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USDT-D

USDT.D LONG - MID TERM PLANUSDT.D is one of the best tools to understand what's happening in the crypto market. It shows the dominance of USDT across the entire space — and has a strong inverse correlation with BTC and crypto assets. Technicals: USDT.D is approaching its long-term support trendline. I expect a deviation below that line — possibly toward the 0.75 Fibonacci level — before a strong move up. That move could last 1–3 months, which means more downside for alts during this time. Plan: Shorting altcoins — especially ETH-related tokens and memecoins. Looking to buy back around early August.
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.DLong
by UA_CAPITAL
9
BTC & USDT.D => Bullish Correction Incoming?Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. Both BTC and USDT.D are sitting around key rejection zones. 💰 BTC is hovering near the $100,000 level — a major previous low and a psychological round number. 📊 Meanwhile, USDT.D is testing the 5% resistance — a supply zone and another critical round number. As long as $100,000 holds as support on BTC and 5.1% holds as resistance on USDT.D, we could expect a bullish correction across the crypto market. What do you think? Will these levels hold or break? 🤔 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
by TheSignalyst
21
Bitcoin Strategic Interval – Latency & Asymmetric Bias.⊢ ⟁ BTC/USD – Binance – (CHART: 1D) – (June 20, 2025). ⟐ Analysis Price: $106,025.88. ⊢ ⨀ I. Temporal Axis – Strategic Interval – (1D): ▦ EMA21 – ($105,772.44): ∴ The price remains fractionally above EMA21, retaking the short-term reactive axis; ∴ Despite prior rejection, current candle shows renewed traction with a solid close above; ∴ The slope is flat–rising, signaling the potential reactivation of local trend continuation. ✴️ Conclusion: EMA21 is tentatively reclaimed – a short-term bullish signal under close scrutiny. ⊢ ▦ SMA200 – ($95,921.92): ∴ Long-term structure preserved: price maintains a wide buffer over SMA200; ∴ The moving average exhibits a healthy upward slope, uninterrupted since Q4 2023; ∴ No technical threat detected to the macro-trend structure. ✴️ Conclusion: SMA200 acts as the primary institutional defense line. No stress present. ⊢ ▦ Ichimoku Cloud – (105,899 | 105,738 | 102,433 | 105,576 | 106,025): ∴ Price is nestled precisely within the flat upper cloud band – a known zone of consolidation; ∴ Span A and B are beginning to flatten, suggesting temporary exhaustion of momentum; ∴ Chikou remains above price – confirming trend integrity. ✴️ Conclusion: Ichimoku signals a pause, not a break – directional clarity pending. ⊢ ▦ MACD (12,26,9) – (Histogram: -364.87 | MACD: 257.20 | Signal: 622.06): ∴ Bearish histogram remains negative, but shrinking for three sessions; ∴ MACD line curling upward with initial convergence to Signal line; ∴ Reversal signal forming but not yet triggered. ✴️ Conclusion: Early signs of MACD cross; confirmation requires follow-through. ⊢ ▦ RSI – (53.17 | Avg: 51.74): ∴ RSI reclaims neutral-positive zone, stabilizing above 50; ∴ Structure shows divergence fading, with momentum recovering slowly; ∴ Still far from exhaustion thresholds. ✴️ Conclusion: RSI favors the bulls with cautious optimism. ⊢ ▦ Volume (Last 5 Days): ∴ Volume remains muted, averaging 110–120k Bitcoin/day; ∴ No aggressive buy or sell pressure confirmed; ∴ Current move lacks conviction – suggests passive spot activity. ✴️ Conclusion: Price is advancing without volume confirmation – fragility persists. ⊢ 🜎 Strategic Insight – Technical Oracle: ∴ Structural trend remains intact and undisturbed on the macro scale; ∴ Short-term bullish reclaim of EMA21 within the cloud, but momentum and volume still lag; ∴ Absence of conviction demands validation from price action or macro catalyst. ⊢ ∫ II. On-Chain Intelligence – (Source: CryptoQuant): ▦ 🝰 Exchange Inflow Mean - (MA7): ∴ Metric sits near historic lows (≈0.4 BTC), denoting multi-week suppression of inflows; ∴ Correlates directly with reduced sell-side pressure from whales and institutions; ∴ Price structure remains unchallenged by inflow spikes – consistent with strategic holding. ✴️ Conclusion: Absence of fear or distribution among large holders – bullish backdrop intact. ⊢ ▦ 🜍 Estimated Leverage Ratio – (Current: 0.259): ∴ Leverage steadily increasing, now entering historical danger zone; ∴ Elevated risk of cascade liquidations on any sharp downside move; ∴ Suggests the current rally is not organically fueled by spot demand. ✴️ Conclusion: Price structure is leveraged, not grounded – risk of synthetic instability. ⊢ ▦ 🝗 Exchange Reserves - (Binance) – (≈544.5K BTC): ∴ Continuous net outflows – multi-month drain confirmed; ∴ Reflects silent accumulation or self-custody migration; ∴ No exchange-driven supply pressure visible. ✴️ Conclusion: Structural supply depleting – passive bullish signal. ⊢ ▦ ⚒ Miners’ Position Index - (MPI) – (-1.1): ∴ Readings below 0 indicate minimal miner distribution; ∴ Suggests miners are confident, or at least not forced to sell at current levels; ∴ Historically coincides with market support zones. ✴️ Conclusion: Miner behavior aligned with trend preservation – not resistance. ⊢ ▦ 🜚 Funding Rate - (All Exchanges) – (+0.003): ∴ Rates mildly positive, indicating slight dominance of long positioning; ∴ No excessive funding imbalance – healthy sentiment baseline; ∴ Reflects controlled bullish bias with no speculative overheating. ✴️ Conclusion: Longs exist, but not in a way that endangers trend integrity. ⊢ 🜎 Strategic Insight – On-Chain Oracle: ∴ On-chain metrics echo the technical chart: structurally sound, short-term vulnerable; ∴ Long-term holders remain disengaged from distribution behavior; ∴ The system is healthy, but carries hidden leverage that may trigger volatility. ⊢ ⧉ III. Contextvs Macro–Geopoliticvs – Interflux Economicus: ▦ 🇺🇸 United States – Federal Axis & Risk Channels: ∴ Treasury Yield Curve remains slightly positive (+0.44%), removing short-term recession signal; ∴ 10Y yield elevated at 4.42% – reflects sustained inflation resistance and risk demand; ∴ Fed has signaled no rate cuts before September – QT policy remains; ∴ Speculative expectations for only 1–2 cuts in 2025; ∴ Trump administration signals potential military action in Iran, igniting geopolitical risk premium. ✴️ Conclusion: U.S. monetary regime is steady–tight; geopolitical volatility injects asymmetric risk into crypto valuations. ⊢ ▦ 🇨🇳 China – Internal Stimulus & Soft Deflation: ∴ Industrial Production slows to +5.8% YoY – weakest in 6 months; ∴ Retail sales climb to +6.4% YoY due to stimulus programs ("618 event", consumption vouchers); ∴ PPI remains deflationary (-3.3% YoY), compressing industrial margins; ∴ Fiscal revenue down -0.3% YTD – signals internal fragility despite easing efforts. ✴️ Conclusion: China is applying targeted stimulus, but lacks decisive global impact – neutral crypto flow effect. ⊢ ▦ 🇪🇺 European Union – Disinflation & Rate Reversal: ∴ HICP inflation falls to 1.9% – below ECB’s 2.0% target; ∴ ECB cuts deposit rate by 25bps – now 2.00%; ∴ PMI Composite remains below 50 – economic contraction underway; ∴ ECB forward guidance signals data-dependence and hesitation for further cuts. ✴️ Conclusion: Europe is easing rates amidst stagnation – weak driver for global risk flows. ⊢ 🜎 Strategic Insight – Interflux Macro Oracle: ∴ U.S. tight policy + Iran tension = dual pressure point on risk assets; ∴ China’s mild stimulus is not yet globally inflationary – no volatility trigger; ∴ EU drifts silently – supportive, but irrelevant to Bitcoin in current configuration; ∴ Global system is stable in appearance, but tactically charged beneath – setup aligns with Bitcoin volatility potential. ⊢ IV. ♝ Market Sentiment - Media & Institutional Lens: ▦ The Block – Corporate Stockpiling Thesis: ∴ Ongoing accumulation of Bitcoin by public and private entities continues across Q2; ∴ Institutional wallets showing strategic DCA behavior – interpreted as positioning for either macro easing or geopolitical hedge; ∴ Unlike past cycles, no major corporate selloffs have been detected. ✴️ Conclusion: Institutional base remains in passive accumulation – potential catalyst insulation. ⊢ ▦ CoinDesk – Sentiment Report – BTC at $92K Risk Threshold: ∴ Despite price climbing above $106K, analysts caution of technical rejection scenarios; ∴ Zones near $92K identified as high-liquidity, high-reaction clusters; ∴ Chart analysis frames current movement as vulnerable if macro catalysts turn hawkish. ✴️ Conclusion: Sentiment remains cautiously bullish but alert to correction windows. ⊢ ▦ InfoMoney – U.S. Military Risk – Iran Strike Potential: ∴ Reported internal briefing of U.S. military planning toward Iranian targets; ∴ Trump’s media team leveraging geopolitical strength posture to influence sentiment; ∴ Markets (Dow Futures) showing pre-market decline on the headline. ✴️ Conclusion: Bitcoin holds narrative premium under geopolitical fear – but risk surge remains volatile. ⊢ 🜎 Strategic Insight – Media Oracle: ∴ The crypto narrative is suspended between structural trust (institutional accumulation) and external fear (macro-political instability); ∴ Bitcoin presently benefits from asymmetric narrative positioning — but lacks transactional confirmation; ∴ Media flows suggest that sentiment will pivot swiftly if Powell’s tone confirms further hawkish stance or if Iran tension escalates. ⊢ ⊢ ⚜️ Magister Arcanvm (𝟙⟠) – Vox Primordialis! ⚖️ Wisdom begins in silence. Precision unfolds in strategy. ⊢ ⌘ Codicillus Silentii – Strategic Note: ∴ The 1D reclaim of EMA21 inside the Ichimoku flat cloud reflects a market in suspended potential, where trend continuation and failure share equal weight; ∴ On-chain dynamics remain structurally undisturbed, yet veiled in a fragile layer of leveraged positioning; ∴ Exchange reserves continue their descent, detaching the market from traditional sell-side threat, but increasing reliance on thin liquidity zones; ∴ Macro vectors (Fed policy + Middle East tension) hover as dual shadows, capable of igniting volatility without prelude; ∴ Institutional accumulation remains active, but no longer decisive - the market awaits external ignition, not internal strength; ∴ Sentiment is asymmetrically bullish, yet explicitly unconfirmed in transactional volume and price aggression; ∴ The system is quiet - not because it is resolved, but because it is observing itself. This is a moment of ritual latency. ⊢ ⌘ Market Status – Tactical Mode: ✴️ Strategic Position: “Structurally Bullish – Tactically Suspended”; ✴️ Primary Mode: “Observation Priority”; ✴️ Tactical Stance:  ∴ No active positioning expansion without confirmation beyond Ichimoku flat zone;  ∴ Watch for MACD confirmation and volume acceleration;  ∴ Monitor geopolitical escalation and Powell’s tone – both capable of shifting structural balance. ✴️ Directional Bias: Neutral–Bullish, contingent upon validation; ✴️ Key Zone of Collapse Risk: $92,000; ✴️ Ascent Gate: $110,800 + (confirmation threshold). ⊢
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by Magister_Arcanvm
USDT.D Update: Range Reversal in Play?Initially in my last update, I was expecting USDT.D to push into daily supply levels after taking the swing low from the prior daily higher low — pulling back into supply before continuing lower after the market structure break. Instead, it pushed even deeper, taking out the range low swing at 4.56%, which allowed BTC to break higher and tag its ATH by taking major upside liquidity. Since then, we’ve seen a cool-off from those levels. Supply has come in across majors (notably TOTAL), and I’ve been tracking the local range forming in USDT.D — forecasting a reversal back into supply. That reversal is now starting to show itself, with USDT.D rising as BTC and alts pull back. I'm currently watching for a push into the 5.0% – 5.6% supply zone, which I believe could mark the next major pivot point for the market. From there, I’ll be looking for weakness or signs of rejection in USDT.D — which would align with BTC and the broader market setting up for another leg higher. Once this supply is hit and the move starts rolling over, I expect USDT.D to begin its final phase down toward 3.73% — a key HTF demand and bullish reversal level. That would mark a major shift, coinciding with what I believe will be the macro market top forming across risk assets. This level will be one I’m watching closely for DCA entries and scaling back into exposure — the reversal in USDT dominance from that zone should align with the last stage of the current cycle before distribution takes over. 1D: 3D: 1W: 3M:
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.DShort
by marshyyy
2
USOIL FUNDAMENTALS AND TECHNICALS USOIL (WTI Crude) is currently trading near the 72.00 level and is setting up for a potential breakout from a long-standing descending channel on the higher time frame (3D chart). Price has approached the upper boundary of this bearish channel after a strong bullish rally in recent sessions. This indicates growing bullish momentum, and any sustained breakout above the descending trendline could open the path toward the 98.00 zone, a major structural target based on previous price action and Fibonacci projections. The recent bullish surge in crude oil prices has been fueled by a combination of supply-side constraints and renewed optimism around global demand. OPEC+ continues to show discipline in supply management, and geopolitical tensions in oil-producing regions are adding risk premiums. Furthermore, the Fed’s recent signals of a potential pause in tightening, combined with an improving outlook for Chinese demand recovery, are creating a supportive environment for commodities, particularly oil. These fundamental tailwinds align with the technical structure hinting at an upside breakout. Technically, USOIL has broken back above a critical mid-channel support level and is now challenging the descending resistance line. The most recent impulsive candles suggest strong buyer conviction. If this momentum holds, we could see a retest followed by continuation toward the 98.00 psychological level. The structure also supports a higher low formation, which is another bullish signal for long-term traders watching the macro channel breakout. From a trading standpoint, this setup is high probability with a well-defined invalidation zone below 65.00. The confluence of macro catalysts, technical breakout formation, and seasonal demand trends makes this a compelling bullish opportunity. I am closely monitoring price action for confirmation to go long on the breakout and ride the potential wave toward the upper supply region near 98.00. U
TVC:USOILLong
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
6
AUDNZD BULISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISAUDNZD is currently trading around 1.078 and is on the verge of a classic falling wedge breakout, which is a bullish reversal pattern typically seen after a downtrend. Price action has been compressing within this wedge formation, suggesting an imminent breakout as market pressure builds. A decisive close above the descending trendline would be a powerful signal of bullish continuation, with a near-term upside target of 1.086. The structure has held multiple rejections at both resistance and support, highlighting strong accumulation behavior from institutional participants. Fundamentally, the Australian dollar is gaining relative strength due to the Reserve Bank of Australia maintaining a hawkish tone, supported by persistent inflation and labor market resilience. In contrast, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand recently surprised the market by signaling a potential end to its hiking cycle, citing slower growth and inflation moderation. This divergence in monetary policy outlook is creating favorable conditions for AUDNZD bulls, particularly as global risk appetite improves and commodity-linked currencies gain traction. Technically, this 4-hour chart pattern aligns perfectly with recent AUD strength across the board, particularly in pairs like AUDUSD and AUDJPY which have broken key resistance levels. The tight consolidation near the wedge’s upper boundary, coupled with bullish candlestick formations, suggests buyers are stepping in ahead of the breakout. With a clean invalidation below 1.075, the risk-reward ratio here is compelling, especially for momentum traders looking to catch an impulsive leg higher toward 1.086 and beyond. This setup is high-conviction. AUDNZD is poised for a breakout that aligns with both technical and macro fundamentals. As a professional trader, I’m tracking this setup closely, and any confirmation candle above the trendline will trigger my entry. I expect bullish continuation in line with AUD’s broader strength and NZD’s underperformance.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
1
Bitcoin will make a small upward move and then continue to fallHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Earlier, the price was confidently growing inside an Upward Wedge, showing a series of higher highs and higher lows. This rising structure was supported by consistent momentum until BTC reached the seller zone between 110300 and 111100, where the growth slowed down and started to fade. From there, the price rejected this resistance and shifted into a Range, bounded by 100500 and 110300. BTC has been fluctuating inside this horizontal structure for some time, unable to break above the seller zone or below the buyer support. Now BTC is showing signs of weakness, forming a minor correction and struggling to reclaim previous highs. Given this structure and rejection from the seller zone, I expect BTC to make a small upward move and then start a decline toward the support level at 100500, which also coincides with the bottom of the range and acts as a strong psychological level. For this reason, I set my TP at 100500 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Short
by LegionQ8
14
HelenP. I Bitcoin will continue to move up inside triangleHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. After rebounding from the support level, the price initially showed strength and moved upward. However, the bullish momentum was short-lived, and the price began a downward correction, forming a well-defined descending channel. During this decline, the price dropped below the support zone, confirming short-term bearish dominance. Despite this breakdown, bulls regained control, and the price started forming a series of higher lows, resulting in the development of a symmetrical triangle. This structure signals compression and potential preparation for a breakout. The current price action confirms that BTC is now recovering within this triangle, supported by the upward trend line drawn from the recent lows. Given the strength of this recovery and the stabilization above the support zone, I expect the price to make a small correction and then continue climbing toward the resistance level at 110000. That’s why my current goal remains focused on this level, representing both a psychological and technical barrier aligned with previous local highs. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️ Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THINKMARKETS:BTCUSDLong
by FirstNameHelen
7