ShortI had a few failed short trades in the last few weeks for this pair.
My overall bias is bearish and I must admit having a strong bias cost me. I was too eager to execute a trade and I ended up front running and instead of reacting to the price action.
This morning, I opened two short positions (1 position size divided into two) for USDJPY .
Trade set up:
Entry: 150.945Stop Loss: 151.458
Target 1: 149.680 (blue horizontal line - previous week open price, Fair value gap and order block in 4H) Target 2: 148.306 (Previous week low, fair value gap )
Reasons for short entry:
Weekly:
The price had broken and closed below the previous low at 148.65. It went up again but it is respecting FVG at 150.50 zone.
RSI is starting to enter the bear territory.
Daily:
The price is still below EMA 200 and is respecting FVG at 150.50 zone.
RSI line is still in the bear zone.
4H:
The price dropped and closed below the ascending trendline.
I like the candlestick formations at the FVG - very small candles with upper wicks followed by a large engulfing candle. (1H is better to see the price movement). Sorry, I forgot the name of this formation! RSI is presenting negative divergence.
Ideally, it is better to wait for the price to drop, retest and close below 200EMA in 4H and 4H RSI to dive into bear territory. However, I felt there are enough confluences to support my bias and I like the risk:reward for this set up. Therefore, I decided to open a short position, but my position size is small.
Please let me know what you think.
Usdjpyshort
151.00 Cracks: Is USD/JPY’s Rally Over? Key Levels AheadFrom a fundamental perspective, the USD/JPY exchange rate retreated from around the 151.00 level. Despite the poor Japanese PMI data on Monday, investors bought the Japanese yen influenced by the hawkish outlook of the Bank of Japan (BoJ). The minutes of the January meeting showed that policymakers tend to tighten policies when appropriate. The BoJ governor also stated that the degree of monetary easing will be adjusted once the 2% inflation target is achieved.
Technically, the overnight breakout above the 150.00 psychological mark and the 200 - period Simple Moving Average (SMA) on the 4 - hour chart is a bullish signal. Indicators on the daily chart also support appreciation, and pullbacks may present buying opportunities. If the rate breaks below 150.00, it may accelerate its decline to support levels such as 149.30 - 149.25. Failure to hold these levels indicates that the rebound momentum has been exhausted and the trend may turn bearish. Conversely, if it stabilizes above 151.00, the upward resistance levels are successively 151.30, 151.75 (the 200 - day SMA), and it may even rise to 153.00.
I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate for a whole month in a row. If you also need them, please click on the link below the article to obtain them.
USDJPY Short (future trade!)This is reverse USDJPY trade....The oppositie of the long trade published.
For example today it is not a good time to short the dollar,as technically the price caught in the middle of the range.....Better we wait to reach the higher zone.IF PRICE COMES DOWN to the lower range,then we can plan the long tradefirst(See my USDJPY long apporach!)
USD/JPY 4H Analysis – Potential Bearish RetestThe USD/JPY pair has been in a clear downtrend, trading within a descending channel for an extended period. Recently, price action has broken above the channel, but it is now facing resistance around the 150.35 level.
Retest Zone: The pair is currently retesting the broken trendline, and if it fails to sustain above this level, a rejection could lead to further downside.
Bearish Expectation: If the price fails to reclaim 150.35, a move towards the 147.00 support zone is likely.
Confirmation: A strong bearish candle from this level could indicate a reversal, confirming the downward move.
Traders should watch for price action signals at the retest level before making decisions.
USDJPY; Heikin Ashi Trade IdeaOANDA:USDJPY
In this video, I’ll be sharing my analysis of USDJPY, using my unique Heikin Ashi strategy. I’ll walk you through the reasoning behind my trade setup and highlight key areas where I’m anticipating potential opportunities.
I’m always happy to receive any feedback.
Like, share and comment! ❤️
Thank you for watching my videos! 🙏
USDJPY 1.2850 Long in Profit: Next Week's Take - Profit GuideThis week, the long position signal on USDJPY at the 1.28500 level has already started yielding profits. As we look ahead to next week, it is advisable to commence position closing once the price reaches the pre - determined target levels. Rest assured, I will persist in furnishing precise trading signals.
I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate for a whole month in a row. If you also need them, please click on the link below the article to obtain them.
UJ Price Analysis: Key Insights for Next Week Trading DecisionThe USD/JPY pair is currently in a temporary uptrend within a broader consolidation, following a strong bearish move that started at the beginning of the year. The Y149.000 level will be a key zone for our trading decisions.
📌 Key Technical Outlook:
🔹 Price faced selling pressure around Y150.000, leading to a pullback.
🔹 As long as price holds above the ascending trendline & Y149.000, I’ll be looking for buying opportunities in the short term.
🔹 A breakdown and retest of Y149.000 and the trendline would confirm a resumption of the long-term bearish structure.
📌 Major Market Drivers:
🔹 Federal Reserve’s Policy Stance: Powell reiterated that rate cuts are not urgent, keeping the USD supported.
🔹 Trump’s Trade Tariffs: Expected to drive US inflation higher, adding strength to the Dollar.
🔹 Bank of Japan’s Hawkish Expectations: Japan’s largest trade union group (Rengo) secured a 5.4% pay rise, reinforcing expectations that the BoJ will tighten policy further this year.
🔹 Japan’s CPI Cooling Down: Lower inflation in Japan could weaken the Yen and offer USD/JPY support.
📅 Key Economic Events on Our Radar Next Week:
🗓 Tuesday: US S&P Global PMI – A key sentiment indicator for economic conditions.
🗓 Thursday: US GDP (Q4 Final) – A major market mover influencing the Fed’s policy direction.
🗓 Friday: Tokyo CPI & US Core PCE Index – The BoJ and Fed’s preferred inflation measures, critical for future rate decisions.
I’ll be watching how USD/JPY behaves around Y149.000 for confirmation of trend continuation or a bearish continuation. We’ll discuss this in-depth during Forex Morning Mastery tomorrow—stay tuned! 🔥📈 #USDJPY #Forex #MarketAnalysis
USD/JPY Premium Trade Setup | High-Probability Short OpportunityKey Elements in the Chart:
Uptrend Channel: The price was moving inside an ascending channel but recently broke downward.
Resistance Zone: Marked near the 150.000 level, indicating a key rejection area where sellers are strong.
Sell Zone: A potential short-selling opportunity is identified around 149.300 after a breakdown from the channel.
Support Zone: Located around 148.500, where the price may find temporary buying interest.
Target: The final target for the bearish move is near 147.000, suggesting a further downside potential.
Trading Idea:
Bias: Bearish (selling opportunity after a trendline break)
Entry: Near 149.300 (confirmed rejection)
Target: 147.000
Risk Management: Stop-loss can be placed above the resistance area.
This setup suggests that USD/JPY may continue its downward move after failing to sustain the uptrend. Traders should watch for confirmation signals before entering.
USDJPY Short from ResistanceHello Traders
In This Chart USDJPY HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today USDJPY analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (USDJPY market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on USDJPY Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
USDJPY: Volatility and Key LevelsThe recent trend of the USD/JPY has been highly volatile. On the economic data front, the rise in Japan's unemployment rate and the decline in corporate capital expenditure have triggered selling pressure on the Japanese yen. However, factors such as corporate wage growth provide grounds for the Bank of Japan to consider raising interest rates.
From a technical perspective, key support levels are situated around 147.7 and 146.5, whilst the resistance levels are now between 150 and 151. Amid the ongoing battle between bulls and bears, the pair is likely to continue trading within the range of 147.00-149.00. That said, given the current upward momentum, a technical pullback followed by further gains in the short term cannot be ruled out.
USDJPY
buy@148.000-149.000
tp:150.000-151.000
I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate for a whole month in a row. If you also need them, please click on the link below the article to obtain them.
Short Opened 4 short positions (1 trading side divided into 4 small sizes):
148.622 has been the major support area USDJPY was struggling to break below since last December, however, it finally broke and closed below that level on March 4th 25 (red vertical line in 4H chart).
Since then, USDJPY has been oscillating between 150.24 and 146.55, but this morning it decisively broke and closed below the key level.
Price is below EMA 200 in Daily and 4H.
Daily MACD is in bear territory and Daily stochastic has reached over bought territory and starting to come down.
All momentum indicators in 4H are forming negative divergence.
Entry price - 148.556
S/L - 149.39 (just above the previous week high)
Target 1: 147.30 (previous low in 4H)
Target 2: 146.55 (previous low in 4H)
Target 3- 145
Target 4: 142.26 (Fib 1.618 in Daily)
If Target 1 and 2 are hit successfully, I will adjust SL I will update the progress.
USDJPY DAILY ANALYSISHello traders here is my setup for USDJPY for the week as you can see the price has been on a down trend, and now you can see that the price have done a retracement and it is now on the level of structure that was recently broken and it is likely to act as resistance now I have to wait for confirmations like bearish engulfment then I would look to short the USDJPY.
NP: This is not a financial advice its just my prediction, what do you think?
USD/JPY Bearish Continuation📉 Trend Analysis:
The chart shows a breakdown from an ascending channel, indicating a potential bearish reversal after an extended uptrend.
Price has formed a descending channel, reinforcing the short-term bearish structure.
🔍 Key Levels:
Sell Zone: Around 0.0066848 - 0.0066919, acting as resistance.
First Target: Around 0.006490, a strong support area.
Second Target: Around 0.0065692, marking a deeper level of bearish continuation.
Final Target: Around 0.0064632, a critical demand zone.
📌 Trade Plan:
Look for sell entries on a possible pullback to the resistance zone.
Confirmation through rejection candles or continuation patterns could strengthen the bearish case.
⚠ Risk Management:
Stop loss above the previous resistance around 0.0067184.
Take profits gradually at key support zones.
USDJPY Trading strategyThe USDJPY is currently at a critical level, with the price fluctuating around 149.00. The resistance level above is at 150.00, and if broken through, it may further test 151.00. The support level below is at 148.50, and if it falls below, it may drop to 148.00. Recently, the market has been focusing on the monetary policy trends of the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan. The strengthening of the US dollar and the weakness of the Japanese yen may push USDJPY higher.
USDJPY Trading strategy:
buy@148.50-149.00
tp:150.00-150.50-151.00
Traders, if this concept fits your style or you have insights, comment! I'm keen to hear.
For those who are seeking professional guidance in trading trend analysis, strategy formulation, and risk management, please click below to get the daily strategy updates.
USDJPY Price ActionHello Traders,
Due to USD weakness, this pair presents a potential short opportunity. We have a valid supply zone, strengthened by liquidity presence.
🔹 Trade Plan:
1️⃣ Wait for a liquidity sweep before entering.
2️⃣ Let the price tap into the supply zone.
3️⃣ Switch to a lower timeframe (5M or 15M) for precise entry confirmation.
4️⃣ Look for a Mitigation Block or Fair Value Gap (FVG) as an entry trigger.
⚠️ Risk Management is Key:
Always manage risk, avoid greed, and never trade blindly.
Stick to your plan, and let the market come to you.
Wishing you all the best & happy trading! 🚀📊 Thank you!
USDJPY EA MAN UPDATE > READ THE CHAPTIAN Key Observations:
Resistance Level: The price is testing a key resistance zone around 150.026, where selling pressure could emerge.
EMA Confluence: The price is currently above both the 30 EMA (149.639, red) and 200 EMA (149.339, blue), indicating an overall bullish trend.
Projected Bearish Move: A rejection from the resistance zone could lead to a pullback towards the 149.117 support level, aligning with the potential short-term bearish scenario.
If price fails to break above the resistance and starts forming lower highs, a move towards the target point at 149.117 could unfold.
USDJPY Price ActionHello Traders,
I've marked a Liquidity Area and another Supply Zone on the chart. Here's what might happen next: after sweeping the liquidity, the price could touch the Supply Zone and then drop. Before acting on this, make sure you switch to either the 5-minute or 15-minute timeframe and clearly mark a Demand Zone there.
Wait patiently for the breakout. When the price breaks through that Demand Zone on the lower timeframe, set a pending order. Place your stop-loss at the recent swing high, and set your take profit at the next targeted Liquidity Level.
Many traders often wait for Fair Value Gaps (FVG), but this causes them to miss opportunities. Especially if you're struggling to pass trading challenges, give this method a try. Managing your risk carefully is the key to success.
Good luck and happy trading!
Thank you!
USDJPY Setup: SHORT on 200 EMA Rejection📉 Best Risk/Reward Setup: SHORT on 200 EMA Rejection
🔻 Entry: Sell in the 148.50 - 148.80 zone after rejecting the 200 EMA (⚪)
🎯 Take-Profit (TP1): 146.50 (RRR: 5:1)
🎯 Take-Profit (TP2): 145.00 (RRR: 9:1)
🛑 Stop-Loss (SL): 149.20
📊 Market Overview & Bias
🟥 Bearish Outlook (Macro Trend - Daily & 4H)
✅ USD/JPY remains in a clear downtrend, trading below the 200 EMA (⚪).
✅ Price has consistently rejected the 100 EMA (🟡) as resistance.
✅ Lower highs and lower lows are forming on the daily & 4H charts.
✅ If 146.50 breaks, next downside targets are 145.00 and 143.50.
🟩 Short-Term Bullish Retracement (1H & 30M)
🔹 USD/JPY has found temporary support at 146.50.
🔹 RSI shows bullish divergence, suggesting a possible short-term bounce.
🔹 If price breaks 148.00, we could see a move toward 149.00 – but this remains a counter-trend move within a larger downtrend.
📉 Why This Trade?
🔻 Major resistance at the 200 EMA (⚪) and previous swing highs.
🔻 The macro trend is bearish, so selling rallies is safer than counter-trend longs.
🔻 RSI may enter the overbought zone, signaling a sell opportunity.
🔻 If price struggles at 148.50, expect another bearish impulse.
⚠️ Trading carries a high level of risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always manage your risk carefully and never trade with money you cannot afford to lose. This is for educational purposes only and not financial advice.
💬 Do you think USD/JPY will respect the 200 EMA or break through? Drop your thoughts below! 👇🔥
USDJPY ShortThe overall trend indicates a bearish price action. The pullback on the upper side is viewed as a seller's order block being filled, which will likely continue the bearish trend.
For a bullish scenario to unfold, the price must remain above 149.800 on a 4-hour closing basis; only then can a bullish trade be initiated.
USDJPYYes, USD/JPY is following a strong downtrend, respecting the descending trendline. The break of the 148.000 support confirms further downside momentum. If sellers maintain control, the next key level to watch is 146.000, which aligns with previous demand zones and potential psychological support.
Keep an eye on fundamental factors like U.S. Treasury yields, BOJ interventions, and upcoming economic data, as they can influence the speed of the decline.
Are you looking to take a short trade on this move?