed expected to cut rates and the Bank of Japan (BoJ) raising rates, narrowing the interest rate differential Central Bank Policies.
Commodity trends, with declining prices, have a muted direct impact, though energy costs affect Japan's inflation.
Stock market performance, with global indices up, suggests risk-on sentiment, potentially supporting USD over JPY Market Performance Analysis.
💡COT Data and Positioning
COT data provides insights into large trader positions, with recent reports showing:
For USD/JPY futures, large speculators are likely net long, driven by the interest rate differential and stronger US economic outlook JPY Commitments of Traders.
Positioning shows that institutional traders are cautiously optimistic, with some covering shorts as the price approaches support levels.
Key Insight: Long positions in USD/JPY align with economic fundamentals, suggesting bullish sentiment among speculators.
💡Intermarket Analysis
Intermarket relationships influence currency valuation:
USD/JPY is positively correlated with US stock markets; with strong US indices, the USD could benefit from risk-on sentiment Intermarket Analysis.
Gold, trading at $1900 per ounce, slightly up, suggests a weaker USD, supporting JPY strength as a safe-haven Gold Price Trends.
Bond yields, with declining US yields, indicate lower USD appeal, potentially boosting JPY/USD Bond Market Insights.
Key Insight: Positive correlations with US stocks suggest USD strength, while gold and bond yields support JPY, creating a mixed dynamic.
💡Quantitative Analysis
Technical analysis provides insights into price trends:
At 149.000, USD/JPY is near key support at 148.43 (Classic S3), with resistance at 149.02 (Classic R2), based on recent charts USD/JPY Technical Analysis.
Moving averages show a mixed picture, with shorter-term (MA5, MA10) suggesting buy and longer-term (MA50, MA100, MA200) suggesting sell TradingView Analysis.
RSI (Relative Strength Index) is at 45.418, neutral, suggesting potential for a bounce if support holds Technical Indicators Guide.
Key Insight: Technicals suggest a possible downward trend, with sell signals dominating, though support levels could trigger a reversal.
💡Market Sentimental Analysis
Market sentiment reflects trader positioning and expectations:
Recent data shows 62% of forex traders long on USD/JPY, with an average price of 154.6568, contrasting with a downward price movement, creating a bearish indicator Forex Sentiment USDJPY.
Bank forecasts predict USD/JPY dropping to 145.00 by year-end, citing Japan's recovery and expected Fed rate cuts Currency Forecasts.
Key Insight: Mixed sentiment, with retail traders long but institutional forecasts bearish, supporting a downward outlook.
💡Next Trend Move
Combining all factors, the next trend move for USD/JPY is likely downward:
The pair is at a key support level (148.43), and if it breaks, could drop to test lower levels around 145.00.
Potential catalysts include Fed rate cuts and BoJ rate hikes, narrowing the interest rate differential, supporting JPY strength.
Key Insight: The next move favors a downward continuation, with risks of an upward bounce if support holds.
💡Overall Summary Outlook
The USD/JPY pair, at 149.000 on March 4, 2025, exhibits a bearish outlook. Key drivers include the narrowing US-Japan interest rate differential, with US rates expected to cut to 4.0%-4.25% and Japan's rates rising to 1.0% by year-end, alongside Japan's economic recovery (1.1% GDP growth in 2025). Technical indicators suggest sell signals, supported by mixed market sentiment and declining commodity prices. Risks include strong US economic data maintaining USD dominance or global risk-off sentiment boosting USD. However, the prevailing trend points to potential JPY appreciation in the near term.
💡Future Prediction
Trend: Bearish
Details: The pair is likely to see a downward move, testing support at 148.43 and potentially dropping to 145.00 in the next few months, driven by narrowing interest rate differentials and technical sell signals. Risks include stronger-than-expected US data maintaining USD strength, but current indicators suggest a reversal is imminent.
💡Summary of Key Economic Indicators
Indicator United States (2025 Forecast) Japan (2025 Forecast)
GDP Growth 2.0%-2.5% 1.1%
Inflation Rate 2.5%-3.0% ~2%
Interest Rate 4.0%-4.25% (end of year) 1.0% (end of year)
Trade Balance Deficit ($50 billion, Jan 2025) Deficit (-2759 JPY Billion, Jan 2025)
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
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USD/JPY 30m chart analysis target achived successfully.usdjpy entry at 148.200
target achived successfully at 147.55.
70+pips profit booked
USD/JPY Price Rejection at Resistance with Potential Bearish.hello traders.
what are your thoughs on USD/JPY.
my idea is
. Trade Setup:
Entry: Around 148.153, aligning with the pullback area.
Stop Loss: Above 148.624, placed strategically to avoid minor fluctuations.
Take Profit Levels:
First Target: 147.596 – a potential support level where price may find temporary stability.
Final Target: 147.167 – deeper support level indicating further bearish continuation.
USDJPY SELLBy utilizing Fibonacci retracement levels, historical patterns, , we can formulate a hypothesis that the market might follow a similar trajectory if bearish sentiment prevails.
USDJPY Counter Trend Opportunities - Fxdollars - {11/03/2025}Educational Analysis says USDJPY may give countertrend opportunities from this range, according to my technical.
Broker - FXCM
So my analysis is based on a top-down approach from weekly to trend range to internal trend range.
The weekly trend range is long up to 170.000
Trading Range Approach is a long counter trend opportunity or pushback up to 155.000
The internal Trend Range Approach is a Long counter trend opportunity or pushback up to 150.000
or continue going down with an internal trading range or trading range up to 135.000
Let's see what this pair brings to the table for us in the future.
Please check the comment section to see how this turned out.
DISCLAIMER:-
This is not an entry signal. THIS IS ONLY EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE ANALYSIS.
I have no concerns with your profit and loss from this analysis.
I HAVE NO CONCERNS WITH YOUR PROFIT OR LOSS,
Happy Trading, Fx Dollars .
JPY Market Analysis Update – Key Level at 148.000Market Overview:
📈 Strong JPY Performance:
Expectations of another BoJ rate hike have pushed the Japanese Yen to perform strongly in the Asia-Pacific region.
📊 Record Net Long Positions:
Non-commercial traders' net long yen futures surged to 96K contracts (up from 61K), setting a 30-year record according to CFTC data.
Technical Insights:
📉 Descending Channel & Reversal Setup:
While bearish pressure has been evident, momentum is showing signs of easing, hinting at a potential stabilization or near-term bounce. A reversal setup is identified in the 147.000/148.000 zone.
🎯 Key Level:
Next week, the crucial level is 148.000. Be prepared for a buy signal if prices break above, or a sell signal if they remain below this level.
Upcoming Catalysts:
⏰ Fed Policy Uncertainty:
With Fed Chair Jerome Powell indicating that rate cuts are not imminent, this policy uncertainty could favor the US Dollar in the coming week, influencing the JPY further.
Keep an eye on the Consumer Price Index, Producer Price Index, and Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index.
Stay Tuned:
I'll provide a detailed update at the beginning of next week. Follow along for more insights and actionable trading strategies!
Happy Trading!
Disclaimer:
Forex and other market trading involve high risk and may not be for everyone. This content is educational only—not financial advice. Always assess your situation and consult a professional before investing. Past performance doesn’t guarantee future results.
XAUUSD and USDJPY Top-down analysisHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USDJPY Weekly FOREX Forecast: March 10 - 14th In this video, we will analyze USDJPY and JPY Futures. We'll determine the bias for the upcoming week, and look for the best potential setups.
After a long period of weakness in the YEN, the last couple of months have shown a turnaround. By several metrics, the BOJ has the country's economy finding its footing, and looking up. This is reflecting in its currency. It a time of uncertainty, the YEN will and has been outperforming the USD, as investors look to it as the safe haven of choice. This is likely to continue in the next week or so.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
USDJPY Bearish Momentum - Will It Reach 147.640?OANDA:USDJPY is currently trading within a descending channel, indicating a strong bearish structure. The price has broken below a key support zone and may now pull back for a potential retest. This level previously acted as support and could now serve as resistance, aligning with a possible bearish continuation.
If sellers confirm resistance at this zone, the price is likely to move downward toward the 147.640 target. However, a failure to reject this level could indicate a potential shift in momentum.
Traders should monitor for bearish confirmation signals, such as bearish engulfing candles, strong wicks rejecting the resistance zone, or increased selling volume, before considering short positions.
Let me know your thoughts or any additional insights you might have!
USDJPY Short Idea - 4H ChartThe USDJPY pair is currently facing resistance at a key supply zone near 150.90 - 151.10, aligning with previous structural resistance and a 200 EMA rejection. The price recently made a lower high within a downtrend, indicating further bearish momentum.
Trade Setup:
🔹 Entry: Look for bearish confirmation in the 150.90 - 151.10 supply zone.
🔹 Stop Loss: Above 151.20, beyond recent highs to avoid stop hunts.
🔹 Target: The next demand zone around 148.80 - 149.00, a key support area tested previously.
The bias remains bearish as long as price stays below the 200 EMA and fails to break the resistance zone. A rejection from this level could lead to a continuation of the current downtrend.
📉 Watch for: Rejection patterns, bearish engulfing candles, or confirmation from lower timeframes before entering a short position.
🔔 Stay patient and manage risk accordingly! 🚀
USD/JPY probability assessment of the next price movement:From analyzing the USD/JPY charts across different timeframes, here is a structured probability assessment of the next price movement:
Market Structure Overview:
Bearish Trend on Higher Timeframes (4H & 1D)
The market has been trending downward, breaking previous lows.
A clear Break of Structure (BOS) and Change of Character (ChOCH) suggest bearish control.
Discount Zones are marked, showing potential reaction areas.
Liquidity & Order Flow
Price is currently near a discount zone on the lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1H).
Premium zones are visible on higher timeframes, meaning a retracement could happen before further downside.
Key Levels:
Resistance Zones: 151.000 - 152.000
Support Zones: 148.000 - 148.350
Equilibrium Levels: Around 150.000
Probability Scenarios:
Bearish Continuation (65% Probability)
Price is forming lower highs and lower lows.
If price fails to break above 150.000 convincingly, a further decline to 148.350 - 148.000 is likely.
BOS confirms continued bearish momentum.
Bullish Retracement (35% Probability)
If price reacts strongly at the discount area, a push toward 150.500 - 151.000 before continuing lower is possible.
Confirmation required: A higher low formation and BOS in lower timeframes (15m, 30m).
Trading Plan:
Short (Sell) Plan - Higher Probability
Entry: Around 149.500 - 150.000 (If price shows rejection)
Confirmations Needed: Rejection from supply zone + bearish price action (e.g., bearish engulfing)
Stop Loss: Above 150.500
Take Profit: 148.350 (1st target), 148.000 (2nd target)
Risk-to-Reward: 1:3
Long (Buy) Plan - Lower Probability
Entry: 148.350 - 148.000 (If price shows bullish reaction)
Confirmations Needed: Strong bullish candles + BOS on lower timeframes
Stop Loss: Below 147.800
Take Profit: 150.000 (1st target), 151.000 (2nd target)
Risk-to-Reward: 1:3
Final Summary Table
Scenario Probability Key Level to Watch SL TP
Bearish Continuation 65% 149.500 - 150.000 150.500 148.350 - 148.000
Bullish Retracement 35% 148.350 - 148.000 147.800 150.000 - 151.000
📌 Conclusion: The market remains bearish unless a strong reversal structure forms. Best trade is to wait for a short entry around 149.500 - 150.000 and target 148.350 first. A bullish move is possible but needs confirmation. 🚀
USDJPY Weekly SetupFor the past few weeks, this pair has been on a bearish trajectory, and I do anticipate that the momentum will continue.
The targets are;
1. 150.93 ~ This is the lows of the past 2 previous weeks.
2. 149.6 ~ This is the Weekly Bullish Order Block
3. 148.7 ~ Another sellside liquidity formed in December.
The daily and 15 minute timeframe will give us the best entry and stop loss for this pair.
