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DJ FXCM Index

EURUSD - 4H Bearish PhaseEUR/USD recently reached a key daily resistance zone, facing a strong rejection from that level, signaling potential further downside. The pair also lost the critical support zone below 1.11, consolidating under it for the past week. After this consolidation, EUR/USD has completed a pullback to the critical zone, making it technically ready to fall further. This structure offers a solid opportunity for short positions, with a clear rejection from both the daily resistance and the pullback to the previous support-turned-resistance. Fundamentally, the U.S. Dollar has been gaining strength due to rising expectations of continued rate hikes by the Federal Reserve. In contrast, the Euro has weakened amid concerning Eurozone data, reflecting slowing growth and economic challenges. The divergence between the two currencies supports further bearish movement for EUR/USD, especially as the Dollar Index continues to rise. As you can see in the chart, we previously shared a sell position at the 1.1117–1.1122 range. Now, with the technical and fundamental backdrop confirming further downside, this is a good opportunity to sell EUR/USD again, targeting further drops as market conditions remain favorable for the U.S. Dollar.
Short
by Sober_Trading
EURUSD Sell signal confirmed.Last week (September 03, see chart below), we called for a major sell on the EURUSD pair as it closed a strong 1W red candle, almost at the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the 11-month Channel Up: On Friday we got a strong confirmation of this sell signal as it closed in deep red and large wick on top, indicating a reversal of the short-term bounce. Naturally, today's opening to the week is equally bearish and we still expect that to be the first stage of the new Bearish Leg of the Channel Up. We already have set a 1.0900 Target last week, which would make an ideal test of the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), but this week we establish a 2nd one as well at 1.08000. That would be just above Support 1 and the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the Channel Up, almost a -3.95% decline, which since July 2023 and the pair's two major Bearish Legs, has been the minimum % decline we've had. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
Sell Gold (Xau/Usd) H4 ChannelThe XAU/USD pair on the H4 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a Formation of well-defined Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Days. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 2500, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 2440 2nd Support – 2400 Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
15
DXY - HIGHER TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS Here is the expected DXY path for the incoming weeks. We are working with a complex ABC pattern. We are currently in major wave B ( ZIGZAG Pattern ). Zigzag pattern ( 5-3-5 ) is made up of 3 waves: Wave A = 5 waves Wave B = 3 waves Wave C = 5 waves Working with Wave C, we still have subwave 5 in order for major wave B to be completed. What we are looking for now is the completion of subwave 4 around 0.236 and 0.382 Fibonacci levels. Watching the rejection of the 50 EMA to ride the final leg of wave C. Will see price will react at the fib levels and update later.
TVC:DXY
by Tradenessfx
GBPUSD - Short Trade IdeaHello hello, We have a short trade idea on GU for the coming week, anticipating the next 12h candle. I am expecting a move into at least one of the iFVGs on 12h timeframe before a move lower with multiple targets graded by my probability hierarchy. Last week we had NFP which took price to a relatively high level. As is said, "The bodies tell the story and the wicks do the damage". And as usual, during these super high impact news drivers, the wicks can go above and beyond what is normally expected of them. As the bodies are being respectful, I am keen to anticipate the aforementioned trade. There is more imbalances below that I anticipate price will be drawn to, creating more structure on the sub-weekly timeframes in order to move higher, which is still my current overall bias for XXXUSD pairs until price shows me otherwise on the DXY. For now, I will still follow what the PD Arrays are printing. In terms of stoploss, the swing high would be a bit far, but as usual I would be waiting on the lower timeframe for a higher RR trade at least to Target 1. From there I would have to see what PD Arrays are being formed on the lower hourly timeframes. Let's see what happens! - R2F
Short
by Road_2_Funded
Usd rebounced off key S,101.80 is key to clearHello fellow traders , my regular and new friends! Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post. USd could be now technically in a range of 100.6 to 101.6.though i am bearish more on usd. But could be just watching to play within the h4 range. Do check out my recorded video (in trading ideas) for the week to have more explanation in place. Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you! -- Get the right tools and an experienced Guide, you WILL navigate your way out of this "Dangerous Jungle"! -- ********************************************************************* Disclaimers: The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes. *********************************************************************
TVC:DXY
by Shadowing_The_Big_Boys
Sell AUD/USD Bearish Flag The AUD/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Bearish Flag pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 0.6733, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 0.6662 2nd Support – 0.6626 Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 0.6760. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards. Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
14
Fundamental Market Analysis for September 06, 2024 EURUSDAn event to look out for today: 15:30 GMT+3. USD - Unemployment Rate EURUSD: EUR/USD posted a second consecutive day of gains on Thursday, breaking above 1.1100 as markets actively sold off the US Dollar ahead of Friday's highly anticipated US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report. Markets are looking for further signs that the Federal Reserve (Fed) is ready for an initial rate cut and the start of a rate-cutting cycle in September, but US data must continue to soften to keep hopes of a rate cut high. European economic data did not provide additional support for the Euro after July's EU retail sales data fell short of expectations. Annualised retail sales came in worse than expected at -0.1% for the year ended July, falling short of the expected 0.1% uptick compared to a revised previous decline of -0.4%. According to ADP, the US added 99k new jobs in August, down from July's revised 111k and well below the 145k expected. The August ADP figure was the lowest since early 2021, triggering a new round of risk aversion and reigniting investor fears that the US may be heading into recession. The ADP employment report serves as an indicator of what markets can expect from Friday's upcoming US NFP report, although it has a shaky reputation for accuracy. The August NFP report is the last significant employment update before the upcoming Federal Reserve (Fed) meeting on 18 September, when Fed policymakers are expected to begin the rate-cutting cycle. NFP is expected to come in at 160k on Friday, up from 114k the previous month. According to CME data, the betting markets are currently betting on a 40% chance that the Fed will open the door by cutting rates by 50 bps later this month. The remaining 60% are betting on a more modest 25bp rate cut. Investors expect the NFP data released this Friday to gauge the depth of the Fed's first rate cut since its 100bp cut in March 2020. Trading recommendation: Trade predominantly with Buy orders from the current price level
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
DXY Levels to Watch Ahead of NFPLooking at the chart of the US Dollar Index (DXY), the world’s reserve currency remains in a well-defined downtrend despite last week’s bounce. The near-term reaction in the US dollar will likely follow the likelihood of a 25bps rate cut from the Fed (bullish) vs. 50bps rate cut (bearish) as outlined in the chart above, but ultimately, the dominant downtrend and potential for consistent interest rate reductions from the Federal Reserve in the coming year could keep the greenback under pressure as we move through the fall regardless. -MW
TVC:DXY
by FOREXcom
DXY / US DOLLAR INDEX🔍 DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) Analysis: 4-Hour Timeframe 📉 The DXY chart on a 4-hour timeframe highlights significant upcoming times where price movements may present trading opportunities. It’s essential to analyze these signals in conjunction with higher timeframes for a comprehensive market view. • BUY DATE - September 12, 2024, 04:00 - Green Line: This time indicates a potential local low, offering favorable conditions for accumulating DXY or entering long positions. • BUY DATE - September 19, 2024, 00:00 - Green Line: Another potential local low, suggesting favorable conditions for buying. • BUY DATE - October 7, 2024, 06:00 - Green Line: This time marks another potential local low, indicating favorable conditions to enter long positions. When working with this 4-hour timeframe, remember to evaluate these movements within the context of the broader market trend, considering higher timeframes for a more global perspective. Note: The exact timing of these phases can vary by +/- a few hours. All times are based on UTC-7 (Los Angeles).
TVC:DXYShort
by trushkovskiy
NZDUSD Strong sell opportunity.The NZDUSD pair gave us last time (June 26, see chart below) a solid sell signal, even though the Target just fell short of being hit: The price is giving yet again a sell signal as not only it fulfilled the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level and got rejected but also the 1D RSI hit and got rejected exactly on the 70.00 overbought barrier, which is where all tops since late 2022 have been priced. As a result, we expect the pair to initially hit at least 0.6000 towards the end of this month. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
NVIDIA BUY ZONES ACTIVE ?As posted before after the earnings report we’ve seen the stock drop from 127 to 105 after a blowout report. Here’s my current idea of a scenario 1. NVDA Settles around the price of $111 & $100 before US DATA Thursday and Friday 2. NVDA buy opportunities towards $125-$140 or above 3. Stocks can rise on a worst than expected US Data, propelling the index market to all time highs as well as gold. This current correction phase is healthy, and needed. 4. NVDA can form a double top resistance at $138-$141 sending the stock into more selling power. Consequently to a price of $90-$50. Waiting for a bounce between this area. Until new points of possible AI is found and chips are being sold at a higher volume. This can be the EOY stock price. Overall whoever wins presidency will have a significant impact on AI markets. This is a prediction. Good luck to all!
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by R2CTrading
Short on EUR/USD – 30-Minute Timeframe We’re taking a short position on EUR/USD on the 30-minute timeframe, driven by the strength of the U.S. dollar. The recent price action indicates a continuation of the downtrend, providing an opportunity to capitalize on the bearish momentum. Key Levels: • Entry: Initiated after confirming the strong dollar trend and the break of key support levels on the chart. • Target: Aiming for lower support zones as indicated on the chart, where price may find temporary relief or consolidation. • Stop-Loss: Placed above the recent high to manage risk and protect against a potential reversal. Rationale: The U.S. dollar continues to show strength, applying pressure on the euro. This trade is aligned with the broader market trend, which favors further downside for the EUR/USD pair. The technical setup, supported by the prevailing macroeconomic factors, suggests that the downtrend is likely to persist in the near term. Risk Management: To manage risk effectively, the stop-loss is set above the recent high, ensuring that potential losses are limited while allowing for the possibility of continued downward movement. Monitor the trade closely and adjust as needed based on market developments. Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
Short
by AR33_
1
Awaited Dollar Rebound, Too Expensive FrancCHF - Market Internals - SNB doesn't like it high USD - Strong GDP data. Claims were released slightly below the cons.; ISM PMI positive expectations - Oversold dollar due to exaggerated cut expectations - Bullish CFTC Technical & Other Setup: TR(B) Setup timeframe: 4h Trigger: 1h Medium-term: Down Long-term: Down Min target: Local mirror level, 3R Risk: 0.22%; 1R * 1st entry 0.5R near the down band of the local range (buy limit); 2nd 0.5R when 1h closed above DMA(10)
Long
by Cherry94
US indeces pre market TuesdayHere's a breakdown of why the S&P 500 might drop to the next green zone based on the technical analysis depicted in the chart: 1. Resistance Zone (Upper Red Box) The chart highlights a resistance zone near the top, marked by a red box. This zone represents a price level where the S&P 500 has struggled to move higher and has reversed several times in the past. The price has recently touched this resistance zone and failed to break through it, indicating that selling pressure is stronger at this level. 2. Support Zone (Lower Green Box) The green box at the bottom represents a support zone, which is a price level where the index has previously found buying interest and reversed upward. The chart suggests that the price could potentially drop back to this support zone if the current downtrend continues. 3. Recent Price Action The price action within the last few candlesticks shows a downward movement after touching the resistance zone, which is depicted by the downward arrow. This suggests that sellers have taken control, and the price is likely to continue moving lower. 4. Breakdown of Support Levels The price appears to be breaking down through minor support levels (smaller green zones within the red box), which could indicate that the market is losing bullish momentum and could head towards the lower support zone. 5. Trading Setup The chart suggests a short (sell) trade setup, where the expected movement is for the price to drop towards the lower green zone. The green arrow indicates the anticipated direction of the price movement, while the red and green shaded areas likely represent the stop-loss and take-profit levels, respectively. Conclusion Based on the chart's technical analysis, the S&P 500 is expected to decline to the next green support zone due to the strong resistance at the current level, recent bearish price action, and the potential breakdown of intermediate support levels. If the price reaches the lower green zone, it might find support and possibly reverse, but until then, the outlook is bearish.
VANTAGE:SP500FTShort
by Elite_Forex
DXY - US Dollar Strengthens Above 101.70 Market AnalysisThe US Dollar Index (DXY) is showing renewed strength, climbing above the 101.70 mark after a relatively flat Monday. This move extends the momentum from last week, where the DXY gained over 1%. As the market braces for key labor data later this week, all eyes are on the August jobs report, set to be released on Friday. This report is expected to reveal a solid increase in Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP), which could provide further support to the US Dollar. Technical Analysis: Reversal from Key Demand Area From a technical standpoint, the DXY has already exhibited a significant reversal from a key Demand area around 100.535. As forecasted, the price rebounded from the 100.515 level, confirming the strength of this support zone. This reversal was anticipated based on previous analysis, and it has played out as expected, setting the stage for the current bullish momentum. Sentiment and Seasonal Trends Support a Bullish Outlook The Commitments of Traders (COT) report adds an interesting layer to the analysis, showing that retail traders are aggressively short on the US Dollar. This aggressive short positioning often acts as a contrarian indicator, suggesting that there might be further upside potential for the DXY. Additionally, seasonal trends are aligning with a possible bullish rally in the US Dollar. Historically, this period has seen increased demand for the USD, and the current setup appears to be following that pattern. When combining the COT data with the technical bounce from the Demand area, the outlook for the US Dollar remains positive. Conclusion: A Confluence of Factors Supporting USD Strength The DXY's move above 101.70 is supported by a confluence of technical and sentiment factors. The reversal from the Demand area, coupled with the contrarian signal from the COT report and favorable seasonality, all point towards a continued increase in the value of the US Dollar. As the market awaits the crucial NFP report on Friday, the stage is set for potential further gains in the DXY, reinforcing our bullish outlook for the US Dollar. Previous Forecast ✅ Please share your thoughts about USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
TVC:DXYLong
by FOREXN1
1