USDJPY | Perspective for the new week | follow-up detailsUSDJPY continues to look for a support level as the price plunges to close the week at approximately a 5% loss for the Greenback. Attention will remain on the Retail Sales event as participants in this market will anticipate how price action will react to this high-impact event. From a technical standpoint, the price is at a critical level as it tests the trendline that has been guiding bullish momentum since the beginning of the year. So, patience is needed at beginning of the week as we need to see how price relates to this area before making an informed decision.
Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Usdjpysignals
USDJPY below a level that was a Support since September 2021!The USDJPY pair made a strong rejected shortly after our previous analysis where we called for a strong sell at the top of the (now) 6-month Bullish Megaphone pattern:
Following a fake-out just above the Megaphone, the rejection was much stronger and so far much longer that any of the previous ones in 2022. The price not only broke below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) but also the 1D MA100 (green trend-line), which has been the long-term Support and unbroken since September 23 2021 and where the previous Megaphone Higher Low was made (August 02 2022).
Right now the 1D MA100 is being tested as a Resistance, which the price has failed to break on 4 straight days. The more it fails, the more likely it is to test the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the Megaphone and if broken, target the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). A closing above the 1D MA100 however, targets the 1D MA50 but as with early August, this still doesn't restore the uptrend. The pair typically needs a clear closing above the 1D MA50 to do so, in which case we can expect at least the 0.618 Fib to be tested if not the previous High.
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UsdJpy to resume its uptrend?Since the beginning of March, following the important 115 zone break, UsdJpy entered a very strong up trend with the pair gaining more than 3500 pips, which is translated into more than 30%, which is immense for a pair like UsdJpy.
After two BoJ interventions, one at the 145 zone and the second marking the 152 top, the pair finally cooled down and corrected strongly.
However, the overall trend remains bullish and I have no reason to think that this will change.
At this moment the pair is trading exactly in a strong confluence support given by the trend line, the horizontal level, and the 140 figure, and a resumption to the upside is probable.
My target for this rise is in the 145 zone, technical resistance, and the level for the first BoJ intervention.
USDJPY | Perspective for the new weekFollowing the buying pressure at the 147.000 zone, the greenback rallied during the latter part of last week's trading session to insinuate a potential bullish expectation in the coming week(s). The dovish rhetoric of the BoJ’s monetary policy appears to have caused a plunge which makes it uncertain to jump to any major conclusion at this juncture. However, it is worth noting that next week is laced with a series of high-impact events that participants in this market will be looking forward to in other to make an informed decision to either buy or sell.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
The usdjpy week's rally is expected to startHello guys
The @USDJPY will be expected to rise this week, the first target we can make it simple 152, you can set your goals as follows:
@USDJPY
TP ✅ : 152
TP 2 ✅ : 154
TP 2 ✅ : up up up ....
If there is negative news on the dollar, it can fall back and return to a rise... That's why let the stop loss be flexible, and I am confident in my analyzes that it is bullish
GOOD LUCK
USDJPY | Perspective for the new week | follow-up detailsThe intervention of the Bank of Japan three weeks ago appears to linger on in this market as the U.S. economy continued to add jobs at a solid rate in September. As the price continues to trade between a specific zone (145 and 144 area) in the last three weeks, we can only wait for a signal to have a trading opportunity on this pair.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) is high-risk and unsuitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
USDJPY Testing the top of its 5 month Megaphone. Rejection?The USDJPY pair rose aggressively last week, breaking above its September 22 High, the Resistance at the time. The price came on Friday as close as possible to the top (Higher Highs) trend-line of its 5-month Bullish Megaphone pattern. That alone would be enough to reject the uptrend and pull the price back on its own.
But this isn't the only metric pointing towards a rejection. As you see on the RSI and MACD indicators below the chart, the 1D RSI also hit its 5-month Lower Highs trend-line. This is the 2nd Lower High within 5 weeks and when that happened previously, the pair priced its short-term top and pulled-back. Same with the 1D MACD, which just printed a Bullish Cross. As you see when a Bullish Cross took place that close to the Megaphone's top, the price formed a High and pulled-back.
As for how deep a potential pull-back can go? The 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) is the short-term target, with the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) being the medium-term, having formed the last bottom on August 02. Naturally the pattern is completed on the Higher Lows trend-line.
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USDJPY | Perspective for the new week | follow-up detailsThis is a follow-up video to my previous analysis on the USDJPY as trading activities were largely sideways during the course of last week's trading session. So, price action was caught within the 145.000 and 144.200 zone, emphasising the indecision in the market at this juncture. Though price action is still within the sell window at the psychologically important 145.000 area which was identified in my previous analysis (see the link which includes daily commentary for reference purposes), the current structure could lead either way as participants in this market anticipate NFP coming up this week.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
USDJPY | Perspective for the new week | follow-up detailsThe BoJ kept rates unchanged which diverged from other central banks but at the same time intervening in the USD forex market which sent the USDJPY pair sharply lower during the latter part of last week's trading session. This illustrates how I intend to sell the USDJPY as long as the price does not break above the supply zone at 145 area.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
USDJPY | Perspective for the new week | follow-up detailsIt is worth noting that Japan has been more aggressive in jawboning the Yen in the past week and results might start trickling in the coming week.
However, from a technical standpoint, the multiple rejections of the 145.000 area in the last 7 days appear to be revealing the possibility of the selling opportunity getting ready to explode! I have been looking forward to this bias in the last couple of weeks and the breakdown of both the bullish trendline and key level at 142.500 identified on the daily timeframe this week might be the beginning of the reversal structure.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
USDJPY | Perspective for the new week | follow-up detailsAfter being part of the second wave of the bullish journey that began 3 months ago; the appearance of a reversal pattern on the 4H timeframe might just be a signal that selling momentum is evolving behind the scenes as we head into the new week. In this video, I shared my technical opinion and how I plan to trade the USDJPY in the coming week.
since Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
USDJPY | Perspective for the new week | follow-up detailsThe Greenback fell modestly from an all-time high of 140.800 despite a positive NFP result on Friday to close the day with a shooting star candle. I am of the opinion that we might be anticipating the beginning of a retracement phase of the previous leg that broke out of the neckline structure identified on the daily timeframe which is likely to reflect the quick profit-taking for the bulls. In this video, I shared my technical opinion and how I plan to trade the USDJPY in the coming week.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
USDJPY | Perspective for the new week | follow-up detailsThis is a follow-up detail on my previous analysis of the USDJPY where I am still holding on to a bullish bias in the coming week. In this video, I shared my technical opinion on my expectation this week as I look forward to a potential rally continuation above the 137.000 area.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
USDJPY is close to making a long-term topThe USDJPY pair has been on a very aggressive (turned into parabolic) rise since the 2021 Low. It has been above the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) for the whole year. In the past 30 days it broke below the 1D MA50 (red trend-line) but recovered all the losses quickly and is testing the July High.
On this 1W time-frame, the RSI has been on Lower Highs since May 02 and the MACD on a Bearish Cross since July 25. We have seen those formations taking place at the exact same order another 3 times since March 2013.
As you see on the chart, that created at least a Triangle and high volatility that reached (or traded very close to) the 1W MA50. In June 2015, the eventual peak took place a little after those formations, on the 1.5 Fibonacci extension. What this shows though that short-term traders can at least sell towards the 1D MA50 and use it as a pivot and long-term traders average sell positions, targeting the 1S MA50.
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USDJPY | Perspective for the new week | follow-up detailsJapan’s core consumer price index (CPI) rose to a seven-year high, amidst rising fuel prices and a widening trade deficit to give the Greenback the leverage to thrive. In this video, I shared my technical opinion on my expectation this week as I look forward to retesting of the neckline @ 135.000 zone to join a potential rally.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
USDJPY | Perspective for the new week | follow-up detailsAfter taking advantage of a huge bearish momentum that gave us over 250pips move last week; what is my plan against the new week?
See the link here (last week's follow-up detail) for reference purposes here 👉🏽👉🏽https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USDJPY/GKLQd1eD-USDJPY-Perspective-for-the-new-week/
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
USDJPY | Perspective for the new weekThe USDJPY has been on a robust bullish momentum since the beginning of the year and despite the breakdown of the trend structure; the extremely positive jobs numbers from the NFP make it more likely the trend isn't over yet. In this video, I have exp [lained what my expectations are this week.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.