Usdjpysignal
USDJPY Counter Trend Opportunities - Fxdollars - {11/03/2025}Educational Analysis says USDJPY may give countertrend opportunities from this range, according to my technical.
Broker - FXCM
So my analysis is based on a top-down approach from weekly to trend range to internal trend range.
The weekly trend range is long up to 170.000
Trading Range Approach is a long counter trend opportunity or pushback up to 155.000
The internal Trend Range Approach is a Long counter trend opportunity or pushback up to 150.000
or continue going down with an internal trading range or trading range up to 135.000
Let's see what this pair brings to the table for us in the future.
Please check the comment section to see how this turned out.
DISCLAIMER:-
This is not an entry signal. THIS IS ONLY EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE ANALYSIS.
I have no concerns with your profit and loss from this analysis.
I HAVE NO CONCERNS WITH YOUR PROFIT OR LOSS,
Happy Trading, Fx Dollars .
USD/JPY "The Gopher" Forex Market Bullish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
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Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the USD/JPY "The Gopher" Forex market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bullish loot at any price - the heist is on!
however I advise to Place Buy stop orders above the Moving average (or) Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level.
Stop Loss 🛑:
Thief SL placed at the recent / swing low level Using the 1H timeframe (148.600) swing trade basis.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 152.300 (or) Escape Before the Target
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📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
USD/JPY "The Gopher" Forex Market is currently experiencing a bullish trend,., driven by several key factors.
🔰 Fundamental Analysis
- The Bank of Japan's (BOJ) monetary policy decisions significantly impact the yen's value. The BOJ's negative interest rate policy and quantitative easing program have contributed to the yen's depreciation.
- The US Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions also influence the USD/JPY exchange rate. Higher interest rates in the US can attract investors, causing the dollar to appreciate.
- Japan's trade balance and current account deficit can impact the yen's value. A large trade deficit can lead to a depreciation of the yen.
🔰 Macroeconomic Factors
- Inflation: Japan's inflation rate has been relatively low, which can impact the BOJ's monetary policy decisions.
- GDP Growth: Japan's GDP growth rate has been slow, which can impact the yen's value.
- Unemployment Rate: Japan's unemployment rate has been relatively low, which can impact the labor market and inflation.
🔰 COT Data
- Non-Commercial Traders: These traders, including hedge funds and individual investors, hold a significant portion of the USD/JPY futures market.
- Commercial Traders: These traders, including banks and other financial institutions, hold a smaller portion of the USD/JPY futures market.
🔰 Market Sentiment Analysis
- Bullish Sentiment: Some investors are bullish on the USD/JPY due to the interest rate differential between the US and Japan.
- Bearish Sentiment: Others are bearish due to concerns about Japan's economy and the potential for the BOJ to intervene in the currency market.
🔰 Positioning
- Long Positions: Some investors have taken long positions in the USD/JPY, betting on a continuation of the uptrend.
- Short Positions: Others have taken short positions, betting on a reversal of the uptrend.
🔰 Next Trend Move
- The USD/JPY may continue its uptrend if the interest rate differential between the US and Japan remains significant.
- However, if the BOJ intervenes in the currency market or if Japan's economy shows signs of improvement, the uptrend may reverse.
🔰 Overall Summary Outlook
The USD/JPY currency pair is influenced by a combination of fundamental, macroeconomic, and market sentiment factors. While some investors are bullish on the pair due to the interest rate differential, others are bearish due to concerns about Japan's economy. The next trend move will depend on various factors, including the BOJ's monetary policy decisions and Japan's economic performance.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
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USD/JPY probability assessment of the next price movement:From analyzing the USD/JPY charts across different timeframes, here is a structured probability assessment of the next price movement:
Market Structure Overview:
Bearish Trend on Higher Timeframes (4H & 1D)
The market has been trending downward, breaking previous lows.
A clear Break of Structure (BOS) and Change of Character (ChOCH) suggest bearish control.
Discount Zones are marked, showing potential reaction areas.
Liquidity & Order Flow
Price is currently near a discount zone on the lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1H).
Premium zones are visible on higher timeframes, meaning a retracement could happen before further downside.
Key Levels:
Resistance Zones: 151.000 - 152.000
Support Zones: 148.000 - 148.350
Equilibrium Levels: Around 150.000
Probability Scenarios:
Bearish Continuation (65% Probability)
Price is forming lower highs and lower lows.
If price fails to break above 150.000 convincingly, a further decline to 148.350 - 148.000 is likely.
BOS confirms continued bearish momentum.
Bullish Retracement (35% Probability)
If price reacts strongly at the discount area, a push toward 150.500 - 151.000 before continuing lower is possible.
Confirmation required: A higher low formation and BOS in lower timeframes (15m, 30m).
Trading Plan:
Short (Sell) Plan - Higher Probability
Entry: Around 149.500 - 150.000 (If price shows rejection)
Confirmations Needed: Rejection from supply zone + bearish price action (e.g., bearish engulfing)
Stop Loss: Above 150.500
Take Profit: 148.350 (1st target), 148.000 (2nd target)
Risk-to-Reward: 1:3
Long (Buy) Plan - Lower Probability
Entry: 148.350 - 148.000 (If price shows bullish reaction)
Confirmations Needed: Strong bullish candles + BOS on lower timeframes
Stop Loss: Below 147.800
Take Profit: 150.000 (1st target), 151.000 (2nd target)
Risk-to-Reward: 1:3
Final Summary Table
Scenario Probability Key Level to Watch SL TP
Bearish Continuation 65% 149.500 - 150.000 150.500 148.350 - 148.000
Bullish Retracement 35% 148.350 - 148.000 147.800 150.000 - 151.000
📌 Conclusion: The market remains bearish unless a strong reversal structure forms. Best trade is to wait for a short entry around 149.500 - 150.000 and target 148.350 first. A bullish move is possible but needs confirmation. 🚀
USDJPY BuyUSDJPY Trade Signal
📉 Pullback & Potential Reversal
Price Level: 150.41
Support Zone: 148.37 - 149.98
Resistance Targets: 152.06 / 154.00
📌 Trade Plan:
Wait for a pullback confirmation before entering long.
Stop Loss: Below 148.37
Targets: 152.06 → 154.00
⚠️ Risk Management: Control risk and wait for a clear breakout.
USDJPY Weekly SetupFor the past few weeks, this pair has been on a bearish trajectory, and I do anticipate that the momentum will continue.
The targets are;
1. 150.93 ~ This is the lows of the past 2 previous weeks.
2. 149.6 ~ This is the Weekly Bullish Order Block
3. 148.7 ~ Another sellside liquidity formed in December.
The daily and 15 minute timeframe will give us the best entry and stop loss for this pair.
USDJPY Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USD/JPY Correction Could Offer Shelling OpportunityIn my USD/JPY analysis last week, I mentioned a high probability of the pair breaking support and continuing its decline.
That scenario has played out, with USD/JPY dropping below the key 151 support zone and now trading around 149.50.
An upside correction may be next, potentially providing traders with an opportunity to enter short and ride the downtrend.
Conclusion:
Rallies around 150.50 should be seen as selling opportunities, and as previously stated, I expect a further drop to 146. 📉
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
DeGRAM | USDJPY decline from the channel boundaryUSDJPY is in a descending channel below the trend lines.
The price is moving from the upper boundary of the channel and has already broken the lower trend line.
We expect the decline to continue after consolidation under the 50% retracement level.
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Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
GBPJPY and USDJPY Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USDJPY: remains below 150.00Furthermore, any significant retracement could find immediate support near the 149.50 level, which is followed closely by the 149.00 round number. A break below the latter might expose the USD/JPY pair to a retest of the 148.50 region, a level seen as the next strong support. Sustained weakness below this area could pave the way for a deeper corrective decline, with the next target around the 148.00 level. Traders will likely keep a close eye on these levels, as they could provide fresh directional impetus for the pair.
USDJPY Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
DeGRAM | USDJPY continued growth in the channelUSDJPY is in an ascending channel between the trend lines.
The price is moving from the lower boundary of the channel and a strong support level.
The chart is maintaining a harmonic pattern.
We expect the growth to continue.
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Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
USDJPY top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USDJPY Daily BiasThe price has been on a bearish momentum for the past few days and I do anticipate that the momentum will continue.
The price had retracted towards the Volume Based Inefficiency formed around 152.2 and my sell entry position will be determined in a smaller TF (15 Minutes) in a follow up analysis on the same.
USDJPY and GBPJPY Top-down analysisHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis
USDJPY Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USDJPY:800+ PIPS Dropping Well Since Our First Idea!Dear Traders,
Since we posted our idea when price was trading at 158 we told you that this will be a massive dropped and since then price has proven us right, now we think there is another big drop is on the way. Please use proper risk management while trading.