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Usdjpyshort

Usd Jpy Intervention shortAnalysis of USD/JPY Short Signal Based on Potential Bank of Japan Intervention The BOJ has a history of intervening in the currency market to stabilize the yen, especially when rapid depreciation threatens economic stability. Previous interventions have led to sharp, albeit sometimes short-lived, reversals in the USD/JPY pair. Current Economic Conditions: Japan: Inflation remains low, and economic growth is sluggish. The BOJ continues with its ultra-loose monetary policy, but any signs of overheating in the exchange rate might prompt intervention. United States: The Federal Reserve has been relatively hawkish, focusing on controlling inflation through interest rate hikes. This policy divergence has contributed to the USD strength against the JPY. Market Sentiment: Recent movements have seen the USD/JPY testing higher levels, potentially triggering concerns for the BOJ about excessive yen weakness. Speculation of intervention can often lead to preemptive market adjustments. Technical Analysis Resistance Levels: The pair may face resistance around historically significant highs, which could act as a trigger point for BOJ intervention. Support Levels: Key support levels will be watched to assess potential downside targets if intervention occurs. Sustainability of BOJ Actions: The effectiveness of BOJ interventions in reversing long-term trends is historically mixed. Given the potential for BOJ intervention to correct an overextended yen depreciation, a short position in USD/JPY could be strategic. However, traders should closely monitor key economic indicators, BOJ communications, and technical resistance levels. Proper risk management, including stop-loss orders, is essential to navigate the inherent uncertainties and volatility associated with such interventions.
Short
by realtrademaster
3
USD/JPY Overheated: Indicators Signal Potential ReversalThe USD/JPY pair is showing signs of a potential reversal as price action appears to be overheating. This is most evident in the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Stochastic indicators, both of which are in overbought conditions and exhibiting divergence. These technical signals suggest that the current upward momentum may be running out of steam. Japanese authorities are closely monitoring the situation and are poised for intervention if necessary. However, they are likely to wait and see if upcoming US economic data releases on Thursday and Friday will naturally ease the pressure without requiring direct action. This cautious approach allows them to avoid unnecessary intervention unless it becomes absolutely necessary. In the meantime, we are looking to anticipate this potential reversal by considering a short position. The combination of overbought technical indicators and the likelihood of Japanese intervention, alongside the potential influence of forthcoming US data, creates a favorable scenario for a bearish trade setup. By positioning ourselves ahead of these developments, we aim to capitalize on a possible downturn in the USD/JPY pair.
Short
by FOREXN1
2
USDJPY Sell | Trade SetupUSDJPY is moving in an ascending channel between the trend lines. The price has reached the resistance level, which has already acted as a reversal point. We expect a decline. Hello Traders, here is the full analysis. I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity USDJPY I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment. ------------------- Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 🤝
Short
by TheGrove
1
Retail Traders Poised for Yen Rebound - Consider Shorting USDJPYI am writing to bring to your immediate attention a critical development in the forex market that could present a significant trading opportunity. As many of you are aware, the recent slide in the Japanese yen has been a point of concern. This depreciation has heightened the probability of Japan intervening in the market once more to stabilize its currency. Historical patterns suggest that such interventions can lead to rapid and substantial movements in the yen's value. Currently, it appears that retail traders are reloading their bets in anticipation of a rebound in the yen. This collective action underscores a growing sentiment that the yen is poised for a recovery, potentially driven by governmental measures to curb its decline. Given these circumstances, it may be prudent to consider positioning yourselves for this anticipated rebound. Specifically, shorting the USD/JPY could be a strategic move. By doing so, you could potentially capitalize on the yen's resurgence if Japan steps in to support its currency. I urge you to review your portfolios and assess the potential benefits of shorting USD/JPY in light of the current market dynamics. As always, ensure that any trading decisions are made with careful consideration and risk management. Stay vigilant and informed. The forex market is highly dynamic, and timely actions can make a significant difference.
Short
by bryandowningqln
USDJPY ( NEW HISTORICAL PEAK ) ( 1D )USDJPY HELLO TRADERS for this week , the price attempt to create a new historical peaks ENTRY POINT : the price is under bullish trend at 158.253 , the last week the price stable in buy zone , for this week it continues trade in buy zone and will attempt to create a new historical peaks , if breaking the entry point for any reason by open candle 1D below 158.253 active sell zone ACTIVE BUY ZONE : for this week , if the price stable at 158.253 active buy zone , the price will attempt to reach resistance point 160.196 and 161.816 , it will be the creations of new historical peaks ACTIVE SELL ZONE : if the price breaking entry point at 158.253 for any reason active sell zone , the price by open candle 1D below entry point reach a155.592 and 154.273 , stable this level reach 151.727 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Thank you , if you support this idea with your likes and comments , I hope you a profitable week 🤍
Long
by ArinaKarayi
USDJPY keeps breaking recordsThe USD/JPY pair traded near a seven-week high above 158.00 during today's European session. The rally appears to have paused amid uncertainty over the Federal Reserve's (Fed) interest rate path and the release of Japan's national Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for May , will be announced on Friday. Market expectations for the Fed to start cutting interest rates from its September meeting intensified after US Retail Sales data for May missed estimates. Monthly retail sales increased 0.1%, slower than expectations of 0.2%. The Retail Sales report also showed households cutting back on discretionary spending, suggesting weak purchasing power due to high inflationary interest rates. At the Tokyo front, the Japanese Yen weakened despite the minutes of the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) June meeting showing that Governor Kazuo Ueda advocated raising interest rates earlier than expected. BoJ Ueda advocates further policy tightening due to rising inflation risks due to the weak Yen. Japan's exports have become competitive in global markets and import costs have increased, which could push price pressure higher. This week, the main factor affecting the Japanese Yen will be the national CPI data. Annual national CPI excluding Fresh Food is expected to increase to 2.6% from 2.2% previously. The pair will likely continue to increase by more than half with the expectation of the upper border at 159,600-160,200. At this point, it is necessary to have adjustment policies of the Japanese economy as the currency and economy become increasingly weaker.
by TVS-Trader
USD/JPY: Keeping an eye on false breaksOn Friday we saw USD/JPY failed to hold onto intraday gains above 158 following the BOJ meeting, and close the day back beneath the prior 'MOF intervention' level to form a shooting star candle. Prices drifted higher on Monday on relatively low volume, putting us once again on guard for either a false break of 158 or Friday's high. We're seeing a simple countertrend move back down to the high-volume node around 157.30 or even 157, should US data surprise enough to the downside later today.
Short
by CityIndex
Sell USD/JPY Wedge BreakoutThe USD/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Wedge Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position below The Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 157.55. Target Levels : 1st Support – 156.00 2nd Support – 155.20 Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 158.35. This helps limit potential losses if the price falls back unexpectedly. Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
1
USDJPY SELL | Idea Trading AnalysisUSDJPY is moving in an ascending channel, move to the resistance level and We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level. Hello Traders, here is the full analysis. I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity USDJPY I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment. ------------------- Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 🤝
Short
by TheGrove
3
USDJPY - Expect retracement !!Hello traders! ‼️ This is my perspective on USDJPY. Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look only for long position. For now I expect price to make a retracement to fill that huge imbalance lower and then to reject from bullish order block Fundamental news: Tomorrow (GMT+3) we have important news in USA, we will see results of CPI and Interest Rate. As well on Friday we will have news regarding Interest Rate in Japan. Pay attention to the result in order to validate the analysis. Like, comment and subscribe to be in touch with my content!
Long
by Snick3rSD
2
Short Idea on USDJPYUSDJPY made an attempt to breakout from symmetrical triangle pattern on 12/6/2024 before US CPI Data released. After US CPI Data released on 12/6/2024, the USDJPY dropped tremendously from 157.37 to 155.75 level. Today 13/6/2024, USDJPY climbed to sensitive rejection level 157.35 again. On 4-Hours Timeframe Chart, you can see a potential Head & Shoulder Formation. The USDJPY Price is currently forming a possible right shoulder, which potential peak will be at between 157.30 to 157.40 area. If a Solid Bear candlestick formed break the support of 156.90 Level, you will see a waterfall happening to 154.90 level. My Entry Price: 157.26 Profit Target: 154.90 Stop Loss: 158.15 Risk : Reward: 1 : 2.61
Short
by PeterGHL
USDJPY: Swing Sell Happening! AB=CD PatternFX:USDJPY Price is currently in process of making AB=CD pattern; after USDJPY created a record Higher High, most of the traders were expecting price to drop heavy and it just did that. After dropping heavily, price made some correction and formed a AB=CD pattern which is where we can expect price to drop exactly in same amount as A to B made. Our final target is 145-147 which will be somewhere 800-1000 pips. Use proper risk management.
Short
by Setupsfx_
11
USDJPY - Expect bearish price action !!Hello traders! ‼️ This is my perspective on USDJPY. Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look only for short position. I expect bearish price action as price filled that huge imbalance and now could reject from bearish order block. Fundamental news: On Friday (GMT+3) we have NFP day. News with high impact USD, so pay attention to the results in order to validate the analysis. Like, comment and subscribe to be in touch with my content!
Short
by Snick3rSD
4
USD/JPY Loses Ground Despite Strong Economic Data but..The Japanese Yen continued to weaken on Thursday, even as economic data showed a positive trend. The Tokyo Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased to 2.2% year-over-year in May, up from April's 1.8%, which marked a 26-month low. In addition, Japan’s Retail Sales (YoY) grew 2.4% in April, accelerating from a downwardly revised 1.1% rise in March and surpassing market forecasts of 1.9% growth. This marks the 26th consecutive month of expansion, indicating a sustained period of healthy consumption in Japan. Monetary Policy Implications The Bank of Japan (BoJ) has maintained its deeply entrenched monetary policy stance. Should nationwide inflation in Japan decline, it would prevent the central bank from raising interest rates. The significant rate differential between Japan and other countries continues to exert pressure on the Japanese Yen, underpinning the USD/JPY pair. US Dollar Rebound The US Dollar (USD) rebounded ahead of the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge, the Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, which is due to be released today. However, the decline in US Treasury yields could limit the advance of the US Dollar. Technical Analysis From a technical perspective, we are anticipating a rebound for the Yen, particularly if the US Core PCE Price Index shows a negative impact. The footprint analysis reveals several areas of demand on the daily timeframe chart, where the value could find support for a possible reversal. Investors should monitor the upcoming Core PCE data closely, as it will likely influence the near-term direction of both the USD and JPY.
Short
by FOREXN1
3