Dollar Index (DXY): Bullish Trend Continuation Pattern
I see a nice bullish pattern on an hourly time frame on Dollar Index.
After the price set a new higher high, the market started a correctional
movement within the expanding channel.
Such a channel is called a bullish flag pattern.
Bullish breakout of the resistance of the flag is a strong bullish
trend-following signal that indicates the strength of the buyers.
With a high probability, the market will keep growing.
Next resistance - 106.25
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DJ FXCM Index
Sell EUR/USD Bearish ChannelThe EUR/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a well-defined Bearish Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.0700, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.0653
2nd Support – 1.0634
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 1.0730. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Thank you.
AUD/USD - H1 Chart - Wedge BreakoutThe AUD/USD FX:AUDUSD pair on the H1 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Wedge pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 0.6644, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 0.6611
2nd Support – 0.6590
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 0.6663. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Thank you.
Sell GBP/USD Channel BreakoutThe GBP/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.2675, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.2635
2nd Support – 1.2610
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 1.2703. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Thank you.
IS DOLLAR ABOUT TO REVERSE? USDJPYI am accumulating shorts on USDJPY from weeks, and I am honestly in a deep loss. Am I worried? No. Swing trades need time to reach the target and an I know dollar is about to reverse. The chart looks almost ready to reverse. I do not exclude we could see another short squeeze before a huge drop. I have a target around 158.00 and my second target at 151.00
USDMXN Major long-term bullish break-out after 4 years!The USDMXN pair broke above the 4-year Falling Wedge and so far stopped the rise just before it tested the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line). The last time the pair had a similar long-term bullish break-out was on the August 01 11 break-out.
Following a 5-week consolidation, the price then extended the aggressive rise marginally above the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level. As a result, we expect another strong bullish wave soon, and our Target is 21.6500 (exactly on the 0.618 Fib).
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Dollar Index (DXY): Bullish Trend Continues
Dollar Index set a new local higher high higher close
on a daily time frame yesterday, violating a key daily horizontal resistance.
With a high probability, the broken structure and a rising trend line
compose a demand zone now.
The market will most likely keep growing.
Next resistance - 106.3
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XAU/USD (Gold) Bearish ChannelThe XAU/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent formation well-defined Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 2321, positioned close to the top level of channel. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 2296
2nd Support – 2281
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 2340. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
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EurUsd buyAs EURUSD is continuously moving downward and now we are seeing that the pair has been reached to its H4 strong support level and the price action is also showing us potential buy side entry but we wait until the brak of daily trendline which if breaks and a pfice action candle shows up we will enter buy in this pair over 1:4 R:R
USDJPY buyUS dollar vs Japanese Yen as we can in our chart the is pair is moving in a channel and we are seeing a potential buy side move keeping in view this situation we uphold that the pair can reach to the 162.450 level and then may be rejected from this level because of its historical significance and also the level is formed over weekly time frame and market has been rejected historically two times from this significant level if market is not rejected from this resistance level and breaks this level then it could reach Monthly Resistance level so keep watching the market
USDRUB Long-term bearish continuation confirmed.The USDRUB pair has confirmed the transition from a 2-year long-term bullish trend to a bearish one, after closing below the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). The technical pattern that prevailed is a Channel Down, which last week almost touched the 1W MA100 (green trend-line), a level intact since February 06 2023, and instantly rebounded closing the 1W candle almost flat.
The last two times that the pair traded within a Channel Down pattern that hit the 1W MA100 was in 2021 and 2019 as shown on your chart. In both cases, the downtrend didn't stop on the 1W MA100 but extended to the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line), in 2019 it got hit, in 2021 almost.
As a result, we think this is the most optimal level to sell this pair again, and target 80.500 (just above the 1W MA200).
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NZDUSD Is this 1D Golden Cross a bearish signal?The NZDUSD pair has been trading within a Channel Down on the 1D time-frame since the February 02 2023 High. The price almost reached the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, which has formed both previous Lower Highs.
As the pair completed a 1D Golden Cross today, traders might immediately think that this is a bullish signal, as theory suggests but in the past 18 months, both previous Golden Crosses have formed the Top.
At the same time, the 1D RSI completed a Double Top, similar to the December 27 2023 Top. As a result, we have strong evidence to sell this pair again, and target 0.57750 (Support 1).
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USDSEK Under both major MAs. Sell opportunity.The USDSEK pair is consolidating below both the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). This is half-way through the new Bearish Leg of the 1.5 year Channel Down, with the recent Top in May being formed on the 0.786 Fibonacci, just like the previous Lower High (November 01 2023).
The current consolidation resembles that of November - December 2023, which eventually bottomed on the 1.382 Fibonacci extension. As a result, we expect the price to resume the bearish leg soon and our Target is 10.000 (Fib 1.382).
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USDCHF: Detailed Support & Resistance Analysis 🇺🇸🇨🇭
Here is my latest structure analysis for USDCHF.
Vertical Structures
Vertical Resistance 1: Falling trend line
Vertical Support 1: Falling trend line
Horizontal Structures
Support 1: 0.882 - 0.884 area
Support 2: 0.872 - 0.875 area
Resistance 1: 0.898 - 0.902 area
Resistance 2: 0.908 - 0.911 area
Resistance 3: 0.915 - 0.916 area
Resistance 4: 0.919 - 0.922 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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Buy Silver (XAG/USD) Triangle BreakoutThe XAG/USD OANDA:XAGUSD pair on the M15 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position Above The Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 29.53
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 30.08
2nd Resistance – 30.47
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below 29.30. This helps limit potential losses if the price falls back unexpectedly.
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USD INDEX DXYLast one week we have seen a serious upward rise in us dollar index based on various positive and negative events happened. the us market and dollar is being controlled by various turbulent economic and geopolitical situations.
In geopolitical aspects if israel hisbullah issue may bring usa into full on war support to israel against hisbullah in lebanon then the us dollar will fall drastically like hell.
on the financial end if us treasury bonds moves good and new financial policies enacted the dollar will get more boost,
but we expect a retracement of usd dollar index either from 105.57 area or from 105.88 area.
if both these areas are breached then gold will fly to an area of 106.40
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EURUSD Moment of truth for the long-term.The EURUSD pair has started the week on a very positive note as it is already on +0.40% gains. The underlying pattern remains a Channel Down since since the December 25 2023 High and we have been on its latest Bearish Leg since the June 03 Lower High.
The important dynamic recently has been the fact that the pair held and closed above the 1W MA100 (green trend-line) on both last 2 weeks. This is a key Support level as the pair hasn't closed a 1W candle below it since October 23 2023.
As a result, today's rise has two reasons to be a technical retrace within a longer term bearish pattern. The price action f the past 2 years has shown that only when the 1W RSI closes above its MA (yellow trend-line), do we have very strong probabilities of sustaining a bullish trend.
It is therefore easy to understand that as the 1W RSI has come only a few points away from its MA, this week becomes crucial for the EURUSD pair. Until it breaks it, we will stay bearish, targeting 1.06040 (Support level and previous Lower Low).
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oil crudewe anticipate a long term buy for crude oil based on the following analysis of crude oil which is an amalgamation of both fundamental technical analysis.
WTI crude oil continues its upward trajectory, with hourly prices testing the upper bounds of the ascending channel. If the short-term ceiling holds, prices could still experience a rapid pullback.
The 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level stands at $80.02, with larger pullbacks potentially reaching the 50% level at $79.51, followed by the 61.8% level at $78.99 near the channel bottom and the 200-day SMA dynamic inflection point.
The stochastic oscillator dropping from overbought territory indicates rising selling pressure, with room for oscillators to decline further before reflecting bearish exhaustion, which suggests that the correction could persist until such exhaustion is observed.
The RSI is also trending downward, indicating that crude oil prices may follow suit until oversold conditions are met and oscillators rebound.
However, the overall structure shows the 100 SMA above the 200 SMA, confirming that the path of least resistance remains upward, or that support levels are more likely to hold than break. In this scenario, oil prices may continue to rise toward the swing highs around $81.69 or higher. In terms of trading strategy, it is recommended to buy the dips.
ENTRY ; 80.00
tp 85
sl 78.80
risk reward ratio ; 120;500 (approximately 5 times more reward).
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Dollar Index (DXY): The Market May Go Higher!
Friday's fundamentals were very bullish for Dollar Index.
The market formed a strong bullish candle on a daily and reached a key horizontal resistance.
Next week, wait for a bullish breakout of 105.56 resistance and a daily candle close above that.
It will be an important sign of strength of the buyers.
The market will most likely keep growing then to 106.0 level.
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