USDJPY | MY PERSPECTIVE FOR THE WEEKWith 30pips against our direction since my last publication (see link below for reference purposes) on this pair, the price has found its way to complete a 127.2 extension to incite a reversal structure. It is worthy to note that the Japanese and US statistics headed in opposite directions this week to make the USD/JPY the only major pair to witness the Greenback appreciate last week.
Tendency: Downtrend ( Bearish )
Structure: Harmonic (AB = CD) | Supply & Demand
Observation: i. The Bullish run since the beginning of the month appears to be stalling at my Supply zone as those who took advantage of the run are doing quick sells.
ii. Confirmation of a Harmonic move (AB = CD) might be a result of a rejection of my Key Level @ 106.500 for a decline.
iii. ABCD expectations;
a. Impulse A-to-B expected to be in harmony with the potential C-to-D leg.
b. The B- to-C leg is at 50.0% Fibonacci retracement of the A-to-B leg.
c. The C-to-D leg is expected to fall within 127.2 - 1.414% Fib. ext. of the A-to-B move.
Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 300 pips.
Risk/Reward: 1:4
Potential Duration: 2 to 7 days
NB: This speculation can be considered to make decisions on lower timeframes.
Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored.
NirvanaForex
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Usdjpysignals
USDJPY | PERSPECTIVE FOR THE WEEKAfter waiting all week, the US payrolls delivered numbers good enough to rally the Greenback back to its recent high but not strong enough to cushion the negative COVID inspired dent on the US economy. After moving over 200pips in our direction since my last publication on this pair (see link below for reference purposes), price did a correction to form what looks like a Double Top at my Supply zone in anticipation of what looks like a decline in the following week(s).
Tendency: Downtrend (Bearish)
Structure: Supply & Demand | Retracements
Observation: i. Retracement of Impulse Leg culminates at Supply zone with a structure similar to a Double Top after a Bullish run on Friday.
ii. The expectation of a Harmonic move (AB = CD pattern) will be high after completion of retracement is confirmed.
Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 250 pips.
Risk/Reward: 1:5
Potential Duration: 4 to 10 days
NB: This speculation can be considered to make decisions on lower timeframes.
Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored.
NirvanaForex
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
USDJPY Sell SignalPattern: Channel Down since 2017.
Signal: Sell as the price broke below the Channel's pivot (dashed line).
Target: 102.000 (just above the Support line and the inner (blue) Lower Low trend-line).
** Please support this idea with your likes and comments, it is the best way to keep it relevant and support me. **
USDJPY | WEEKLY PERSPECTIVEThe Greenback began a downward spiral at the beginning of last week as it came under strong Bearish pressure with the souring market sentiment to Breakdown my Key level @ 106.500 later in the week. With over 125pips in our direction since my last publication on this pair (see link below for reference purposes); the scope of the USDJPY pair to extend the decline becomes more pronounced.
Tendency: Downtrend ( Bearish )
Structure: Breakdown | Support & Resistance | Supply & Demand
Observation: i. Price action fell into an indecision pattern since early June 2020 to finally Breakdown of the Channel late last week.
ii. Breakdown off of 106.500 signals an extension in the decline of the USD as I anticipate a correction into this level for rally continuation.
iii. A Breakdown coinciding with Bearish Trendline @ 106.000 further confirms my bias.
Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 160 pips.
Risk/Reward: 1:3
Potential Duration: 4 to 10 days
NB: This speculation can be considered to make decisions on lower timeframes.
Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored.
NirvanaForex
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
USDJPY | WEEKLY PERSPECTIVEIt was all Bears for the US Dollar especially during the latter part of last week as it continues to lose value against multiple currencies and the Yen was not left out in the gains! Breakdown of my Key level @ 107.300 last week evolved into a structure similar to AB = CD pattern with an expectation of correcting into 107.300 in anticipation of a down rally in the following week(s) seems feasible.
Tendency: Downtrend ( Bearish )
Structure: Breakout | Harmonic (AB = CD)| Support & Resistance
Observation: i. The fall of the USD since the beginning of last month (June 2020) appears to continue as it Breaks down my Key level once again.
ii. ABCD pattern
a. Impulse A-to-B in harmony with the potential B-to-C leg.
b. The B- to-C leg is at 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the A-to-B leg.
c. The C-to-D leg falls at 1.414% Fib. ext. of the A-to-B move.
iii. Expecting a possible correction into my Key level zone before downtrend continuation in the following week(s).
Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 250 pips.
Risk/Reward: 1:3
Potential Duration: 2 to 8 days
NB: This speculation can be considered to make decisions on lower timeframes.
Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored.
NirvanaForex
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
USDJPY Buy SignalPattern: Descending Triangle on 1D.
Signal: Bullish as long as the 106.00 Support holds.
Target: 108.500 (around the Lower Highs trend-line from March 24).
** Please support this idea with your likes and comments, it is the best way to keep it relevant and support me. **
Most recent USDJPY signal:
USDJPY Buy SignalPattern: 1D Channel Up.
Signal: Bullish as the price found support on the 1D MA50 making a Higher Low within the pattern.
Target: 109.800 (the Lower High on the 2019 Descending Triangle).
*note: if the Golden Cross (1D) takes place you may extend buying up to 111.800 as it happened in July 2018). If the Golden Cross fails to form, abort as another sharp decline towards the 1M Support would be possible).
This is an idea I first accurately calculated in August on the exact 105.00 bottom (see the chat below):
USDJPY - SELL NowLook at the Fibo level s and resistance. Strong resistance which is tested couple of times but couldn't break. 200EMA & Bollinger bands working as a resistance too and UJ is overbought situation as well. In the mean time "W" pattern was formed in the chart and price starting to bearish movement.
Note: Trade at your own risk.
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USDJPY - Sell NowUSDJPY Sell Now...
Middle of the bollinger band line is crossing the 50EMA means its a starting of a bearish movement. RSI shows that when its comes down from towards to up and if its turn from the 55.33 level (red line in rsi) price will come down for certain area. It means there is a confirmation of USDJPY is good for sell now.
Take profit area mentioned as yellow box and SL is up to you.
Note: Trade at your own risk and this analysis is without any fundamentals.
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USDJPY Buy SignalPattern: Descending Triangle on 1M.
Signal: Bullish as the price made contact with the 1M Support Zone.
Target: 109.000 (the 1D Resistance). For risk seekers, if the Golden Cross (MA50 over MA200) takes place on 1D (as seen on the chart) it can extend towards the 112.00 1W Resistance.
USDJPY Wait for a break outPattern: Triangle on 4H.
Signal and Targets: Bearish if the Triangle breaks downwards (TP 110.245), Bullish if it breaks upwards (TP 112.500).
*Note: First time on 1D that the pattern makers Lower Highs instead of Lower Lows. This enhances the potential of a bearish break-out.