Usdjpy Japanese Yen remains supported by reviving BoJ pivot bets, US data in focus
The Japanese Yen (JPY) strenghtens during the Asian session on Tuesday following the release of slightly hotter-than-expected Japanese consumer inflation figures, which revived bets for an imminent shift in the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) policy stance.
USD/JPY is the forex ticker that shows the value of the US Dollar against the Japanese Yen. It tells traders how many Yen are needed to buy a US Dollar. The Dollar-Yen is one of the most traded forex pairs – second only to EUR/USD – and is a benchmark for Asian economic health and even the global economy. View the live Dollar-Yen rate with the USD/JPY chart and improve your technical and fundamental analysis with the latest USD/JPY forecast, news and analysis. [
Usdjpytrade
USDJPY M15 / Potential Long Move, Waiting for Confirmation✅Hello Traders!
This is my idea related to USDJPY M15. I want to see the BOSS from the price of 149.870 to be taken, after that, I will look for a long entry and the target will be above the higher boss.
Traders, if you liked my idea or if you have a different vision related to this trade, write in the comments. I will be glad to see your perspective.
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USD JPY Zone SellUSD/JPY is the forex ticker that shows the value of the US Dollar against the Japanese Yen. It tells traders how many Yen are needed to buy a US Dollar. The Dollar-Yen is one of the most traded forex pairs – second only to EUR/USD – and is a benchmark for Asian economic health and even the global economy. View the live Dollar-Yen rate with the USD/JPY chart and improve your technical and fundamental analysis with the latest USD/JPY forecast, news and analysis.
USD/JPY seems to remain in the negative territory for the third consecutive day. The USD/JPY pair hovers near 150.10 during the European session on Wednesday. The immediate support appears at the psychological level of 150.00.
USD JPY Sell Zone The USD/JPY pair falls slightly below the psychological support of 150.00 in the early New York session on Tuesday. The asset has faced selling pressure as the US Dollar Index (DXY) has extended its downside to 104.00.
USD/JPY oscillates in a Symmetrical Triangle formation on an hourly time frame. The upward
USD/JPY: Japanese Yen ticks higher against USD, bulls seem non-committed ahead of FOMC meeting minutes
The Japanese Yen (JPY) ticks higher against its American counterpart during the Asian session on Wednesday, though remains confined in a familiar range held over the past week or so. Geopolitical risks continue to weigh on investors' sentiment, which, along with speculations that Japanese authorities will intervene to stem any further weakness in the domestic currency, lend some support to the safe-haven JPY. Apart from this, the recent US Dollar (USD) pullback from a multi-month peak further contributes to capping the upside for the USD/JPY pair.
Confirm Chart sell
USDJPY H1 / Short Trade Entry Alert! ✅💲Hello Traders!
This is my idea related to USDJPY H1. I see a double reaction from the FVG H1 and I expect a continuation of a bearish market until the price of 149.500 where we have the OB level.
Traders, if you liked my idea or if you have a different vision related to this trade, write in the comments. I will be glad to see your perspective.
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USDJPY → Bull Trend Over! Short to 145.000? Short Answer, Yes!USDJPY completed its third leg up in this bull trend then failed to break the Resistance Zone on a second attempt, creating a double top reversal pattern. It followed by breaking the Bull Trend Support line. Should we short?
How do we trade this? 🤔
We have three legs up, failed to break the Resistance Zone on the third leg, then a second attempt, followed by a strong close below the Bull Trend Support line, which is right on the 4HR 30EMA. This is an ideal time to short.
Entering a 1:2 Risk/Reward trade with a 1:1 Take Profit target for half of my position. Once the first take profit is hit, the stop loss moves up to the entry price to lock in profits. The second half will be held to the second take profit of 145.515 or if there is a major reversal signal that is clear.
This analysis works directly off my last one, reference here:
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Short Entry: 147.207
🟥 Stop Loss: 148.055
✅ Take Profit #1: 146.355
✅ Take Profit #2: 145.515
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Double Top Reversal after the third leg up in a bull channel
2. Near a Resistance Zone
3. Broke the Bull Trend Line
4. Gap to 4HR 200EMA and Support Zone
5. RSI at 38.00 and Below the Moving Average Supports a slight pullback and then fall.
💰 Trading Tip 💰
The longer a trend continues after 3 legs, the probability of that trend continuing lessens. Because of this decreased probability, we ought to reduce our risk when entering trades.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
Like 👍 and Follow to learn more about:
1. Reading Price Action
2. Chart Analysis
3. Trade Management
4. Trading Psychology
USDJPY → On the way to 152.000? Let's Maximize Profits!USDJPY is on its third leg up in this bull trend and heading toward a Resistance Zone at 149.350. Should we consider shorting the resistance? Or longing a pullback?
How do we trade this? 🤔
Longing a pullback is the more probable trade. While we are looking at the third leg up in this bull trend (a situation where we may want to refrain from longing), we do not have any sign of a sell signal in sight. The RSI is over 70.00 near a Resistance Zone which means we should wait for a pullback toward the bull trend line near the 147.500 area and wait for a strong bull response. The Resistance Zone is the result of a high-volume price area; look to the left on the chart to see that data.
Once we see a strong bull bar closing on or near its high off of that trend line, it's reasonable to take a long position at a 1:2 Risk/Reward Ratio. Take half profits at 1:1 Risk/Reward (149.600) just into the Resistance Zone, move your take profit up to the entry price to lock in profits, then swing the latter half of your position to 151.100 or until you see a sell signal near the previous high of 152.000.
The probability of profit weakens as the trend moves into the third and fourth legs and therefore, the position size of this trade should be smaller to reduce our initial risk.
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Long Entry: 148.100
🟥 Stop Loss: 146.600
✅ Take Profit #1: 149.600
✅ Take Profit #2: 151.100
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Third leg up in a bull channel
2. Near a Resistance Zone
3. Gap back down to the Bull Trend line
4. RSI at 80.00 and above the moving average, supports a pullback
5. Wait for the price to come back down to the bull trend and bounce to enter a trade
💰 Trading Tip 💰
The longer a trend continues after 3 legs, the probability of that trend continuing lessens. Because of this decreased probability, we ought to reduce our risk when entering trades.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
Like 👍 and Follow to learn more about:
1. Reading Price Action
2. Chart Analysis
3. Trade Management
4. Trading Psychology
GBPJPY and USDJPY Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USDJPY SELL | Setup Trading AnalysisHello Traders, here is the full analysis.
Short after the BULL RUN. GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity USDJPY
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
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USDJPY → Bull Trend 1st Leg Complete! Long Again? Let's Answer.USD/JPY broke out of its descending wedge last week in a fantastic move toward the Resistance Zone (Now the Support Zone). We capitalized on that trade, you can find the details in the chart below. Are we ready for another long?
USDJPY Trade - Last Week:
How do we trade this? 🤔
We finished last week with a wild doji candle (one bar trading range) just above the 30EMA. That may have completed the first leg up in this new bull trend which has yet to be determined if it's a pullback on the macro bear trend or the start of another push up to higher highs. If it's a pullback in the bear trend, then we should expect no more than two legs to the upside before the price falls down again. If this is another run toward 152.000, then we should expect at least three legs to the upside.
We do have justification to long on the Daily or 4HR. The Daily chart shows weakness above the 30EMA, the 4HR chart shows us stuck just below the 200EMA as shown in the following chart:
USDJPY 4HR Chart:
Both RSI's call for a pullback; the 4HR is high and below the Moving Average, and the Daily is around 50.00 but has a gap back down to the Moving Average. We need to wait for a pullback to happen which will likely bring the price toward the bottom of the Support Range around 143.800. At that price area, we need to look for a strong buy signal telling us we're going up for a second leg.
Until then, it's best to wait on the sidelines for more price action and an optimal entry.
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Long Entry: 144.350
🟥 Stop Loss: 143.100
✅ Take Profit: 146.850
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Breakout from Descending Wedge
2. 1st Leg up Potentially Complete
3. Wait for Pullback to Bottom of Support Zone Area.
4. Look for Bull Confirmation near the 143.800 Area to Long.
5. RSI at 52.00 and above Moving Average. Bias to Long, but wait for Gap to Close.
💰 Trading Tip 💰
Traders often get trapped trying to trade the end of a second leg thinking a third leg is coming. Pullbacks often have two legs and when the third leg fails, it's in part because the traders stop loss is hit, causing the price to go the opposite direction of their trade and continuing the macro trend.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
Like 👍 and comment if you found this analysis useful!
USDJPY → Caught in a Bear Trend! About to Reverse? Let's look.USDJPY has been falling in a bear trend since it's double top at last years high of 152.000. We saw a great bull response candle on December 7th and the close of a slightly lower low on December 13th. We may have had the first leg up in a bull reversal, but do we have the data to support it?
How do we trade this? 🤔
Short answer, no. We need confirmation that we've hit a strong support zone and we do have *some* data to support that. December 7th, good wick on the underside of a buy candle followed by a run up, end of the second leg down. December 13th, slightly lower low but a strong bull run to the upside late in the week, end of the third leg down. This means we need to be looking for strong support since we're starting to get strong support signals.
What we need is a double bottom in the 141.000-141.200 area. A strong buy signal bar and confirmation to provide us with enough probability to enter a long trade. It's reasonable to scalp at a 1:1 Risk/Reward Ratio with hesitancy that this is truly a reversal or even a trading range. We can scalp for now and wait for a third test of support to give us even more probability for a swing trade at a 1:2 or 1:3 Risk/Reward. Stop loss should be below the double bottom and take profit should be near the previous support, now resistance.
Until then, it's wise to wait for that support to reveal itself or the alternative, we break down for another 4th leg. At this time, we assess the chart and look for entries again.
💡 Trade Ideas 💡
Long Entry: 142.600
🟥 Stop Loss: 140.500
✅ Take Profit: 144.700
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:1
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Strong Bull Response Candle followed by slightly lower low, third leg down.
2. Strong Bull candles at the end of the last run up, first leg up in Bull reversal?
3. Pulling back to previous low, look for Double Bottom or Breakdown to new Low.
4. If Double Bottom, look to Long 1:1 scalp half position size, may swing other half.
5. RSI at 45.00 and above Moving Average. Reversal Trade Opportunity, Wait for Confirmation.
💰 Trading Tip 💰
Trends typically have three legs in either direction. Signals of a reversal include strong buy or sell bars with large wicks, higher highs and lower lows get weaker, and responses to the reverse direction get stronger. Confirmation lies with double and triple bottoms with a strong candle closing on or near its low/high.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
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USDJPY → Bear Run Complete! Bounce back to 152.000? Let's AnswerUSDJPY has officially broken out of the bull channel it's been in since February 2023 and fell hard into the Weekly 200EMA! The final Daily bear candle closed with a large wick over 1/3 the total size and the following Daily candle closed with a long tail as well. Does that mean we're going up?
How do we trade this? 🤔
A bear breakout on a bull channel after the double top reversal is usually a signal that we're about to enter a trading range (sideways price action). We have a good show of Support at the 200EMA and possibly up to the previous high in the bull channel between 143.850 and 144.850, but we need confirmation to ensure that this Support zone is real which includes a strong bull followthrough candle on the Daily chart.
Look to long toward the bottom of the trading range after it's been established, an entry around the 145.000 area is reasonable looking for a 1:1 scalp or 1:2 swing on a lower timeframe.
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Long Entry: 145.500
🟥 Stop Loss: 143.200
✅ Take Profit: 150.100
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Bear Breakout of Bull Channel, Entering Trading Range.
2. Three Legs Down to Daily 200EMA.
3. Two Large Wicks on 200EMA, Look for Confirmation.
4. Trend Change, Establishing Trading Range between 145.000 and 152.000.
5. RSI at 35.00 and below Moving Average. Wait for Confirmation to Long.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
Like 👍 and comment if you found this analysis useful!
USDJPY Shorts from 147.000 down to 140.000My breakdown for USDJPY this week involves sustaining its temporary bearish trend. Currently, the price has shown a bullish reaction at our identified Point of Interest (POI), resulting in a pullback to tap into a Daily supply zone above. Following this, our strategy involves anticipating a redistribution on lower time frames to facilitate selling opportunities, targeting the equal lows.
Considering the impact of NFP Friday on our demand, we await the formation of a correction to prolong the downward trend. In case the price opts for breaching equal lows first, our plan involves waiting for entry at the 7-hour demand zone, presenting an opportunity to buy at a more favorable price.
Confluences for USDJPY Sells are as follows:
- Price retraced from a 2-day demand and now slowly approaching a daily level of supply zone.
- Supply Zone is on the daily time frame that has also caused a Break of structure to the downside.
- Lots of liquidity to the downside in the form of equal lows, and major trendlines.
- Price needs to fill the imbalance as well which has been left from the supply zone.
- The dollar is also expected to be bearish so this pair is also projected to move in a similar way.
P.S. Since the price on the higher time frame couldn't surpass the all-time highs and experienced a significant sell-off, my expectation is that the price may continue its decline to target substantial liquidity below. Consequently, I am inclined to seek pro-trend trading opportunities to prolong this downward movement, aiming for the 140.000 mark.
USDJPY → Drop to 144.000!? Or Fly back to 152.000? Let's Answer.USDJPY fell from the double top as predicted in last week's analysis, hitting my take profits all the way down to 147.120. Will there be more downside or are we ripe for a rip back to 152.000?
How do we trade this? 🤔
This analysis shows us three clean support areas: 146.000 (Bull Channel Support), 145.000 (Previous High), and 144.000 (200EMA). It's reasonable to zoom into small timeframes and look for short scalp setups down to those levels. Since the macro trend is bullish, I would be careful to hold any shorts now that the gap from 152.000 has closed the majority of the way. The RSI is still below the moving average and has *some* room to fall, supporting the short-term bear bias.
Long-term, look to get long! We'll need a strong show of support with a bull signal bar and confirmation candle closing on or near its high and for the RSI to head upward breaking above the Moving Average.
💡 Trade Ideas 💡
Short Entry: 146.850
🟥 Stop Loss: 150.000
✅ Take Profit: 143.700
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:1
Long Entry: 145.500
🟥 Stop Loss: 143.200
✅ Take Profit: 150.100
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Bull Channel, Bias to Long.
2. Double Top Reversal Signal. Still Gaps to Fill.
3. Wait for Support at Channel Support, Previous High, or 200EMA.
4. Previous Channel High of 145.000 Final Target.
5. RSI at 35.00, below Moving Average. Supports Short-term Short, Long-Term Long.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
Like 👍 and comment if you found this analysis useful!
USDJPY Navigating Retracement&Identifying Short Opportunities!Introduction:
The USD/JPY pair has experienced a dynamic week marked by a double top pattern, providing insightful clues for traders. While recent days showcased a retracement and an apparent uptrend tendency, the most recent price action is signaling a potential shift.
Retracement Dynamics:
The past week witnessed a retracement in the intense and continuous bearish flow of USD/JPY. The retracement is characterized by an uptrend tendency line, suggesting a temporary shift in market sentiment. However, recent hours are indicating a potential reversal, prompting a closer examination of key technical levels.
Fibonacci Retracement:
Zooming into the 4-hour timeframe, the current movement aligns closely with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, centered around the price of 0.750.700. This level serves as a critical reference point, providing insights into potential reversal zones.
Bearish Order Block on Lower Timeframes:
Detailed analysis on smaller timeframes, specifically the 1-hour and 30-minute charts, reveals the formation of a Bearish Order Block. This is a crucial technical pattern signaling a Short Position opportunity. The identified price range of 0.750.600 becomes significant for traders considering a short entry.
Break of Uptrend Tendency Line:
A pivotal moment in this analysis is the recent break of the uptrend tendency line. The breach of this trendline, coupled with a reaction around the strong high of 0.750, suggests a potential re-establishment of the bearish sentiment.
Conclusion:
In conclusion, the USD/JPY pair has undergone a retracement in the past week, challenging the prevailing bearish flow. However, with the recent break of the uptrend tendency line and the formation of a Bearish Order Block on lower timeframes, there is a compelling case for a short position opportunity. Traders are encouraged to closely monitor the price action around the 0.750.600 range, as it may serve as a key entry point for those anticipating a continuation of the bearish trend. As always, risk management and vigilant monitoring of price dynamics are essential for traders navigating these evolving market conditions.
USDJPY I Rejecting support and potential riseWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** USDJPY Analysis - Listen to video!
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UDS/JPY Falling to 146.000!? Double Top Reversal Signal CompleteUDS/JPY has a double top reversal signal on the Daily candles and a triple top on the 4HR candles with a massive gap to fill. This reversal signal happened at a key level, 152.00 which is the previous high from October 2022. As shown in my previous prediction, a short position is reasonable at this level. The double/triple top is the confirmation of that short, which increases the probability of profit significantly.
If there was a time to short in this bull channel, it would be now .
Key Points
1. Double Top Reversal Signal on the Daily Chart
2. Triple Top Reversal Signal on the 4HR Chart
3. Gap to bottom of the channel at 146.000
4. The lowest target price is the Previous Channel High of 145.000
5. RSI at 52.00, Plenty of room to fall and supports #1-4
You are solely responsible for your trades, trade at your own risk!
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PERSONAL TRADE FEEDBACK USDJPY BULLISHI did not hold the trade until TP but took a significant profit. I moved SL into profit but didn't wait for signs of reversal to get out. Price went to TP after volume kicked in. I need to remove emotions...set it and forget it! Next trade we will risk a percentage of profits and let the trade ride.
Drops to an eight-week low, hovers around 147.50FX:USDJPY extended the losing streak that began on Thursday and marked an eight-week low, trading around 147.40 during the European session on Tuesday. The 147.00 psychological level emerges as the immediate support following the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement at 146.32.
The US Dollar (USD) has plunged to a nearly three-month low, influenced by dovish expectations from the Federal Reserve (Fed). This development is a significant factor contributing to the decline of the USD/JPY pair.
The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) lies below the 50 level, signaling a weaker sentiment for the USD/JPY pair. This could potentially prompt bearish movements toward the psychological support region around 146.00. If a decisive break occurs below this level, it may pave the way for the USD/JPY pair to navigate the area near the 50.0% retracement at the 144.60 level.
Moreover, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) line is positioned below the centerline and diverges below the signal line, signaling a bearish momentum in the market for the USD/JPY pair.
On the upside, the major level at 147.50 serves as the immediate barrier, followed by the psychological level at 148.00. A breakthrough above the latter could provide support for the USD/JPY pair to explore the region around the 149.00 level following the nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 149.62.
Potential deeper pullbackFX:USDJPY retraces some of Wednesday’s 0.60% gains on Thursday due to overall US Dollar (USD) weakness amid a risk-off impulse. Worse than expected, fundamental data from Japan’s triggered flows toward safe-haven assets, boosting appetite toward the Japanese Yen (JPY). At the time of writing, the major trades at 150.61, virtually unchanged in the early Asian Friday session.
According to the daily chart, the USD/JPY remains upward biased for the long term, but in the short term, the drop below the Tenkan-Sen at 150.92 could open the door for a deeper pullback, and test key support levels.
The first support would be the Kijun-Sen at 150.32, before diving to the 150.00 psychological figure. The correction would extend further, once traders clear the latter, with intermediate support seen at the November 3 low of 149.18, before sliding toward the Senkou Span B level at 148.91.
On the other hand, if USD/JPY buyers reclaim the Tenkan-Sen at 150.91, that would sponsor a leg-up above the 151.00 mark, opening the door to retesting the year-to-date (YTD) high at 151.91.