USDJPY Returns to Key Support – Another Bounce Ahead?At the end of April and beginning of May, I pointed out the importance of the 142 support zone and argued that USDJPY could reverse to the upside, targeting the 146 resistance.
The pair did exactly that — not only hitting the 146 target, but also spiking as high as 148, reaching the next major resistance.
🔁 Now We're Back towards 142
Since mid-May, USDJPY has pulled back again and is now retesting the 142 area — the same zone that previously triggered a strong bounce.
📌 Outlook and Trading Plan
I still consider the 142 level a solid support, and this recent drop could offer a new buying opportunity.
Any dips under 142 that quickly reverse can be used to build long positions, with a target once more around 146.
That offers a clear trade setup with a good risk-to-reward ratio.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Usdjpysignal
USDJPY: 300+ Pips From Previous Idea, What Hold Next? Hey Everyone
USDJPY is on a roll! It’s rebounded a whopping 300+ pips and is now on the positive side. We reckon it’s going to keep climbing in the coming days as DXY is starting to regain its strength.
And here’s the cherry on top: there’s some exciting news coming up, including the NFP tomorrow. This could really boost the USDJPY to a new record high.
But remember, when trading, it’s crucial to manage your risk carefully.
Now, let’s talk about the potential for a significant market movement. We’ve spotted a chance for a substantial bullish swing that could reach around 2050 pips. We’ve also identified three potential targets, so you can choose the one that best fits your analysis.
The main driver behind this move is the reversal of the Japanese Yen (JPY) from a bullish trend to a bearish one. So, let’s be cautious and use precise risk management techniques during this period.
Good luck and happy trading! 😊
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Thanks a bunch for your support! 😊
Cheers,
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USDJPY: Neutral View! One of The Hardest Forex Pair To TradeUSDJPY has not yet shown a clear move, ranging between 141 and 144. We are currently neutral as the price could go in either direction. Trade cautiously and manage risk according to your trade plan.
Thanks for your support! 😊
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USDJPY Bearish Continuation Setup Trend Analysis
The market is in a clear downtrend, evidenced by the sequence of lower highs and lower lows.
The descending trendline has been respected multiple times, acting as dynamic resistance.
🧠 Key Technical Factors
Rejection Zone (Supply Area):
The marked “Rejection Point” aligns with the confluence of the trendline resistance, 50 EMA (red), and historical supply.
Price attempted to break above but faced a strong rejection—signaling institutional sell interest.
EMA Confluence:
50 EMA (142.993) and 200 EMA (144.063) are both sloping downward.
Price is trading below both EMAs, confirming bearish momentum and trend continuation bias.
BOS (Break of Structure):
Multiple BOS levels marked, showing a consistent pattern of structure breaks to the downside.
Each rally is met with selling pressure, failing to create new highs.
🧩 Projected Price Action
Current retracement could retest the trendline/50 EMA before a potential continuation move downward.
Expectation is a lower high formation near the descending trendline followed by a bearish impulse.
🏹 Bias: Bearish
Traders might consider short opportunities around the 142.90–143.00 zone, targeting 142.00 and below, with stops just above the trendline/supply zone.
⚠️ Risk Note
A clean break and close above the trendline and 50 EMA would invalidate this setup and could lead to a shift in structure.
USDJPY Breakout Watch | Bullish Momentum Toward Key ResistanceUSD/JPY is showing strong bullish momentum on the 15-minute chart, breaking out of a consolidation range with increased volume.
Technical Highlights:
Price has surged with strong bullish candles, showing clean impulsive movement.
The key level at 144.39 is being tested as potential breakout resistance.
If price sustains above this zone, it may target the next resistance area near 145.35.
Clean price structure with volume supporting upward movement.
Risk is managed with a stop below the breakout level, targeting a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
This setup reflects trend continuation with bullish momentum and clear technical structure.
📈 Watching closely for confirmation and follow-through above key breakout zone.
USD/JPY) Bullish reversal analysis Read The ChaptianMr SMC Trading point update
Technical analysis for the USD/JPY (U.S. Dollar / Japanese Yen) on the 4-hour timeframe. Here's a detailed breakdown of the idea and strategy:
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Key Components of the Chart:
1. Strong Support Zone:
The yellow zone is labeled as a “big support level of pullback”, around the 142.00 – 141.20 range.
Price has historically bounced from this zone, suggesting demand and buyer interest.
2. Bullish Structure Setup:
Price is forming a double bottom or potential reversal pattern in the support zone.
A downtrend line is clearly marked, and a break above this trendline would signal bullish continuation.
3. EMA 200 (at 145.020):
The EMA is currently acting as dynamic resistance.
A breakout above the EMA would confirm further bullish momentum.
4. RSI Indicator:
RSI is currently below 30, indicating the market is oversold – a common precursor to a bullish reversal.
5. Target Levels:
Target 1: 145.803 – likely the first resistance level or EMA retest.
Target 2: 148.587 – a prior high and strong resistance area.
6. Projection:
Price is expected to bounce from support, break the trendline, retest, and then rally to higher levels.
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Trade Idea Summary:
Bias: Bullish
Entry Zone: Near 142.00 – 141.20 (support zone)
Confirmation: Break above the descending trendline + bullish RSI divergence
Targets:
TP1: 145.803
TP2: 148.587
Invalidation: Break and close below 141.00 (support zone broken)
Mr SMC Trading point
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Risk Management Suggestion:
Use a tight stop-loss below the support zone, considering it's the key reversal area. Also, keep an eye on fundamental factors such as U.S. and Japan interest rate decisions or key economic events (indicated by the icons on the chart).
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
USDJPY Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USD/JPY Analysis: Bearish Bias with Multi-Market Confluence!📉 USDJPY Technical Breakdown – Yen Strength in Focus 📉
In this video, we take a close look at the USD/JPY, which is currently under pressure and trending to the downside 🔽. The bearish momentum is clear, but there are several key factors to consider before positioning ourselves for a potential short 📊.
🔍 First, it’s important to monitor the equity markets. If we start to see a pullback or sell-off in the stock indices 🏦📉, that could translate into further yen strength, adding weight to a USD/JPY short bias 💴💪.
Another key piece of confluence is comparing the DXY (Dollar Index) 📈 with the JXY (Japanese Yen Index) 📉. This gives us deeper insight into the relative strength of each currency and helps confirm our directional bias before entering a trade ⚖️.
🔁 Coming back to the USD/JPY chart, we’re watching for a retracement into a Fibonacci point of interest, which could provide a high-probability area to enter a sell setup. If price reacts from that level and confirms with structure, we could have a clean opportunity for continuation 🔂🎯.
⚠️ This is not financial advice — always conduct your own analysis and manage risk accordingly.
(BTC/USD) Short Trade Setup – Bearish Reversal from Resistance 1. Entry Point: 111,516.84
2. Stop Loss: 112,858.08
3. EA Target Point (Take Profit): 106,068.04
4. Resistance Point: ~110,563 (currently being tested)
Trade Setup Summary:
Type: Short position
Risk (Stop LOss - Entry): 112,858.08 - 111,516.84 = 1,341.24
Reward (Entry - Target): 111,516.84 - 106,068.04 = 5,448.80
Risk/Reward Ratio: Roughly 1:4, which is favorable.
Technical Indicators:
The chart shows:
Moving Averages: A red (shorter) and blue (longer) MA, suggesting recent bullish momentum.
Price Action: Consolidation near the resistance after an uptrend; current candle appears bearish and breaking the support.
Interpretation:
This is a bearish reversal setup.
If the price breaks the support around 110,563 convincingly, it may confirm a move downward.
The stop loss is placed safely above recent highs to avoid getting caught in short-term volatility.
The target is significantly lower, around previous support levels, implying a strong move down is anticipated.
Risk:
This strategy banks on a clear breakdown. If the support holds, price may reverse upward, hitting the stop loss.
USDJPY Outlook: Weekly Bearish Bias Despite Temporary RebalanceGreetings Traders,
It's the start of a new trading week, and our focus is on the Gopher — CAPITALCOM:USDJPY .
Weekly Overview: Temporary Rebalance, Bearish Tone Intact
On the weekly chart, USDJPY pushed higher to rebalance a Fair Value Gap (FVG) between 149.30 and 148.26. Following this, price was swiftly rejected, forming a shooting star candlestick — a classic sign of potential bearish continuation.
However, for this bearish outlook to remain valid, 146.250 must hold as resistance. A sustained break above this level could invalidate the current bias and signal the possibility of further upside.
Daily Chart: Downside Pressure Builds
Looking at the daily timeframe, we see a sequence of down-close candles, indicating consistent selling pressure. I expect price to continue pushing lower, targeting the FVG below, with a potential sweep of sell-side liquidity resting under recent lows.
Trading Plan: Bearish Setup
Unless disrupted by high-impact fundamentals, I’ll be favouring short positions this week. My planned setup is as follows:
Entry: On confirmation within the 145.63 zone
Stop Loss: Above 145.97
Target Zones: Around 144.430
I’ll monitor price reaction closely at key levels to manage the trade accordingly.
USDJPY:Is it a beginning of major bullish trend? Read CaptionThe price of USDJPY has shown a mixed volume, making it difficult to determine the trend. However, if we analyse the data, we can see that USD is gaining strength in the coming time. This could be due to the strong news coming in this week, which may divert the USDJPY towards the 150 price region. There are four potential targets that price could hit and surpass. Please use this analysis solely for educational purposes, as it does not provide any guarantees.
Good luck and trade safely.
Thanks for your support! 😊
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USD/ JPY) bullish trend analysis Read The ChaptianSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of 4-hour for USD/JPY (U.S. Dollar vs Japanese Yen). Here's the breakdown of the idea
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1. Bullish Structure
The market is moving within a rising channel, indicating a bullish trend.
Higher highs and higher lows support the uptrend.
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2. Key Zones
Support Zone (Demand Area): Around the 144.500–145.000 level, price has reacted positively here multiple times — it's marked as a strong support level.
Resistance Zone: Around 148.000 — this level is marked as an obstacle before reaching the final target point.
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3. Indicators & Confluence
EMA 200: Price is currently testing just above/below the EMA 200 — a key dynamic support/resistance level.
RSI: Showing a bullish divergence or a potential recovery from oversold zone (both RSI lines are turning upward).
MACD-style Oscillator (Custom): Showing signs of a bullish crossover, confirming upward momentum.
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4. Projection & Target
The expected move is a bounce from support, followed by:
A retest of resistance around 148.
A continuation to the target zone at 150.864 — marked as the final target point.
The potential move is approximately +592 pips (4.19%).
Mr SMC Trading point
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Conclusion
This is a bullish continuation setup, expecting price to maintain above the support zone and ride the trendline and channel toward 150.864. The confluence of RSI, structure, and EMA adds strength to the idea.
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
USD/JPY Breakdown: Sell the Rallies, Ride the TrendUSD/JPY has decisively shifted bearish across all key timeframes. On the daily chart, the pair broke below the 50-, 100-, and 200-day EMAs with consistent lower highs and lows. The hourly chart confirms this trend, with bearish EMA stacking and failed attempts to reclaim the 200-hour EMA. RSI remains under 50 across timeframes, signaling persistent bearish momentum without exhaustion.
The 15-minute chart highlights ideal short-entry setups on pullbacks to the 20- or 50-EMA, especially when RSI fails to breach 50. The 200-EMA on this timeframe acts as dynamic resistance near 145.30. Short entries are favorable on rallies to the 145.10–145.35 zone, with downside targets at 144.80, 144.50, and potentially 144.20.
For the week ahead, the strategy is clear: fade rallies into EMA resistance and use RSI confirmation for timing. Avoid chasing lows—wait for price to come to you. Tight stops just above the EMAs minimize risk, and partial profit-taking at swing lows allows for trend-riding flexibility.
As long as USD/JPY remains below the 200-hour EMA, bearish momentum dominates. Trade with the trend, manage risk with precision, and stay alert for breakdowns below key support levels.
USD/JPY) support level back up Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of USD/JPY on the 4-hour timeframe suggests a bullish setup with the following key insights:
Analysis Overview:
1. Current Price: 147.492
2. Support Zone: Around 145.263 to 146.000
Marked as "Support Level / FVG" (Fair Value Gap), this is the potential demand zone where the price may retrace before bouncing.
3. Trendline: An ascending trendline is supporting the bullish structure.
4. EMA 200: Price is trading above the 200 EMA (145.263), which is generally a bullish signal.
5. RSI Indicator:
RSI is near overbought levels (currently at 63.46 and 70.56), suggesting strong bullish momentum but a potential pullback.
6. Target Zone: 151.360
Highlighted as the "Target Point" – this is the resistance area where price might face selling pressure.
Mr SMC Trading point
Trade Idea:
Entry: Buy on retracement into the support zone (around 145.5–146.0).
Stop Loss: Below the support zone or EMA (around 144.800 or as per risk tolerance).
Take Profit: Near the target zone around 151.360.
Risk-to-Reward: Favorable, approximately 1:2.5 to 1:3 depending on the entry.
Conclusion:
The idea is based on price respecting support, fair value gap (FVG), bullish structure, and a target based on recent price projections. If the price respects the support and bullish trendline, the bullish continuation towards 151.360 is a valid expectation.
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
USD/JPY Poised for Breakout: Watch the 145.60 TriggerUSD/JPY remains in a broader uptrend, with buyers defending the 141.00–144.50 support zone on the daily chart. While price has recently pulled back from the 148.50 high, the overall structure remains bullish. On the hourly timeframe, the pair has been moving within a descending channel since May 13. However, a double bottom near 141.80 and a push back toward 145.50 suggest buyers are regaining control. A breakout above the channel resistance at 145.60 could signal the end of the correction and a new leg higher toward 147.00–148.00.
The 15-minute chart supports this setup, showing a bull-flag consolidation above 145.20 and rising trendline support near 145.10. Volume has thinned during the flag formation, indicating a potential surge on breakout. Traders should look to buy above 145.60, targeting 146.20 and 146.80, with stops just below 145.00. A break under 145.00 flips the short-term bias bearish, with downside targets at 144.60 and 144.20.
Overall, the technicals favor a bullish breakout scenario into the week, provided 145.00 holds. Intraday traders should closely monitor the 145.00–145.60 zone for momentum confirmation.
Bearish USD/JPY — Yen Strength FavoredCMCMARKETS:USDJPY Bearish Factors (USD Negative / JPY Positive):
Hawkish BoJ Expectations:
Despite Japan’s weaker Q1 GDP, BoJ officials—particularly Deputy Governor Uchida—have signalled openness to resuming rate hikes in 2025. A Reuters survey suggests a potential 25bps hike before year-end. This divergence from the Fed’s stance supports JPY strength.
Dovish Fed Outlook Intensifies:
Weak U.S. April PPI and retail sales figures reinforce expectations for multiple rate cuts this year. Falling Treasury yields and soft inflation readings weigh heavily on the dollar.
Resistance : 146.75 , 145.87
Support : 144.91 , 143.52
USDJPY and GBPJPY Further drop?Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USD/JPY Multi-Timeframe Trading Plan – Week AheadUSD/JPY is trending higher short-term but remains below key resistance on the daily chart. The daily timeframe shows an inverted head-and-shoulders forming, with a neckline at 152. Until that breaks, rallies into 148–150 are likely to fade. The 1-hour chart shows a rising wedge from 142 to 148.5 with support around 145.0. Momentum is slowing, warning of potential exhaustion near 148.
On the 15-minute chart, recent price action shows a bull flag and a double bottom, offering buy zones at 146.10–146.30. The plan for early week is to long dips to this zone, targeting 146.80–147.20 with stops below 145.90. Watch for fades around 147.50–148.00 mid-week. A break above 148.00 opens room to 150.00; below 145.00, momentum shifts bearish.
Strategy: Buy pullbacks early in the week; fade rallies near 148 mid-week. Flip long above 148.00 or short below 145.00. Use tight stops and manage risk per trade.
GBPJPY breaking the F.V.G?GBPJPY after breakout of the monthly long term trend line has got rejected for potential retest of the support. As the market has left a gap untested at 193.50 level, there is a high probability for the price to drop and retest and fill that gap. Currently price is approaching a fair value gap.
As first trade closed in profit, looking for another sell entry at 1h candle close!
USD/JPY) Bullish reversal analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
Technical Analysis USD/JPY suggests a bullish outlook based on the following key technical components:
1. Buying Zone: The chart identifies a green rectangular area labeled "BUYING ZONE" just above the 200 EMA (blue line at 144.079). This implies that price retracement into this zone could be an opportunity to go long (buy).
2. Support & Resistance:
Support Level: Clearly marked around 143.00, showing a previous demand area.
Resistance Level: Around the 145.800–146.000 region, price previously rejected here.
3. Bullish Pattern: The curved arrow suggests the formation of a bullish continuation pattern (possibly a cup & handle or flag), with the expectation of a breakout toward the upside.
4. Target Point: The target is projected at 148.153, implying a potential move of approximately 291.7 pips from the buying zone—suggesting a favorable risk-reward ratio.
5. RSI Indicator: The RSI (Relative Strength Index) is currently around 55, not in the overbought zone, indicating more room for upside movement.
Mr SMC Trading point
Summary of Idea:
Strategy: Buy near 145.00–145.20 (Buying Zone).
Stop Loss: Just below the 200 EMA or the lower bound of the green zone.
Take Profit: Near the 148.153 target.
Confirmation: Wait for bullish confirmation/candlestick reversal in the buying zone.
Pelas support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
USDJPY Trade Plan: Long from Imbalance Zone on Bullish BOSUSDJPY Trade Idea & Analysis
Chart Context:
The 1H USDJPY chart shows a strong bullish impulse, followed by a consolidation and a potential retracement into a clear imbalance zone (highlighted between the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels, around 146.76–146.32). The market structure remains bullish, with higher highs and higher lows.
Market Fundamentals & Sentiment (as of May 2025):
USD Strength: The US dollar remains supported by persistent inflation and the Fed’s hawkish stance, with markets pricing in the possibility of further rate hikes or a prolonged period of higher rates.
JPY Weakness: The Bank of Japan continues its ultra-loose monetary policy, with no immediate signs of tightening. This divergence keeps upward pressure on USDJPY.
Risk Sentiment: Global risk appetite is stable, favoring carry trades and supporting USDJPY upside.
Trade Plan:
Look for a retrace into the imbalance zone (146.76–146.32). Enter long on a confirmed bullish break of structure (BOS) on lower timeframes. Target the recent swing highs (148.65 and above), with a stop loss below the retracement low.
Not financial advice.