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DJ FXCM Index

EURUSD The new Bearish Leg has started.On our last analysis EURUSD analysis (June 04, see chart below) we mentioned that it was a do-or-die moment for a rejection as it had marginally broken above the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the 5-month Channel Down: As you can see the price did close all subsequent candles below the top and inside the pattern, hence confirming the rejection bias and that the downtrend was still intact. The last two strong bearish days, suggest that the new Bearish Leg has started, especially since yesterday's 1D candle closed below the 1D MA50 (red trend-line) for the first time in a month (since May 10). Our Target remains 1.06040 (Support 1), which is still a 'good case scenario' for the bearish event as it is above the % drop of the weakest Bearish Leg, the one right before the current (at -3.45%). Ideally, we expect to see the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) being the Resistance throughout the whole Leg. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
2
DXY could rise back to 106.50 resistanceThe beginning of May marked the start of a correction for the DXY, with the index dropping from 106.50 to the 104 support zone. However, after finding support around 104 and undergoing a few days of consolidation, the much stronger-than-expected NFP data last Friday led to a reversal for the US Dollar, as evidenced by a significant bullish engulfing pattern on our daily chart. Yesterday, the index also broke above horizontal resistance, and at the time of writing, the price is 105.18. I expect the uptrend to continue, potentially leading to a new test of the recent high at 106.50.
TVC:DXYLong
by Mihai_Iacob
1
EURUSD - 1H SellThe EURUSD chart indicates a potential bearish movement. The recent price action suggests that the pair is experiencing a weakening of the bullish momentum. After reaching a recent peak, the price is showing signs of a downward trend, indicating a possible decline towards the highlighted support zone around 1.08400. The price action around this level is crucial; if the support zone fails to hold, we could see a continuation of the downtrend. This setup aligns with the current market sentiment, pointing towards further selling pressure. Traders should watch for confirmations around the support zone to determine the next move.
Short
by Sober_Trading
EurUsd Breaks structure.. to 1.057 Monthly Level?Hello Traders. EurUsd has been ranging for the last 3 weeks ever since May CPI data. We attempted to break to the upside last monday but this resulted in a failed breakout and better than forecasted US Jobs data pulled USD down with strong momentum. Price retreated all the way to the bottom of the daily range on friday at 1.08 Daily support level. It appears this momentum has sustained itself as price gapped down over the weekend and we observed a further selloff during the first trading session of the week , moving another 25 pips. I do see some buying pressure off 1.07478 moving into London trading and to begin the week. Looking at the June Monthly candle, we are just pulling straight down thus far. Can we extend to the bottom of the Monthly range at 1.057? It seems likely the dollar will remain strong for some time given the strong labor market data and the Higher for Longer Interest rates concept. Safe trading.
Short
by ShrewdCatfx
US DOLLAR INDEX The us dollar index opened with a gap. today the us dollar index which was closed at 104.94 opened at 105.5 with 11 point gap. this gap may be an indication that us dollar is going to resume its upward momentum this week which it has started on last Friday. if this momentum continues it will be a fall for xauusd. more clear cut analysis will be posted soon . but please post your comments which will be helpful to understand what the crowd thinks and thus understand market sentiments. LIKE BOOST FOLLOW US
ICEUS:DXYLong
by realmillionairefx
Sell USD/CHF Bearish PennantThe USD/CHF pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Bearish Pennant pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 0.8915, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 0.8862 2nd Support – 0.8825 Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 0.8970. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards. Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
9
Buy GBP/USD Triangle Breakout The GBP/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position Above The Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 1.2796. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 1.2835 2nd Resistance – 1.2858 Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below 1.2750. This helps limit potential losses if the price falls back unexpectedly. Opportunity Breakdown: Triangle Breakout: Price action recently broke above a bullish triangle, a continuation pattern suggesting further upside potential. Retest Confirmation: The price has retested the broken resistance line of the triangle and held, indicating strong buying pressure. This retest adds confidence to the breakout. Ichimoku Cloud Support: The current price sits comfortably above the Ichimoku cloud, a technical indicator that often signals bullish momentum when the price is above the cloud. Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
9
xauusd ADP NONFARM EMPLOYMENT REPORTADP is performs payroll services for its clients. The ADP National Employment Report is a measure of the monthly change in non-farm, private employment, based on the payroll data of approximately 400,000 U.S. business clients. The release, two days ahead of government data, is used as a predictor of the government's Labour Market Report. A reading that is stronger than forecast is generally supportive (bullish) for the USD, while a weaker than forecast reading is generally negative (bearish) for the USD. FORECAST 173K PREVIOUS 192K ACTUAL 152K the data released is less than forecast and also less than previous report, which is too much bearish for dollar. its impact may show up after the us market is opened
OANDA:XAUUSD
by realmillionairefx
XAUUSD Gold price movements tend to decreaseGold edged lower to $2,330 per ounce on Wednesday, as the US dollar stabilized ahead of May’s US jobs report expected later this week. The US nonfarm payrolls will be closely watched as investors seek cues on the potential timing of the Fed rate-cut 🔴SELL GOLD: 2348 - 2350, SL: 2354 🟢BUY GOLD: 2307 - 2305, SL: 2301 Breakout & retest: 📉Breaking and closing on: 2338 - 2354 - 2360 📈 Break and close below: 2322 - 2315 - 2306 -2300 🔼Support: 2322 - 2315 - 2305 🔽Resistance: 2338 - 2348 - 2354 - 2360 - 2374 GOOD LUCK EVERYONE👍
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Scalper_Ananda
USD/CHF to lead DXY higher, AUD/USD, EUR/USD lower?Our bias is for the US dollar index to rise to 105 over the near-term. The daily chart respected trend support from the December low, and the 4-hour chart shows a small ascending triangle which implies a break above resistance. Out of the FX majors, USD/CHF looks ready to break above resistance and lead the dollar broadly higher. Bears could also consider a short on AUD/USD on the assumption the high of RS (right shoulder) has been established, and seek a move down towards the neckline at a minimum. A break of which could see it head for the projected H&S target around 0.6580. If the US dollar index goes higher, surely EUR/USD should move lower. Bears could enter short with a view to target the swing low around 1.0835 or the bullish trendline.
ICEUS:DX1!
by CityIndex
Sell GBP/USD Beairsh FlagThe GBP/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Bearish Flag pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Sell Entry : Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.2710, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.2665 2nd Support – 1.2640 Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 1.2760. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards. Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
14
EURUSD Bullish break-out or Bearish rejection?The EURUSD pair cemented a strong rebound yesterday as it broke above the May 16 High, after it held the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) as Support. This took yesterday's 1D candle exactly at the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the December 28 2023 Channel Down. This is the last chance for the pair to resume the pattern's downtrend, if today's 1D candle closes inside the Channel Down, which will constitute a Lower Highs rejection. In that case, we will require a closing below the 1D MA50 as well in order to confirm the downtrend. The 1.0640 Support will be the Target. If however the candle closes above the Channel Down, it will be a confirmed bullish break-out and in our opinion there will be high probabilities of imitating the July 2023 rally. That rise peaked exactly on the 1.382 Fibonacci extension level, so on that occasion, that will be our Target (1.1125), which conveniently falls just below the 1.11400 Resistance. Notice also how similar the 1D RSI sequences are between the two fractals. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
by TradingShot