DJ FXCM Index
USDCAD Buy opportunity on extremely oversold RSIThe USDCAD pair hit both of our targets on the sell signal we gave a month ago (July 25, see chart below) as it is currently on a 4-week red candle streak:
We now start switching to a bullish medium-term strategy as we get clear signals of a pending trend reversal. The price isn't only on the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level from Support 2 but the 1D RSI also hit the oversold bottom level of the December 26 2023 Low.
As you can see on this chart, every time the 1D RSI broke below the 30.00 oversold barrier in the past 12 months and reversed even a little, the USDCAD pair bottomed on the medium-term and targeted Resistance 1. Even the smaller April 14 2023 reversal (which wasn't from an oversold RSI) targeted the 0.618 retracement level.
As a result, we apply a two tier buy entry, one now and the 2nd at the less likely event the price approaches Support 1 (-5.40% decline, the most it had on a 2-year basis). In both cases, our Target is 1.37500 (0.618 Fib).
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EUR/USD Set for a Bearish ReversalThe EUR/USD pair is currently approaching a significant resistance zone, which is highlighted in the chart.
After a strong bullish move, the price has shown signs of weakening momentum, suggesting that this resistance area could act as a reversal point.
The resistance zone around 1.1200 - 1.1185 is crucial. A rejection here could lead to a significant drop toward the next support level at 1.1135, as indicated by the projected path on the chart.
A possible double top pattern is forming, which is a classic reversal pattern. If the price fails to break above the resistance and forms a second top, it could signal a strong short opportunity.
In conclusion, EUR/USD is showing signs of potential bearish reversal at a critical resistance zone. Traders should watch for price action confirmation and manage risk accordingly as this setup unfolds.
Buy Gold (Xau/Usd) Bullish ChannelThe XAU/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential Buying opportunity due to a recent formation of well-defined Bullish Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the Upside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Buy Entry: Consider entering a Long position around the current price of 2511, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 2537
2nd Support – 2551
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below 2499. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
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Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
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USDTRY Approaching the top of the Channel Up.The USDTRY pair has been trading within a 6-month Channel Up and the price is now very close to the pattern's top (Higher Highs trend-line). Technically this is were a rejection should take place to reset the market at the pattern's bottom (Higher Lows trend-line), below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). Our Target is 33.4000, which is just above the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level, where the last correction bottomed.
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NZDUSD: Very Bullish Pattern 🇳🇿🇺🇸
NZDUSD formed a bullish flag pattern on an hourly time frame
after a recent strong bullish movement.
The breakout of the resistance of the flag is a strong bullish signal.
It signifies a highly probable bullish trend continuation.
The price may reach 0.6235 / 0.6245 levels soon.
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EurUsd → so bullishhello guys.
let's dive into eurusd
Breaking the Channel:
The price has broken out of a previous channel, which suggests a potential bullish momentum continuation. This breakout is marked as a significant event that has shifted the trend.
The Last High Broken:
The chart indicates that the last significant high around the $1.1169 level was broken. This breakout above the previous high is a strong bullish signal, suggesting further upward potential.
Internal Trendline:
There’s an internal trendline within the broader trend that could act as support if the price pulls back. The price might retest this trendline before moving higher.
Potential Bullish Move:
After breaking the last high, the price may retrace slightly to retest the breakout level or the internal trendline, before continuing its upward move.
The next potential target appears to be in the region of $1.1300, where the price may find the next significant resistance.
Current Price Action:
The price is currently hovering around $1.1166, slightly above the previous resistance, which now acts as support. This area will be critical in determining if the price continues its bullish trajectory or pulls back for a deeper retest.
This analysis underscores a bullish outlook for the EUR/USD pair, emphasizing the importance of the broken resistance level and the potential for further gains if the trend continues. Traders should watch for a retest of the breakout level to confirm the strength of the move.
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Dollar Index (DXY): Time to Recover?!
Dollar Index reached a significant daily horizontal structure support.
Its test made a bearish rally stop.
The market formed an inverted head and shoulders pattern on an hourly time frame
and just broke its neckline, leaving a clear bullish clue.
The price may bounce at least to 100.89
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EURUSD approaches mother of all Resistances from the 2008 crisisThe EURUSD pair broke through all major medium-term Resistance levels, with the latest being the 1W MA200, but is now facing perhaps the most important Resistance of all. That is the Lower Highs trend-line, that started during the height of the 2008 U.S. Housing Crisis on July 2008.
As you can see on this 1M time-frame, this Resistance is technically the top of the 19-year Falling Wedge pattern, which encompasses different cycles of foreign exchange price action, such as the 1M MA200 (orange trend-line) turning from a multi-year Support to multi-year Resistance etc.
The presence of the 1M MA100 (green trend-line) adds more selling pressure to the current Resistance cluster, which had the last major long-term rejection on July 2023 and before that on February 2018 (along with the 1M MA200 that time).
Ideally, the sell signal will get strengthened if the 1M RSI gets rejected on its 15-year Resistance Zone. As a result, a rejection within the multi-year Falling Wedge, will most likely see EURUSD test the Symmetrical Support Zone (blue), which only broke once during the recent 2022 Inflation Crisis.
If however the price closes a 1M candle above the Lower Highs of the Wedge, we will turn bullish long-term towards the 1M MA200, aiming at around 1.2000.
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Usd end week by flushing down to 101 as predicted!Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post.
Cautiously carry out your short if there's any, light news week this week. There might be bounce off this key level. Let's watch!
Do check out my recorded video (in trading ideas) for the week to have more explanation in place.
Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you!
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Disclaimers:
The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes.
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Buy Gbp/Usd Bullish FlagThe GBP/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential Buying opportunity due to a recent formation of Bullish Flag pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the Upside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Buy Entry: Consider entering a Long position around the current price of 1.3100, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.3171
2nd Support – 1.3207
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
GBPUSD - Daily Bullish signsOANDA:GBPUSD has recently passed an important support zone, indicating potential for higher targets. After a clear pullback to the 1.2830 area, the pair is positioned for a further rise.
The British Pound has been bolstered by a series of positive economic indicators and political stability. According to recent reports, analysts at Investec have raised their forecast targets for the Pound against the Dollar, driven by a more promising economic outlook and favorable political conditions in the UK. This aligns with the technical setup, where GBPUSD is poised for a continuation of its upward movement following the successful retest of the support zone.
Overall, combining the technical and fundamental perspectives suggests a bullish outlook for GBPUSD, with potential for further gains as long as the support zone holds firm.
GBPUSD Strongest sell signal since MarchThe GBPUSD pair gave us an excellent sell entry exactly 1 month ago (July 23, see chart below) and easily hit our 1.2790 Target:
Yesterday it reached the top of its 10-month Channel Up and technically that is the new Higher High and the strongest sell signal since March 08. That Higher High rejection initiated a Bearish Leg that bottomed just below the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level from the previous Low.
As a result, we expect a new medium-term correction (Bearish Leg) to extend to 1.26000 (just below the new 0.618 Fib).
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Gold W Formation on H1 @Relevant Levels for HTF InvestorsHello Ladies and Gentlemen,
I took this long at the price that you can see on the video, the stop loss is quite large with $130+ of room, however you may make yours larger or smaller.
A larger one would of course mean higher probability but less risk to reward.
AUDUSD: Important Support and Resistance Levels 🇦🇺🇺🇸
Here is my latest structure analysis and important
support & resistance levels for AUDUSD.
Resistance 1: 0.6784 - 0.6800 area
Support 1: 0.6633 - 0.6643 area
Support 2: 0.6550 - 0.6568 area
Support 3: 0.6349 - 0.6367 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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USDJPY Strong buy opportunity long-term.The USDJPY pair has been trading within a long-term Channel Up since the October 17 2022 High. The recent 6-week correction below the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) is its technical Bearish Leg in order to price new Higher Low.
The pull-back even broke below the 1W MA100 (green trend-line) but recovered as it didn't close a 1W candle below it and now the price action has settled within the 1W MA50 and MA100.
If we do get a 1W candle closing below the MA100, wait for a buy near the bottom of the Channel Up, with the least risky buy being after the 1W MACD makes a Bullish Cross (has confirmed the last 2 major long-term rallies).
If it breaks above the 1W MA50 first though, the 1W MACD will most likely also complete its Bullish Cross earlier, so we will buy nonetheless, even though the reward potential will be less. In either case, our Target is Resistance 1 (as it was on the rally that peaked on the week of November 13 2023) at 161.800.
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