EUR/USD is shaping up for a solid short entry.EUR/USD is shaping up for a solid short entry. 🤔🤔🤔
The pair has tested the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level and a key liquidity zone where stop losses tend to cluster.
At the same time, the dollar index is turning upward on a larger scale.
A short position with tight stops could make sense, with a target around $1.00 .
Considering the increasing geopolitical risks in Europe , holding funds in euros doesn’t seem wise anymore.
In times like these, staying in USD looks like the safest bet.
Dollar Index:
SP500/SPY:
GOLD/USD:
DJ FXCM Index
price on bearish#XAUUSD price have multiple breakout 2920, now price is trying to recorrect the bottom low.
Await for breakout below 2910, which price will drop below 2900-2896 but expected more bearish may occur, stop loss 2921.
The H1 tf have shown something similar but based on today been CPI release candle can change.
USDCAD SHORTLongterm oportunity to short USDCAD. We are in bigger consolidation that we can see on Monthly chart. On weekly we touch upper area of consolidation and now we brake UP trend and currently we are in retracement.
Try to look for enteries for short.
SL: above highest point
TP: above lower band of consolidation (dont be too greedy)
EURUSD entering multiyear Sell Zone, but might go to 1.160 firstEURUSD hit this week its 1month MA50 for the first time since October 2024. This is the first long term Sell Zone for the pair.
The 1month MA50 - MA100 Zone has formed the last two major peaks of the market (September 2024 and July 2023), so it is highly likely to see a top getting formed here in March-April.
Since however the 10year pattern is a Channel Down and the major bullish wave in 2017 was +21.67%, there is a possibility to see an overextension of the trend a little higher than the 1month MA100.
A max +21.67% rise would take the price a little over 1.1600, which would approach the 1month MA200 (10year Resistance).
This scenario is also supported by the 1month RSI, which during this 10 year span has topped twice at 665.00 and as you see makes a very distinct (nearly) Double Top formation.
In both cases, long term traders/ investors may target below parity prices at around 0.9000.
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Dollar Index(DXY) Rebounds from Key Support–Is a New High Cominghello guys.
Let's see what happened for us index and what will happen:
Uptrend Support:
The price has been respecting a long-term ascending trendline since 2011, indicating a strong bullish structure.
Recent price action suggests that the index retested this trendline and bounced off it.
Key Resistance & Breakout Potential:
The index is in a consolidation phase after reaching a local high.
If the price holds above the trendline and breaks the previous high (~13,250-13,400), it could trigger further upside movement.
The next potential target is near 13,500-13,800 based on historical price action and Fibonacci extensions.
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Possible Scenario:
Bullish Case: If the price holds above the trendline and breaks the current range resistance, it could continue toward new highs.
Bearish Case: A breakdown below the 12,800 support level could lead to a deeper correction toward 12,400-12,000.
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Consequences of This Move:
For USD Strength:
A bullish continuation in the Dollar Index means a stronger USD, which could negatively impact commodities (gold, oil) and emerging market currencies.
Forex pairs like EUR/USD and GBP/USD could decline as the USD gains strength.
For Global Markets:
A weaker DXY (if the support breaks) would typically support equity markets and commodities like gold and Bitcoin, as a weaker dollar makes them more attractive.
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Conclusion:
The chart suggests bullish momentum, but confirmation is needed with a breakout above 13,250-13,400.
As long as the price respects the trendline and Fibonacci support, the uptrend remains intact.
Keep an eye on macroeconomic events (e.g., Fed rate decisions, inflation data), as they can impact this movement significantly.
GBP/USD Double Top (11.03.2025)The GBP/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Double Top Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.2784
2nd Support – 1.2724
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EURUSD on its 1W MA200 after 5 months.The EURUSD pair hit on Friday its 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time in 5 months (since October 03 2024). This is a major Resistance level which initiated a strong -4.00% decline on December 28 2023.
In fact -4.00% declines have been quite common for EURUSD in the past 2 years. However, the pair's strongest Resistance level has been the 1M MA100 (red trend-line) which has formed both market tops on October 01 2024 and July 18 2023.
As a result, the most optimal sell entry would be when the 1W RSI hits its Resistance Zone, with the price probably close to the 1M MA100 within the Lower Highs Zone. On the long-term, the R/R has shifted dramatically in favor of selling right now. If the rejection does happen on the 1W MA200 eventually and won't close any 1W candle above it, we have a short-term Target at 1.04600 (-4.00% decline) and if the rejection takes place higher, we will be expecting a bottom near parity with a technical Target at 1.00500 (Lower Lows Zone).
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XAU/USD (Gold) Trendline Breakout (10.03.2025)The XAU/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Trendline Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 2877
2nd Support – 2860
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The US index is at support level for again pull backThe US index is at support level; just mark the news of Dollars today and wait for confirmations on the H4 level to take the good trades.
Keep in mind!!!!!
If the US index gains some strength from the said level (103.84–103.10) and starts bullish, then the major pairs like EURUSD, GBPUSD, and XAUUSD start falling.
USD/CAD - Harmonic Patterns and Momentum IndicatorsTechnical Analysis of USD/CAD - Harmonic Patterns and Momentum Indicators
Overview:
The USD/CAD chart illustrates price action on the hourly timeframe, incorporating harmonic patterns, Fibonacci retracements, and momentum indicators to identify potential reversal and continuation points. The presence of a Crab harmonic pattern suggests a critical turning point, while momentum oscillators provide additional confirmation.
**Harmonic Pattern Analysis:**
1. A **Crab harmonic pattern** is evident, with the price reaching the terminal point at approximately **1.44627**.
2. The **XA and BC Fibonacci extensions** align with key retracement levels, reinforcing the likelihood of a reversal at this zone.
3. The price has **rejected the high point**, indicating potential exhaustion of bullish momentum.
**Support and Resistance Levels:**
- **HOP (Harmonic Optimal Point):** **1.44627** - The potential completion zone of the Crab pattern.
- **XA Retracement:** **1.43968** - A key structural support level.
- **BC Level:** **1.43721** - A secondary support level for price continuation.
- **T2 (Target 2):** **1.42596** - A potential downside target if bearish momentum continues.
**Momentum Indicators:**
- **Stochastic RSI & Relative Strength Index (RSI):**
- The **Stochastic RSI** shows a recent overbought condition, followed by a decline, indicating potential bearish momentum.
- The **RSI also exhibits bearish divergence**, where price made a higher high while RSI formed a lower high, suggesting weakening bullish strength.
**Market Sentiment & Potential Trade Opportunities:**
- Given the rejection at **1.44627**, a **short position** could be considered if confirmation of further downside emerges.
- A break below **1.43968** could reinforce the bearish bias, with **1.42596** as a potential target.
- However, if the price finds support and rebounds, a bullish continuation could be anticipated, requiring further validation.
**Conclusion:**
The **Crab harmonic pattern, overbought momentum indicators, and Fibonacci confluence suggest a possible bearish reversal**. Traders should monitor **key support levels and momentum shifts** to determine whether the bearish scenario plays out or if buyers regain control. Risk management and confirmation signals are crucial before entering a trade.
GBP/USD 15-Minute Chart: Bearish Reversal at Harmonic CompletionThe chart showcases a well-defined harmonic pattern, the Shark, with the price reaching the terminal zone at 1.2670 , marked by a red downward triangle. This suggests a potential reversal zone where selling pressure may emerge.
Key observations:
The price has reacted strongly at the completion point, aligning with Fibonacci extensions.
Overbought conditions are evident in the RSI and other momentum indicators, indicating potential exhaustion of the bullish trend.
Target levels:
T1: 1.26241
T2: 1.25741
Suggests a possible downside move if the reversal confirms.
Traders should watch for bearish confirmation before entering short positions, while bulls may seek a break above 1.2670 for further upside.
USD/CAD Market Analysis: Potential Reversal from Resistance ZoneThe USD/CAD pair on the 15-minute timeframe is showing signs of a potential bearish reversal. The price has been in an uptrend, forming higher highs and higher lows while respecting a diagonal support trendline. However, it has now approached a key resistance zone around 1.43575, as marked by the M15 supply area.
The current price action suggests a rejection from this resistance, with wicks indicating selling pressure. If the price breaks below the ascending trendline, a further decline towards the 1.42794 support level is likely. The risk-to-reward setup favours short positions if confirmation of a bearish structure shift occurs.
Traders should monitor price action closely for a trendline break or a strong bearish engulfing candle to confirm the sell-off.
USD | USD INDEX Weekly FOREX Forecast: March 10 - 14thIn this video, we will analyze the USD through the USD INDEX (DXY). We'll determine the bias for the upcoming week, and look for the best setups to take.
The USD is bearish, and there is plenty of economic news coming up this week. Should be plenty of opportunities from Tues through Friday.
Short term bullishness, in the form of a pullback, is potentially there. But longer term bearishness is likely to continue.
Enjoy!
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
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Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
GBPUSD: Bullish Outlook For Next Week Explained 🇬🇧🇺🇸
GBPUSD broke and closed above a key daily horizontal
resistance this week.
The next strong historic structure is 1.3.
It will most likely be the next goal for the buyers the following week.
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Market Forecast UPDATES! Monday, Mar 3rdIn this video, we will update the forecasts posted last March 2nd for the following markets:
ES \ S&P 500
NQ | NASDAQ 100
YM | Dow Jones 30
GC |Gold
SiI | Silver
PL | Platinum
HG | Copper
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
USDCHF: Channel Down bottomed. Buy opportunity.USDCHF turned oversold on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 30.423, MACD = -0.005, ADX = 28.684), hitting the LL bottom of the Channel Down. The 4H RSI has made a Double Bottom and this is technically an ideal level to start buying the pair again. We expect a +2.60% rise like the late January bullish wave that will test the 4H MA200. The trade is long, TP = 0.89900.
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Falling towards overlap support?US Dollar Index (DXY) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 103.53
1st Support: 102.36
1st Resistance: 105.62
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EUR/USD Falling Wedge The falling wedge pattern on the EUR/USD 12-hour chart has been confirmed, signaling a potential bullish breakout. This classic technical setup indicates a reversal from the prior downtrend, with buyers stepping in as price breaks above the upper resistance line of the wedge.
Key Details:
Pattern Confirmation: The breakout above the wedge resistance line confirms the pattern, with a retest further validating the upward move.
Targets:
Target 1: 1.0600 – Based on previous support-turned-resistance levels.
Target 2: 1.0900 – The measured move from the height of the wedge added to the breakout point.
This setup reflects the strength of technical analysis, with the falling wedge showing the market's tendency to reverse after sustained selling pressure. A strong support level provides the foundation for this bullish move.