USDCAD / 4H / WEDGEIf we break this wedge on the 4h timeframe shorts will be triggered. This analysis is symbiotic with our higher timeframe outlook and may provide a longer term opportunity that will be conducive for several positions and thus a higher profitability trade.
Fundamentally this isn't the best pair to trade if equities continue to suffer but we'll listen to the market and adapt accordingly.
As always, wait for a break and close before entering.
Usdshort
US Dollar meets minimum expectations at 95.70The US Dollar Index has now rallied almost 200 points and has met our minimum projected expectation at 95.70 levels yesterday. Believe it or not, the short term rally that was anticipated could be complete at 95.75 levels, or very close to termination. Looking at the wave structure, an expanded flat corrective a-b-c also looks to be potentially done. If this count holds true, prices may remain below 95.80 levels and continue to drift lower below 93.80 levels going forward. A safe trading strategy could be to remain short until prices remain below 97.00 levels.
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DXY / USD likely scenario well into 2019Thanks for viewing.
I count 5 small waves up in wave b from 94.43 to 95.74 (of (b) (of B)). My view and we are now about half-way through an upward correction (wave (B) that is part of a larger ABC correction down. I will be watching for the end of wave (B) to not exceed 103.82. If that occurs I will expect wave (C) to the mid-80s.
If 103.82 isn't exceeded and we get a nice wave 1 and wave 2 in a 5 wave down-move, I will be buying JPY, AUD, GBP, NZD, gold, possibly platinum, and silver - for a ~12 month hold. I expect all of these currencies (at least vs the USD) and precious metals to get rather tightly squeezed for the rest of the year.
Summary, minor move down over the next month or so,
then, a larger strong move up (wave (c) of wave (B)) that should take us to the end of 2018,
afterwards, a much larger move down (wave (C) - into the mid-80s) in late 2018 early 2019.
The reason for my bearishness? Despite being a bear in general, I can't feasibly count anything other than 5 waves down from 103.82 to 88 meaning it is one half (slight less or slightly more) of a larger downward correction. Good luck everyone and feel free to throw me a like, some comments, or criticism (I am not too careful with my wave degrees).
I am not a professional, a financial adviser, an experienced FOREX trader, or anything other than an independent amateur contributor so please do your own research. Good luck everyone.
Dollar Index ResistanceHey traders! Hope you're having a good day wherever in the world you are :) So today I bring forth to you the dollar index which just doesn't seem like it doesn't want to give up it's monstrous run up in the past few weeks... until now I hope. I've drawn in what I think might be a good area of resistance and you know what that means. Time to look for shorting or long opportunities that are paired with the dollar and/or even commodities such as Oil, gold, etc.
So get to it and lets make some $$$$.
Look for shorts in USDPLNIts OK to short USDPLN as it reached the fib arc level and is forming double top on 4 hours chart. Price will do the Elliot 1-5 wave cycle all the way down to the 0.5 fibonacci level - Gann angle, where it will make Elliott ABC correction and then will go up again...Watch closely the previous patterns as its again repeats the previous moves that I highlighted. The first Elliott wave should be to 0.38 fib level 3.63684 (first TP)
EUR USD - Interesting setupHello folks , come back to the forex! Today is the first friday of the month , so NFP USA , it would be surely a high volatility day because of this big impact news for the dollar. So my advice is to take position after the news , after the big volatility , but if you have a more aggressive approach , forget what i said! So there is a descending trendline that accompanied the EUR USD falling , now looks like is forming a triangle and this zone might be a good point to go long , with a SL below lows and TP around 1.20700 previous support zone, another reason is the strong falling , looks like need a retracement and this is what we want to take. Don't take that as financial advice and be careful to trade today , it would a high volatility day. Have a nice day!
USD CHF - NFP DAYPrice has been rejected 3 times from 1.0000 psychological wall. in 15 minutes timeframe got a strong bearish candle , i would take this signal with a SL above 1.00000 and tp1 around 0.99200 , a previous support zone and tp2 0.98400. So i think it's clear what's my position about USD today. Obviously as i said in the previous idea , be careful to trade today cause it would be a high volatility day. Have a nice and profitable day traders!
USD JPY - An inverted H&S?Morning traders! Today let's see USD JPY , in lower timeframes in my opinion there is some short opportunity until 106 zone , price has been rejected from 108 zone 2 times and that's an important resistance zone , while in long term , into the daily timeframe i've seen a potential inverted H&S , is still forming , it's just a potential signal so don't take that like a certainty but it's always interesting. Usually i don't trust really much about '' macro patterns '' as H&S cause sometimes think that some traders '' force '' the pattern but this time might be an important opportunity. Stay tuned and have a nice day traders!