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Usdoil

Crude OIL GAP setup Different trading instruments I got quite a lot of emails yesterday and many of you guys were asking, whether this strategy was also applicable to other trading instruments. The good news is that the answer is – yes! You can apply this strategy to other trading instruments as well. Apart from forex, you can also use this one for example on indices like S&P 500, energy like Crude Oil, metals like Gold and other… I am not that sure about single stocks though. The thing with stocks is that opening gaps are quite normal there. It is not so rare as for example on forex. Those gaps also don’t get filled that often. So I personally don’t trade this strategy on stocks. Where this strategy really shines, is instruments where initial gaps are not very common. EXAMPLE #1: Crude Oil In this example, there is an opening gap from this Monday (27th January). The gap was a smaller one and it was followed by a quick movement down. This movement was a low liquidity move. Very low liquidity – almost a gap! The gap was there for two whole days and then it got completely filled. Above the gap, there was a heavy volume cluster (heavy volumes). This volume cluster works as a resistance. As you can see from the picture below, the price reacted to it, and went downwards. Happy trading Dale
TVC:USOIL
by Trader_Dale
The forecast. Commodities1. DXY is in downward correction, and should make another 6%-8% down to the levels 90 by June 2020 (or 92 by September 2020, the faster the decline, the deeper the correction). The decline should form 5-waves. This is a technical requirement for 4th wave correction of the previous USD rise taken place between 2014-2017. The price is in divergence with RSI for a long time already, so the correction if overdue. Rising to 99.66 before correcting to 92 – invalidates the idea. 2. The correction not expected to penetrate the upward trend line, i.e. 90-92 is the target. Then the final 5th wave of USD up-trend will start, to last through 2022-23 and eventual increase USD value on 20-25%. US if the only developed country with positive real interest rate what cause the rise of USD. But by 2023 problems in US (falling stock market, falling GDP, rising internal and external obligations) will result in reverse and following USD collapse. Invalidation level - 84.50 3. Stock market will complete 3rd wave of the very last 5th by summer 2020, possibly at $3,400-$3,500 level. Then correction will ignite on US election uncertainty. After election a final 5th of 5th will start, to make a double-top, false breakout in 2021 (double-top was in 2000 and 2007) 4. Commodities are in uptrend already. GSCI will rise ~50%, while oil will make ~80% up. Most likely pure speculation will cause the trend in commodities as no much investment alternatives exist – stocks and bonds are too expensive. The uptrend in commodities will outlive stock market trend what is typical at the end of economic cycle. Invalidation levels: GSCI – 392, Brent Oil – $57 5. Rise in commodities will cause inflation, what eventually will force FED to raise the rates. Rising rates will kill the stock market in 2021, which only supported by buybacks and free money. Apparently does not make sense to print money and raise rates the same time, so free money supply should not be expected to last indefinitely. 6. Gold is rising (even after wild Friday drop I do not expect it to go significantly lower) with target ~$1,580 to complete 5th wave. This upward move is in harmony with USD correction. Should complete by April 2020. Invalidation level $1,360 7. Then a 5-wave correction down to ~$1,050 level will start to complete large-scale correction started in 2011. This one will be in sync with USD rise. DXY USD OIL BRENTCRUDEOIL GOLD SPY SPX500 COMMODITIES GSCI
GLong
by Kupitman
Technical Analysis outlook - COMMODITY : $CRUDE OIL - $WTISun 10.Feb.2019 Crude oil LAST= 52.60 Crude movement during the last few days showed a Bullish move, with a recent high price seen on Mon 04.Feb.2019 at 55.59. During the next few days the price is expected to go down to 51.50 The general view is expected to continue to be in consolidation between 53.65 - 51.50. On the other hand, a change in the direction of the general trend needs to be considered when the price trades below the level 49.50 Res_2 = 55.25 Res_1 = 53.75 Sup_1 = 52.00 Sup_2 = 51.10
OANDA:WTICOUSD
by EmadSaqqa
OIL setting up for a Pullback.Hey, I am back with another Technical Analysis, this time looking at something totally different, commodities! OIL has entered support zone, where it may see likely pullback, at least to 57. Buy around 51.5, stop loss below lowest low (49.5) so 49.36 for example. Take profit around 57. Risk/reward - 2.5. MACD is setting up for an pullback, RSI way oversold, ready for some quick bounce. Thats all from me, for now. If you agree with this Technical Analysis , consider leaving that "Agree Button" blue, as it leads me to post more similiar Technical Analysis . Thanks for your time and good luck trading!
TVC:USOIL
by TiborVrbovsky
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