OVER BTC PLANBitcoin's trajectory seems to be holding steady, defying expectations of a significant drop. Rather than falling drastically, it appears poised to consolidate within a stable range, likely centered around the $90K mark. Although a push beyond the $100K threshold may not be imminent, its current position reflects resilience, indicating that BTC might remain within this middle ground as the market seeks its next major catalyst..
DJ FXCM Index
USD/CHF - H4 - Wedge BreakoutThe USD/CHF pair on the H4 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Wedge pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Days. FX:USDCHF
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 0.8689
2nd Support – 0.8619
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
USDJPY Bearish ContinuationWe are currently looking for bearish continuations to keep selling and following the higher timeframe trend.
Following the 4H timeframe down to the 1H, we have 2 potential areas of interest we can have a minimal risk high reward trade.
AS price continues to accumilate into our areas I will keep updating for possible trade entries.
Dollar Index (DXY) Analysis - A Deeper Correction Approaching?Dollar Index (DXY) Analysis - Is a Deeper Correction Approaching?
Since September 2024, the Dollar Index (DXY) has risen significantly, gaining 8.2%, marking its highest appreciation in months. This upward momentum has been fueled by positive economic indicators, increasing demand for dollars. Recently, the DXY reached the 107.00 mark, its highest resistance level since 2022. However, after hitting this point, the DXY exhibited a false breakout, suggesting potential buyer fatigue.
Currently, the price has dipped slightly to 105.93, with the possibility of further retracement towards the 38.2% Fibonacci level at 104.92 before continuing its upward trend.
Buying Potential
If the price returns to the range between 104.92 (38.2% Fibonacci) and 103.96 (50% Fibonacci) and shows a bullish reversal, it could indicate a continuation of the upward movement, presenting a buying opportunity. Key confluence points for the DXY include:
Horizontal support around 104.92, aligning with the Fibonacci retracement.
The overall upward trend since September.
The 50-period moving average on the daily chart, which may coincide with this support.
These factors suggest that if the price reaches the support zone, buyers could re-enter, pushing the price back towards recent highs around 106.97, potentially targeting 108.00.
Potential Targets
First Target: Retest the high at 107.00.
Secondary Target: Extend to 109.30, contingent on a confirmed breakout.
Alternative Bearish Scenario
If the price fails to hold at 104.92 and drops below the 50% retracement at 103.96, the index may decline further. In this scenario, the next significant support is at 102.99, aligning with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. This decline would indicate a deeper correction while still within a generally bullish framework.
However, breaching this level could negate the short-term bullish outlook and push the index down to 100.00, a key psychological support level.
Warning Signs for a Possible Sell Opportunity
A daily close below 103.96, suggesting weakening buyer support.
A sustained drop below 102.99, indicating a shift in the prevailing trend.
Summary
The DXY currently exhibits a predominantly bullish structure but is undergoing a natural correction after hitting a crucial resistance level. The area between 104.92 and 103.96 presents a potential buying opportunity, provided there are clear signs of a price reversal. Monitoring the specified support levels is crucial, as significant breaches could undermine the bullish scenario and lead to deeper declines.
Disclaimer
74% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. Consider whether you understand how CFDs work and if you can afford the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investment values may fluctuate, and you may not recover your initial investment. This content is not intended for residents of the UK.
Dollar Index (DXY): Time to Fill the Gap?!
I guess you saw this gap down that was formed this night on Dollar Index.
Analysing a price action today, it looks like the market is preparing to fill it.
I see a nice bearish trap and inducement followed by a bullish imbalance
on an hourly.
I think that the index will go up to the gap opening level soon.
Goal - 106.11
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Bullish bounce?US Dollar Index (DXY) has reacted off the pivot which is a pullback support and could drop to the 1st support which is a pullback support.
Pivot: 106.18
1st Support: 105.27
1st Resistance: 107.04
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
AUD/USD Analysis 1HThe price has broken above the resistance zone in gray and is now forming a triangle pattern.
✅ My idea:
If the price continues to rise, the first target is the red resistance zone, followed by the second resistance in the green zone.
Using the measurement from the bottom of the triangle to its top, the green zone aligns with the projected target.
🚨 Plan:
Wait for confirmation before entering to avoid false moves. Manage your risk with appropriate stop-loss levels.
👉 Follow me for more updates and trading ideas!
GBP/USD - H4 Chart - Rising Wedge BreakoutThe GBP/USD pair on the H4 timeframe presents a potential Buying opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Rising Wedge pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the Upside in the coming Days.
Key Points:
Buy Entry: Consider entering a Long position around the current price of 1.2695, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.2862
2nd Support – 1.3006
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
$USCPCEPIMM -U.S PCE (October/2024)ECONOMICS:USCPCEPIMM
October/2024
source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis
-The US core PCE price index, the Federal Reserve’s preferred gauge to measure underlying inflation, rose by 0.3% from the previous month in October 2024, the same pace as in September and matching market forecasts.
Service prices rose by 0.4%, while goods prices decreased 0.1%. Year-on-year, core PCE prices rose by 2.8% in October, the most in six months, also in line with market estimates.
Bearish drop?US Dollar Index (DXY) is rising towards the pivot which is a pullback resistance and could drop to the 1st support which is a pullback support.
Pivot: 106.52
1st Support: 105.44
1st Resistance: 107.57
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
XAU USD - current sells in play, looking for buying ops
Master Key for zones
Red = Three Month
Blue = Monthly
Purple = weekly
Pink = Consolidative box example (Daily)
Orange = Daily
Risk Warning
Trading leveraged products such as Forex, commodities and CFDs, carries with it a high level of risk and so may not be suitable for every investor. Prior to trading the foreign exchange, commodity or CFD market, consider your investment objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. You should never risk more than you can afford to lose. If you fail to understand or are uncertain of the risks involved, please seek independent advice and remember to conduct due diligence as criteria varies to suit the individual.
Below are some of the take aways from the video - please listen again incase any detail is missed.
Do you enjoy the setups?
Professional analyst with 8+ years experience in the capital markets
Focus on technical output not fundamentals
Focus on investing for long term positional moves
Provide updates where necessary - with new updated ideas tracking the progress.
If you like the idea, please leave a like or comment.
To all the followers, thank you for your continued support.
Thanks,
LVPA MMXXIV
DXY: High-Probability Retracement SetupThe DXY has been forming higher highs, signaling bullish momentum. Currently, the market appears to be making a short-term retracement into a daily bullish order block (OB) at 105.174, which aligns with a high-probability setup, further supported by a fair value gap (FVG) just above it.
Confirmation of this retracement transitioning into expansion will occur if a daily candle taps into the OB and closes above the PD array. If this scenario unfolds, the next target is the buy-side liquidity (BSL) at 108.060, marking a significant level for potential upside momentum.
Keep an eye on the daily closures for validation, and always align entries with confluences for optimal risk management.
USD/JPY - H4 - Channel Breakout The USD/JPY pair on the H4 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Channel Breakout pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Days.
USDJPY
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 154.00, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 151.30
2nd Support – 149.82
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
TradeCityPro | NZDUSD : Will the Range Break Soon?👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro!
In this analysis, I will review the NZDUSD forex pair for you. The analysis is conducted on the daily timeframe.
📦 This pair has been ranging within a box between 0.57987 and 0.63543 for nearly two years. As a result, indicators like moving averages are not used in this analysis, as they do not provide reliable data in a ranging market.
🔽 Currently, the price has reached the bottom of the box, and there is a possibility of breaking it to the downside. If the 0.57987 support is broken and the price stabilizes below this level, bearish momentum will enter the market, increasing the likelihood of the price reaching the next support at 0.5541.
📈 However, if the price manages to climb above the 0.58942 level and forms a new high and low above this area, the bearish scenario will be temporarily invalidated, and the price will likely move towards testing the 0.60619 and 0.61962 resistances and even the top of the box.
✨ On the other hand, the RSI is near the 30 level. If it enters the oversold zone, the likelihood of breaking the 0.57987 support increases. Conversely, if the RSI reaches the 50 level or higher, bullish momentum will enter the market.
🔑 In case of a trend reversal and a breakout above the top of the box, the next resistance will be at 0.65069.
📝 Final Thoughts
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
GBP/USD - H1 - Broadening Wedge The GBP/USD pair on the H1 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent formation of well-defined Broadening Wedge pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.2532, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.2442
2nd Support – 1.2375
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
EURUSD Today's 1D Death Cross turning into a 3 month rally!The EURUSD pair is having a strong bullish reversal after marginally breaking on Friday below the bottom (Lower Lows trend-line) of the 1.5 year Channel Down. The 1W RSI got marginally oversold (below 30.00), which is a technical buy level.
So far it is similar to the October 03 2023 bottom, which was formed on a 1D Death Cross, exactly the kind of pattern that is being completed today! That bottom initiated a strong 3-month rally that hit the 0.618 and 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level respectively. Our long-term Target is 1.08765 (Fib 0.618).
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Could the price bounce from here?US Dollar Index (DXY) is falling towards the pivot which is an overlap support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which acts as an overlap resistance.
Pivot: 106.35
1st Support: 105.22
1st Resistance: 108.55
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
How Will a Strong Dollar Impact Emerging Forex Pairs?Persistent US dollar strength is poised to pose significant challenges for emerging market (EM) bonds and forex. As the greenback continues its upward trajectory, investors are advised to exercise caution and consider potential risks.
Why a Strong Dollar Matters for Emerging Markets
A stronger dollar generally makes it more expensive for emerging market countries to service their dollar-denominated debt. They need to exchange their local currency for US dollars to make payments. When the dollar appreciates, it requires more of their local currency to acquire the necessary amount of dollars.
Furthermore, a strong dollar can deter foreign investment in emerging markets. Investors may prefer to invest in US assets, which are perceived as safer and more stable. This can lead to capital flight from emerging markets, putting pressure on their currencies and economies.
Potential Risks for Emerging Market Bonds and Forex
Investors in emerging market bonds should be aware of the following risks:
1. Currency Risk: A weaker local currency can erode the value of bond investments. As the dollar strengthens, emerging market currencies may depreciate, reducing the value of bond holdings when converted back to the investor's home currency.
2. Interest Rate Risk: Rising interest rates in the US can lead to higher borrowing costs for emerging market countries. This can increase their debt burden and make it more difficult to service their debt obligations.
3. Default Risk: In extreme cases, a strong dollar and rising interest rates can push emerging market countries to the brink of default. This can result in significant losses for bondholders.
How to Mitigate Risks
While the risks associated with emerging market bonds are significant, investors can take steps to mitigate them:
1. Diversification: Diversifying investments across different emerging markets can help reduce exposure to specific country risks.
2. Currency Hedging: Investors can use currency hedging strategies to protect themselves from currency fluctuations.
3. Credit Rating Analysis: Carefully analyzing the creditworthiness of issuers can help identify bonds with lower default risk.
4. Consult with Financial Advisors: Seeking advice from experienced financial advisors can provide valuable insights and help develop a suitable investment strategy.
Conclusion
The persistent strength of the US dollar poses a significant threat to emerging market bonds. Investors should be mindful of the risks associated with these investments and take appropriate measures to protect their portfolios. By diversifying, hedging, and conducting thorough due diligence, investors can navigate the challenges posed by a strong dollar and potentially reap the rewards of emerging market growth.
It is important to note that this article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.2
EURUSD: Detailed Support & Resistance Analysis 🇪🇺🇺🇸
Here is my latest structure analysis
and important support & resistance levels/zones on EURUSD for next week.
Support 1: 1.030 - 1.033 area
Support 2: 1.016 - 1.024 area
Support 3: 1.008 - 1.009 area
Support 4: 0.994 - 0.997 area
Support 5: 0.962 - 0.975 area
Support 6: 0.953 - 0.960 area
Resistance 1: 1.045 - 1.053 area
Resistance 2: 1.060 - 1.062 area
Resistance 3: 1.066 - 1.069 area
Resistance 4: 1.094 - 1.094 area
Resistance 5: 1.099 - 1.101 area
Resistance 6: 1.120 - 1.128 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️