Get started

DJ FXCM Index

USDDKK Confirmed bullish break-out.The USDDKK pair broke yesterday above its 1D MA200 for the first time since August 02 and gave a strong bullish break-out signal. The 1D RSI got overbought (above 70.00), so a pull-back of a few days is possible, but on the medium-term we expect a continuation of the uptrend, similar to the two previous times the price broke above the Lower Highs trend-line. Our Target is Resistance 1 at 6.99000. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
1
EURUSD hit the 1day MA200! Support or bearish break out?EURUSD hit today the 1day MA200 for the first time since August 2nd and its 1day RSI turned oversold for the first time since April 16th. That is a very bearish development but market exhaustion and the need for a relief rally may hit the price just like it did on the August 25th 1day MA200 test. We remain bearish as per our last trading plan but any rebound near the 1day MA50 will be an opportunity to open additional sells. The target is intact at 1.07700 (Fibonacci 0.618). Previous chart: Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
Short
by TheCryptagon
NZDUSD Analysis for 16/10/2024: Slight Bullish Bias ExpectedIntroduction As of 16th October 2024, the NZDUSD (New Zealand Dollar vs. US Dollar) pair shows a slight bullish bias in today’s trading session. A combination of fundamental factors, economic data releases, and market sentiment are all playing a pivotal role in driving this price action. In this article, we will break down the key drivers for the potential bullish trend in NZDUSD today, with a focus on the latest developments in the global economy, central bank policies, and market conditions. Key Drivers for NZDUSD Bullish Bias 1. New Zealand Economic Data Strength One of the primary factors contributing to the slight bullish bias in NZDUSD is the recent release of positive economic data from New Zealand. Key indicators such as GDP growth and retail sales have come in stronger than expected, supporting the NZD. The New Zealand economy continues to exhibit resilience despite global challenges, and this has attracted investors towards the Kiwi dollar. In the latest report, New Zealand’s consumer sentiment index showed improvement, reflecting increased consumer confidence. This suggests that domestic demand is picking up, which is supportive of the New Zealand Dollar’s strength. As a result, this economic optimism is likely to boost NZDUSD. 2. RBNZ Hawkish Stance The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) has maintained a relatively hawkish stance, signaling a possible interest rate hike in the near future to combat inflation. Although inflation remains elevated globally, New Zealand’s inflation figures are closely monitored by the RBNZ, and the central bank is prepared to act if needed. A potential rate hike would increase the attractiveness of the NZD in the forex market. The US Federal Reserve, by contrast, is leaning towards a more neutral stance, with expectations that interest rates may have peaked for the time being. This divergence in monetary policy between the RBNZ and the Federal Reserve is providing support to NZDUSD, as a more hawkish RBNZ outlook favors the New Zealand Dollar. 3. US Dollar Weakness On the other side of the equation, the US Dollar has experienced some softness amid mixed economic data and shifting market sentiment. The recent US CPI (Consumer Price Index) report showed inflation cooling, reducing the likelihood of aggressive Federal Reserve tightening. As inflation shows signs of easing, investors are beginning to price in the possibility of a Fed pause, which has led to USD weakness. Additionally, political uncertainty in the US, particularly related to fiscal policy and government shutdown risks, is weighing on the USD. The combination of a potentially dovish Federal Reserve and domestic uncertainty is making the US Dollar less attractive, boosting the NZDUSD pair. 4. Global Risk Sentiment Risk sentiment in global financial markets is another critical driver of NZDUSD. As a commodity-linked currency, the New Zealand Dollar often performs well when risk appetite improves. Today, we see a more optimistic tone in equity markets as investors respond positively to the easing inflation pressures in the US and signs of stabilization in global growth. This “risk-on” environment typically benefits the NZD, and we are seeing this reflected in the slight bullish bias for NZDUSD. Moreover, China's economic stabilization efforts, especially in the property sector, have provided additional support for commodity-exporting countries like New Zealand, bolstering the NZD. 5. Technical Outlook From a technical perspective, NZDUSD has been testing key support levels in recent trading sessions, and a bounce from these levels is likely to fuel further upside. The 50-day moving average (MA) has recently crossed above the 200-day MA, forming a bullish “golden cross,” which is a positive signal for further upside movement in the short term. In addition, RSI (Relative Strength Index) readings are indicating that the pair is not yet in overbought territory, suggesting more room for the bullish momentum to continue. Conclusion In summary, the NZDUSD pair is expected to maintain a slight bullish bias on 16th October 2024, driven by several key fundamental factors. Strong New Zealand economic data, a hawkish RBNZ stance, US Dollar weakness, positive global risk sentiment, and favorable technical signals all contribute to the optimistic outlook for NZDUSD today. However, traders should remain cautious of any unexpected developments that could shift the market sentiment. Keywords: NZDUSD, New Zealand Dollar, US Dollar, Forex Analysis, 16th October 2024, bullish bias, RBNZ, Federal Reserve, US inflation, interest rates, forex market, technical analysis, risk sentiment, currency trading, New Zealand economy, NZD strength, TradingView analysis, forex forecast, USD weakness.
Long
by PERFECT_MFG
GBPUSD has flattened the decline. Potential rebound ahead.GBPUSD is trading inside a Bullish Megaphone since the April 22nd low. Typically it bottoms after the price crosses under the MA50 (1d), which it did last week. Even though the bottom of the Megaphone is a bit lower, R/R suggests that those are solid buy entry levels. Trading Plan: 1. Buy on the current market price. Targets: 1. 1.3670 (the 1.618 Fibonacci extension, where all 3 previous Highs were priced). Tips: 1. The RSI (1d) has flattened and its MA trend line is approaching. A crossing will confirm the bullish signal. Please like, follow and comment!!
Long
by TradingBrokersView
USDCHF is rising but it's not late to buy.USDCHF has been on a very strong 2 week rise on Support A and has turned the 1day MA50 into Support. Until that breaks, we expect the bullish trend to continue. Technically this is an emerging Channel Up that looks very much like the January rebound on Support A, which also consolidated after a nearly +3.00% rise and then moved to a +4.78% rise before it pulled back. Buy and target 0.87900 (+4.78%), which will approach the 1day MA200. Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
Long
by TheCryptagon
1
EURUSD: Channel Down on 1H giving two trades.EURUSD is almost oversold on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 30.958, MACD = -0.004, ADX = 45.308) as it has been on a non-stop decline, which is even more effectively displayed on the 1H chart. You can see the flawless Channel Down making -0.90% Bearish Waves and then pulling back to the 0.5 Fibonacci only to get rejected again under the 1H MA100. This gives a potential double trade, initally with a short now to complete the -0.90% wave (TP = 1.08555) and then long to the 0.5 Fib (TP = 1.09000). See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
by InvestingScope
GOLD targets liquidity above 2670-2685—what’s the next play?Gold is currently consolidating within the 2663 - 2636 range, with significant resistance and liquidity zones looming overhead. In particular, the 2670 - 2685 zone is a key battleground, where bears may aggressively re-enter the market. The recent global rally is gradually losing momentum and transitioning into a more sideways pattern between 2675 and 2604. Key factors shaping the outlook include: - **China's economic struggles**: After initially providing strong support for gold in response to potential fiscal stimulus, China's economy is again showing signs of weakness. This raises questions about the sustainability of gold’s earlier gains. - **US interest rates**: With the Federal Reserve's next move still uncertain, market participants are caught between two possibilities—a pause in rate cuts or a modest 0.25% reduction. This creates uncertainty around whether gold can maintain its bullish bias, especially as it sits in a flat range with no clear breakout in sight. - **Dollar strength**: The US dollar has been rallying on the back of last week’s economic data, and the index may have more room to climb. This strengthens the case for a more hawkish Fed, with policymakers increasingly split between aggressive and cautious stances on future rate policy. On the geopolitical front, the Middle East conflict, which recently stoked gold’s safe-haven demand, is showing signs of easing. With some risks abating, could we see market participants start to "lock in" profits, especially as gold approaches these crucial resistance zones? **Key resistance levels**: 2663, 2670, 2685 **Key support levels**: 2645, 2636, 2623 Given the overall fundamental backdrop, it’s unclear what factors are currently propping up gold at these levels. The price remains range-bound with no immediate catalysts for a breakout, and the looming liquidity in the resistance zone suggests any retest could lead to a reversal and correction, especially as it's been two weeks since the last such attempt. The big question now is whether this sideways movement will eventually resolve into a deeper correction or if fresh catalysts can drive another leg higher. Either way, the market seems poised for a decisive move soon.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by lonelyPlayer0
Sell EUR/USD Strong DollarThe EUR/USD pair on the H1 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Bearish Flag pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.0937, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.0885 2nd Support – 1.0860 Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 1.0960. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards. Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
8
Sell GBP/USD Bearish ChannelThe GBP/USD pair on the H1 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward Bearish Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.3062. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.2988 2nd Support – 1.2960 Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 1.3090. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards. Today High Impact News : GBP - GDP, Trade Balance EUR - German CPI USD - PPI Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
1
Sell XAU/USD (Gold) Channel FormationThe XAU/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a Channel Formation pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 2650, This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 2624 2nd Support – 2607 Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 2668. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards. Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
5
Bearish reversal?US Dollar Index (DXY) is reacting off the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could drop to the 1st support which accts as a pullback support. Pivot: 103.33 1st Support: 102.68 1st Resistance: 103.67 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
TVC:DXYShort
by ICmarkets
Is Gold ready to retrace?Gold has experienced a significant appreciation of 48.18% since 6 October 2023. This remarkable increase can be attributed to rising global uncertainties, including the ongoing conflict in Ukraine, escalating tensions in the Middle East, and the impending US presidential elections. New Highs and Market Indicators From a technical standpoint, gold is currently trading at historic highs, placing it in uncharted territory with no established resistance levels on the daily chart. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicated a reading of 77.26 on 26 September, suggesting that gold may be in an overbought condition. Generally, RSI readings above 70 signal potential exhaustion of buying momentum. The price has also been trading above the 200-period Average for 254 candles, which tends to show a potentially ageing upward trend on the daily chart. The longer the price remains on the same side of a Moving Average, the more prone it is to a retraction. So, considering these elements: 1. High appreciation of more than 48% in Gold prices over the past 12 months, 2. Recent RSI reading at 77.26, indicating overbought conditions 3. Potentially ageing uptrend, with 254 candles above the SMA200, Given these factors, there is a possibility that gold may experience a slightly stronger pullback if it manages to break below the uptrend line drawn on the chart between 5 August and 10 October. Such a movement could lead to a decline toward the 2480.00 level within a few days. The Influence of Political Uncertainty On the other hand, gold is often viewed as a safe haven during uncertain times. As recent US election polls indicate a technical tie between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris, it is plausible that a more definitive movement in gold prices may not occur until after the election results are announced. Navigating the Gold Market In conclusion, while the current indicators suggest a potential for price retraction, gold's status as a haven and the upcoming political landscape may heavily influence future price actions. Traders should remain vigilant and consider these elements in their market strategies. Disclaimer: 74% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK.
MARKETSCOM:GOLDShort
by Marketscom
EURUSD Bearish trend intact.The sell signal after the Double Top (September 23, see chart below) and the RSI Lower Highs rejection turned out to be a very accurate one and the price has already covered 75% of the distance to hitting our 1.08350 Target: Given that there shouldn't be much divergence until then, we want to focus today on the 1W time-frame. As you can see, based on the ranged (Rectangle) pattern of the past 2 years, the price is at the top of the neutral zone, not even having broken the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). The 1.08350 is located on the 1W MA100 (green trend-line) and that is the minimum downside we expect, as the 1W MA100 provided the Lows of June 24 and April 15 2024. The long-term Support Zone is located considerably lower than that (1.04500 - 1.05250) and that is technically the downside potential of the pair. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
DXY Rebounding on the 1M MA50. But for how long?The U.S. Dollar index (DXY) is on a strong green 1M candle, already halfway through the month of October, as it is rebounding after making an exact test of the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line), the long-term Support. On this chart we can see the DXY's multi-year price action. Even though it was on a heavy downtrend since the February 1985 High, it managed to break above it in January 2015 and sustain a strong Channel Up, coming off the March 2008 bottom of the disastrous Housing Crisis. Within this strong Channel Up, we see a repeated pattern as long as Bullish and Bearish Legs are concerned. As you can see, the bottoms have been formed significantly below the 1M MA50, so this indicates that it is not time to buy yet. If anything, a controlled short is justified and as we get closer to the bottom of the Channel Up, start buying on a multi-year basis (as long as the 1M MA200 (orang trend-line) holds). Based on the 1M RSI, where the similarities with the previous Leg are more obvious, we should be around levels similar to October 2017, so starting next month or December, we should start resuming the downtrend and a 'modest' level to target is 97.000. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:DXY
by TradingShot
USDJPY has bullish technical conditionsThe latest economic data suggests the Federal Reserve could cut interest rates again next month, but a larger cut is being underestimated. Therefore, US bond yields remain stable and the wide spread between Japanese government bond yields and US bond yields continues to support the US Dollar. On the daily chart, OANDA:USDJPY The uptrend is noticed by the price channel and the nearest support level at 148.113 of the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement. Temporarily, USD/JPY's upside momentum is limited by the upper channel edge, once USD/JPY breaks above the channel it will continue to trend upward towards the 150.739 levels in the short term, more than 151,866. Even if the 0.382% Fibonacci level is not enough to support USD/JPY in the short term, it still has other support slightly lower at 147.113 – 146.424. As long as USD/JPY remains above EMA21 and within price channel, it still has a bullish technical outlook with notable technical points listed below. Support: 148.113 – 147.112 – 146.424 Resistance: 149,364 – 150,739 – 151,866
Long
by Xayah_trading
Sell GBP/USD Triangle Breakout The GBP/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position Below the Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 1.3055 Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.2988 2nd Support – 1.2960 Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
7