Sell XAU/USD (Gold) Triangle BreakoutThe XAU/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position Below the Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 2722
Target Levels:
1st Support – 2702
2nd Support – 2687
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 2744. This helps limit potential losses if the price falls back unexpectedly.
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DJ FXCM Index
USDRUB Massive bullish break-out delivering a strong rally.The USDRUB pair has made an aggressive bullish break-out since the week of September 16, as it broke above the 1-year Lower Highs trend-line (since October 09 2023). At the same time it broke above its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), while sustaining a rebound off the 1W MA100 (green trend-line).
As we can see on this chart, when the pair historically breaks above similar Lower Highs trend-lines, it rallies to at least the 1.382 Fibonacci extension. As a result, we expect to see at least 110.000 on the current rally.
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USD/JPY - Trendline Breakout with Potential Buy Opportunity"USD/JPY has just broken out of a trendline resistance. I have identified a green zone as a support level below. My idea is that if the price pulls back to this support zone, we could see buyers step back in, offering a strong opportunity to go long and push the price higher. Waiting for confirmation of a bounce in this zone before entering a long position.
GBP/USD - Cup and Handle Pattern in 1-Hour Time FrameWe are seeing a cup and handle pattern forming on the 1-hour time frame. If the price breaks out above the top of the handle, my target will be the pink resistance zone. This target is calculated by measuring the distance from the bottom of the cup to the top and projecting it upwards. Waiting for confirmation of the breakout before entering a long position.
Bullish bounce?US Dollar Index (DXY) is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 103.83
1st Support: 103.38
1st Resistance: 104.42
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Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
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USDSEK The most 'neat' sell you can take!The USDSEK pair has been trading within a Channel Down since the May 01 2024 High. The price has been on its latest Bullish Leg since the September 27 Lower Low and right now the price is just a step before testing the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the Channel Down.
At the same time, the 1D RSI touched the 70.00 overbought barrier and turned sideways for the past week. This is a bearish sign as every time it did so since April 30, the Channel Down had topped.
As you can see there is a high degree of symmetry within this Channel and we expect the new Bearish Leg that will start to follow the same parameters. The previous ones bottomed after around -7.00% declines and on the -0.236 Fib extension.
As a result our sell Target as of today is 9.90500 (above the -0.236 Fib on less than -6.89% decline).
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EURUSD on the 1 year Support!EURUSD hit today the Rising Support trend line that is in effect for 1 full year.
The 1day RSI is vastly oversold, which was the case both on the April 16th 2024 and October 3rd 2023 contacts with the Rising Support.
The last bottom rebounded to the 0.618 Fib before pulling back again.
This is a standard low risk bullish signal. Buy and target 1.10250 (Fib 0.618).
Previous chart:
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USDCAD Sell signal may be triggered soon.USDCAD is on a continuous rise since the September 24 low inside a Channel Up.
The pattern however broke this week sideways and is already showing the first signs of exhaustion as the RSI (4h) is printing a topping pattern similar to August 5th.
Still though, the MA50 (4h) is supporting.
Trading Plan:
1. Sell if the price crosses below the MA50 (4h).
Targets:
1. 1.36500 (potential contact with the MA200 (4h)).
Tips:
1. The August fractal started to decline just after the RSI formed this pattern. I may have found the first support base on the 0.618 Fibonacci level but that happened to be on the MA200 (4h) as well and that is why we pursue this as target.
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Buy USD/CAD Bullish Flag in H1The USD/CAD pair on the H1 timeframe presents a potential Buying opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Bullish Flag pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the Upside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Buy Entry: Consider entering a Long position around the current price of 1.3825, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.3860
2nd Support – 1.3875
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below 1.3807. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
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Possible pullback on BTC before resuming the UptrendOn 15 October, Bitcoin (BTC) surged above its previous high, confirming its uptrend on the 2-hour chart. The cryptocurrency is now trading above the 200-period Simple Moving Average, with the potential to reach an all-time high in the coming months.
However, shortly after surpassing its previous high, BTC formed a Head and Shoulders pattern on the 2-hour chart, indicating a possible short-term pullback. Currently, BTC appears to be breaking the neckline of this pattern, suggesting a potential decline in price over the next few days.
A bearish pullback could see BTC decline to the 64,300 region, aligning with the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of the recent upward movement. This area is expected to provide support, allowing BTC the opportunity to resume its upward trajectory.
Technical Summary:
A steady uptrend is evident on the 2-hour chart.
Breaking above the previous high signifies a potential continuation of buying momentum in the upcoming months.
The Head and Shoulders pattern on the 2-hour chart indicates a possible bearish pullback in the short term.
An important support zone at 64,300 could serve as a foundation for resuming the uptrend.
Given these considerations, a buying opportunity may arise if BTC retraces to a range between 64,300 and 65,300 in the coming days. Traders should look for confirmation through bullish patterns, such as a Pin Bar or an Engulfing pattern on the 2-hour timeframe.
It is also essential to note that upcoming US elections could significantly impact BTC's price. If Donald Trump wins, his inclination towards promoting Bitcoin may further influence market dynamics.
Preparing for Potential Market Movements
In summary, while BTC shows strong upward momentum, the formation of the Head and Shoulders pattern indicates that traders should remain cautious of a possible pullback. Monitoring key support levels and upcoming economic events will be vital for making informed trading decisions in the evolving market landscape.
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Sell USD/CAD BoC Interest RateThe USD/CAD pair on the H1 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to channel. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.3818, This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.3778
2nd Support – 1.3750
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 1.3845. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
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Dollar Index (DXY): Important Support & Resistance Levels
As the bull run continue on Dollar Index,
here are the significant resistance zones to pay attention to.
Resistance 1: 104.45 - 105.12 area
Resistance 2: 106.05 - 106.14 area
Resistance 3: 106.37 - 106.52 area
Support 1: 101.65 - 101.92 area
Support 2: 100.14 - 100.56 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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GBP/USD Triangle Breakout: Potential Targets 5 MIN TIME FRAMESIn the 5-minute time frame, GBP/USD has just broken out of a triangle pattern. My first target is the pink resistance zone, which could serve as a key area for reducing long positions. Additionally, this zone presents a potential shorting opportunity, depending on how the price reacts at this level.
EURUSD: On the 1 year HL support. Rebound expected.EURUSD turned oversold oversold on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 28.128, MACD = -0.006, ADX = 71.753) as the price even crossed under the 0.618 Fibonacci level and is approaching the HL Zone, the lower level of which started 1 year ago (on the October 3rd 2023 low). The 1D RSI is oversold for the 3rd time since then, which is alone a huge bullish signal. We expect at least a short term rebound to test the 1D MA50 (TP = 1.09800).
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USDCAD: Rejection expected on the 2 year Resistance Zone.USDCAD is bullish on the 1W timeframe (RSI = 60.180, MACD = 0.003, ADX = 23.071) and turned overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 69.243). This is taking place while the price is just underneath the 2 year R1 Zone, which has rejected the price 5 times already. The 1D RSI is also about to enter its R1 Zone. We expect another rejection towards the S1 level (TP = 1.34500).
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ETH: Fractal Pattern Forming—Steady with Possible DownsideIt appears that a potential fractal pattern is forming for ETH. When comparing the two highlighted boxes, the ups and downs in both are similar, though the second box is on a smaller scale. If this fractal plays out, we may see some steady ups and downs for ETH, with no major moves expected in the next few weeks.
However, with BTC on a downward trend over the coming days, it could pull the market down with it, leading to some further downside for ETH initially. It’s crucial that the lower support line holds—if it breaks, the market dynamics could shift significantly.