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DJ FXCM Index

AUDUSD touching important Support on Daily ChartThe AUD/USD pair has experienced a notable decline of -7.82% in recent weeks, without any significant recoveries. This drop has brought the price to a key horizontal support area, aligning with the previously identified triple bottom level on the daily chart. Additionally, the price has tested an uptrend line that has provided support since mid-2022. The overlap of the horizontal support and the uptrend line creates a technically significant zone, indicating a potential slowdown in selling pressure. Bullish Scenario If the price breaks above the downtrend line, acting as dynamic resistance, it could signal a shift in market sentiment, allowing buyers to regain control. Fibonacci retracement levels would then serve as potential targets: An entry point could be considered if a candle closes above the downtrend line on the daily chart. The first target may be near the 38.2% Fibonacci level at 0.6605 (approximately 110 pips). The second target could be around the 50.0% Fibonacci level at 0.6670 (about 170 pips). A stop loss might be placed just below the recent low at 0.6395 (around 100 pips). For confirmation of the bullish scenario, the price needs to stay above the dynamic resistance and begin forming higher highs and lows. Bearish Scenario Conversely, if the price falls below the horizontal support at 0.6400, it would create room for further declines, potentially invalidating the triple bottom pattern and indicating a continuation of the downtrend. In this case, the next significant support level would be around 0.6300, with chances of moving even lower. Impact of US Employment Data The upcoming US employment data, particularly the Nonfarm Payroll figures, could significantly influence the AUD/USD pair. Weaker-than-expected results may weaken the US dollar, benefiting the Australian dollar and increasing the likelihood of breaking the downtrend line. Conversely, strong US labor market data could exacerbate selling pressure, pushing AUD/USD lower. Summary The AUD/USD is at a pivotal juncture on the daily chart, with the convergence of horizontal support and an uptrend line suggesting a possible reversal. However, the market's direction will hinge on subsequent technical movements and, crucially, on US economic data that could shift the balance of power. Disclaimer: 74% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK.
Long
by Marketscom
USDJPY: My Trading Perspective (setup)FX:USDJPY : Key Indices Supporting My Trading Perspective Index and Volume Analysis: - For this trade, the TVC:DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) plays a critical role. It’s showing continued signs of softening, which aligns with my sell setup for USD/JPY. - Broader risk sentiment in equity markets is also mixed, with the S&P 500 holding up but without strong upward momentum, which supports the yen’s safe-haven appeal in my analysis. Key Companies and Influencing Factors: - The performance of U.S. equities, particularly tech and consumer sectors, signals cautious optimism, but not enough to offset the dollar’s broader weakness. - On the Japanese side, the SMI reflects stable conditions, giving me confidence that external forces (e.g., global risk sentiment) will favour this trade direction. Possible Market Impacts: - My sell setup aligns well with the current environment. A move toward **TP1 (149.057)** is likely if equities fail to gain strong traction and the DXY continues to weaken. - A push toward **TP2 (148.534)** could occur if risk-off sentiment strengthens globally, amplifying demand for the yen. - My stop loss at **150.796** is in place to manage risk in case of unexpected dollar rebounds or lack of yen strengthening. Entry, SL, and TPs: - Entry: 150.345 - Stop Loss (SL): 150.796 - Take Profit 1 (TP1): 149.057 - Take Profit 2 (TP2): 148.534 *“When the Market’s Call, We Stand Tall. Bull or Bear, Just Ride the Wave!”* **Disclaimer:** *Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Traders should conduct their own due diligence before making investment decisions.*
Short
by SiriusTrading
USD/CHF: Indices and Market Factors Driving SentimentIndex and Volume Analysis: - The DXY continues to reflect a softer dollar amid weaker labor market data, which has weighed on OANDA:USDCHF upward momentum. - Equity markets remain mixed, with the SP:SPX and Nasdaq posting slight gains, suggesting a cautious risk-on sentiment. Key Companies and Influencing Factors: - U.S. Equities:** Positive sentiment in U.S. equities, driven by tech and consumer sectors, could limit CHF’s safe-haven appeal. - Swiss Market Index (SMI): The SMI remains steady, reflecting Switzerland’s broader economic resilience but offering no major CHF-driving factors. Possible Market Impacts: - If the risk-on sentiment continues in equities, USD/CHF could find support and move toward the TP of **0.90043**. - Conversely, any shifts toward risk-off sentiment or additional dollar weakness could push the pair closer to your SL of **0.87998**. Entry, SL, and TP: - **Entry:** 0.88358 - **Stop Loss (SL):** 0.87998 - **Take Profit (TP):** 0.90043 When the Market’s Call, We Stand Tall. Bull or Bear, Just Ride the Wave! Reminder: *Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Traders should conduct their own due diligence before making investment decisions.*
Long
by SiriusTrading
What Countries Use the US Dollar?What Countries Use the US Dollar? The US dollar is more than just the currency of the United States; it's a global powerhouse used by countries worldwide. Whether as legal tender or alongside local currencies, the US dollar plays a significant role in international trade and finance. In this article, we’ll explore what countries use American dollars, where it circulates alongside local money, and why its influence extends far beyond US borders. Overview of the US Dollar as a Global Currency The US dollar (USD) has held a dominant position in global finance since the mid-20th century. After World War II, the Bretton Woods Agreement established the USD as the backbone of the international monetary system, linking it to gold and making it the preferred currency for trade and investment. Even though the gold standard was abandoned in the 1970s, the US dollar remained crucial for international transactions. Today, the USD is the world's primary reserve currency, held by central banks across the globe to stabilise economies and facilitate trade. As of Q2 2024, nearly 60% of all global foreign exchange reserves are in dollars, and it accounts for 88% of forex trades (as of April 2022). The USD is used in pricing major commodities like oil, gold, and metals, further solidifying its role in global markets. Want to observe how prices of these commodities have changed over the years? Head over to FXOpen’s free TickTrader trading platform to get started with real-time charts. Countries often hold USD as a hedge against their own currencies' volatility or to back their financial systems. Whether through official dollarisation or pegs, many economies depend on the USD for economic stability and international trade. What Countries Use the US Dollar? Several countries around the world have adopted the US dollar as their official currency, a practice known as dollarisation. This usually happens when a nation decides that using the USD will provide greater economic stability than their local currency, particularly in countries that have struggled with high inflation or political instability. So how many countries have dollar currency? - Ecuador: After a severe economic downturn, Ecuador adopted the US dollar in 2000. By using the USD, Ecuador stabilised its economy, controlled inflation, and regained investor confidence. - El Salvador: El Salvador is a country where the US dollar is the legal currency. In 2001, it switched to the USD to increase economic stability and promote foreign investment. This move has helped the country maintain inflation at lower levels. - Zimbabwe: After facing hyperinflation in the late 2000s, Zimbabwe abandoned its currency in 2009 and began using several foreign currencies, including the USD. However, the country has struggled with stability and frequently shifts between foreign currencies and local ones. - Timor-Leste: Since 2000, Timor-Leste has used the USD to help stabilise its economy, which was heavily reliant on foreign aid and oil exports. - British Virgin Islands: An overseas British territory, the British Virgin Islands, uses USD as its official currency due to its strong trade links with the US and its role as a financial hub. - Turks and Caicos Islands: Another British overseas territory in the Caribbean, Turks and Caicos also uses the USD, mainly because of its heavy reliance on tourism from the United States. - Micronesia, Palau, and the Marshall Islands: These Pacific island nations have long-standing agreements with the US, adopting the US dollar as part of their Compacts of Free Association, which provide economic aid and defence in exchange for using the USD. - Bonaire, Sint Eustatius, and Saba: Collectively referred to as the Caribbean Netherlands, they officially adopted the United States dollar (USD) as their currency on January 1, 2011, following the dissolution of the Netherlands Antilles in 2010. The switch to the USD was aimed at enhancing economic stability and simplifying transactions with the United States, a key trade partner and significant source of tourism for the region. Countries and Territories Where the US Dollar Is Used Alongside Local Currencies In many countries and territories, the US dollar is used alongside local currencies, often for international trade, tourism, or to hedge against inflation. While not officially replacing local money, the US dollar plays a vital role in these economies. Here’s a closer look at other countries that use the US dollar alongside local currencies: - Panama: Since 1904, Panama has used the US dollar alongside its local currency, the balboa. The country chose the USD due to its strong trading ties with the United States, especially with the Panama Canal's importance to global trade. - Cambodia: The riel is Cambodia’s official currency, but the US dollar is widely accepted and often preferred for larger transactions. It’s estimated that over 80% of the country’s deposits and loans are in USD, reflecting its dominance in the economy, particularly in urban areas. - Bahamas: The Bahamian dollar is pegged 1:1 to USD, and both are used interchangeably throughout the islands, especially in tourism-driven sectors. Many businesses and ATMs accept both currencies without issue. - Bermuda: The Bermudian dollar is also pegged 1:1 to the US dollar, and both are widely accepted. The USD is frequently used in international trade and by tourists visiting the island. - Belize: In Belize, the Belizean dollar is officially used, but the US dollar is accepted nearly everywhere. The local currency is pegged to the USD at a fixed rate of 2:1, and many businesses, especially those catering to tourists, price goods and services in US dollars. - Liberia: This country uses the US dollar as its paper currency alongside the Liberian dollar. The USD is often preferred for larger transactions and savings, particularly in urban areas. It has been a significant part of the country’s financial system due to its historical ties with the United States. - Myanmar (Burma): The Myanmar kyat is the official currency, but the USD is widely used, particularly in tourism, international trade, and foreign investment. Many hotels, airlines, and larger businesses will accept USD for transactions. - Lebanon: The Lebanese pound is the official currency, but the US dollar is extensively used, especially given the recent economic crisis and hyperinflation. Many sectors of the economy rely on the USD to preserve value and enable trade. - Argentina: Although the Argentine peso is the national currency, the US dollar is commonly used for savings and major purchases, such as property. High inflation and currency controls have driven many Argentinians to hold USD to protect their wealth. - Peru: While the Peruvian sol is the official currency, the USD is often used for real estate, tourism, and larger transactions. Many Peruvians prefer to keep their savings in USD to avoid potential depreciation. - Haiti: The Haitian gourde is the official currency, but the US dollar is widely accepted, particularly in the capital, Port-au-Prince. Many businesses and services cater to both the local population and tourists, pricing in both gourdes and USD. - Vietnam: While the Vietnamese dong is the official currency, the US dollar is commonly used for larger transactions, particularly in the tourism and real estate sectors. Some high-end hotels and international businesses price goods and services in USD. How Does the US Dollar Affect Economies That Don’t Use It Directly? Even countries that don’t use the US dollar directly feel its impact. Many nations peg their local currency to the USD, such as Hong Kong and Saudi Arabia. These currency pegs mean that when the value of the US dollar shifts, so does the value of their currency, affecting everything from inflation to trade competitiveness. A stronger USD can make these countries' exports more expensive and reduce demand, while a weaker dollar has the opposite effect. Additionally, a large portion of global debt, particularly in emerging markets, is issued in US dollars. If the dollar strengthens, these countries face higher costs when repaying loans, which can strain government budgets and hurt economic growth. Fluctuations in the USD also influence commodity prices, as goods like oil and gold are priced in dollars. When it rises, commodity prices often fall, impacting countries that rely on exports of these resources. Challenges of Using the US Dollar Countries that use USD, whether adopted or pegged to it, face significant challenges. The most pressing issue is the loss of monetary control. When a country uses the US dollar, it can no longer set its own interest rates or control its money supply, leaving it vulnerable to the decisions of the US Federal Reserve. For example, if the Fed raises interest rates, borrowing costs increase globally, even for economies that might not take advantage of tighter monetary policy. Countries also lose the ability to devalue their currency to make exports more competitive, which can hinder economic growth. This lack of flexibility can be problematic during local economic downturns, as governments have fewer tools to stimulate their economy or combat inflation. Additionally, dependence on the US dollar exposes economies to external shocks. A sharp appreciation in USD can hurt countries with significant USD-denominated debt, making it more expensive to service loans. While the US dollar provides stability, these countries sacrifice a degree of autonomy over their economic policies. The Bottom Line The US dollar’s global reach impacts economies worldwide, whether as legal tender or widely circulated paper currency. Understanding its role can help traders navigate international markets. If you're ready to take advantage of currency movements, consider opening an FXOpen account. With FXOpen, you'll gain access to the tools and platforms to trade major currencies, including the USD, and take advantage of our low-cost, high-speed trading environment. FAQ What Country Uses the US Dollar as Its Paper Currency? Several countries use the US dollar as paper currency alongside their local money. Cambodia, Argentina, and Lebanon, for example, commonly accept USD for larger transactions despite having their own official currencies. Does El Salvador Use USD? Yes, El Salvador officially adopted the US dollar in 2001. The decision was made to stabilise the economy and reduce inflation, offering more stability in the financial system. Today, the USD is used for all transactions, making it the primary currency in the country. Does Panama Use USD? Yes, Panama has used the US dollar since 1904 alongside its local currency, the balboa. The USD is used for most transactions, and the balboa is pegged 1:1 with the dollar, meaning both currencies are interchangeable within the country. Does Ecuador Use the US Dollar? Ecuador has used the US dollar since 2000, after a severe financial crisis. The switch helped stabilise the economy, reduce hyperinflation, and restore public confidence in the financial system. Today, the USD is the sole official currency. Does Puerto Rico Use the US Dollar? Yes, as an unincorporated territory of the United States, Puerto Rico uses the US dollar as its official currency. The USD is used for all financial transactions, just like in any US state. Where Does the US Dollar Have the Most Value? The US dollar tends to have more purchasing power in countries with weaker local currencies. Examples include countries like Mexico, Vietnam, and Indonesia, where the USD can buy significantly more goods and services compared to stronger economies. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:DXYEducation
by FXOpen
1
Bearish drop off overlap reisstance?The US Dollar Index (DXY) has reacted off the pivot which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could drop to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support. Pivot: 106.58 1st Support: 105.44 1st Resistance: 107.05 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
TVC:DXYShort
by ICmarkets
3
GOLD TOW SENARIO1. Spot Price Around $2630: Gold is fluctuating near the $2630 support zone. This level is critical as it could determine the direction of the next move. 2. Scenario if $2630 Breaks: If the price breaks decisively below $2630 with strong volume, it could extend the bearish trend towards $2600 or even lower. The next support levels to watch are $2600 and $2580. 3. Scenario if $2630 Holds: If gold fails to break below $2630 and rebounds, it could move upward towards its immediate resistances at $2650, $2663, and potentially $2670. A break above $2670 could trigger a bullish rally targeting $2700. OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TRADE_CENTER_1
"EUR/USD: Rebound Before Deeper Decline"The EUR/USD currency pair finds itself in a delicate phase of local correction, driven primarily by the temporary softening of the US dollar. This correction comes amidst a backdrop of complex global dynamics and heightened market sensitivity to news-driven events. The currency pair appears poised to retest local highs in the short term, yet traders should approach this opportunity with a heightened sense of vigilance. Today’s economic calendar is packed with high-impact events, and the fundamental backdrop remains skewed heavily toward negativity for the euro. These factors could amplify volatility and result in sharp, unpredictable price movements. ### **Macro and Fundamental Overview** From a macroeconomic perspective, the euro faces a host of challenges that continue to undermine its strength. Persistent global headwinds, such as the lingering effects of Trump-era policies, including tariffs targeting European exports, have placed sustained pressure on the region’s trade dynamics. Meanwhile, Europe’s monetary policy stance remains dovish, with the European Central Bank leaning toward maintaining or even reducing already historically low interest rates. Such a backdrop has solidified the downtrend in EUR/USD, both on a broader and local scale. The US dollar, despite its temporary pullback, remains supported by its role as a safe haven in times of uncertainty. Factors such as a resilient US labor market, better-than-expected GDP figures, and the Fed’s measured approach to monetary policy keep the dollar attractive relative to the euro. The interplay of these forces suggests that the euro’s upward momentum during corrections is likely to remain limited and short-lived. ### **Technical Analysis: False Breakouts and Resistance Retests** On the technical front, the EUR/USD pair is exhibiting signs of a potential false breakout below key support levels. Such patterns often serve as a precursor to temporary price recoveries, as market participants test resistance levels before resuming the dominant trend. In this context, the price action suggests that a retest of nearby resistance levels, coupled with bearish reversal patterns, could pave the way for renewed selling opportunities. The most immediate resistance levels to monitor are 1.0606, 1.0650, and 1.0760. These zones are likely to attract selling pressure, especially if bearish sentiment is reinforced by today’s news events. Conversely, support levels at 1.0517, 1.0440, and 1.0330 remain critical. A decisive break below these levels could accelerate the pair’s descent, signaling the continuation of the broader downtrend. ### **News Sensitivity and Bearish Triggers** Given the heavily saturated news cycle, traders should remain particularly attentive to market reactions to economic releases and geopolitical developments. Key announcements, such as US labor market data, European inflation figures, or updates on trade negotiations, could act as catalysts for sharp price swings. If bearish triggers dominate, such as unexpectedly hawkish commentary from the Fed or further downgrades to Europe’s growth outlook, the pair is likely to face renewed selling pressure, particularly at resistance zones. ### **Trading Strategy and Outlook** In this environment, a prudent trading approach involves waiting for confirmation of bearish reversal signals at resistance levels before considering short positions. Patience is key, as the market may temporarily attempt to test or even breach resistance before resuming its downward trajectory. Traders should also consider using tight stop-loss levels to mitigate risk, given the potential for heightened volatility. To summarize, while the local correction in EUR/USD presents a short-term opportunity to test resistance levels, the overarching bearish narrative remains intact. The interplay of weak euro fundamentals, dovish monetary policy, and a generally strong US dollar points to further downside potential. Monitoring key technical levels, understanding news-driven volatility, and adopting a disciplined approach to risk management will be crucial for navigating the next phase of this downtrend.
Short
by lonelyPlayer0
1
A Brief 57-Year History of the DollarThe year 1971, when the Bretton Woods system ended, marked a period where the dollar's value followed a volatile trajectory of ups and downs—until 2008. The global financial crisis was another turning point, and since then, the dollar has been steadily appreciating. This trend is expected to continue, at least until another significant pivot point emerges. Will such a critical turning point occur during Trump’s second term? That remains to be seen. However, one thing is clear: the dollar seems poised to keep gaining value.
INDEX:DXYLong
by The_Quantastic
1
Sell GBP/USD Triangle PatternThe GBP/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position Below the Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 1.2650 Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.2585 2nd Support – 1.2550 Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
9
Sell EUR/USD Bearish FlagThe EUR/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Bearish Flag pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.0500, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.0442 2nd Support – 1.040 Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
14
EURUSD Inverse Head and Shoulders to 1.08500EURUSD has formed an Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern, confirming the bottom of the long term bearish sequence. The right shoulders is about to be completed and there is no better time to buy than now. Trading Plan: 1. Buy on the current market price. Targets: 1. 1.08500 (marginally under the 2.0 Fibonacci extension) Tips: 1. The RSI (1d) crossed above its MA on Nov 25th, confirming the transition from long term bearish to a bullish trend. This supports our 2.0 Fib target. Please like, follow and comment!! Notes: Past trading plan:
Long
by TradingBrokersView
4
USD/JPY: Fundamental Analysis and Potential UpsideUSD/JPY: Fundamental Analysis and Potential Upside 1️⃣ Monetary Policy Divergence: The Federal Reserve's hawkish stance continues to bolster the USD, driven by strong economic data such as robust GDP growth and resilient labor markets. Inflation pressures remain persistent, keeping rate cuts off the table. The Bank of Japan’s dovish policies—including negative interest rates and yield curve control—keep the yen under pressure. Although recent inflation data has sparked speculation about potential shifts, the BOJ remains committed to its accommodative stance for now. 2️⃣ Interest Rate Differentials: The widening gap between U.S. and Japanese interest rates attracts investors to the USD, encouraging carry trades that favor the dollar over the yen. 3️⃣ Rising U.S. Treasury Yields: Higher U.S. bond yields make the dollar more attractive, amplifying upward momentum in USD/JPY. 4️⃣ Risk Sentiment: Global markets currently exhibit improved risk appetite, which weighs on the safe-haven yen. However, shifts in geopolitical or financial stability concerns could reverse this dynamic. 📊 Outlook: USD/JPY's upward trajectory is fueled by strong fundamentals, but traders should remain vigilant for signs of BOJ intervention or major shifts in global risk sentiment. Like and follow for more insights! 🌟
Long
by alakorn_FX
XAU/USD (Gold) - H1 - Triangle BreakoutThe XAU/USD pair on the H1 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming Days. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position Above The Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 2652 Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 2711 2nd Resistance – 2748 Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
10
BTC sell around 95. target 91.500 If you're considering a **sell around 95,000 USD** for BTC with a **target of 91,500 USD**, this strategy implies you expect the price to decline further. Here's how you can refine your trade plan: BITSTAMP:BTCUSD --- ### **1. Entry Zone Analysis** - **Sell Trigger**: Selling at **95,000 USD** suggests it's significant, likely near a minor resistance or after a pullback. - Confirm with: - **Candle Patterns**: Look for bearish patterns like shooting stars or bearish engulfing around 95,000. - **Volume**: A spike in selling volume near this level supports a bearish case. --- ### **2. Downside Target: 91,500 USD** - **Support Zone**: Ensure that 91,500 corresponds to a prior support level, such as: - A key Fibonacci level (e.g., 61.8% or 78.6% retracement). - Previous consolidation or bounce area. - Check for overlapping support from moving averages (e.g., 50 MA or 200 MA on lower timeframes). -- **3. Indicators for Confirmation** - **RSI**: If it's trending downward or approaching oversold territory (below 50 but above 30), it confirms bearish momentum. - **MACD**: A bearish crossover and divergence with price action would reinforce the move. - **Volume Analysis**: Increasing sell volume during breakdowns confirms strength in the move. -4. Risk Management** - **Stop-Loss**: Place a stop-loss above the recent swing high or resistance zone (e.g., 95,500 or 96,000) to cap losses. - **Risk-to-Reward**: With a target of 91,500 and an entry around 95,000, you're aiming for a 3.5% move. Ensure your stop-loss level offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio (e.g., 1:2 or better). --- 5. Monitor Key Levels** - If BTC breaks below 93,000 or 92,500, these could act as interim support. Be prepared for a bounce or adjust your stop-loss to lock in profits. --- Would you like a deeper analysis or assistance in charting these levels visually?
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by TRADE_CENTER_1
USD/JPY - H1 - Bearish Flag The USD/JPY pair on the H1 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Bearish Flag pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 150.80, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 149.20 2nd Support – 148.50 Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
19
Euro plummets amid tariff threats and political turmoilEUR/USD has dropped over 0.6% to $1.04607, reflecting ongoing geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainty in the Eurozone. In November, the euro experienced a 3% decline, its worst monthly performance in over a year, raising concerns about parity with the US dollar. Trump's recent threats to impose 100% tariffs on countries moving away from the US dollar have further pressured the euro. Meanwhile, the European Central Bank's dovish signals, including potential rate cuts of up to 50 basis points in December, add to the euro's challenges. On the other hand, the US dollar index has risen nearly 1% to 106.7, bolstered by strong economic indicators like the ISM Manufacturing PMI. As traders digest these developments, the EUR/USD may continue to face downward pressure. Share your insights on how these factors could shape the pair's trajectory in the coming weeks.
by tastyfx
EURUSD: Inverse Head and Shoulders buy signal.EURUSD is bearish on its 4H technical outlook (RSI = 38.974, MACD = 0.000, ADX = 37.510) as it continues to trade near the bottom of the long term Channel Down. At the same time its low made contact with the bottom of the Bearish Megaphone. Technically that formed the Head of an Inverse Head and Shoulders. The standard target for this pattern is the 2.0 Fibonacci extension. That is our target (TP = 1.08630). See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Long
by InvestingScope
Bullish Catalysts for EUR/USDTechnical Analysis Monthly Chart: The weakening of the U.S. Dollar (DXY) creates a favorable environment for bullish movements in EUR/USD. On the monthly chart, the euro is positioned near a significant support zone that aligns with a strong buying area. With the dollar's liquidity grab above 107.348 signaling further downside potential, EUR/USD is well-positioned for upward momentum. Daily Chart: The daily chart confirms a strong bullish structure, with higher highs and higher lows indicating sustained upward pressure. The recent weakness in the DXY aligns with this bullish trend, reinforcing the potential for continued euro strength. This week's price action suggests buyers remain firmly in control, and the technical setup supports a move toward higher targets. Fundamental Analysis Impact of the U.S. Dollar Weakness: The euro stands to benefit significantly from the current bearish outlook on the DXY. With the Federal Reserve showing hesitancy toward further rate cuts due to inflation concerns and strong labor market conditions, short-term volatility is likely. However, any signs of labor market weakening or inflation stability could lead to aggressive rate cuts, further weakening the dollar and supporting EUR/USD upside. Key Catalysts: This upcoming week, Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) and unemployment rate data are expected to provide critical directional cues: Expected Increase in Unemployment: If the unemployment rate increases as forecasted, this would add downward pressure on the DXY, fueling strong upside potential for EUR/USD. Nonfarm Payroll Volatility: Regardless of the outcome, NFP data typically injects significant volatility into the market. Even in scenarios where unemployment data does not meet expectations, the euro could still reach key targets due to the strong technical bullish structure and high demand at monthly zones. Summary and Outlook Technical and Fundamental Alignment: EUR/USD is in a prime position for further upside given: The bearish outlook on the DXY, signaling continued weakness in the U.S. Dollar. The bullish structure on the EUR/USD daily chart, which supports continued buying pressure. Key catalysts this week, including unemployment and NFP data, which are likely to favor euro strength under expected scenarios. Key Factors to Monitor: The actual results of unemployment and payroll data. Fed commentary and market sentiment on potential rate adjustments. Any unexpected geopolitical or macroeconomic developments affecting the eurozone or the U.S. Price Expectations: Short-Term Target: The bullish structure supports a move toward a significant monthly resistance zone where strong buy-side liquidity resides. Medium-to-Long-Term Target: If dollar weakness persists and unemployment increases, EUR/USD could see a strong bullish move extending beyond this resistance, possibly forming new highs. With the DXY weakening and structural alignment in favor of the euro, buying EUR/USD remains a favorable strategy this week, supported by both technical and fundamental factors.
Long
by Wiiso