EURUSD: Detailed Support & Resistance Analysis 🇪🇺🇺🇸
Here is my latest support and resistance analysis for
EURUSD for the week ahead.
Resistance 1: 1.1456 - 1.1552 area
Resistance 2: 1.1640 - 1.1700 area
Resistance 3: 1.1860 - 1.1915 area
Support 1: 1.1150 - 1.1280 area
Support 2: 1.0730 - 1.0900 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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DJ FXCM Index
Bitcoin is not going back to 100k anytime soon!!Good day traders, back against it with this bitcoin idea I’m currently on back on what price has shown us in recent weeks.
1W- Here price is still very much bearish as we can see that the market is in an expansion meaning any idea of price moving higher is what we all wish for but price does not care so overall here we bearish and need to be ready alert to price always wanting to move higher by taking recent highs.
4H- Now here we can see price shot higher for the liquidity that was resting above the recent broken highs, keeping in mind that our weekly bias is still bearish we than wanna see a shift in structure on the 1 hour TF to give us our first confirmation of many confirmations we use to come at a decision. After price respects our idea than we wanna see price go take the equal lows(Sellside liquidity) below.
Now I wanna make this bold prediction, and it’s my opinion by the way it’s not a fact or anything like that right. In my opinion I don’t think bitcoin will see 100k for the rest of 2025. And my prediction is based on my analysis only!!
$DXY suffers worst day since Nov 10, 2022 – What does it mean?💵 The US Dollar Index just posted its biggest daily drop in nearly 2.5 years, crashing through the 100 level with strong volume. This breakdown signals weakness in the dollar that could have massive implications across all asset classes:
📉 Why it matters:
A weak dollar makes US exports more competitive globally, but also reflects investor fear or policy shifts.
Commodities like gold, oil, and crypto tend to rally when the dollar drops.
Could indicate a pivot in monetary policy, potential rate cuts, or macroeconomic concerns.
🧠 From a technical standpoint, this break of support could trigger further downside. The last time this happened, we saw a significant shift in risk appetite.
📊 What to watch:
Upcoming Fed statements
Inflation & jobs data
Reaction in equities and crypto
👇 Is this the start of a larger trend, or just an overreaction?
Let’s discuss!
#DXY #USD #DollarIndex #Forex #Macro #MarketUpdate #Commodities #Gold #Crypto #TradingView
USDJPY LONG FORECAST Q2 W15 D11 Y25
USDJPY LONG FORECAST Q2 W15 D11 Y25
Happy Friday Traders, It has been a week of sitting on capital. Being cautious, awaiting for breaks of structures at key areas and not not getting dragged into trades that do not fully present themselves. The clues have been there. The carrot has been continually dangled however as risk managers... You know how the saying goes.
We stay true to our trading plan.
We hold firm with what we know works.
We are aware of our market edge.
We know our "perfect" set up does present itself.
with that said, we are dynamic! We do of course entertain the "Imperfect" setup. We simply approach with caution.
A slightly different take. Can we snap the lows of Tokyo in the London session. Tap into the 4 hour order block, push bullish to break Lower time frame structure?
A quick setup with a take profit area where FRGNT anticipates a potential turn around in price short.
Lets see how it plays !
Trade well.
FRGNT X
$S&P500 macro analysis , market approaching correction °•° $SPXHi 👋🏻 check out my previous analysis ⏰ on SP:SPX macro bullish analysis ⏰
As provided it went up up 🚀 completed my target's 🎯 💯💪🏻 ✅ ✔️
Click on it 👆🏻 just check out each and every time updates ☝🏻 ☺️
•••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••
NOW I was completely 🐻 BEARISH on the market with in upcoming months SP:SPX
📌 Expecting liquidation pump $6500 - $6700
Invalid 🛑 when complete month close above $6700
¹support - $5500 ( 🎯 ¹ )
²support - $5130 ( 🎯 ² )
🎯 3 ... Will be updated based on market conditions by that time ☺️
📍 A wise 🦉 man said - always having patience " is " always gaining only /-
NASDAQ:TSLA ( i accumulate slowly until it cross above $400 )
rest of stocks i will follow index ☝🏻 i will invest based on market conditions ..... ✔️
USDJPY LONG FORECAST Q2 W15 D11 Y25USDJPY LONG FORECAST Q2 W15 D11 Y25
Happy Friday Traders, It has been a week of sitting on capital. Being cautious, awaiting for breaks of structures at key areas and not not getting dragged into trades that do not fully present themselves. The clues have been there. The carrot has been continually dangled however as risk managers... You know how the saying goes.
We stay true to our trading plan.
We hold firm with what we know works.
We are aware of our market edge.
We know our "perfect" set up does present itself.
with that said, we are dynamic! We do of course entertain the "Imperfect" setup. We simply approach with caution.
USDJPY LONG FORECAST Q2 W15 D11 Y25
15' of course, bearish start to the Friday. Perhaps we are asking a lot from UJ today but let's see if we can break 15' structure before taking a deeper look.
Bigger picture, We are in a weekly order block in the long direction so all shorts are OFF until further notice.
Best of Luck Traders.
Continue to manager your capital.
FRGNT X
BTC SPX Ratio At Its LimitsAs BTC has matured, it has revealed its limits relative to SPX. Any time the price rises above 15, a correction follows.
While it has not yet cracked I find myself violating my own rules again and compelled to share this chart with you BEFORE the crack.
Markets are volatile and I am simply trying to keep people from getting hurt. Do not make the mistake of thinking BTC is a safe asset.
Bulls best to take profits.
Click boost, follow, subscribe, and let me help you navigate these crazy markets.
USDJPY Moment of truth for the long-term bullish trend.The USDJPY pair has been trading within a Channel Up since the October 17 2022 High and right now the current 1W candle is very close to its bottom (Higher Lows trend-line). This offers a low risk trading set-up.
Confirmed buy will be if the price breaks and closes a 1W candle above the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), in which case our Target will be July's Resistance at 161.500 (similar to the 2023 Bullish Leg).
If on the other hand it breaks and closes a 1W candle below the Channel Up, turn short and target the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) at 139.500.
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USDJPY SHORT LIVE TRADE AND EDUCATIONAL BREAKDOWNUSD/JPY tumbles below 147.00, awaits US CPI for fresh impetus
USD/JPY has come under intense selling presure and drops below 147.00 in the Asian session on Thursday. The US-China trade war escalation and the divergent BoJ-Fed policy expectations underpin the Japanese Yen and weigh heavily on the pair amid a renewed US Dollar downtick. US CPI awaited.
gold on buy till 3137#XAUUSD price have breakout 3100 once more now its will reach the ATH which will decline again on sell.
Firstly we buy at the rectangle 3100-3102 on multiple breakout first, target 3137 TP, SL 3085.
Above 3137 have bearish decline which will drop the price back but multiple breakout above 3137 will reach the ATH.
EURUSD TO BUY (Wednesday-FOMC Meeting Minutes and Thursday-CPI)As EURUSD as been dropping the past couple of days, it has been on the support levels of 1.0900 lately. On Wednesday and Thursday, there are news about FOMC Meeting Minutes and CPI of the US Dollar. Therefore, we could possibly see price of the EURUSD going up based on news, support pattern of the triangle.
TP: 1.1050-1.110
NZDUSD: Support & Resistance Analysis and Key Levels 🇳🇿🇺🇸
Here is my latest structure analysis and
important supports & resistances on NZDUSD.
Support 1: 0.5506 - 0.5538 area
Support 2: 0.5470 - 0.5479 area
Resistance 1: 0.5644 - 0.5683 area
Resistance 2: 0.5796 - 0.5854 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
WHY EVERYTHING IS GOING DOWN? ANSWER IS HERE!Understanding the Simultaneous Decline in EVERYTHING!
1. The Influence of U.S. Treasury Yields and Interest Rates
The U.S. 10-year Treasury bond yield is a major benchmark in global finance. When yields rise, it signifies that bonds are becoming more attractive relative to riskier assets. Rising yields typically occur when:
Investor Demand Shifts: Investors move from risky assets (like equities or crypto) to safer, higher-yielding government bonds.
Inflation Expectations: Higher inflation expectations often lead investors to demand higher yields, which in turn increases borrowing costs.
Cause and Effect:
When Treasury yields increase, the opportunity cost of holding lower-yielding assets rises. This makes stocks, precious metals like gold, and speculative assets like cryptocurrencies less attractive. Even gold, typically seen as a safe haven, can lose its charm if fixed-income assets provide competitive returns with significantly lower risk.
2. M2 Money Supply Dynamics
The M2 money supply measures the total liquidity available in the economy, including cash, checking deposits, and easily convertible near-money assets. Changes in M2 can impact asset prices in several ways:
Expanding M2: More liquidity in the market initially can boost asset prices. However, if this expansion leads to rising inflation, it may eventually trigger higher interest rates and bond yields.
Contraction or Slowing Growth in M2: A tightening in liquidity can reduce the flow of money into various asset classes. This dampens overall market sentiment and makes riskier assets less attractive.
Cause and Effect:
If M2 growth slows or contracts, there is less capital to chase after higher returns in equities and crypto. At the same time, if there is an expectation of tightening monetary policy, investors recalibrate risk expectations, which leads to a broader sell-off across multiple asset classes.
3. Investor Sentiment and Risk-Off Behavior
In periods where both Treasury yields are rising and the money supply signals less liquidity, the overall investor sentiment often shifts toward a "risk-off" stance. This means:
Safe-Haven Demand: Investors move into safe assets like government bonds, which drives up bond prices and yields while pulling money out of riskier assets such as stocks, gold, and cryptocurrencies.
Correlation Effect: As riskier assets are sold off, their prices fall in tandem. Therefore, even if gold typically acts as a counterweight to stocks, in a severe risk-off environment, all asset classes might decline.
Cause and Effect:
With a risk-off sentiment dominating the market, traditional safe havens (like gold) and growth-oriented assets (stocks and crypto) can experience simultaneous declines. Rising yields encourage a rotation away from these riskier positions, which reinforces the downward trend across multiple markets.
4. Historical Context: The Trump Era and Beyond
During the Trump administration, we observed episodes where Treasury bond prices surged significantly (e.g., a 10% surge) as investors sought refuge during periods of political and economic uncertainty. Eventually, as market sentiment shifted, yields rose, and this led to higher borrowing costs. The resulting effect was a broad-based retreat in many asset classes.
Example: In those periods, as yields climbed to around 4%, investor appetite for risk diminished. The market corrected across equities, precious metals, and cryptocurrencies, with all asset classes experiencing pressure concurrently.
Cause and Effect:
In the current climate, if similar dynamics are at work—namely, rising yields accompanied by tightening M2 growth—then we might see a similar pattern: gold, the S&P 500, and crypto all experience declines together because investor risk appetite is sharply reduced.
Conclusion
The simultaneous decline in gold, the S&P 500, and cryptocurrencies can primarily be attributed to rising U.S. Treasury yields and tightening M2 money supply. As yields rise:
The relative attractiveness of low-risk government bonds improves, encouraging a shift in investment away from riskier assets.
Increased yields raise borrowing costs, which in turn dampens economic growth and investor sentiment.
Slowing liquidity (as measured by M2) further restricts the available capital chasing after higher returns.
This confluence of factors leads to a widespread "risk-off" environment where even traditional safe havens like gold may fall as the entire market adjusts to a higher interest rate and lower liquidity backdrop. Investors thus move across asset classes in a coordinated fashion, leading to declines in gold, equities, and crypto alike.
Understanding this cause-and-effect relationship is crucial for professional traders who rely on disciplined strategies. With a clear view of the broader economic signals, you can navigate these shifts with precision—helping you not only to avoid costly mistakes but also to capitalize on high-probability opportunities that emerge during these market transitions.
US DOLLAR at Key Support: Will Price Rebound to 103.350?TVC:DXY is currently testing a key support zone, an area where the price has previously shown strong bullish reactions. The recent price action suggests that buyers may step in and drive the price higher. A bullish confirmation, such as a strong rejection pattern, bullish engulfing candles, or long lower wicks, would increase the probability of a bounce from this level. If buyers regain control, the price could move toward the 103.350 level.
However, a breakout below this support would invalidate the bullish outlook, potentially opening the door for further downside.
This is not financial advice but rather how I approach support/resistance zones. Remember, always wait for confirmation, like a rejection candle or volume spike before jumping in.
Please boost this post, every like and comment drives me to bring you more ideas! I’d love to hear your perspective in the comments.
Best of luck , TrendDiva
Bearish drop?USD/JPY has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which has been identified as a pullback support.
Pivot: 148.24
1st Support: 145.39
1st Resistance: 150.06
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish reversal?USDX is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 103.43
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 104.13
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 102.30
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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EUR/USD Triangle Breakout (07.04.2025)The EUR/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.0825
2nd Support – 1.0719
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EURUSD reached a 20-month Resistance. Potential for heavy sell.The EURUSD pair has almost hit the Lower Highs trend-line that started on the July 18 2023 High and immediately got rejected. The Resistance Zone that connects the last 3 major Highs within a 20-month span, follows the same pattern, especially with the 1D RSI Lower Highs peak formation.
Right now we are on the Lower High rejection, which on the previous three peaks hit initially the Support 1 level and then at least the Higher Lows trend-line (if not lower). As a result, we expect heavy selling to start on EURUSD, targeting 1.0730 and 1.0500 in succession.
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Bearish continuation?US Dollar Index (DXY) is rising towards the pivot an could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 103.26
1st Support: 101.79
1st Resistance: 104.68
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.