EURUSD: Bearish reversal if the 1D MA50 breaks.EURUSD is on the lower levels of neutrality on the 1D timeframe (RSI = 46.772, MACD = 0.003, ADX = 17.817) as it reversed aggressively on the 1.12100 R1 level, forming what is so far a DT (double top) on a 1month 1D RSI bearish divergence. The same divergence was formed on the December 28th 2024 HH and it caused a decline to the 0.618 Fibonacci level. The trigger point to sell is always the 1D MA50. Consequently, we will turn bearish if it is crossed, aiming at the 0.618 Fib (TP = 1.08350).
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DJ FXCM Index
NVDA BOOM!?As posted in recent weeks, NVDA’s stock price continues to move higher after bottoming out in the lower $100 range. This was a liquify grab meant to shake out weak hands. We broke through the price of $126 this past week, and then dropped lower to $120 support. I believe now is the time to buy NVDA with an overall target goal of $138 or higher.
This is just a prediction. Good luck!
USDCAD: Sell signalUSDCAD is almost neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 44.464, MACD = -0.002, ADX = 19.851) as it rebounded on August's low. This is a similar price action to the April-May 2023 sequence and as long as the 1D MA50 contains the price under it, we will be bearish. Our Target is just over the S1 Zone (TP = 1.32500).
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AUDUSD: Top of Megaphone hit. Reversal expected.AUDUSD is almost overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 68.054, MACD = 0.006, ADX = 53.204) as the price reached the HH trendline at the top of the Megaphone pattern. The 1D MACD printed a sequence almost identical to the December 28th 2023 top, which soon after declined to the 0.5 Fibonacci level. Consequently, we take this as a strong sell signal, aiming at the 0.5 Fib (TP = 0.66500).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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A Long Trade I am in from a couple of Hours Ago. USD CNH
This trade has only just poked through the bearish Icimocku cloud which would be a sort of breakout trade if you want to take it.
A lot of traders buying the USD today. Maybe a sign of the times ahead when a flight to safety may still be the good ol' USD Greenback.
I am Long in several USD currency trades for 2 reasons. For example, USD CNH huge rr trade potentially and its a flight to safety if the stock market gets rough I am already parked there with a lot of my cash
EURUSD Bullish continuation of the Channel Up.The EURUSD pair is defying the Double Top selling pressure of the 1.12100 Resistance and it appears that there are high probabilities of extending the Bullish Leg of the June's Channel Up.
With the support of the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) that contained the September 11 pull-back, the trend may be targeting the pattern's top for a new Higher High. It appears that so far there is high symmetry between the July - August 2024 Leg and October - November 2023 trend (both +4.99% rises), so the current uptrend may be of around +3.85%, similar to the one of December 2023.
As a result, with the 1D MACD also on a Bullish Cross, we are targeting 1.13500 for a Higher High.
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$DXY US DOLLAR BULLISH **BIG BOYS BIAS (CFTC COT INDEX REPORT)
>Commercials - Extremely Bullish
>Retailers - Extremely Bearish (Always Wrong)
>Fund Managers are in-trend with the price chart (Trend Followers)
**USD Valuation Against EURO
>We are still in at the Overbought region
Others:
>Price already took the Daily Demand Zone, price is now accumulating and the catalyst for the BULLISH move could be the US FED news and the EURO Inflation Rate news release on Monday.
***As always, trade safe and make sure to do your due diligence when analyzing the charts.***
Gold XAU/USD Rejection from Resistance with Potential RebounceOn the 15-minute chart, Gold is currently facing rejection from a key resistance level. If the price retraces back to the support level, there is potential for a rebound. This support has previously acted as a strong zone, and we could see a bounce if it holds again. However, it’s important to watch for confirmation signals before entering a position, as a break below this support could invalidate the bullish scenario.
AUD/USD - Potential Rebound from Support on 15-Minute ChartOn the 15-minute chart, if AUD/USD pulls back to the current support level, there’s a strong possibility of a rebound. This support has held well in previous sessions, and a bounce from this zone could signal a bullish move. However, it’s important to watch for confirmation with bullish candlestick patterns or volume increase before considering entry. A break below this support would invalidate the bullish outlook.
USDJPY - Testing Support Level, Potential for a ReboundUSDJPY has arrived at a significant support zone and is currently retesting this level. While the support seems to be holding for now, the market sentiment still appears cautious. If we see further confirmation of a bounce, such as bullish candlestick patterns or increasing volume, there could be potential for upward movement. However, it's important to monitor the price action closely, as a breakdown below this level could invalidate the bullish outlook.
Usd still not given clear direction on higher TimeframeHello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post.
Right at the low of 2023 Jan,want to break but not breaking the last FOMC lows...only to play the whips so far...not clear direction..hopefully NFP give some clear indication of either further downside OR reversal.
What you all think?
Do check out my recorded video (in trading ideas) for the week to have more explanation in place.
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Dollar index sellAs dollar index was bearish all the week and in my view it will remain bearish for the next week as Dxy is moving in a falling wedge in which it has completed its 4 waves over H4 to H1 TF and going to complete its last wave 🌊 E if this pattern is not a failed pattern then DXY will remian Bearish all the next week also we our team has observed that Dollar is Bearish on All timeframes from Monthly to weekly to Daily to H4 to H1 so we will be bearish for the next week as Geopolitics is concerned we can predict a downward move in dollar index
Hope for the good 👍😊
Gold OutlookAs gold was bullish all the week and we are also bullish for gold all the week but today it has shown us bearish move today we are still bullish but as due to fundamentals gold broke its support level to the downwards and seems and also has retested the same if gold sustains the downwards move after price action candle 🕯️ we will be bearish to 2630 level of support and then we are Bullish after taking support over 2630 as i am saying in all my anylisis that gold is bullish over Monthly to Weekly to Daily to H4 to H1 TF so we are bullish will be bullish over next week too hope for the good 👍😊
USDCAD Prepare for red October - November.The USDCAD pair hit both of our Targets on the July 25 (see chart below) sell signal:
The initial rebound stopped on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) where the price was rejected with the 1D RSI forming a pattern similar to May 2023. As a result, it is possible to see another short-term rebound but on the medium-term, we expect October and November to be another sell sequence.
The March - July 2023 fractal had two similar Bearish Legs of -4.10% each. So since the current first Leg was -3.64%, we expect the one that will follow now to be of around the same strength.
As a result we can target 1.32000 on low risk, just above the Support 1 level.
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USDJPY: Going for the 1D MA200. Bottom priced in.USDJPY is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 52.086, MACD = -0.760, ADX = 27.579) as it is recovering from the previous oversold state and is already approaching the 1D MA50. September 16th was technically the new HL on the one year Channel Up bottom, with the 1D RSI already on a bullish divergence. These are all formation we saw on its previous bottom on January 16th 2023, whose rebound that followed initially hit the 1D MA200 before going for a full yearly extension. That's our medium term target again (TP = 150.500).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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EURUSD Bearish Divergence calling for sell.EURUSD has so far double topped on the Resistance A level.
At the same time the 1day RSI is on Lower Highs, which is a Bearish Divergence.
The last Bearish Divergence was on the December 28th 2023 high with the rejection that followed extending all the way to the 0.618 Fibonacci level.
We expect a similar sell off, targeting 1.07700 (Fib 0.618).
Previous chart:
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USD/JPY breaking down from channel support line..!The Japaneese yen is getting stronger after the japaneese stock market is crashing. People panic selling stocks to buy Yen.. The 12.4% loss on the Nikkei stock was the worst day for the index since the “Black Monday” of 1987.
Looking at FX:USDJPY we have broken down from the trading range we have been in since DEC 2022. We could now go up for a re-test of the channel resistance line before further downside could be the next moove.
Next demand zones should be at about 137 and 131 and i look for a short opportunity at the re-test of channel resistance line.
Make sure to follow me on X for weekly trade analysis: @PuppyNakamoto
EUR/USD Buy Opportunity - Short-Term AnalysisMonthly & Weekly Perspective
The EUR/USD is showing a strong buy opportunity, driven by recent macroeconomic developments. The U.S. Federal Reserve recently cut interest rates by 50 basis points, a significant move that weakens the dollar in the short term. Although the U.S. has been one of the more cautious economies, being the last to cut rates, this decision will likely continue to exert downward pressure on the dollar in the weeks to come.
Key Points Supporting the Buy Opportunity:
Interest Rate Cuts: The rate cut will lead to a short-term decline in the dollar's strength, which is bullish for the EUR/USD. As the market adjusts to this new monetary policy, we can expect further weakening of the dollar.
DXY Divergence: A bearish divergence on the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is signaling further dollar weakness. This divergence, in tandem with rate cuts, reinforces the potential for EUR/USD appreciation.
Bond Market Signals:
The 10-Year Treasury Note and Bond 10-Year Yield are also showing bearish signals for the dollar. When yields decline, it typically indicates lower demand for the dollar, adding further support to the EUR/USD rally.
Technical Levels:
On the monthly and weekly charts, EUR/USD is approaching a crucial resistance level marked by a previous monthly high (Red Line). There’s a high probability of price seeking liquidity above these highs before initiating a potential reversal to the downside.
Liquidity Targets: Before any sustained sell-off begins, the pair needs to clear monthly liquidity resting above key highs. This will likely create an upward momentum toward the red resistance line, which can serve as a target for buy trades.
Buying Scenario:
Entry Point: The current price action suggests that there are favorable buy opportunities as long as the EUR/USD trades above critical support levels on the weekly and monthly charts. Traders should be cautious around major resistance but can target the highs near the red line before considering a sell-off.
Risk Management: Keep an eye on the U.S. data releases in the coming weeks to monitor if the rate cuts were the right decision. These could impact the dollar and, consequently, the EUR/USD trajectory.
USDJPY Excellent multi-month buy opportunity here.The USDJPY pair has formed the bottom we expected on our last idea (August 22, see chart below) and seems to be finally giving us the long-term buy opportunity we wanted:
The RSI has already formed a reversal pattern similar to the January 16 2023 bottom and the confirmation will come when the 1W MACD forms a Bullish Cross, a formation we only got twice in the past year and was a confirmed buy signal.
Our Target remains 161.800, the symmetrical Resistance 1 level, similar to where the November 13 2023 High was priced.
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GOLD Makes A Big Move Targeting $2720Even though my Gold Cycle Patterns suggested Gold would consolidate a bit in early trading this week, the big breakout move today shows just how undervalued Gold really is.
Yes, my Gold Cycle Patterns did not predict this upward price move clearly.
This is an example where my patterns/expectations did not match exactly what price did. it happens.
You could say my expectations were a bit behind the trend or the trend was a bit ahead of my expectations - but either way this move surprised me.
Clearly, gold is making a big move and my upper target is 2710-2720.
Today's move will likely stall out near 2685, then contract to levels near 2670-2675.
Remember, Gold really wants to rally up to 2710-2720+. So, you have quite a bit of time to play this move efficiently.
Get some.
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