Xau/usd higher timeframe to lower timeframeXau/usd higher timeframe to lower timeframe
- This idea is based on educational purposes
Detailed analysis for higher time frame to lower time frame
Market currently at 2639.72 and in higher time frame 2621 is a rejected point more then 6 times
so when we move to lowest time frame things are more clearly and we see that market is moving in uptrend so we have to move and trade within trend
if market move and touched 2642 to 2645.00 area we will entered in buy trade and our first target would be 2650.00 then 2660 onwards
if market break the region which are selected and move downward we will take our first take profit at 2621.00 again it was crucial point but if it went again this point we will see the next move at 2605.00
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EURUSD: Still bearish long term. Don't buy a falling knife.EURUSD remains heavily bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 34.500, MACD = -0.006, ADX = 21.396) as the 1 month Channel Down remains intact. The current 4H rebound is the bullish wave of the Channel and technically once the 4H MA50 is hit, it will turn into a bearish opportunity again. We are waiting for that signal to sell towards the bottom of the Channel (TP = 1.0200).
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Analysis of EUR/USD: A Strategic Insight for TradersThe EUR/USD currency pair has extended its rally for the third consecutive day, trading near the 1.0430 level during Monday’s Asian session. This uptick is primarily driven by remarks from members of the European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council and expectations of delayed interest rate cuts in the Eurozone. However, the hawkish tone of the Federal Reserve (Fed) and a stronger U.S. Dollar (USD) could cap the Euro’s gains in the short term.
Fundamental Factors Influencing EUR/USD
European Central Bank (ECB)
Robert Holzmann, a member of the ECB Governing Council, stated that further rate cuts might be delayed. He highlighted recent inflation spikes and emphasized the inflationary pressures stemming from the Trump administration’s tariff policies, which may slow economic growth but increase inflation.
Delayed Rate Cut Expectations: Markets anticipate the ECB to slow down rate cuts due to rising inflation and the need for economic stabilization.
U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed)
The Fed reduced rates by 25 basis points during the December meeting, but the dot plot indicates only two rate cuts anticipated for 2025.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell: He reiterated that the central bank would approach further rate cuts cautiously.
Impact on USD: The Fed's hawkish messaging has bolstered the USD, acting as a counterweight to the EUR/USD rally.
Economic Policies under the Trump Administration
Tariffs and Tax Cuts: The administration’s policies are expected to intensify inflationary pressures, potentially altering the Fed’s monetary policy outlook in favor of the USD.
Short-to-Medium Term Outlook for EUR/USD
Bullish Scenario : Signals of delayed ECB rate cuts and improved Eurozone economic data could sustain support for the Euro.
Bearish Scenario : Continued hawkish Fed messaging, coupled with strong U.S. economic data, could exert downward pressure on EUR/USD..
Technical Analysis: Pivotal Levels in Play
Weekly Momentum: Momentum indicators on the weekly timeframe highlight persistent selling pressure, aligning with the prior bearish analysis.
Key Support Levels: The price is trading near the confluence of the lower boundary of a neutral channel and the median line of the Andrews Pitchfork, intensifying the sensitivity of this zone.
Potential Breakdown: The momentum suggests a higher likelihood of breaking below this support unless weekly price action signals a reversal by surging and breaking above the 1.0534 resistance level.
Conclusion and Call to Action
This analysis outlines critical fundamental and technical elements shaping the EUR/USD’s trajectory. With key macroeconomic events and technical levels at play, traders should stay vigilant for decisive moves.
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gold on bullish above 2660.64#XAUUSD now facing multiple rejection at current price, but we await price to reach 2660.64 for bullish continuation, buy stop 2660.64, take profit 2673.34, stop loss 2651.90, below 2651.90 price have bearish range which will drop the price tipp 2637 for another formation on buy.
USDCHF - 2 SCENARIOSHello Traders !
On Wednesday 18 Dec, The USDCHF reached the resistance level (0.90504 - 0.90114).
So, We have 2 scenarios:
BULLISH SCENARIO:
If the market breaks above the resistance level and closes above that,
We will see a bullish move📈
TARGET: 0.91250🎯
BEARISH SCENARIO:
If the price breaks and closes below the higher low (0.89137 - 0.89282),
We will see a huge bearish move📉
TARGET: 0.87900🎯
Apparently, bright days are ahead of DXYDXY has underwent a reversal:
1- A clean inverted head and shoulders
2- A dropping wedge break high (Which is a reversal at the end of the bearish move)
3- Break and retest of the inverted head and shoulders and the wedge simultaneously
4- Ichimoku cloud broken high as well, indicating the shifting trend bias
Expect the target area as marked on the chart either by the end of this year or whenever FED announces rate cuts.
Best of luck and happy trading!
gold on bearish retracement#GOLD price have finally breakout above the third pattern, now we expect price rejection above 2646 which have sell retracment, the minimum on D1 TF shows decline above there unless price can hold above 2640. Between 2636 have sell on multiple breakout also and 2630.5. Bullish range can form unless price did not break below 2630.5 in 3 hours. Sell 2646, SL 2654, TP 2612. Also sell 2636 on multiple breakout and 2630.5
btc on bearish#BTCUSD firstly we await for H1 candle to close between the rectangle before taking sell but if price closes above bullish then the sell is inactive. Entry closure at 95400-95500 for selling, target 93800-91k, stop loss at 96359. Based on the movement if inactive then price is heading 97500 for sell retracment.
GBP/USD Technical Analysis: Key Levels and Possible ScenariosThe chart focuses on GBP/USD in the 1-hour timeframe, highlighting critical resistance levels and potential downside targets. The current setup indicates rejection from a resistance zone, with a potential move toward the predefined price targets.
Key Levels:
Resistance Zone at 1.2580–1.2590:
This area has acted as a strong resistance, with the price failing to break above it.
A breakout above this zone could shift the market sentiment and pave the way for further upside toward 1.2600+.
Downside Targets:
1.25124 and 1.25012 have been identified as key bearish targets.
These levels represent potential areas where the bearish momentum may slow down or pause.
Indicator Insights:
DT Oscillator:
Currently trending downward, indicating bearish momentum in the short term.
A further drop toward oversold territory could coincide with the price approaching the bearish targets.
Scenarios:
Bearish Scenario:
Continued rejection from the 1.2580–1.2590 resistance zone could lead the price toward the bearish targets at 1.25124 and 1.25012.
A breakdown below 1.25012 could accelerate the downside movement further.
Bullish Scenario:
If the price reverses and breaks above the 1.2580–1.2590 resistance zone, it could invalidate the bearish outlook and signal a potential move toward higher levels, such as 1.2600+.
Conclusion:
GBP/USD is showing signs of bearish momentum, with 1.2580–1.2590 acting as a strong resistance and 1.25124 and 1.25012 identified as key downside targets. Traders should monitor price reactions at these levels and use confirmation signals, such as momentum shifts, to adjust their strategies accordingly.
Feel free to share your thoughts in the comments and follow me for more detailed analyses!
GOLD XAUUSD IS RECOVERING BECAUSE OF HAWKISH POLICIESThe expert explained that amid persistent inflation concerns, the US Central Bank is expected to be more cautious in its interest rate decisions next year. This is likely to support bond yields and the US dollar, two factors that often reduce the appeal of gold.
Higher bond yields have a significant impact on investment demand for the yellow metal, as they increase the opportunity cost of holding these non-yielding assets. “At the same time, the greenback’s resilience, supported by hawkish central bank policies and strong economic data, makes gold more expensive for buyers holding other currencies. These dynamics could limit gold’s upside potential in the first half of next year.”
🔥 XAUUSD SELL 2625 - 2628🔥
💵 TP1: 2620
💵 TP2: 2610
💵 TP3: OPEN
🚫 SL: 2637
(JPYUSD) Analysis chart suggests a potential rejection from the resistance zone with an anticipated downward move, as shown by the blue arrow. Key observations include:
Resistance Rejection: The price is struggling to break above the marked resistance zone, aligning with the downtrend's upper boundary.
Trend Continuation: The downward channel remains intact, implying the potential for the price to head lower if the rejection is confirmed.
Potential Target: The price may aim for the lower boundary of the channel, possibly testing support areas around 0.006300 or lower.
Are you considering entering a sell position here, or waiting for more confirmation? Let me know how you'd like Looking at the chart, here are potential targets based on the descending channel and price action:
1. **1st Target**: **0.006320** (near the middle of the channel and a minor support zone). FX_IDC:JPYUSD
2. **2nd Target**: **0.006300** (key support area aligning with the lower channel boundary).
3. **Final Target**: **0.006280** (bottom of the channel for a full move).
Keep an eye on how price behaves around the mid-channel zone; it could pause or bounce before reaching the lower levels. Would you like to adjust for risk management or trail the stop as the price moves?
EURUSD Channel Up targeting the 4H MA200.The EURUSD pair broke above its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) and following a Double Bottom bounce on the Support Zone on December 18, it started a Channel Up.
Having initiated that after a highly oversold 4H RSI, it shares many similarities with the November 22 Channel Up, which peaked just below the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line). This is where our current short-term Target is at 1.04900.
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The Dollar Index Rises by 6.7% in 2024The Dollar Index Rises by 6.7% in 2024
Throughout 2024, the US dollar traded with mixed dynamics but showed consistent strengthening over the past three months.
According to WSJ and Reuters, the following factors contributed to this growth:
→ Reports of a strong US economy and expectations that further interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve will be limited.
→ Projections of policies under President-elect Donald Trump, which are anticipated to focus on tax reductions, increased tariffs, and stricter immigration controls.
During the low-volatility holiday trading period, the US Dollar Index—a tool measuring the dollar's strength against a basket of major currencies—hovered around a two-year high, where it may close a strong year.
Meanwhile, the euro remains near two-year lows, but bulls hold onto hope.
As technical analysis of the EUR/USD chart indicates today:
→ The price is near a support level formed by an ascending channel (marked in blue).
→ Simultaneously, price fluctuations are shaping a bullish “cup and handle” pattern below the 1.0444 level—signalling growing interest among buyers.
A breakout above the red descending trendline could help bulls start 2025 confidently, potentially pushing the price higher from the lower boundary of the channel.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice
gold on short bullish#GOLD price have declined multiple above 2623-2627, now we await price to form another bullish at 2613 which holds short breakout on buy, likely we still wait for price to see if it will break below 2608 which holds strong bearish. Buy limit 2613-2621 which holds bullish also, take profit 2638, stop loss 2608 which holds sell.
UP "Please provide a meaningful and detailed description of your prediction..." Says Tradingview
Up. It go up. Why? Idono the same as you do or do not know. It's the simple things I think that makes dollars sound like soundness of mind. While lil Timmy has been working hard to get a few bucks to buy his favorite dog coin he heard about at lunch yesterday in middle school.
Asking a fool like me what to buy with his allowance. Who isn't looking for a return nowadays I guess even at 11 we need to make 1000x gainz because "10 years!?" "That's forever!" he and any other like minded person may say to me. I think all they heard was the "10 Year" Part...😋
Ya know? One things for sure we are all counting dollars when this or whatever thing you think will make you money moves up or down. Hummmmmm Maybe there's something to that whole I need a dollar thought?🤑
I bet it would be carzy to see the Yield on the 10 year US GOV Bonds run up to 16%.
What kind of future are we all living in when that happens??? Asking for this 11 year old thats asking me what the next best coin is from here....
YOLO Moonboyz 🌛 If you feel so inclined to do so.
🚽👄 Toilet Mouth: "Why do all your post say Short!?" or a bunch of "BUT, BUT, BUT"
⭐Not my job to tell you to buy or sell entries matter to most I only care about my exits.
⭐Let each person determine their cost to acquire and choice to play or not.
No Advice to give just thoughts that I can't shake after the last 8 years in the world of "CRYPTO"
Things 🤷♂️ #Fixed IDK!
🙏FOR JUST A HEALTHLY PULLBACK!
""KEEP CALM AND MANAGE THY RISK & BALANCE your Senses!""
I am The CoinSLayer 👨💻😈
You have been warned by The Coin SLayer!
P.S. Now witha bag!
P.S.S. well two or Ten
Bullish bounce?US Dollar Index (DXY) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 107.49
1st Support: 106.72
1st Resistance: 108.52
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Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
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BTC is approaching the 99,000 resistance zone,BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BTC is approaching the 99,000 resistance zone, where selling pressure could emerge. If this level holds, the downside target remains at 86,000, which aligns with a significant support level. Keep an eye on price action and momentum indicators for confirmation before entering a position.
Entry Position:
- **Sell Entry:** Around 98,900–99,100 (to account for potential resistance zone fluctuations).
Stop Loss:
- **Stop Loss:** 99,600 (above the resistance zone to manage risk).
Target:
- **Take Profit:** 86,000 (key support zone).
Risk-Reward Ratio:
- Ensure the risk-to-reward ratio is at least 1:2 to maintain a favorable trading setup. Adjust your position size accordingly.
Keep monitoring for bearish confirmation signals (e.g., rejection wicks, bearish divergence, or a breakdown of intraday support).
EURUSD: 4H MA50 crossing signals new rally.EURUSD is remains bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 41.523, MACD = -0.006, ADX = 15.575) but today it crossed and closed a 4H candle over the 4H MA50 for the first time since December 10th. Along with that, it crossed above the LH trend-line, thus technically invalidating the short term bearish trend. Given the recent December 18th double bottom on the S1 Zone, the pattern that prevails is a Rectangle, thus today's breakout is technically targeting the patterns top. Consequently our target is near the R1 Zone (TP = 1.0600).
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The U.S. Dollar Index may be approaching a potential buy zoneHere’s a more detailed version of your DXY trading plan:
DXY Trading Plan**
Buy Zone:**
Enter a buy position around **107.900**, but only after confirming bullish price action (e.g., rejection wicks, strong bullish candles, or signs of support holding firmly).
Targets:**
- First Target:** **108.200** – A key resistance level. Consider partial profit-taking or setting a tighter trailing stop here.
- Third Target:**108.500** – If **108.200** breaks out with strong bullish momentum, hold for this higher resistance level as your final target.
Risk Management:**
- Stop-Loss:** Place your stop-loss slightly below **107.800** to protect against sudden reversals.
- Close Trade:** If the price at **107.900** fails to hold or shows signs of weakness, exit the trade to limit losses.
position Sizing:** Keep your risk-to-reward ratio in check, aiming for at least 1:2 (or higher).
What to Watch For:**
- **Confirmation Signals at 107.900:** Look for bullish candlestick patterns like hammer candles or engulfing patterns.
- **Momentum Around 108.200:** Pay attention to price reactions at this level. If DXY struggles here, consider securing profits or exiting.
- **Market Context:** Keep an eye on macroeconomic data, news, or events impacting the dollar index, as these can shift momentum quickly.
**Additional Tip:**
If the price nears **108.200**, move your stop-loss to breakeven or slightly above **107.900** to secure your position while giving the trade room to breathe.
TVC:DXY