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GBP/USD : Key Levels and Trading Strategies for Upcoming Moves📅 Let's get into today's analysis. I've decided to focus more on Forex analyses, and today we're analyzing the GBP/USD pair with the main timeframe being weekly. I'll be looking at the chart solely from a technical analysis perspective. 🔍 In the weekly timeframe, as you can see, after breaking the 1.31915 resistance level, bullish momentum entered the market, and we managed to move up to the 1.42385 resistance level. After this sharp upward movement, the market entered a correction phase and corrected down to 1.20670. Currently, the price is ranging between the 0.382 Fibonacci level and the 1.31915 resistance. I believe that until the SMA99 reaches the price, new bullish momentum could enter the market, and you can confirm this momentum by a break above 1.31915. If the candle closes below the 0.382 Fibonacci level, we might move down to the Golden Zone of Fibonacci, which lies between 0.5 and 0.618. 🧩 There is also a minor trend line that the price has reacted to three times so far, which could be a key determinant for future price movements. 🧲 Regarding the SMA99, it has the property of creating significant distances when the market is trending. However, it eventually acts like a black hole, pulling the price towards it. This is happening after the rejection at 1.42385, and I believe the price will range until it meets the SMA99. Additionally, this SMA acts as a support and resistance level, potentially supporting the price once it reaches it and pushing the price upward. 📈 For a long position on the weekly timeframe, it seems appropriate to wait for a break of the trend line and a confirmation above the 1.31915 area. The target for this move, based on Fibonacci extension, could be 1.42385. However, this target is quite high, and if the price aims to reach it, it will likely be a long-term move. 📉 For a short position, breaking below 1.20670 serves as a good trigger. If the price stabilizes below this level, it might move down to the area between 0.5 and 0.618 Fibonacci levels. This position is quite risky as the High Wave Cycle for GBP/USD is bullish, and this move in the Low Wave Cycle could be filled with noise. 📈 For shorter-term positions, it's better to look at the 4-hour timeframe. In this timeframe, we have a long-term range box and a significant support area at the 0.382 Fibonacci level on the weekly chart. There’s no need to extend the analysis here; I’ll just discuss the entry triggers. 📈 For long positions, we have three different triggers. The first trigger is at 1.2776, which is the riskiest one with a target of 1.31915. The next trigger is at 1.31915 with a target of 1.42385. The final trigger is at 1.42385. 📉 For short positions, there's a very risky position with a trigger at 1.2615, and the second trigger is the break of the support area. ♟ Now, let me explain how I personally trade with each trigger. For the long trigger at 1.2776, I open positions in lower timeframes such as the 1-hour chart and set a small stop loss to quickly reach a risk-reward ratio of 2, which is my first target, with minimal risk. For the 1.31915 trigger, I open a position with normal risk and a regular stop loss size. For the 1.42385 trigger, I open a position with a larger stop loss because the trigger is at an all-time high (ATH) and represents a very strong supply zone. For short positions, I do not open any until the price stabilizes below the support area. 📝 In summary, GBP/USD is currently in a ranging phase between the 0.382 Fibonacci level and the 1.31915 resistance level. Depending on the break above 1.31915 or below 1.20670, there are opportunities for long or short positions, respectively. For those trading in shorter timeframes, key entry triggers and careful risk management are essential to navigate the market effectively. 🧠💼 Always remember the inherent risks in Forex trading, with the potential for margin calls if risk management is neglected. Stick to strict capital management principles and use stop-loss orders, ensuring an initial target with a risk-to-reward ratio of 2. 🫶 If you found this analysis helpful and want to support me, please boost this analysis. Feel free to leave a comment or suggest a pair you'd like me to analyze next.
by itsparham96
5
Buy GBPUSD Wedge BreakoutThe GBP/USD pair on the H1 timeframe presents a potential Buying opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Wedge pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the Upside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Buy Entry: Consider entering a Long position around the current price of 1.2660, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.2737 2nd Support – 1.2803 Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below 1.2600. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards. Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
25
XAUUSD daily analysis 03/07/2024our yesterdays analysis on xauuad was perfect and all our signals hit take profit. today the market is going to have various news and these news are going to put market in volatility. ▶️Long positions above 2319.00 with targets at 2337.00, 2348 2355 2362 2376 2385 ▶️Below 2319.00 look for further downside with 2311.00 , 2306 2296 2288 2282 Supports and resistances 2355.00 2348.00 2337.00 2332.00 2319.00 2311.00 2306.0 more detailed analysis will be posted soon BOOST US AND FOLLOW US
OANDA:XAUUSD
by realmillionairefx
July Economic Calendar - IMPORTANT EventsIt’s going to be a busy month for the Chair of the Fed (Jerome Powell), who delivers a speech today and then will testify later this month in front of Congress to provide updates on monetary policy decisions. Will we gain clarity on the timing of potential rate cuts this year, and if they are even being considered? Crypto in June - How BTC responds June saw significant volatility across the crypto market. Bitcoin fluctuated between price highs above $70,000 and lows of around $60,000, with substantial movement around 4 June when Bitcoin peaked above $71,000, before declining on 6 June and continuing a downward trend and falling to levels last seen in May. ETH and altcoins followed along, with Ethereum down approximately 11% in June . Pulling it back to the US markets, some analysts argue that the fluctuations was largely driven by uncertainty surrounding inflation data. The drop to $60k could likely be due to the reducing likelihood of multiple interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve Bank this year, contrary to earlier investor anticipations (causing hesitation and a cautious approach). Upcoming Events that could Affect Markets: ❗ Tuesday, 2 July 📢 Jerome Powell speech Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell will provide an economic overview today, outlining current monetary policies. He will answers questions and the outcome of this speech can significantly impact financial markets and investor sentiment. ❗Wednesday, 3 July 📢 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) The upcoming FOMC minutes are expected to provide more details on the Federal Reserve's decision to keep interest rates unchanged, and its revised economic projections. Key points could include the reasons behind the more hawkish stance on rate cuts, and the implications of updated forecasts for unemployment and inflation. ❗Friday, 5 July📢 US Unemployment Rate The US unemployment rate is a key indicator of economic health, influencing consumer spending, corporate profits and the social sentiment. During May the US jobs sector added 272,000 jobs, further casting doubt on the rate cuts in the US this year. ❗Tuesday, 9 July 📢 Fed Chair Powell testimony Jerome Powell is set to discuss the state of the economy, monetary policy decisions, and also outline future policy intentions in his twice-a-year testimony in front of Congress. ❗Thursday, 11 July 📢 US Inflation Figures The year-on-year and month-on-month inflation numbers provide crucial insights into purchasing power trends, influencing market expectations for interest rates and the overall economic outlook. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) climbed 0.2% in May, the smallest advance in core CPI since October 2023. Take extra caution when over the next few weeks as volatility will be likely depending on the outcome of these events. _______________________ ECONOMICS:USINTR FRED:UNRATE ECONOMICS:USIRYY
FRED:SP500
by CryptoCheck-
Sell EUR/USD Channel BreakoutThe EUR/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Bearish Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.0732, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.0699 2nd Support – 1.0675 Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 1.0760. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards. Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
16
DXY AH DXY you say and speak bullish to me all day long and the market is beautifully reacting to your strength I look forward to the next 6 months being bullish for you DXY. You're currently testing what I like to call a decision-making ZONE one that will determine many many factors for us traders in the market. Are we going up or down? Fellow traders let me know what you think! Like & Comment! Don't forget to follow let's stay in touch and collaborate in the markets together!
TVC:DXYLong
by ParlayProfitsFX
GOLD - Higher Timeframe Overview... BIG Moves Coming!Elliott Wave Theory adheres to the following schematic regarding impulsive moves: Wave 1 - is made up of 5 subwaves (impulse or leading diagonal) Wave 2 - Is a corrective wave made up of 3 waves (correction) Wave 3 - is another impulse wave made up of 5 subwaves (impulse) Wave 4 - is a corrective wave made up of 3 waves (correction) Wave 5 - Can be either an impulse or a correction - But its made up of 5 waves Monthly Using the above schematic, we can see that on the monthly timeframe we appear to be in wave 3 = made out of 5 subwaves. We are currently in subwave 5, which also follows the impulsive schematic (has 5 waves). See below for monthly chart and the cheat sheet where we've identified where we are in the monthly EW schematic: Weekly On the weekly chart, we are in wave 3, subwave 4 correction. We're watching for the completion of wave 4 within the fib zone, where we'll be looking to buy. We're still a few weeks away from the buy zone so we will be looking for lower timeframe short setups to take Gold down into our buy zone where we'll be looking to load up for the next big swing! See our last higher timeframe analysis below. Played out beautifully! The last time we identified a big swing on a higher timeframe, we absolutely killed it on lower timeframe and caught almost every single wave! See below: What do you guys think? Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by WicktatorFX
6
Euro Rises After French Election; Yen Struggles Near 38-Year LowThe euro gained on Monday after France's snap election put the far-right in the lead, albeit with a smaller margin than expected. Marine Le Pen's National Rally performed worse than anticipated, easing fears of expansionary fiscal policies. The euro rose 0.4% to $1.0756, while the yen struggled near a 38-year low. The dollar index fell as U.S. inflation data bolstered expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut. Other currencies, including sterling and the New Zealand dollar, saw modest gains.
Long
by signalmastermind
EURUSD Is it a sell after the French far-right election win?Highly important fundamentals yesterday for EUR as the first round of elections in France ended with a significant win of the far-right wing party. Even though that's not economic news, the election results of the 2nd biggest E.U. economy, certainly have the weight to affect the largest forex pair in the world. Mainstream economists have historically shown their preference when more stable, center parties are in governance, and certainly would like to avoid the instability that comes with a far-right party and its policies. That alone is a big factor that would call for (at least) a short-term sell on this pair. That fundamental approach happens this time to come in complete agreement with the technical one. The pair is still forming the new Bearish Leg of the 6-month Channel Down and as we explained on our June 04 analysis (see chart below), our conservative Target is still 1.06040: On top of that, today's High hit the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time in more than 2 weeks. As you can see, the symmetry between the Channel's 3 Bearish Legs (including the current one) is high and it appears that the pair has fulfilled the +1.12% counter-trend bounce that has happened on all Legs after an initial -2.30% decline. The previous one went as high as +1.50% (April 09), so there is still some small room for rejection. Technically the new Lower Low can be as low as 1.0500 (-4.00%) but it is advisable to always book profits when the 1D RSI touches the 30.00 oversold barrier. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
1
USD firm with decision from FedMarkets are awaiting a release of crucial US Final GDP data today, which is expected to tick up from an annualized rate of 1.3% to 1.4%. A meaningfully higher or lower number might change expectations of when the Fed will begin rate cuts. According to the CME FedWatch tool, the next rate hike is expected in September this year. In the Forex market, the Australian Dollar is the strongest major currency since the Tokyo open, while the US Dollar is the weakest. However, it is worth noting that the US Dollar remains within a valid long-term bullish trend. US New Home Sales data came in just a fraction below expectations yesterday. The Governor of the Bank of England will be holding a press conference about the Financial Stability Report today. There will be releases of Unemployment Claims and Pending Home Sales later today in the USA. The USD price is still on the rise and solid when information about future bond interest rates increases. However, we do not rule out the case that the Fed will reduce inflation to stimulate employment and strengthen the economy. international
TVC:DXYLong
by MrTrongVo
usd still bias on the upsideHello fellow traders , my regular and new friends! Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post. I am in general still bias on upside for USD but do note that it is coming to a key rejection zone on the weekly chart..but shall monitor till something really changed... Do check out my recorded video (in trading ideas) for the week to have more explanation in place. Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you! -- Get the right tools and an experienced Guide, you WILL navigate your way out of this "Dangerous Jungle"! -- ********************************************************************* Disclaimers: The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes. *********************************************************************
TVC:DXYLong
by Shadowing_The_Big_Boys
DXY: an indicator to forecast Bitcoin’s directionJust like USDT Dominance, US Dollar Index (DXY) has a somewhat inverse correlation with Bitcoin's direction. If we look at the DXY historically, whenever the DXY was in a downtrend or sideways movement, Bitcoin was in an uptrend. Also, whenever the DXY was in an uptrend, Bitcoin was in a downtrend. Simply put, if the DXY goes up, that means the U.S. dollar is gaining strength or value when compared to other assets and currencies. So, people/traders tend to hold the U.S. dollar instead of, say, Bitcoin. And when DXY goes down, that means the U.S. dollar is depreciating in value, so people/traders tend to hold other assets like Bitcoin or Gold.
TVC:DXY
by SaeedSalehinia
USD/JPY Sell Call Investors FAQ is providing the best analyticsGot it! Here’s the updated content reflecting that Investors FAQ is providing the best analytics: Forex Signal: USD/JPY Sell Call Entry Price: 160.860 Take Profit Levels: T1: 160.460 (40 pips) T2: 160.060 (80 pips) T3: 159.600 (126 pips) Stop Loss: 161.860 (100 pips) Short Description The USD/JPY pair is currently exhibiting bearish tendencies, suggesting a potential downtrend. The entry point for this sell call is set at 160.860, with three take profit levels strategically placed to maximize potential gains: T1:At 160.460, this level is 40 pips below the entry, offering a moderate profit target for short-term traders. T2: At 160.060, this level is 80 pips below the entry, providing a more substantial profit target for those looking to hold their position longer. T3: At 159.600, this final target is 126 pips below the entry, aimed at capturing significant market movement for maximum profit. Risk Management The stop loss is set at 161.860, 100 pips above the entry price, to protect against adverse market movements. This ensures that potential losses are minimized while allowing room for the trade to develop. Market Sentiment Current market analysis indicates a weakening in the USD against the JPY, making this a favorable opportunity for a sell position. Keep an eye on economic indicators and market news that could impact the USD/JPY pair. Investors FAQ: Providing the Best Analytics Investors FAQ is committed to providing top-tier analytics and signals for forex trading. Our comprehensive market analysis and carefully curated signals are designed to help traders make informed decisions and maximize their trading potential. Risk Disclaimer Trading in forex and commodities carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to invest in forex or commodities, you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. There is a possibility that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with forex and commodity trading and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you have any doubts. --- Please ensure you follow your risk management strategies when using this signal. Happy trading!
Short
by Investors_Faq
Assessing Forex Dynamics: EUR/USD Analysis📅 Let's dive into today's analysis. We're focusing on the EUR/USD pair, which shows the value of the Euro against the US Dollar. This analysis will help us understand whether the US or European economy is stronger. 🧩 To better compare these currencies, it's helpful to also consider the DXY chart. For a full DXY analysis, you can find the link in the description. In that analysis, I mentioned that the DXY is likely to trend downward in the long term because the interest rate has reached 5.5%, which is quite high. The US might soon need to start lowering interest rates. However, since the inflation target in the US is 2%, the interest rate could reach 6% to control the current 3.3% inflation and bring it down to 2%. 💶 On the other hand, the economic situation in Europe is better than in the US, with both better interest rates and lower inflation. The average interest rate in Europe is 3.75%, and the average inflation rate is 2.4%. So, if the US eventually begins to lower its interest rate, the EUR/USD could start moving upwards. 🔍 Let's look at the chart. In the weekly timeframe, we see a downtrend in the High Wave Cycle, which is currently undergoing a correction up to 0.618. In the Medium Wave Cycle, within the downtrend correction, there's an uptrend that, after reaching 0.618 of our larger cycle, entered a correction phase down to 0.5. Currently, in the Low Wave Cycle, we are ranging, and we need to see whether the HWC or MWC will dominate to determine the next market move. 🧲 In the LWC, there's also a descending trendline that has brought the price down to the middle of the range box, and now the price is at 1.06245. This trendline could start a bearish momentum, but since it formed within a range box, it's unreliable. 📉 If 1.06245 is broken, the price could move down to 1.05195. A break of 106.723 in the DXY could confirm this breakdown. If the 0.5 area, which overlaps with 1.05195, is broken, the price could move to at least the 0.618 Fibonacci level. However, since the HWC is bearish, the downtrend might be much more significant. 📈 If the trendline is broken to the upside, after the trigger, we can expect the price to move to the top of the range box. In the DXY, a break of 104.5 could be suitable for confirmation. The main long trigger is 1.10464. The first barrier for the price is 1.12015, overlapping with the 0.618 level, which might hold the price for a few weeks. But if this area is surpassed, the price could move to 1.16558. 🎲 Moving to the daily timeframe, there's a gently sloping ascending trendline supporting the price, and a compression has formed in recent days. There's a hidden static line, not immediately apparent, but I've marked it in black on the chart. 📈 For a long position, we can enter riskily upon breaking 1.07370, but as I mentioned, it's a risky position, so the risk taken should be less than usual. The next long trigger is 1.09023, and if this trigger breaks, we can move to 1.11055. The final long trigger is the break of the range box top at 1.11055. 📉 For a short position, we first need to wait for the ascending trendline to break and then for 1.06687 to break. In this case, we can move to 1.06136, the main trigger for breaking the trend. Breaking this support can take us to the bottom of the range box. The third short trigger is breaking the bottom of the range box at 1.04610. 📝In conclusion, the EUR/USD pair is at a crucial juncture with potential for both upward and downward movements depending on key trigger levels. Keep an eye on economic indicators from both the US and Europe, and use strict risk management strategies to navigate the market. 🧠💼 Always remember the inherent risks in forex trading. Adhere to strict capital management principles, use stop-loss orders, and aim for an initial target with a risk-to-reward ratio of at least 2. 🫶 If you found this analysis helpful and want to support me, please boost this analysis. Feel free to leave a comment or suggest a currency pair you'd like me to analyze next.
Long
by itsparham96
4