Usdjpysignal
USDJPY has formed reversal on daily, possible drop!!USDJPY( Daily) was in a bullish move for the long term. The price action only daily has created a reversal pattern and on the close of the monthly candle, we could see deeper retracement and a potential drop in USDJPY. We see a double top, followed by a head and shoulder and, today's daily candle has just tested the neckline of this double as resistance and strongly rejected. At the same time, daily head & shoulder has lower highs on the right side. As the monthly & weekly close is nearing, there is highly likely that USDJPY will come for a deeper retracement to the downside!!
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USDJPY top-down analysisHello traders, this is the full breakdown of this pair. We will take this trade if all the conditions are satisfied as discussed in the analysis. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USD/JPY SELL NOW...
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis for this pair,
let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions,
the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be
satisfied. I suggest you keep this pair on your watch list and see if
the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
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USDJPY top-down analysisHello traders, this is the full breakdown of this pair. We will take this trade if all the conditions are satisfied as discussed in the analysis. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USD/JPY analysis: no time for mercy? During its July meeting, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) voted 8-1 to keep its key short-term interest rate ( JPINTR ) at -0.1% and 10-year bond yields ( JP10Y ) around 0%.
However, it lowered its GDP growth forecast for 2022 from 2.9% in April to 2.4%, mentioning slowing global growth and problems with the supply chain caused by the long war in Ukraine. On top of that, as the price of energy, food, and durable goods continue to rise, the board has increased its 2022 inflation projection to 2.3%, up from 1.9%.
The BoJ's policy stance remains extremely dovish. Despite a worldwide wave of central banks tightening policy, the BoJ emphasised in its statement that it will not hesitate to implement more monetary easing measures if necessary.
USD/JPY chart analysis
The Bank of Japan is the only central bank that has yet to join the chor us of the worldwide tsunami of monetary tightening.
Clearly, the prospect for a currency whose central bank is unwilling to raise interest rates when the rest of the world is doing so is tilted to the bearish side.
Although the USD/JPY pair has already reached severe oversold RSI levels on the weekly chart, fundamentals remain negative for the Japanese yen.
A test of the psychological barrier at 140 is an interesting short-term level, while the most aggressive bulls see 147.55 (the high hit in August 1998) as a medium-term target (6% above current levels).
The alternative scenario involves the onset of a severe US recession with deflationary repercussions as a result of a collapse in demand. This may prompt a reevaluation of the Fed’s rate rises, halting the increasing rate gap with the BoJ, which will be beneficial for the JPY. But this is a remote scenario at this moment due to the strength of the American labour market and supply chain disruptions that cause worldwide inflationary
Is UsdJpy topped? Correction is probableSince the break above 116 resistance in March, UsdJpy has risen strongly, gaining around 20%.
However, from the 135 top made in June, the pair's new highs are marginal, giving us a clue that the bulls are tired.
After the last high from last week, the pair has started to roll back and if today's candle is closing red, we can have a "tree black crows" candle formation on our daily chart, which is a signal for sell.
As long as the last high is intact, I expect a correction, and swing trades can focus on the 132 zone.
Interim support is at 135
USDJPY SHORT (190 PIPS)USDJPY has been on a bull run lately, currently in a possible trending zone. Expecting USDJPY to follow the trend and fall to 135.480. If UJ breaks my breakout point at 135.480 completely, i will be expecting a head and shoulder formation, whic h might take USDJPY down for more than 800 PIPS!!!
USDJPY top-down analysisHello traders, this is the full breakdown of this pair. We will take this trade if all the conditions are satisfied as discussed in the analysis. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USDJPY Evening star pattern probability short for 133.00#usdjpy, Bar "A", "B", and "C" formed evening star pattern for short. 21st June bar "A" broke resistance to catch stop losses. Bar "B" inside bar confined within the range of the last bar. Bar "C" broke inside bar low confirmed weakness ahead. 133.00 first hurdle as a support if breach then next 132.30.
DeGRAM | USDJPY at 20 Years ResistanceUSDJPY is testing a resistance zone which was tested almost over 20 years ago.
Orders are placed at those levels by major institutions that are selling by market and those that have bought and are taking profits right now.
We will see massive sell-offs.
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USDJPY SHORT (100 PIPS)Looking for a perfect short position of UJ worth 100 pips. Due to the rise of USD which made UJ form a perfect head and shoulder, i'm looking for a perfect sell scalp to 133.200 which serves as a support for UJ. This may serve as the breakdown point. If my breakout point gets breached, i'm looking for UJ to Short below 131.000.
USD/JPY may drop some before it rise againNote: USD/JPY is in uptrend, there is no doubt here. So, selling USD/JPY is risky.
The FED is raising rates and BOJ is still holding their negative rates. So, as a carry trading method JPY is much weaker than the USD.
And BOJ already says they are not going to raise rates anymore. Now the question may arise, WHY am I in sell mode in USD/JPY.
Reason is simple, Everything has a limit. I think USD/JPY has reached its limit. As long as it didn't break above the 135.30, it is not going to up more.
If you see its last few days moves. The USD became strong against most of the major currencies but couldn't against the JPY.
That means the current price zone matters to the investors. If you think my logic is not strong, please you can skip it...
I think after tomorrow's rate decision the USD will be weak. Because the market is priced at a 75 BP rate hike. But my mind says, the FED won't raise 75 BP. rather they will rise only 50 BP.