Bearish Intraday Momentum in DXYDXY is showing bearish momentum in the intraday charts, with the price encountering resistance and struggling to maintain recent highs. The indicators reflect a downward trend, signaling potential weakness ahead. This setup could lead to further declines if the current momentum persists. Let’s keep a close eye on the developments!
DJ FXCM Index
USDRUB Sell opportunity at the top of the Channel Down.The USDUB pair is on the 2nd straight red candle following yesterday's strong rejection near the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the 1-year Channel Down. At the same time, the 1D RSI almost broke above the overbought barrier (70.00), a level last visited on April 16 2024.
As a result, we believe that this is the start of the new Bearish Leg of the pattern. Our target is 81.200, representing a -13.49% decline (similar to the previous ones).
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Buy Gold (Xau/Usd) Bullish FlagThe XAU/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential Buying opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Bullish Flag pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the Upside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Buy Entry: Consider entering a Long position around the current price of 2474, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 2496
2nd Support – 2506
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below 2450. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
Sell USD/CHF Triangle BreakoutThe USD/CHF pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position Below the Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 0.8640
Target Levels:
1st Support – 0.8602
2nd Support – 0.8570
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 0.8686. This helps limit potential losses if the price falls back unexpectedly.
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
A 100 basis point rate cut making the dollar weakMarkets expect a 100 basis point Fed rate cut during the remaining meetings this year.
A 100 basis point rate cut by the Fed would likely weaken the U.S. dollar.
Lower interest rates reduce the yield on dollar-denominated assets, making them less attractive to investors.
This could lead to a decrease in demand for the dollar, causing the Dollar Currency Index (DXY) to decline.
Additionally, a weaker dollar might boost U.S. exports by making them more competitive globally, but it could also increase inflationary pressures.
EURUSD Aggressive selling about to start.Just last week (August 05, see chart below), we stressed on the importance of the 1W candle closing following the break above the 13-month Lower Highs trend-line (top) of the Triangle pattern:
The week eventually closed in losses (red 1W candle) and below the Lower Highs, which gave a bearish signal upon a technical rejection. This is a Double Higher High rejection similar to June 04, which initiated the previous Bearish Leg towards the Channel's bottom (Higher Lows).
As a result, we believe that it is still early to make a sell entry and target 1.07500.
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Seize the "Gold"en chance now! Prices could skyrocket!The hourly chart is showing the development of a double bottom pattern.
- If the neckline at the 2404 level is breached, we could witness a surge in gold prices. The anticipated upside targets are as follows:
- 1st target - 2418 level
- 2nd target - 2453 level
- 3rd target - 2475 level
Sell AUD/USD Wedge BreakoutThe AUD/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 0.6584, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 0.6525
2nd Support – 0.6490
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 0.6610. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
Oil crushing it's slippery slope NYMEX:MCL1!
After nearly a month of selling, oil seems to be taking back buyer's momentum that first started on July 17th, 2024 and ended on August 6th, 2024. When the creation of the "W" formed shortly after hitting a 10 min supply area, this signaled the last moments of Oil's sell trend. As we go into this week, we see that oil is still coming in hot to take back supply area's that it created on the 1hr timeframe, but it's due for a pullback. Depending on after market movements, we can possibly see Oil start to pullback to continue making buy structure to the upside. Oil has a good possibility to make it back to the areas of 83.50 and 84.50. Since in current time right now as I'm typing this, Oil has already broken 3 LH's (lower high) that were created between July 22nd, 2024 and August 1st, 2024. We can see pullbacks in the range of 78.84 and 77.12 to potentially see continuation of buying movements. Within this outlook, my current analysis is buyers market until price shows other signs.
USDCHF Loong!This price has been forming a falling flag for the past few weeks, which IMO is always a strong sentiment for a bullish market. After completing the pattern and liquidity grab, I do anticipate that the price might retest the upper trend line of the pattern.
Entry point at 0.868, SL at 0.855 and TP at 0.894
Remember, only risk 1-2% of your account.
NASDAQ - US100 Facing Bearish PressureThe CAPITALCOM:US100 index is currently facing significant downward pressure, largely due to mounting concerns about the U.S. economy. The potential for a recession is growing as recent data points to an increase in unemployment claims, and the Federal Reserve has decided to delay interest rate cuts. This has created uncertainty in the markets, as higher unemployment could lead to reduced consumer spending, further exacerbating the economic slowdown. The anticipation of prolonged higher interest rates is also weighing on investor sentiment, making the stock market, particularly tech-heavy indexes like NASDAQ, more vulnerable to declines.
Technically, the BLACKBULL:NAS100 index has been following a clear pattern of reactions to its trendlines. The index recently fell and touched the third trendline support, which has historically been a critical level for determining market direction. After this touch, the index attempted a recovery, moving back towards the second trendline, which now acts as a breakeven point. However, the failure to break through this level and the subsequent rejection suggests that the bears are firmly in control. The pattern indicates that the index may face further declines, particularly if it breaches the third trendline support.
In conclusion, both fundamental and technical factors are pointing towards a bearish outlook for the NASDAQ index. The rising possibility of a recession, driven by increasing unemployment claims and the Fed’s cautious approach to rate cuts, has dampened investor sentiment. On the technical side, the index’s inability to reclaim key trendline supports indicates that more downside is likely. As a result, investors should be cautious and prepared for potential further declines in the NASDAQ index in the coming weeks.
USDSEK Bearish break-out imminent.The USDSEK pair is testing the Internal Higher Lows trend-line of the 2-year Channel Down pattern, below both the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). Having made its last Lower High just above the 0.786 Fibonacci level (similar to the previous Lower High), it is technically expected to break the Internal Higher Lows trend-line and extend to a new Channel Down Low towards the end of the year.
As you can see the structure of this pattern is very symmetrical and with the last Lower Low being just above the -0.186 Fibonacci extension, we expect the next to be at 9.7500 at least.
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Buy Gold (Xau/Usd) Channel BreakoutThe XAU/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential Buying opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the Upside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Buy Entry: Consider entering a Long position around the current price of 2394, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 2470
2nd Support – 2500
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below 2362. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
US 2-Year T-NoteHey Traders
We have US 2-Year T-Note, all my weekly fundamentals are showing a nice drop from from supply zone bounced out and is looking strong to sell down, I will be waiting for a pullback to my sell limit marked off on chart.
When I am lining up a set up I always use the daily TF to place a sell limit or buy limit from supply zone or demand zone.
Please like comment and follow cheers
This chart material is for education purposes only / Demo account should be traded only
XAUUSD/BUY TO SELL NARRATIVES Hi Guy
Happy weekend,I’m anticipating a potential buy to sell setup on the yellow metals,as price is Gradually getting closer to a H1 key-level
Alternatively GOLD remains bullish as we have seen in recent weeks,but looking at the CPi and FEd report coming up this week and hopefully next,they should serve as ideal catalyst for the move
XAUUSD - Gold Analysis using ICT ConceptsHere is a an analysis on XAUUSD using ICT Concepts based on our most recent price action. I take a top-down approach in analyzing price and anticipating future movements. Everything is explained in the video so watch it, and feel free to share your thoughts and ideas on what may be in store for Gold in the coming days, weeks, or months.
- R2F
GBPUSD: Your Trading Plan For Next Week 🇬🇧🇺🇸
GBPUSD is trading in a global bullish trend.
We see a correctional stage on the pair at the moment.
The market is currently stuck within a falling parallel channel
- a bullish flag pattern.
A bullish breakout of the resistance of the flag - a daily candle close above that,
will be a strong bullish signal.
It will signify the end of a correction and a resumption of a bullish trend.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Dollar Index: Vulnerable Support Ahead of CPI Inflation Data Ahead of this week’s CPI inflation print, the US Dollar Index has moderately bounced back from support at 102.78. Despite benefiting from additional channel support (taken from the low of 103.65) and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) recently shaking hands with oversold space (< 30.00), bullish resolve from the support has been uninspiring.
Lacklustre Rebound from Support
The lacklustre reply from support could be due to sentiment favouring bears; since topping at 106.13 in late June, sellers have dominated price action, pushing the unit through the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 104.21.
Further Downside?
Should bulls change gears and extend the pullback from support, resistance at 104.02 calls for attention. This base also shares chart space with channel resistance (extended from the high of 106.13), and the 200-day SMA underlined above. Alternatively, in light of the feeble response from current support and sentiment favouring downside at this point, breaching current support could be on the table this week, with the pendulum swinging in favour of reaching support from 101.78 and 101.01.
R2F Weekly Analysis -10th August 2024 (ICT Concepts)Welcome to another R2F Weekly Market Analysis using ICT Concepts along with my own discoveries. I'm going to go through various assets/markets, and give a real-time view of how I perform my analysis on the weekends. I'll give my take on what has been happening, and what I'm expecting in either the coming days, weeks, or months. Without further ado, let's get into it!
- R2F