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Usdjpysignals

USDJPY Testing the top of its 5 month Megaphone. Rejection?The USDJPY pair rose aggressively last week, breaking above its September 22 High, the Resistance at the time. The price came on Friday as close as possible to the top (Higher Highs) trend-line of its 5-month Bullish Megaphone pattern. That alone would be enough to reject the uptrend and pull the price back on its own. But this isn't the only metric pointing towards a rejection. As you see on the RSI and MACD indicators below the chart, the 1D RSI also hit its 5-month Lower Highs trend-line. This is the 2nd Lower High within 5 weeks and when that happened previously, the pair priced its short-term top and pulled-back. Same with the 1D MACD, which just printed a Bullish Cross. As you see when a Bullish Cross took place that close to the Megaphone's top, the price formed a High and pulled-back. As for how deep a potential pull-back can go? The 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) is the short-term target, with the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) being the medium-term, having formed the last bottom on August 02. Naturally the pattern is completed on the Higher Lows trend-line. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, SUBSCRIBE ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support me, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- You may also TELL ME 🙋‍♀️🙋‍♂️ in the comments section which symbol you want me to analyze next and on which time-frame. The one with the most posts will be published tomorrow! 👏🎁 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
5
USDJPY | Perspective for the new week | follow-up detailsThis is a follow-up video to my previous analysis on the USDJPY as trading activities were largely sideways during the course of last week's trading session. So, price action was caught within the 145.000 and 144.200 zone, emphasising the indecision in the market at this juncture. Though price action is still within the sell window at the psychologically important 145.000 area which was identified in my previous analysis (see the link which includes daily commentary for reference purposes), the current structure could lead either way as participants in this market anticipate NFP coming up this week. Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
by darcsherry
4
USDJPY | Perspective for the new week | follow-up detailsThe BoJ kept rates unchanged which diverged from other central banks but at the same time intervening in the USD forex market which sent the USDJPY pair sharply lower during the latter part of last week's trading session. This illustrates how I intend to sell the USDJPY as long as the price does not break above the supply zone at 145 area. Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Short
by darcsherry
2
USDJPY | Perspective for the new week | follow-up detailsIt is worth noting that Japan has been more aggressive in jawboning the Yen in the past week and results might start trickling in the coming week. However, from a technical standpoint, the multiple rejections of the 145.000 area in the last 7 days appear to be revealing the possibility of the selling opportunity getting ready to explode! I have been looking forward to this bias in the last couple of weeks and the breakdown of both the bullish trendline and key level at 142.500 identified on the daily timeframe this week might be the beginning of the reversal structure. Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Short
by darcsherry
4
USDJPY | Perspective for the new week | follow-up detailsAfter being part of the second wave of the bullish journey that began 3 months ago; the appearance of a reversal pattern on the 4H timeframe might just be a signal that selling momentum is evolving behind the scenes as we head into the new week. In this video, I shared my technical opinion and how I plan to trade the USDJPY in the coming week. since Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Short
by darcsherry
USDJPY | Perspective for the new week | follow-up detailsThe Greenback fell modestly from an all-time high of 140.800 despite a positive NFP result on Friday to close the day with a shooting star candle. I am of the opinion that we might be anticipating the beginning of a retracement phase of the previous leg that broke out of the neckline structure identified on the daily timeframe which is likely to reflect the quick profit-taking for the bulls. In this video, I shared my technical opinion and how I plan to trade the USDJPY in the coming week. Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
by darcsherry
2
USDJPY | Perspective for the new week | follow-up detailsThis is a follow-up detail on my previous analysis of the USDJPY where I am still holding on to a bullish bias in the coming week. In this video, I shared my technical opinion on my expectation this week as I look forward to a potential rally continuation above the 137.000 area. Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Long
by darcsherry
USDJPY is close to making a long-term topThe USDJPY pair has been on a very aggressive (turned into parabolic) rise since the 2021 Low. It has been above the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) for the whole year. In the past 30 days it broke below the 1D MA50 (red trend-line) but recovered all the losses quickly and is testing the July High. On this 1W time-frame, the RSI has been on Lower Highs since May 02 and the MACD on a Bearish Cross since July 25. We have seen those formations taking place at the exact same order another 3 times since March 2013. As you see on the chart, that created at least a Triangle and high volatility that reached (or traded very close to) the 1W MA50. In June 2015, the eventual peak took place a little after those formations, on the 1.5 Fibonacci extension. What this shows though that short-term traders can at least sell towards the 1D MA50 and use it as a pivot and long-term traders average sell positions, targeting the 1S MA50. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please support this idea with your likes and comments, it is the best way to keep it relevant and support me. ** --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Short
by TradingShot
3
USDJPY | Perspective for the new week | follow-up detailsJapan’s core consumer price index (CPI) rose to a seven-year high, amidst rising fuel prices and a widening trade deficit to give the Greenback the leverage to thrive. In this video, I shared my technical opinion on my expectation this week as I look forward to retesting of the neckline @ 135.000 zone to join a potential rally. Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Long
by darcsherry
1
USDJPY | Perspective for the new week | follow-up detailsAfter taking advantage of a huge bearish momentum that gave us over 250pips move last week; what is my plan against the new week? See the link here (last week's follow-up detail) for reference purposes here 👉🏽👉🏽https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USDJPY/GKLQd1eD-USDJPY-Perspective-for-the-new-week/ Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
by darcsherry
USDJPY | Perspective for the new weekThe USDJPY has been on a robust bullish momentum since the beginning of the year and despite the breakdown of the trend structure; the extremely positive jobs numbers from the NFP make it more likely the trend isn't over yet. In this video, I have exp [lained what my expectations are this week. Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
by darcsherry
USDJPY | Perspective for the new weekThe decline of the Greenback accelerated following the release of US economic data and bottomed at 136 to test the bullish trendline identified on the daily time frame hereby reaching its lowest level in two weeks. Now, the question is: Is price action going to respect or breakthrough the bullish trendline during the new week? In this video, I have explained how to take advantage of any momentum that comes in. Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Short
by darcsherry
USDJPY has formed reversal on daily, possible drop!!USDJPY( Daily) was in a bullish move for the long term. The price action only daily has created a reversal pattern and on the close of the monthly candle, we could see deeper retracement and a potential drop in USDJPY. We see a double top, followed by a head and shoulder and, today's daily candle has just tested the neckline of this double as resistance and strongly rejected. At the same time, daily head & shoulder has lower highs on the right side. As the monthly & weekly close is nearing, there is highly likely that USDJPY will come for a deeper retracement to the downside!! If you like this analysis. Do not forget to like and comment to help the idea. Thank you!!
Short
by ForexWizard01
USDJPY | follow-up detailsThe appearance of a reversal pattern on the lower time frame hints at a possible bullish potential for the Greenback in the nearest future. So, I am going to be patient enough to look out for confirmation around the neckline at 138.400 to join the potential rally. Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Long
by darcsherry
4
USDJPY | Perspective for the new weekDespite its continued rampage in the currency markets, reaching quarter-century highs against the Yen, I am of the opinion that we might be witnessing a temporary retracement in the coming week in anticipation of a trend continuation in the nearest future. This video explains how I intend to take advantage of this opportunity. Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Short
by darcsherry
12
USDJPY - CURRENT SENTIMENT , FUNDAMENTAL BIAS- JPY FEATURE is going down a bit right now. Somehow it will come back up. The main reason for this is that the MARKET SENTIMENT RISK ON TONE is still playing. JPY FEATURE stands at 0.0074 LEVEL. According to the JPY ECONOMIC PROJECTION, JPY can be WEAK in the future as well. Already JPY WEAK is coming with JAPANESE UPDATES. But if the MARKETS RISK continues to be ON, the USDJPY price may go up further. USDJPY stands above DYNAMIC LEVELS. - Currently the OVERALL MARKET is RISK OFF. STOCKS is currently displaying a DOWNSIDE BIAS. And the VOLATILITY is getting a bit UP. Also COMMODITIES still shows a DOWN SIDE BIAS. Currently there is only one RISK OFF TONE in the market. Therefore, all currencies such as NZD CAD AUD may definitely be somewhat DOWN in the future. Also JPY CHF can be UP. - USDJPY PRICE can be REJECT from 138.61 LEVEL. For VOLATILITY UP, and JPY FEATURE UP. If MARKET RISK OFF, it can continue to fall to USDJPY 128.66 LEVEL very easily after breaking the TREND LINE.
by benny_marshall
USDJPY Key long-term pivot.The USDJPY has been on a parabolic rise since March 08 with the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) supporting the whole move. In fact the most recent rally came on the May 30 1D MA50 rebound. The overall long-term pattern is a Fibonacci Channel but the most important level to consider next is the 135.100 Resistance which is the January 2002 High. Indeed that is a 20 year old Resistance level but macro-wise, the market psychology is very tied to such levels. A rejection there, should make the pair turn sideways long-term in the same manner as April - September 2021. A 1D candle close above it though, should see us test the next Fibonacci extensions in line, the 3.5 and 4.0 ext. The 1D MACD is on a Bullish Cross and that technically favors the bullish trend, at least on the short-term. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please support this idea with your likes and comments, it is the best way to keep it relevant and support me. ** --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
by TradingShot
5
USDJPY | New perspectiveIt is going to be a busy week as eyes remain fixed on Non-farm payroll. Traders will also pay close attention to the ISM manufacturing report on Wednesday and the Conference Board consumer confidence reading on Tuesday which is expected to show a significant deceleration. The main economic release on Friday will be important to see if hiring remains strong. The consensus estimate for the change in nonfarm payrolls is 329K jobs, a dip from the previous 428K. All these shall have a significant impact as we should be expecting a lot of consolidation before a breakout/breakdown. From a technical perspective, I have two scenarios that we can get ready for going into the new week. Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Long
by darcsherry