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DJ FXCM Index

EURUSD: Major breakout over the 1D MA50. Trend reversal.EURUSD turned neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 53.937, MACD = -0.002, ADX = 23.376) after a long time as it crossed today over the 1D MA50 for the first time in almost 4 months (last time on October 3rd 2024). In the meantime, it also crossed above the top of the Falling Wedge. The initial bullish signal was the 1D RSI Bullish Divergence on HL but now it is a confirmed buy, pointing to a long term trend reversal. Our target will be the 1D MA200, just under the 0.618 Fib (TP = 1.07600). See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Long
by InvestingScope
1
US Dollar Bearish Trend: Key Insights Analyzed**Is the US Dollar Heading for a Bearish Turn? Key Insights to Watch** The US dollar has been a hot topic lately, and for good reason. With Donald Trump back in office and the motto being *AMERICA FIRST*, the currency’s trajectory is under scrutiny. As many of you know, the Trump administration has historically favored a weaker US dollar and lower interest rates. The rationale? A weaker dollar can boost exports, while lower rates are seen as a way to stimulate economic growth. This approach was a hallmark of Trump’s first term, and it looks like we might see a repeat. Another key factor to consider is Trump’s focus on increasing crude oil and natural gas production. Higher energy output could lead to lower energy prices, which would further support economic growth. However, this could also weigh on the dollar, as lower energy prices often correlate with a weaker currency. Looking back to 2016–2017, when Trump first took office, the US dollar initially surged but then reversed sharply in January 2017, marking the start of a prolonged bearish trend. Fast forward to today, and we’re seeing similar patterns emerge. The wedge formation on the Dollar Index suggests limited upside potential, and a break below key support levels—specifically 108 and 107.58—could confirm that a bearish trend is underway. If those levels fail to hold, the next area to watch would be the 107 to 106 demand zones. This scenario aligns with what we’ve been discussing over the past few weeks. If the Dollar Index breaks below these critical levels, it could signal the completion of the wedge pattern and the beginning of a new bearish phase for the US dollar. What does this mean for traders and investors? Keep a close eye on the Dollar Index and watch for those key support levels. A break below them could present significant opportunities, but it’s also a reminder to stay cautious and informed. What are your thoughts on the US dollar’s trajectory? Do you think history will repeat itself, or are there other factors at play? Let’s discuss in the comments! #USD #Forex #Trading #Economy #Trump #DollarIndex #Investing #Markets
TVC:DXYShort
by forex_forge
EUR/USD Falling Wedge The falling wedge pattern on the EUR/USD 12-hour chart has been confirmed, signaling a potential bullish breakout. This classic technical setup indicates a reversal from the prior downtrend, with buyers stepping in as price breaks above the upper resistance line of the wedge. Key Details: Pattern Confirmation: The breakout above the wedge resistance line confirms the pattern, with a retest further validating the upward move. Targets: Target 1: 1.0600 – Based on previous support-turned-resistance levels. Target 2: 1.0900 – The measured move from the height of the wedge added to the breakout point. This setup reflects the strength of technical analysis, with the falling wedge showing the market's tendency to reverse after sustained selling pressure. A strong support level provides the foundation for this bullish move.
Long
by Charts_M7M
DXY in 4H timeframehello dear traders U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) and the potential for a correction over the next month: Federal Reserve Monetary Policy: If the Federal Reserve signals a slowdown or pause in its rate hikes, it could put downward pressure on the DXY. Upcoming speeches or FOMC minutes will be key indicators to watch. U.S. Economic Data: Weaker-than-expected economic data, such as lower GDP growth, higher unemployment rates, or declining inflation, could suggest a less aggressive Fed policy, leading to a potential correction in the dollar. Global Economic Trends and Risk Sentiment: Increased risk appetite in global markets could drive investors toward riskier assets (like equities or emerging market currencies), reducing demand for the dollar as a safe-haven asset. Geopolitical and International Developments: Any easing of geopolitical tensions or positive trade agreements between major economies could diminish the dollar’s safe-haven appeal and contribute to a potential correction. Correlated Markets like Gold and Oil: Rising prices in gold or oil often correlate with a weaker dollar. If these assets strengthen, it could be a sign of dollar weakness. In summary, weaker U.S. data or dovish signals from the Fed, combined with a more favorable global economic environment, could increase the likelihood of a DXY correction over the next month.
TVC:DXYShort
by mehdi_kb
Here's a brief analysis of the chart for Gold Spot (XAUUSD) Here's a brief analysis of the chart for Gold Spot (XAUUSD) against the U.S. Dollar: The chart shows an uptrend with higher highs and higher lows, indicating a bullish market. There are several "break of structure" (bos) points where the price has broken previous resistance levels, suggesting strong momentum. The current price is around 2,730.530, with a breakout at this level hinting at a potential upward movement towards the projected price target of 2,762.140. The resistance level is approximately 2,740.000, while there's a support zone marked by a shaded area below the current price. Overall, the chart suggests that the gold price might continue to rise, making it a good time for bullish trades. *Short-term target*: 2,740.000 - This is the immediate resistance level. If the price breaks above this level, it could move towards the next target. 2. *Medium-term target*: 2,762.140 - This is the projected price target if the bullish momentum continues and the price breaks through the resistance at 2,740.000. Keep in mind that these targets are based on current market trends and technical analysis. It's always a good idea to monitor the market closely and adjust your strategy as needed.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TRADE_CENTER_1
2
USDJPY holding the MA50 (1d).USDJPY is trading inside a Channel Up since September. The price has tested, held and consolidated on the MA50 (1d) for the last 4 days (including today). This is a bullish signal, considering also that this is taking place near the bottom of the Channel Up. Trading Plan: 1. Buy on the current market price. Targets: 1. 164.350 (+6.20% rise). Tips: 1. The RSI (1d) is below its MA trendline, on a sideways pattern that is similar to the September 16th 2024 and December 3rd 2024 bottoms. Please like, follow and comment!!
Long
by TradingBrokersView
EURUSD Top of the Channel Down. How to trade this.The EURUSD pair gave us a solid short-term buy last time (January 13, see chart below) that easily hit the 1.02850 Target: The price remains near the top of the 5-week Channel Down and technically this is a sell signal. Our Target is 1.01250, which is the -2.30% minimum decline that has taken place within this pattern as a Bearish Leg. If the price rises more however and breaks above the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line), it will be the first time to do so since October 01 2024, and a technical buy signal. In that case, take the loss on the sell and go long instead, targeting 1.06250, which is both marginally below the starting level (Resistance 1) of the Channel Down, as well as significantly below the 2.0 Fibonacci extension. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
Bearish drop?US Dollar Index (DXY) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support. Pivot: 109.59 1st Support: 107.46 1st Resistance: 111.96 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
TVC:DXYShort
by ICmarkets
1
DXY SINGLING DANGER!Any Time The Dollar Gets In This Range Bad Things Happen! With the exception of the 2008 GFC which confirmed we have entered Debt Deflation (Meaning the Gov will need to borrow more and more, faster and faster without any benefit to the real economy). A strong dollar is signaling something very bad is coming. Gun to head I would guess something like an Asian Currency Crisis. Russian ruble & economic collapse is now a certainty! Russia has lost the war no matter what they are trying to do on the battlefield it is irrelevant as the economy is now suffering from Dutch Disease. (So Much for the BRICS fantasy!) Most Americans believe a strong dollar is good. They are wrong. Here are a few things to know about a strong US Dollar. 1. A strong dollar weakens exports, costing American jobs as everything America made becomes more expensive to the rest of the world. 2. US Imports increase as everything internationally made becomes cheaper. 3. Acquiring USD as foreign reserves becomes much more difficult and expensive. As exporters to the US have to produce more for less $s. 4. US investment in international currency collapses, forcing inflation, rates higher making borrowing/investment in foreign economies weaker. Leading to a snowball effect. 5. Commodities are traded in USD. As such energy/food to many poor nations will become a problem as they are net importers with already limited access to NYSE:S it will be magnified. 6. Finally (I could go on but I won't you get the point) when everyone leans on one side of the boat it capsizes. Meaning when everyone is running to invest in the US & the dollar. Techanically how high can the USD go? -120 is likely. (hopefully not much more) -Longer term if things get bad enough it can break all-time highs of 165 as we have this massive bottoming inverse HEAD & SHOULDERS in place. CARNAGE! - What I hope will happen is that it hits previous recent highs of 115 and that will be it for the upside. HOWEVER! We do have a rising structure that needs to be corrected. As such when it does correct there is a good possibility it tests previous lows. For now, if you live in the US. enjoy dollar strength and think about how much worse inflation would have been if the $ was weakening. ))
TVC:DXYLong
by RealMacro
EURUSD Sellers have an advantage towards Trump's Inauguration After carefully following up on US and EURO Zone data. We can positively say that the data has been favorable to the dollar. As at now the Fed has reduced the number of expected cuts this yr while ECB maintains a dovish tone promising a series of cuts even if they are not to be consistent. Also we have seen the NFP Data high and unemployment declining. If Trump maintains his stand on tariffs we should expect the EURO to be hurt.
Short
by WisdomArnold
AUD/USD: Neutrality Emerges in the Bearish ChannelThe dominance of the US dollar, driven by expectations of a high interest rate (4.5%) from the Federal Reserve as the annual CPI (2.9%) remains far from the 2% target , has weakened the Australian dollar in the short term. The AUD/USD has lost 11% of its value since late September 2024, and for now, neutrality has taken over the market as the next Federal Reserve decision (January 29) approaches. Bearish Channel The bearish channel stands out as the most significant technical formation on the chart currently. The price has consistently adhered to oscillations between the channel’s upper and lower boundaries. However, recent minor bullish corrections have led to price stagnation near the support zone, which aligns with the channel's current upper boundary. Over time, this could challenge the integrity of the bearish formation, particularly if short-term buying pressure continues to build. Neutral Movements The ADX indicator line remains above the neutral zone of 20 but has started to decline steadily from its recent highs in the 40 range. The TRIX line continues to oscillate below the neutral 0 zone, indicating that the average movements of the exponential moving averages have been predominantly bearish. However, the line’s slope has turned positive and is gradually approaching the neutral zone in the short term. Both indicator trends suggest that the long bearish momentum might be experiencing a period of exhaustion, coinciding with the neutrality generated by the current support zone. If this effect persists, the existing bearish channel may struggle to generate new lows in the coming sessions. Key Levels 0.62906: Current resistance level. Persistent oscillations near this level could ultimately invalidate the current bearish channel formation dominating the chart. 0.61929: A key support level, responsible for halting the long bearish trend. It aligns with recent weekly lows and the upper boundary of the bearish channel. Sustained oscillations below this level could signal a new phase of selling pressure and revive the current bearish trend. By Julian Pineda, CFA - Market Analyst
by FOREXcom