USDJPY Trade IdeaGoing long on USDJPY
1. Price pinned the 50ema
2. Bullish engulfing candle pattern completed
My stop is a tad below the moving average at 110.110 and
take profit below resistance at 111.042
This set up is purely based on doing buys if price is above the 200ema using it as a trend filter and then the 50ema for entries targeting previous highs.
This trade has a risk to reward ratio of 1:2
Don't bet the farm and always exercise healthy risk management :)
Usdjpytrade
USDJPY Short FX:USDJPY
Welcome back to a new trading week :)
Following some bullish trade ideas from last week and the week before, long orders were closed with little profit as the charts slowed down on the bulls and started to bring signs of bearish price action to the charts...
I have applied the top down method in analysing to find on W1 and D1 time frame corresponding with my H4 view. Here we can see a short term trend line broken to the down side around a key level. On D1 I have noted that Friday's candle has pinned the 21 ema which is a great indicator to get in on a short of the trend is generally down.
Sell order opened @ market price 109.328 with
SL above the recent highs @ 110.272 and
TP around the swing low on the left @ 106.988
On this trade I am rising 95 pips for 235 on the reward end BUT if you check the recent swing low on W1 you will find that this trade has a 500 pip potential.
Don't bet the farm and always exercise healthy risk management!
Bullish flag breakout USDJPYBreakout from the bullish flag pattern on H4
Open buy @ market price 109.738
Stop loss @ 109.067 below the low and
Take profit at previous resistance @ 110.513
Note the hammer that pinned the 21 ema - buy signal...
Don't bet the farm and always exercise healthy risk management.
USDJPY recovery above long term trend lineFX:USDJPY
Price has just pulled back above the long term trend line drawn (on H4 and D1 tf) following the flash crash from last week.
Note the marked bullish engulfing candle pattern printed on support signalling the potential move higher.
I have opened a buy order at market price 109.042 with
*Stop loss below the support where I feel that the setup would become invalidated @ 107.771
*Provisionally targeting the 200ema @ 111.409 and then the major resistance IF price pushes higher to 113.589
Don't bet the farm, always exercise good risk management
USDJPY Buy Trade ProbabilityUSDJPY Buy Trade Probability: So Many Factors Come Into Play With This Pair Making It Tricky To Trade. Its Currently Showing Strong Bullish Signs And Am Looking To Open A Buy Trade If It Closes Above 110.33 Levels In The Next 2 Bars (15 min). Trade Safe And Have Your SLs in Place. (This can act as a good entry)
USDJPY remain bullish for a further push upBuy above 111.31. Stop loss at 110.45. Take profit at 113.06.
Reason for the trading strategy (technically):
Price has made a retracement to its entry level and looks set for another bounce for a further push up. We remain bullish looking to buy above 111.32 support (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal pullback support) for a further push up to at least 113.06 resistance (Fibonacci extension, Fibonacci retracement, horizontal pullback resistance).
RSI (34) has bounced off nicely from our pullback support at 52% and has good upside potential for us to play the rise from here.
USDJPY dropping perfectly as expected, remain bearishSell below 109.66. Stop loss at 108.23. Take profit at 110.40.
Reason for the trading strategy (technically):
Price has dropped strongly towards our profit target. We remain bearish below 109.66 resistance (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap resistance, for a further push down to at least 108.23 support (Fibonacci extension, horizontal swing low support).
Stochastic (55,5,3) is seeing major resistance below our 96% level and has good downside potential. Intermediate pullback resistance is seen at 40%.
USDJPY dropping perfectly, remain bearish for a further drop.Sell below 110.66. Stop loss at 111.25. Take profit at 108.23.
Reason for the trading strategy (technically):
Price has dropped perfectly from our selling area as expected and is on track to reaching our profit target. We remain bearish below 110.66 resistance (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap resistance, descending resistance) for a further push down to at least 108.23 support (Fibonacci extension, horizontal swing low support).
Stochastic (55,5,3) is seeing major resistance below our 96% level and has good downside potential.
USDJPY Strategic View: Profit target reached, remain bearishSell below 110.60. Stop loss at 112.20. Take profit at 108.15.
Reason for the trading strategy:
Price has dropped perfectly from last week and reached our profit target. We remain bearish looking for price to drop further below 110.60 resistance (Fibonacci retracement, long term descending resistance, horizontal overlap resistance) towards 108.15 support (Fibonacci extension, horizontal swing low support).
RSI (34) sees pullback resistance at 56% level which is holding price down nicely.
USDJPY profit target reached, time to turn bearishSell below 110.66. Stop loss at 111.25. Take profit at 109.14.
Reason for the trading strategy (technically):
Price has bounced up perfectly and reached our profit target. We now turn bearish with new elements coming into play. We look to sell below 110.66 resistance (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap resistance, descending resistance) for a push down to at least 109.14 support (Fibonacci extension, horizontal swing low support).
Stochastic (34,5,3) is seeing major resistance below our 96% level where we expect a strong drop from.
Correlation analysis: We’re expecting general JPY strength with a drop expected across AUDJPY and USDJPY today.
USDJPY dropping nicely, remain bearishSell below 114.07. Stop loss at 114.77. Take profit at 112.90.
Reason for the trading strategy (technically):
Price continues to drop nicely from our selling area. We remain bearish below 140.07 resistance (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap resistance). We also tighten our stop loss to 114.77 to protect our profits. Profit target is at 112.90 support (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap support).
Stochastic (21,5,3) is seeing pullback resistance at 69% which corresponding to the reaction we are seeing off 114.07 in price. We hope to see a stronger reaction for a further drop.
USDJPY profit target reached perfectly again, time to buyBuy above 112.58. Stop loss at 112.21. Take profit at 113.75.
Reason for the trading strategy (technically):
Price has dropped perfectly and reached our profit target from yesterday. We turn bullish above 112.58 support (Fibonacci retracement, Fibonacci projection, horizontal overlap support) for a push up to 113.75 resistance (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap resistance).
RSI (34) is seeing strong support which is signalling to a price bounce.
USDJPY bouncing nicely, remain bullishBuy above 111.35. Stop loss at 110.10. Take profit at 113.15.
Reason for the trading strategy (technically):
We remain bullish above 111.35 support (major Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap support, Fibonacci projection) for a push up to at least 113.15 resistance (Fibonacci retracement, swing high resistance).
Stochastic (21,5,3) is seeing strong support above the 8% level.