XAU/USD - Bearish Flag Pattern (25.04.2025)The XAU/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bearish Flag Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 3232
2nd Support – 3188
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DJ FXCM Index
Incoming sells?! AUDCAD bearish sentiment Good day traders, I’m back with another setup on AudCad. Before I go into the thinking behind this setup I’d like to remind you that on the higher TF’s we still very much bearish that’s is my reasoning behind the bearish sentiment.
On Tuesday we saw price close lower to give us our high of the week but price has been disrespecting the high since Wednesday but failing to close above that high showing strength lower(Friday bearish candle). Going into the new week I believe we can expect price to keep disrespecting the high because we believe that CAD is gonna be weak but keeping the overall direction in mind(bearish) we do not wanna see price closing higher than the Tuesday’s high of the day.
4H we have shifted structure lower but price is still trading in the premium area, should price not fall below the low of previous week than we can expect manipulation higher to fill the FVG on the Weekly before continuing lower.
USDJPY Weekly Rejection at Support-Revisit Bearish Order Block?USDJPY pair last trading week got rejected at the same level that the pair has previously acted as a support level. Will this rejection cause USDJPY to rally towards a bearish order block above 147.50?
Risk Zones: 146.50
N.B!
- USDJPY price might not follow the drawn lines . Actual price movements may likely differ from the forecast.
- Let emotions and sentiments work for you
- ALWAYS Use Proper Risk Management In Your Trades
#usdjpy
#usd
#jpy
$SPELL/USDT Breakout Alert!🚀 $SPELL/USDT Breakout Alert!
SPELL has broken out of a symmetrical triangle on the 4h chart, confirming a strong bullish move!
• Entry: CMP
• TP: 0.0008612
• SL: 0.0005143 for risk management.
Momentum looks after consolidation — eyes on continuation if volume stays strong!
DYOR, NFA
BTCUSD POSSIBLE TRADE SETUPPotential Trade Setup on BTCUSD
The price has successfully retested the $75,000 region however to complete the corrective wave we can expect to see BTC drop further to the $70,00 before another round of bullish runs.
A BUY trade opportunity is best looked at after the full retest of the $71k and $70k region before I begin to buy Bitcoin
However, the SELL opportunity is clear below FWB:65K which can be regarded as 202 extreme dip.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Trade Responsibly!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading.
Weekly FOREX Forecast: Mid-Week UPDATES! In this video, we will update Sunday's forecasts for the following FX markets:
USD Index
EURUSD
GBPUSD
AUDUSD
NZDUSD
USDCAD
USDCHF
USDJPY
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or other wise. In this video, we will update the forecasts for the following FX markets:
Gold 1H Bearish Setup – Targeting 3,290 and 3,240 Support ZoneGold (XAUUSD) on the 1-hour chart has formed a bearish structure after rejecting the 1st Resistance zone, showing a clear break of structure (BoS) and change of character (ChoCh). Price is currently pushing lower, aligning with the bearish momentum and sitting just above the 1st Support Zone.
If price breaks below the 1st Support Zone, the next target would be the 2nd Support Zone, around the 3,240 area. Both zones are potential areas for a bullish reaction, but momentum favors further downside for now unless a strong reversal or consolidation forms.
- 1st TP (Take Profit): Around 3,290, which aligns with the 1st Support Zone. This is your initial target where you may expect partial profit-taking or a possible bounce.
- 2nd TP (Final Target): Around 3,240, located at the 2nd Support Zone. This is a stronger support area where price may either reverse or consolidate.
So for a sell setup from the current price (~3,330):
- TP1: 3,290
- TP2: 3,240
$DXY Repeating 2016 Post-Election I have highlighted the 2016 to 2020 Presidential Elections time period and then pasted that timeframe onto the 2024 election and found that the pattern is going along very similarly to Trump 1.0.
If we assume that the future unfolds the same as last time, which is low probability, of course, then the future will unfold as shown in the yellow bars going into the future, as shown.
Initially in 2016 post election there was a 7% rally in the U.S. Dollar Index and then a 15% retreat for the following year. So far in 2025 we have seen the same rally and a similar decline, but only faster this time.
It would appear as thought the bulk majority of the declines in the TVC:DXY are over at this time with perhaps 4% further downside over the balance of the year.
The Dollar Index has been useful for predicting changes in the earnings estimates for the S&P500 in the USA due to the high percentage of earnings coming back to the US for quarterly reporting. I have posted a few charts in the past which have been helpful at determining the risk in the stock market.
The behavior of the global central banks has certainly had its impact on monetary aggregates and inflation. The policy response since the Covid Pandemic has been for maximum liquidity and maximum Government spending to keep the global economy afloat. The post-Covid response is now coming to a head along with new policy directives to cut wasteful Government spending and to reduce inflation (caused the Gov't spending).
Global investors have flocked to the US for access to high technology stocks and have driven up the value of US assets to extreme levels compared to other markets. This adjustment phase where investors remove money from overvalued, or highly valued, US assets back to other markets has created a wave of selling in the US Dollar and US listed equities.
What does the future hold? We never know but we sure can learn from what happened in the past by looking at charts just like this one to see what may happen. Looks like a bounce in the TVC:DXY from here, followed by a new low and then a rebound into the next few years.
All the best,
Tim
April 22, 2025 1:16PM EST TVC:DXY 98.78 last
USD/CAD - Channel Pattern (22.04.2025)The USD/CAD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Channel Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.3771
2nd Support – 1.3745
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EURUSD 3 TARGETS for selling 3 TOPS. The 5 year cheat-sheet!The EURUSD pair opened the week with a strong rally already due to the fundamentals surrounding the recent Tariff news. The 1W RSI is overbought at 74.00 and it hasn't been that high since January 22 2018. That was a long-term Top for EURUSD that initiated a 2-year downtrend until the March 2020 COVID crash and the start of massive rate hiking.
Even the last two times that the RSI came close to such overbought levels, the pair started a 6-month peak formation pattern with 3 Highs that offered solid short entries before the eventual larger downtrend. Those periods were January 30 2023 - July 17 2023 and August 31 2020 - May 24 2021.
Given that EURUSD is now trading within a long-term Channel Up (blue) and just formed a 1D MA50/ 1W MA50 Bullish Cross, we are closer to High (1) than not, since every time that is formed close to the standard +16.19% rise from the bottom.
For those successive Highs, our long-term sell targets will be 1.12500, 1.13250 and 1.12000 on the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level respectively.
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USDJPY Outlook – Bearish Continuation or Bullish Reversal??In this analysis, I'm breaking down the USDJPY structure starting from the 4H to identify the overall market direction (Bearish/Sells), then zooming into the 1H to fine-tune potential trade setups.
On the 4H timeframe, we’re assessing whether the recent bearish momentum is likely to continue or if price action is showing early signs of a bullish reversal. The LOW created at 141.800 level is our first target IF we continue to sell as its creating that LowerLow.
IF price closes bullish above 142.500, I will switch sides and look for potential buys.
On the 1H timeframe, I’m watching for a bullish liquidity sweep below141.888, followed by a clear break of structure to the upside on the 15m or 1H for more confirmation. That would indicate smart money accumulation and a potential shift in market sentiment—giving me confirmation to start looking for long setups.
🚀 Give me a boost and follow for upcoming $niper entries this week! 🦇🔥
CMCMARKETS:USDJPY
Bearish drop?US Dollar Index (DXY) has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 100.22
1st Support: 97.47
1st Resistance: 101.83
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The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Market Analysis: USD/CHF – 4H ChartThe USD/CHF pair is exhibiting a **clear bearish trend** on the 4-hour chart, with price currently consolidating around the **0.81500** level after a sharp decline. This consolidation is forming a **range-bound structure**, with support near the recent H4 low and resistance around the **0.82500** zone.
Key Observations:
Bearish momentum remains dominant, evidenced by lower highs and lower lows.
Price is currently trading just above a well-tested H4 support level.
There are two probable outcomes from this consolidation zone:
Potential Scenarios:
1. Bullish Breakout:
A rejection from the H4 support could see price push back towards the **0.82500** level.
A breakout beyond this resistance could lead to further recovery towards **0.83500** or higher.
2. **Bearish Continuation**:
A break below the H4 support zone would confirm further downside momentum.
This could lead price towards the next key support around **0.80000**, with potential extension to the **0.78500** region.
Conclusion:
USD/CHF is currently at a decision point within a broader bearish structure. Traders should watch for a breakout from the current range to confirm the next directional move, with **0.82500** and **0.80000** acting as critical inflection zones.
Weekly FOREX Forecast: Buy EUR, GBP, AUD, NZD vs USDThis is the FOREX outlook for the week of April 21 - 25th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX markets:
USD Index
EUR
GBP
AUD
NZD
CAD
CHF
JPY
Not a lot of movement last week, as price traded in a small range. May see more of the same this coming week, as there are no major news events planned. The USD is still weak, and there may be opportunities to buy against it in the EUR, GBP, AID, NZD, CAD, CHF, AND JPY.
Wait for good confirmation before taking valid buy setups!
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
DXY SINGLING DANGER! UPTADE! Bad things happen when the dollar gets too strong....
Well, "the bad thing" now seems to be the dollar itself crashing lower.
What a difference 2 months can make!
Waging economic war against our allies, pulling military defense from allies, isolationism has not been working as expected. In fact, Trump has overplayed his cards, and his tactics are backfiring.
CAUTION is in order!!
Target not reached! Forced on me.
As mentioned back on January 18, 2025, when the dollar gets this strong, bad things happen.
As you can now all see, bad things did happen. Markets are crashing, and we are headed for an economic depression!
WARNING!
DXY SINGLING DANGER!Any Time The Dollar Gets In This Range Bad Things Happen!
With the exception of the 2008 GFC which confirmed we have entered Debt Deflation (Meaning the Gov will need to borrow more and more, faster and faster without any benefit to the real economy). A strong dollar is signaling something very bad is coming.
Gun to head I would guess something like an Asian Currency Crisis. Russian ruble & economic collapse is now a certainty! Russia has lost the war no matter what they are trying to do on the battlefield it is irrelevant as the economy is now suffering from Dutch Disease. (So Much for the BRICS fantasy!)
Most Americans believe a strong dollar is good. They are wrong. Here are a few things to know about a strong US Dollar.
1. A strong dollar weakens exports, costing American jobs as everything America made becomes more expensive to the rest of the world.
2. US Imports increase as everything internationally made becomes cheaper.
3. Acquiring USD as foreign reserves becomes much more difficult and expensive. As exporters to the US have to produce more for less $s.
4. US investment in international currency collapses, forcing inflation, rates higher making borrowing/investment in foreign economies weaker. Leading to a snowball effect.
5. Commodities are traded in USD. As such energy/food to many poor nations will become a problem as they are net importers with already limited access to NYSE:S it will be magnified.
6. Finally (I could go on but I won't you get the point) when everyone leans on one side of the boat it capsizes. Meaning when everyone is running to invest in the US & the dollar.
Techanically how high can the USD go?
-120 is likely. (hopefully not much more)
-Longer term if things get bad enough it can break all-time highs of 165 as we have this massive bottoming inverse HEAD & SHOULDERS in place. CARNAGE!
- What I hope will happen is that it hits previous recent highs of 115 and that will be it for the upside. HOWEVER!
We do have a rising structure that needs to be corrected. As such when it does correct there is a good possibility it tests previous lows.
For now, if you live in the US. enjoy dollar strength and think about how much worse inflation would have been if the $ was weakening. ))