USDJPY | Perspective for the new week | follow-up detailsSince the last publication; price action moved over 400 pips in our direction (see link below for reference purposes) as the Greenback rose 0.6% to close the week just below the 135.000 zone. The Japanese yen was among the worst-hit Asian currencies as the US Dollar hit a six-week high against a basket of currencies after stronger-than-expected inflation readings and hawkish comments from Federal Reserve. This video illustrates what we should be expecting from the current market structure in the coming week as price action trades between the 133.900 and 135.000 range.
00:50 Reference to last week's daily commentaries and results
05:30 USDJPY analysis on Daily Timeframe
09:50 Macroeconomic event for the week
11:00 USDJPY analysis on the 4H Timeframe
13:10 Conclusion on next week's projections
Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Usdjpysignals
USDJPY top-down analysisHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USDJPY | Perspective for the new week | follow-up detailsAt 64.9, the Michigan consumer sentiment index for February hits its highest level in eight months as falling energy prices eased fears about inflation. This is a positive signal as it is a widely-known gauge of personal consumer confidence in the US economic activity. From a technical standpoint, the significant breakout of the supply zone at the 131.000 area last week was an emphatic bullish signal buttressing the idea that sellers might have lost the momentum; but following the retest of structure, price action was caught within a consolidation phase above the key level (131.000) to emphasize the level of indecision in this market. In this video, we looked at the possibilities and trading options we have from the current market structure as we look out for breakouts either way in the coming week for trading opportunities.
Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
USDJPY | Perspective for the new week | follow-up detailsThe U.S. labor market report remained surprisingly strong despite ongoing efforts by the Federal Reserve to tamp down demand. The US Dollar rallied about 2% on Friday following higher-than-expected non-farm payroll data which came in at a whopping 517,000 through the middle of January. This video illustrates a technical perspective on the current market structure to decipher potential trading opportunities in the coming week.
Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
USDJPY Best sell entry but RSI on Bullish DivergenceThe USDJPY pair has been trading within an extremely well structured Channel Down since the November 21 2022 High. Every Lower Lows since then has been very symmetrical on approximately a -6.05% drop from the Lower High. With the price currently on the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the Channel Down, this is technically the most optimal level to sell. A -6.05% drop from the Lower High, gives us a 123.315 price target.
We must be careful however, especially ahead of the Fed Rate Decision, as the 1D RIS hasn been trading within a Channel Up, while the price is on a Channel Down, signalling a Bearish Divergence. A break above the Channel Up, and more importantly the last Lower High can push the price to the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) on the short-term and if broken, then the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) on the medium-term.
The long-term bearish trend shouldn't be affected by this so in that case we will be looking for the safest short entry on the top. Below you can see our long-term cheat-sheet on USDJPY:
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USDJPY | Perspective for the new week | follow-up detailsFollowing our previous analysis on the USDJPY where it was possible to scoop over 500 pips profit (see link below for reference purposes); price action is at a critical juncture at the moment as it oscillates around the 128.000 level. The Greenback weakens in the wake of the CPI and the Japanese Yen continues to soar ahead of the BoJ monetary policy and interest rate decision this week. Despite the US Dollar slipping to its lowest level since June 2022; there is still a long-term bullish momentum from a higher time frame's perspective (daily and weekly). Following Thursday's data showing that U.S. CPI inflation eased in December 2022, could this be a sign to anticipate a reversal pattern in the coming week or events from the BoJ will send a new wave of sell-offs in this market?
Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
USDJPY | Perspective for the new week | follow-up detailsThis is a follow-up video to last week's analysis on the USDJPY which scooped over 850 pips in profit to start the year on a profitable note (see link below for reference purposes). The US Dollar started the year on a positive note as it climbed up to test the 135.000 level before selling pressure resumed following the NFP release hereby relinquishing some of its gains to close the week at the 132.000 level. In this video, we looked at the current structure from a technical standpoint and identified the 132.000 level as a platform to look out for trading opportunities in the coming week(s).
Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
USDJPY | Perspective for the new week/yearAsian currencies witnessed a positive start to the new year as investors bet on slower interest rate hikes by the U.S. Federal Reserve and a weaker dollar. Despite a dull start to the year, It is worth noting that the first NFP for the year is a high-impact macroeconomic event that has a tendency to bring some liquidity into the market and we are likely going to see the reflection of this anticipation on the chart in price action. In this video, we looked at the chart from a technical standpoint and deduced the importance of the 131.000 level which will be a determinant of price movement in the nearest future.
Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
USDJPY - CURRENT SENTIMENT , FUNDAMENTAL BIAS#USDJPY
- As of last day, the MARKET SENTIMENT for USD was slightly on the DOWN SIDE. The main reason for that is that the dollar is starting to weaken quite a bit. The dollar has strengthened after the December FOMC. All MARKETS including STOCKS and COMMODITIES are going down slightly due to the OFF of MARKET RISK.
With the arrival of FED UPDATES POSITIVE USD BUY again. So JPY went down automatically in previous days. But the UPDATES of BANK OF JAPAN are quite
- There is definitely a high possibility that USDJPY will go UP a bit more and move to 133.67 LEVEL. Anyway, USDJPY price can go down to 126.46 LEVEL after that. We focus on MARKET UPDATES and MARKET SENTIMENT. Follow the given MARKET STRUCTURE.
USDJPY | Perspective for the new week | follow-up detailsDespite missing out on the initial bearish move on Tuesday, we were still able to close the week on a profitable note with about 700 pips in total (see link below for reference purposes). The outcome from last week indicates that the U.S. dollar continues to plunge hereby handing back some of the previous session’s gains as participants attempt to gauge the Federal Reserve’s likely tightening path in the new year. And with BoJ's governor's speech coming up early in the new week, there might be fresh hopes for the US Dollar. In this video, we identified the 131.000 level as a critical point that has a memory for buying power. So, in the new week, we shall be using this zone as a yardstick for trading opportunities.
Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
USDJPY | Perspective for the new week | follow-up detailsFollowing a rollercoaster🎢 of ups and downs last week, we were able to close the week with over 500pips in profit (see the link below for reference purposes). Results from Friday's data revealed that Japanese manufacturing activity contracted more than expected in December thereby weakening demand and further denting productive capacity. How will this development reflect on the charts? In this video, we looked at the charts from a technical standpoint and identified a structure within the 138 and 135 zones for trading opportunities in the new week.
Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
USDJPY | Perspective for the new week | follow-up detailsThis is a follow-up video to my previous analysis on the USDJPY and on the back of a profitable week on this pair (see link below for reference purposes), we are at equilibrium as the current structure has both a strong bullish and bearish expectation at the same time. The U.S. dollar showed traces of weakness on Friday as fears that the U.S. economy was heading toward recession mounted, ahead of next week’s Federal Reserve meeting. In this regard, I was able to share in this video how we can position ourselves to take advantage of any of these potential opportunities during the coming week(s).
Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
USDJPY - CURRENT SENTIMENT , FUNDAMENTAL BIAS#USDJPY
- As of last day, the MARKET SENTIMENT for EUR was slightly UP SIDE. The main reason for that is that the dollar is starting to weaken quite a bit. The dollar has strengthened after the December FOMC. All MARKETS including STOCKS and COMMODITIES are going down slightly due to the OFF of MARKET RISK.
With the arrival of FED UPDATES POSITIVE USD BUY again. So JPY went down automatically in previous days. But the UPDATES of BANK OF JAPAN are quite
- There is definitely a high chance that USDJPY will go UP a bit more and move to 142.35 LEVEL. Anyway, USDJPY price can go down to 130.00 LEVEL after that. We focus on MARKET UPDATES and MARKET SENTIMENT. Follow the given MARKET STRUCTURE.
USDJPY | Perspective for the new week | follow-up detailsThe U.S. dollar continue waning as it edged lower during the course of last week's trading and following the positive NFP on Friday, there was a stall as we started witnessing a consolidation phase around the key level at 135.000. In this video, we looked at the charts from a technical standpoint where we shall remain patient to see what price action will transition into for signals and confirmations.
Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, and risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
USDJPY The only chart you'll need for the next 10 years!This is the USDJPY pair on the 1M chart. The October rejection and subsequent deep red November may have come as a surprise to many but not if they've had been paying attention to this multi-decade chart that clearly shows the rejection was on a major, historic Resistance cluster.
Before we begin, note that the October mega rejection was something we called for and clearly showed on our October 15 analysis, even on the short-term:
Back to the multi-decade chart, as you see, this cheat-sheet shows all of USDJPY's major pressure points/ zones through the years that act either as Resistance or Support levels depending on the trend.
With regards to October's rejection, we clearly see that this was made on a Lower Highs trend-line that was holding since December 1975, while the 1M RSI hit the top of a Channel Up that started after the October 1978 Low! On a large multi-year scale, there couldn't have been a better sell signal than that on USDJPY.
As for the targets? The next pressure level in line is the 120.500 Pivot, where the price can make contact with the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line). A full-year rebound or consolidation after achieving that long-term target, can finally push for a test of the Upper Support Zone that is basically supporting USDJPY since January 2014.
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