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DJ FXCM Index

AUDUSD Medium-term Sell OpportunityThe AUDUSD pair followed our previous signal with great precision (March 19, see chart below), hitting the 0.63750 Target: Following that, the price rebounded and has so far been rejected yet again on the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level. That is the strongest medium-term Resistance and a symmetrical sell level where the similar sequence of June - July 2023 Double Topped and got rejected even below the 1.236 Fibonacci extension. As a result, we take a similar bearish stance and take this opportunity to sell again and target 0.63450 (1.235 Fib ext). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
USDJPY at an important barrier#USDJPY EASYMARKETS:USDJPY Disclaimer: easyMarkets Account on TradingView allows you to combine easyMarkets industry leading conditions, regulated trading and tight fixed spreads with TradingView's powerful social network for traders, advanced charting and analytics. Access no slippage on limit orders, tight fixed spreads, negative balance protection, no hidden fees or commission, and seamless integration. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
by easyMarkets
USDNOK One of the best sells in the market.The USDNOK pair has formed a cyclical top on the 1D time-frame and is currently pulling back towards the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). This level has been supporting since March 14 2024. If broken, we expect a a 2nd dip to the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) as well and as it pierces through the (green) Ichimoku Cloud, stage a dead-cat-bounce back at its top and the 1D MA50. That should give way to the 2nd part of the Bearish Leg towards the 2-year Higher Lows Zone. Our target is on the top of that Zone at 10.400. Take profit earlier if the 1D RSI breaks below the 30.00 oversold barrier before the price reaches 10.400. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
USDCHF Channel Up intact. Aim higher.The USDCHF pair has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the December 28 2023 Low. In the past 2 weeks, it has been forming its 2nd Bearish Leg that almost touched the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which has been supporting since February 02. As long as we close 1D candles above it, we stay bullish, targeting 0.94200 (marginally below Resistance 2). Since however the recent Higher High was priced just below Resistance 1 (the October 03 2023 High), we will turn bearish (and take the buy's loss) if the pair closes a 1D candle below the 1D MA100 (green trend-line), which is what happened on November 14 2023. In that case, our Target will be 0.87350 (Support 1). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
Sell USDJPY Channel BreakoutThe USD/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential shorting opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined bearish channel pattern. This breakout suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside and a higher likelihood of further declines in the coming hours. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position (selling USD/JPY) below the broken support level of the channel, ideally around 155.60 after confirmation of the breakout. This offers an entry point close to the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: Initial bearish targets lie at the previous support levels within the channel, now acting as potential resistance zones: 154.74: This represents the first level of support within the channel. 154.27: This is a further extension of the downside target, based on the height of the recent price movement before the breakout. Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above the broken support line of the channel, ideally around 156.60. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards. Thank you
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
2
Shorting DXY: A Calculated Gamble on a Weaker DollarShorting DXY: A Calculated Gamble on a Weaker Dollar, But Beware the Dragons The DXY, or US Dollar Index, measures the greenback's strength against a basket of major currencies. With rising global tensions and a potential shift in global power dynamics, the question lingers: is it time to short the DXY, betting on a weakening dollar? Let's explore the arguments for and against this strategy. The Case for Shorting DXY: A Multi-Pronged Approach • America's Shrinking Lead: The US, while still a dominant economic force, faces challenges. Its manufacturing base has shrunk, its national debt is ballooning, and infrastructure crumbles. These factors could erode confidence in the dollar's long-term stability. • The Rise of the Rest: China's economic power is undeniable. The yuan's internationalization efforts are gaining traction, potentially chipping away at the dollar's dominance as the world's reserve currency. Other economies like the Eurozone are also maturing, offering alternatives. • A Concerted Effort: Imagine a scenario where the US's major allies, concerned about American dominance, decide to weaken the dollar. This could involve measures like central banks diversifying reserves away from the US or pegging their currencies to a basket that excludes the dollar. While a hypothetical scenario, it can't be entirely dismissed. China: The Dragon in the Room China's displeasure with a weakening dollar is a significant risk factor. A weaker dollar makes Chinese exports more expensive, hindering their economic growth. China holds a significant amount of US Treasuries, and a devalued dollar would erode the value of those holdings. This could lead to China dumping US Treasuries, further weakening the dollar in a vicious cycle. Beyond China: Other Considerations • US Response: The US Federal Reserve has tools at its disposal to counter a weakening dollar. Raising interest rates, for instance, could entice investors back to the dollar for higher yields. • Global Instability: A devalued dollar could create global economic turmoil as countries scramble to adjust exchange rates and inflation spikes. This could be particularly damaging for developing economies. • Unpredictable Markets: Shorting any asset is inherently risky, and the currency market is especially volatile. Unforeseen events can drastically alter currency valuations. So, Should You Short DXY? The decision to short DXY depends on your risk tolerance and investment goals. Here's a breakdown: • For Aggressive Investors: If you believe in a long-term decline of the US dollar and have a high tolerance for risk, shorting DXY could be a potential strategy. However, careful risk management is crucial. • For Cautious Investors: The potential consequences of a weakening dollar, particularly China's reaction, are significant. It might be wiser to stick with less volatile investments or consider options strategies that limit your downside risk. Alternative Strategies Instead of shorting DXY directly, consider these alternatives: • Invest in a Diversified Currency Basket: Spread your risk by investing in a basket of major currencies, potentially benefiting from a weakening dollar while mitigating some of the risk. • Look to Emerging Markets: If you believe in the rise of other economic powers, consider investing in their currencies or stocks poised to benefit from a weaker dollar. The Final Bite The future of the US dollar is uncertain. A combination of factors could lead to its decline. However, the potential consequences, particularly China's response, are significant risks to consider. Carefully weigh the arguments before taking a short position on DXY. Remember, diversification and a measured approach are key in navigating the ever-fluctuating currency markets.
TVC:DXY
by bryandowningqln
Sell USDCAD Channel PatternThe USD/CAD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a possible shorting opportunity due to the presence of a channel pattern. Potential Short Trade: Entry: Consider entering a short position (selling) only after a confirmed breakout below the support trendline of the channel. Ideally, this would be around 1.3750 or lower if the price continues to decline after the breakout. Target Levels: 1.3652: This target is achieved by measuring the height of the channel (distance between the resistance and support lines) and projecting it downwards from the breakout point. 1.3607: This is a further extension of the downside target, based on roughly twice the height of the channel. Stop-Loss: Once the entry point is confirmed, place a stop-loss order above the broken support line of the channel, ideally with some buffer around 1.3770. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards. Thank you
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
11
EURUSD: 1D MA50-200 rejection. Strong sell.EURUSD is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 51.370, MACD = -0.001, ADX = 29.673) as it got rejected on the 1D MA50-MA200 level, which stopped the bullish wave of the Channel Up from extending higher and potential breaking the pattern. The 1D RSI is on the stage where it should reverse as per March 12th. This is a strong sell signal, TP = 1.05550 (the 1.236 Fibonacci extension level). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Short
by InvestingScope
3
Sell XAUUSD Channel BreakoutThe XAU/USD pair (spot gold) on the M30 timeframe presents a potential shorting opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined bearish channel pattern. This breakout suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside and a higher likelihood of further price declines in the coming hours. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position (selling) below the broken support level of the channel, ideally around 2322 after confirmation of the breakout. This offers an entry point close to the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: Initial bearish targets lie at the previous support levels within the channel, now acting as potential resistance zones: 2294: This represents the first level of support within the channel. 2279: This is a further extension of the downside target, based on the height of the recent price movement before the breakout. Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above the broken support line of the channel, ideally around 2332. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards. Thank you.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
1
🇺🇸 US2M - QE To buy the US Debt again ? 💎Here's an intriguing observation I'd like to discuss. The increasing number of diamond 💎💎 alerts serves as a warning sign indicating an imminent significant market move. - What is the US2M? The M2 money supply is a measure of the total amount of money in circulation within an economy that includes cash, checking deposits, savings deposits, and other liquid assets. It's broader than M1, which only includes cash and checking deposits. M2 is important because it gives a more comprehensive picture of the available money for spending and investment within an economy. - Does quantitative easing add to the money supply? Quantitative easing expands the money supply by enlarging the central bank's balance sheet and introducing fresh cash into the economy. This process boosts banks' reserves held at the central bank, effectively increasing the overall money available for circulation and lending. So what does it imply ? 📈 When we say quantitative easing increases the money supply, it means that it adds more money into circulation within the economy. This can lead to more available funds for spending, investment, and lending, which can stimulate economic activity. ( + the US Dollar often goes down in this case) 📉 On the other hand, if we say quantitative easing decreases the money supply, it would mean the opposite: the central bank is reducing the amount of money in circulation. This could be done to control inflation or to address other economic concerns where too much money in circulation might cause problems like rising prices. (+ the US Dollar often goes up in this case) Do not forget to check this US2M Chart, it is very important. I wish you a great day. ILT 💎
ECONOMICS:USM2Long
by IllumiTrade
Sell EUR/USD Triangle BreakoutThe EUR/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential shorting opportunity due to a recent breakout from a triangle pattern. Entry: Consider entering a short position (selling) below the broken support trendline of the triangle after confirmation. Ideally, this would be around 1.0770 or lower if the price continues to decline. Target Levels: 1.0704: This represents the height of the triangle, measured from its apex (highest or lowest point) to the breakout point, projected downwards from the breakout point. 1.0680: This is a further extension of the downside target, based on the height of the recent price movement before the breakout. Stop-Loss: Once the entry point is confirmed, place a stop-loss order above the broken support line of the triangle, ideally with some buffer around 1.0800. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards. Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
10
Buy AUD/USD Bullish PennantThe AUD/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential buying opportunity due to a recent breakout from a well-defined bullish pennant pattern. This breakout suggests a continuation of the prior uptrend and a higher likelihood of further gains in the coming hours. Key Points: Buy Entry: Consider entering a long position (buying) above the broken resistance level of the pennant, ideally around 0.6630 after confirmation of the breakout. This offers an entry point close to the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: Initial bullish targets lie at the following points, based on the pennant and recent price movement: 0.6694: This target is obtained by measuring the height of the flagpole (initial uptrend before the pennant) and adding that distance to the breakout price. 0.6734: This is a further extension of the upside target, based on roughly twice the height of the flagpole. Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below the broken resistance line of the pennant, ideally around 0.6600. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back downwards. Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
3
EURUSD Channel Top and Fib Resistance. Time to turn bearish.The EURUSD pair gave us an excellent pull-back buy entry last week (April 30, see chart below) and has almost reached our 1.08300 Target, which was the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level: We now turn bearish as not only is the price near the 0.618 Fib but also hit on Friday and gor rejected on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line)/ 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) cluster. Above all, we are near the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the 2024 Channel Down. The last Lower Low was priced just above the 1.236 Fib extension, which on the current Leg happens to be exactly on the 1.05175 Support. As a result our new Target for the medium-term is 1.05350 (just above the 1.236 Fib ext). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
1
Buy BTCUSDT Channel BreakoutThe BTC/USDT (Bitcoin) pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential buying opportunity due to a recent upward breakout. Key Points: Buy Entry: Consider entering a long position (buying) above the broken resistance level of the channel, ideally around 5900 after confirmation of the breakout. This offers an entry point close to the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: Initial bullish targets lie at the following points, based on the channel and recent price movement: 62274: This target is obtained by measuring the height of the channel (from the base to the breakout point) and adding that distance to the breakout price. 63830: This is a further extension of the upside target, based on roughly twice the height of the recent price movement before the breakout. Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below the broken resistance line of the channel, ideally around 56500. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back downwards. Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
8
Sell ETHUSDT Bearish PennantThe ETH/USDT (Ethereum) pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential shorting opportunity due to the presence of a bearish pennant patten. Potential Short Trade : Entry: Consider entering a short position (selling) below the broken support trendline of the pennant after confirmation. Ideally, this would be around 3020 or lower if the price continues to decline. Target Levels: 2764: This target is achieved by measuring the height of the flagpole (initial downtrend before the pennant) and projecting it downwards from the breakout point. 2692: This is a further extension of the downside target, based on roughly twice the height of the flagpole. Stop-Loss: Once the entry point is confirmed, place a stop-loss order above the broken support line of the pennant, ideally with some buffer around 3040. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards. Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
1
#USDT.DOMINANCE 1DAY UPDATE !!USDT DOMINANCE ANALYSIS USDT.D is forming a rising wedge pattern, nearing the support trendline. MACD crossover suggests a potential bearish turn. A sustained wedge breakdown confirms a bearish trend; a bounce suggests consolidation within the pattern. USDTD typically moves inversely to the crypto market. I have tried to bring the best possible results in this chart. If you like it, hit the like button and share your charts in the comments section. Thank you.
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D
by CryptoSanders9563
USDZAR Low risk buy signal.The USDZAR pair is trading below both its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), having formed a Channel Down (blue) since the start of the year. The 1D RSI hit the bottom of its Rectangle, so even though there is some limited downside on the Channel Down before forming a Lower Low, the reward is much higher on the upside. Assuming a Lower Low at the bottom, we expect another +4.40% rise towards the Lower Highs, thus our Target is at 19.1500. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
1