DJ FXCM Index
USDJPY LONG TRADE IDEAUSDJPY Forecast For This Week(23 Sep-27 Sep 24 & NEXT WEEK ALSO)
1. Price Took Support From a Major Level of 140(Psych Level)
2. Consolidation of around 2 Weeks
3. Inverted Head & Shoulder Kind of Setup
4. Breakout above Neckline
5. Favourable Risk Reward to Upside
Buy Above @144 Level SL 143.50-143.40
Target 1 - @ 146.00 Target 2 @ 147.00 & Target 3 @149.00 OANDA:USDJPY
ETHUSDT BuyAs Ethereum has broke its Resitance and now is taking support over it and will fly high anothet confluence for going in buys is it has formed a Continuation pattern flag pattern which is completed some of my Friends taking it as a penunt over H4 and H1 accordingly but its a bullish setup also it can be categorized as a rally base rally formation till now lets see whats waiting but as today is concerned we had all bullish signs around us
Dollar Index (DXY): Waiting For a Bearish Continuation
Dollar Index is trading in a strong global bearish trend.
Since the end of August, the market started to consolidate
within a wide horizontal range on a daily.
The signal that will signify a continuation of a bearish trend
is a breakout of a support of the range and a daily candle close below that.
It will push the prices lower at least to 99.8
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DXY hit the 1W MA200 for the 1st time in 8 months! Will it hold?The U.S. Dollar index (DXY) following the Fed's -0.50% Rate Cut, hit on Wednesday its 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time in 8 months (since the week of January 10 2024). This is obviously the strongest Support on a long-term basis and technically should attract the first wave of buying pressure.
However, the multi-year pattern, being a Channel Up, suggests that given some more weeks it should break and go for a Higher Low (blue Arc). As you can see on this pattern, every time the 1W MA200 was tested during a Bearish Leg, it broke.
The last two Bearish Legs initially made a dead-cat-bounce and then priced the Low just above the 1.236 Fibonacci extension. The 1W RSI in particular provides very useful insight on this, as on the first oversold (below 30.00) Low it makes the bounce and then on the second RSI low, which is a Higher Low i.e. a Bullish Divergence, the price bottoms and rebounds long-term.
As a result, with the 1W RSI bouncing on the 30.00 oversold barrier, we expect the price to rebound for a few weeks and then resume the downtrend towards the 1.236 and the bottom of the multi-year Channel Up. Our Target is 97.000.
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USDNOK Very strong buy signal medium-term.The USDNOK has been consistently giving us excellent signals on this 2-year pattern with the last one (July 10, see chart below) being a buy that hit the 11.0000 Target:
This time the pair is again inside the 2-year Higher Lows Zone, while holding Support 1. The previous High was rejected on Resistance 1, so the Triangle may be transitioning into a Rectangle medium-term.
In any case, this low price is a buy opportunity with our Target being slightly below the Lower Highs trend-line at 10.9500.
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USD/JPY Analysis: Support in PlayUSD/JPY is currently trading just above a significant support level.
We could see a potential bounce from here, leading to upward movement.
However, if the price breaks below this support, it might retest the next support level below.
This area is critical, as it could set the stage for the next move. Watch for price action
confirmation to determine the direction.
Gold Analysis: Volatility Contraction Near Support (15 min)Gold is currently hovering just above a support level, with small candles indicating a possible volatility contraction. This signals a potential buildup of tension, where a breakout could be imminent. If the price holds above this support, we could see upward movement. However, a breakdown below the support might trigger a bearish move. Keep an eye on volume and price action for the next big move.
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY)U.S. Dollar Index (DXY)
DXY is sitting at an important KL (Key Level) at around 100.600 . On a bigger timeframe we are still bullish on dollar.
Several factors support Dollar strength:
The Dollar is expected to maintain its strength for some time.
Still, some risks could lead to further appreciation, including Euro area concerns, changes in Chinese currency policy, and how markets interpret US growth prospects.
Interest rates:
With yesterday’s interest rate decisions (50BPS) we saw DXY spike down . We do have to keep in mind if interest rate cuts continue, we might turn bearish on DXY, resulting in less demand in U.S. Dollar and more demand in stocks and gold .
If however, we continue to the upside with DXY, it will confirm our XAUUSD sells that we have given the analysis for.
Keep in mind:
The aim of raising of the Fed's rates is to adjust the inflation level to a target value. Interest rate hike may have a positive effect on dollar quotes, while lowering can be seen as negative for the US dollar.
Happy trading!
FxPocket
DXY "DOLLAR INDEX" Bank Money Heist Plan On Bullish SideBonjour My Dear Robbers / Money Makers & Losers, 🤑 💰
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Note: If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money.
Entry : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Buy Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Swing Low
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FOMC (FED) 50 bps Cut - What's Next???FED cut 50 bps today (as CME FED Watch Tool predicted), but it was one of the closer toss-up probabilities at 55% to 45% odds.
Today's 50 bps leaves room for more to come and the market is anticipating 10 cuts in 11 FOMC meetings out through 2025.
The market's resilience has been impressive, but until the market is satisfied with more "good news" on employment, inflation, and earnings growth...fresh all-time highs and rips may prove elusive in the near term.
Thanks for watching and enjoy the video!!!
U.S. Dollar Index Upward Price Movement Until End of September?Here’s my analysis of the chart: I anticipate an upward movement in the U.S. Dollar Index until the end of September. Please note, this is based solely on time analysis, so the bar charts displayed do not predict future price levels.
The trade is still in its early stages, making it relatively low-risk. However, if the price falls below the current candle (first vertical line), this analysis will no longer be valid.
Let's see how it plays out, but be prepared to reassess if the price action invalidates the analysis.
SpaceIchimoku
XAUUSDXAUUSD . Potential short opportunity.
Our idea is that after the price on XAUUSD has made a new ATH ( All Time High ) we are due for a pullback (at least 50%). Our key level is sitting at 2560 where our entry is, and if broken, we could potentially see lower lows down to our targeted areas 2545 (50% pullback) and 2529 . Stops are set at candle flip as that would result in a reverse which could potentially break previous highs and continue to the upside.
Overall still bullish on XAUUSD .
PARAMETERS
- Entry: 2560
- SL: 2576
- TP1: 2545
- TP2: 2529
KEY NOTES
- The sell would be confirmed after we break the key level 2560.
- If the price breaks our key level 2560 we could expect lower lows and pullbacks.
- TP1 is a 50% pullback on previous upside move.
- Stop is set at the previous candle high.
Happy trading!
FxPocket
GBPUSD: Momentum Waning - Mid-Level Test Expected Soon!A bit late to this one, but if the price moves back above the breakdown area, I’ll consider taking a short position.
There’s significant weakness against the dollar in most pairs. This could be short-lived, but it looks like this one might be rolling over for good, at least down to the mid-level.
A conservative target is 1.2950.
If things go as expected, we could comfortably trade in the 1.27 range within the next week or two.
Sell EURUSD Channel Breakout (FOMC) The EUR/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.1117, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.1076
2nd Support – 1.1051
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 1.1152. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
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Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
Will the US Dollar Index Collapse Below 100? Or Back To 105?The big day has arrived: the first Fed rate cut. The burning question is, will it be 0.25% or 0.5%?
In recent days, the markets have been leaning toward a 0.50% cut. Could this be the catalyst for a breakdown below the critical 100 level in the USDX? Let’s break down the charts and find out.
Looking at the weekly charts, the 100 level has been a solid support zone for several years, briefly dipping below last year in what turned out to be a false breakout within the 100 - 107 range.
I’ve highlighted some key levels on the charts: last year’s low at 99.47, and just below that, the 0.99 mark, which is a key Monthly 0.618% fib level and a strong former resistance turned support (see image below).
Below this level is a significant BUY zone, where the massive 2022 rally began, breaking through 100 and eventually driving the price up to nearly 115.
Considering these key areas, I do suspect we may see a breakdown through the 100 level, but it will likely be met with strong buying pressure at the areas mentioned. This is why, for now, I’m leaning toward the upside for the US dollar.
Zooming into the daily charts, an M pattern is forming at this key support, suggesting that price is gearing up to break through the 100 level.
Additionally, there’s a divergence emerging on the MACD, indicating that although a break below 100 might occur, it could be short-lived. This is why we should be looking for buy setups as the price dips under this level.
Zooming in further to the 6-hour charts, we can see the divergence even more clearly, with the MACD on the verge of a crossover to the upside.
With all of this in mind, a whipsaw move could be on the cards today after the rate decision. I’ll be turning on my TRFX indicator and watching for buy setups on dips under 100 and toward 0.99.
Although the USDX may weaken in the longer term, I fully expect a strong reaction at the levels mentioned, with the price likely to run back up toward the 103-104 area before selling off again.
Let me know your thoughts in the comments below!
AUDUSD Any post-Fed spike will be a great sell opportunity.The AUDUSD pair is once again approaching the 14-month Resistance Zone, following a convincing rebound on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). This Higher Lows rebound resembles the July 06 2023 bounce that priced a Double Top at the top of the Resistance Zone, before collapsing rapidly to new Lows.
Ahead of today's Fed Rate Decision, we will welcome any short-term spike on high volatility to short (up to the top of the Resistance Zone) and target the Support Zone at 0.63750.
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