USDT Dominance + USDC Dominance 1WIMPORTANT!
CRYPTOCAP:USDT Dominance + CRYPTOCAP:USDC Dominance
These two dominances show us the cash position in the market. This is the crudest expression.
With the rise of this chart, we can see that there is an increase in cash transitions in the market or hot money inflows to the market.
In my previous post, I shared information that there may be a movement from the bottom to the falling trend line (red) above. Because this possibility was much higher. The reason was that it made a double bottom formation, supported by the rising trend line (green) and also pointed to a harmonic pattern.
With the OB level on the daily chart, the price retreated with the falling trend line (red) acting as resistance. With its retracement, the upward movement on the BTC side was realised. Because as it is known, this chart works in inverse correlation with the BTC chart.
If this chart continues its upward movement, that is, if it breaks the falling trend line and provides a movement towards 11% levels, then we can see much deeper declines on the BTC side.
Let me add one more comment to overlap here;
On the BTC side, I have been emphasising that I have an expectation of $123k - $130k for the first batch for a long time. So if this chart moves one round lower than these levels, to the bottom of the rising trend line (green), it is possible to see the levels I mentioned on the BTC side. Then again, the dominance chart will now move upwards and may cross the red line, which is the falling trend line, and move towards 11% levels.
Of course, there are other OB resistances on the route, and a pre-bullish retest will probably do. This gives misleading information that the decline on the BTC side is over.
If BTC really returns from the level I mentioned above and moves as I explained in this chart, there may not be a second spring in the market until it reaches 11% levels.
USDT-D
"Gold Price Breaks Key Support: Potential Downside Ahead"This chart shows a potential bearish setup for gold, with a breakout below a key level. The price recently failed to sustain its move above a resistance zone and has started declining. The structure indicates a shift in momentum, with a possible move toward the lower trendline of the ascending channel. Key downside targets include the areas around 2799 and 2764, with stronger support near 2742. If the price remains below the broken level, further downside movement is likely. OANDA:XAUUSD
Called move after move for Bitcoin, what happens next?
If you been lucky enough to work out my analysis and pull the trigger on the trade setups that played out over and over again, I commend you for your knowledge of how to read an analysis and then use it to make an informed decision.
If you caught the last analysis I mentioned about a bear trap spike below the blue line and as you can see it played out. You can see I have removed the green trendline on left chart as it is now done with and the green trendline on the right hand side chart is basically invalidated now.
We see on the left chart the orange trendline is respected with the candle closing above it. The white major trendline also held as major support. You can see the other trendlines still being used, especially on 4 hour timeframe.
So, what now?
We need to watch for the right hand side RSI to breakdown under the red trendline for BTC to get to 108k.
On the left chart the RSI needs to break back above trendline. In regards to the price action, we can see a massive buy up in the crash candle that was just made. Price could move up to 108k from here now there are trapped short traders below. This would put the right USDT.D chart at the blue trendline and as per previous analysis we know what happens if that then breaks below this line.
On the bearish side, if price loses the light green vwap line then expect another retest of the white trendline.
Smash the like button and good luck!
Called move after move for Bitcoin, what happens next?If you been lucky enough to work out my analysis and pull the trigger on the trade setups that played out over and over again, I commend you for your knowledge of how to read an analysis and then use it to make an informed decision.
If you caught the last analysis I mentioned about a bear trap spike below the blue line and as you can see it played out. You can see I have removed the green trendline on left chart as it is now done with and the green trendline on the right hand side chart is basically invalidated now.
We see on the left chart the orange trendline is respected with the candle closing above it. The white major trendline also held as major support. You can see the other trendlines still being used, especially on 4 hour timeframe.
So, what now?
We need to watch for the right hand side RSI to breakdown under the red trendline for BTC to get to 108k.
On the left chart the RSI needs to break back above trendline. In regards to the price action, we can see a massive buy up in the crash candle that was just made. Price could move up to 108k from here now there are trapped short traders below. This would put the right USDT.D chart at the blue trendline and as per previous analysis we know what happens if that then breaks below this line.
On the bearish side, if price loses the light green vwap line then expect another retest of the white trendline.
Smash the like button and good luck!
Bitcoin can exit from triangle and continue to fall nextHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. By observing the chart, we can see that the price started to grow inside the upward channel, where it at once rebounded from the resistance line of the channel and fell to the support line. Then BTC broke the support level and rose in a short time to the resistance line of the channel and then it started to decline. Bitcoin fell to the support level, which coincided with the buyer zone, thereby exiting from the channel and after it some time traded between 94250 level, it fell to 90850 points. Next, the price impulsed and continued to grow inside the upward triangle, breaking the support level again. Later it reached the even resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone. Soon, BTC broke the 104700 level, rose to the resistance line, and then fell back and continued to trades between the 104700 level. Later BTC broke this level and fell below, after which turned around and quickly rose to the resistance line of the triangle and then dropped to the support line, where at the moment continues to trades close. So, in my mind, I think that Bitcoin can move up and then exit from the triangle and continue to decline to the 94250 support level. For this case, I set my TP at this level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
HelenP. I Bitcoin will repeat move up and then continue to fallHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. This chart shows how the price rose from the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone, after which it dropped to the support level, breaking the 103600 level. Also then the price started to trades inside consolidation, where it some time traded near the support level and then rose to almost the resistance level. Then BTC turned around and fell back and even declined to support zone. After this movement, Bitcoin made a strong impulse up to the resistance zone, thereby exiting from consolidation and breaking the 103600 level. Next, the price reached the trend line and then started to decline near this line. Soon, the price broke this line and then broke the resistance level, after which declined below the trend line, but later backed up. After this move, BTC turned around and rebounded from the resistance zone to the support zone, finally breaking the resistance level with the trend line, but a not long time ago BTC rose higher than the trend line. Now it trades close and I expect that BTCUSDT will repeat move up and then continue to decline, and even break the support level and fall to the trend line. That's why I set my goal at 90400 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
**Gold (XAU/USD) Approaching Bearish Confirmation at Major ResisThis chart shows gold (XAU/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe, highlighting key resistance and support zones.
Key Observations:
1. All-Time High & Major Resistance:
- Price recently reached an all-time high and faced rejection from the major resistance zone.
- A pullback is currently in progress, and the chart suggests waiting for **bearish confirmation** before entering a short trade.
2. Bearish Expectation:**
- If the resistance holds and bearish confirmation appears, a sell-off toward the **1st target (2,772.32)** and then the 2nd target (2,750.15 - 2,750.43) is expected.
3. Major Support Zone:**
- If the decline continues, the **major support** area around **2,720** could be tested.
Trading Strategy:
- Wait for confirmation** before entering short positions.
- A strong **bearish rejection** from resistance will validate the short setup.
- If price breaks back above resistance, bearish bias would weaken.
BITCOIN - Price can touch resistance level again and then fallHi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSDT, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
A few days ago, price declined inside falling channel to $92100 level, after which it turned around and started to grow.
In a short time, price exited from channel and broke $99500 level, but when it started to trades in a wedge, it dropped back.
Price some time traded near $92100 level and then in a short time rose to $106500 level, breaking $99500 level again.
Then BTC exited from wedge and started to trades inside flat, but firstly it rose to $109K points and then fell back.
Inside flat, price corrected to $99500 level and then in a short time rose to $106500, after which started to fall.
I think BCT can touch resistance level one more time and then fall to $99500 level.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
HelenP. I Bitcoin will grow to resistance level and then dropHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. If we look at the chart we can see how the price broke the support level and tried to grow more, but failed and in a short time declined to 91900 points firstly and then it fell to the trend line. After this, BTC turned around and started to grow inside a triangle pattern, where it soon reached the 98800 level, broke it, and continued to move up, after retesting. Later BTC rose to a resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone, and even rose higher and reached a new ATH, but then it turned around and dropped below the resistance level, breaking it one more time. Then the price tried to return, but failed and some time traded near the 106400 level and then dropped to the support zone, where it reached the trend line, which is the support line of the triangle as well. After this, it rebounded up to the triangle pattern's resistance line, which continues to trade to this day. So, I expect that BTCUSDT will make a move up to the resistance level and then start to decline to the trend line, therefore I set my goal at 101K points, which coincided with this line. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
USDTDOMINANCE CHART UPDATE !The chart highlights USDT dominance (USDT.D), which is used to measure market sentiment and money flow into or out of stablecoins such as USDT
The chart shows a completed “head and shoulders” pattern, which is often considered bearish in technical analysis.
The neckline has been broken, indicating the possibility of further declines.
The price appears to be testing a descending triangle, which could indicate a continuation of the decline.
The green area below (possibly around 2.5%-3%) could act as a crucial support if dominance continues to decline.
The 50-day (red) and 200-day (green) moving averages are plotted.
Dominance is trading below both moving averages, which reinforces bearish momentum.
A breakdown of the current triangle could lead to further declines towards the marked support area.
If you found this analysis helpful, hit the Like button and share your thoughts or questions in the comments below. Your feedback matters!
Thanks for your support!
DYOR. NFA
Here's the Analysis of $JUPHere's the Analysis of LSE:JUP
#JUP is in a large consolidation range and Price has already nearly got it reacted from the major support zone of $0.65 - $0.69. Price is already at resistance and might dump a little, a flip-over of $1.14 will be a good buy towards the resistance area of $1.42 - $1.46.
HelenP. I Bitcoin can drop from resistance level to $98K pointsHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. Some time ago, the price declined to the support level, which coincided with the support zone, and started to trades close. A few moments later, BTC rebounded to 100K points, after which made a correction back to the 93500 support level and even fell to the support zone. After this, the price turned around and started to grow to a resistance level. When BTC reached this level, it rebounded, dropped back to the support zone, and even lowered to 91K points. Then the price tried to grow, but failed and declined to the trend line. But soon, the price turned around and made a strong impulse up to the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone, broke this level, and continued to move up. Bitcoin reached a new ATH and then made a correction back to the resistance area, where it some time traded and a not long time ago reached the trend line, broke it, and dropped below the 102700 level, breaking it too. So, in my mind, BTCUSDT will reach a resistance level and then rebound down. For this case, I set my goal at 98K points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Bitcoin will break support level and continue to declineHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. By observing the chart, we can see that the price a few moments ago rebounded from the support line, which coincided with the support level with the buyer zone and rose to the resistance line. After this, BTC rebounded from this line and dropped back to the support line, breaking the 93400 level, and soon rebounded up, breaking this level one more time. Later BTC rose to the resistance line and then fell to 90850 points, after which made a strong impulse up, breaking the 93400 level with the resistance line too. Then price continued to move up inside Pennant, where it broke the 102700 current support level, made a retest, and then tried to grow more, but failed and made correction below the 102700 level. After this movement, BTC turned back and rose to 109600 points (new ATH) and then made a correction movement one more time. Price fell to the support line of the pennant and then in a short time rose to the resistance line and recently it fell and exited from the pennant. In my opinion, the price can fall to the current support level, break it, and then continue to decline, therefore I set my TP at 99K points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
HBAR is currently trading at equilibrium.Using my "grafting" trading technique, HBAR is currently trading exactly at the point of equilibrium. This could be either bullish or bearish, depending on the pattern, but it appears that HBAR could potentially drop down to #4 on the wave count, sweeping the lows before making a significant move to the upside.
Nothing in trading is guaranteed, but this pattern plays out in the same fashion frequently.
Good luck, and always use a stop loss!
Key to upcoming price action pathHere are 2024 September - November USDt rally metrics:
66 days, 4.6 Trillions volume.
The first sub wave of micro degree is 1.39 points or 20.85% length.
The third sub wave of micro degree is 2.32 points or 35.7%. Which led to +89% at BTC, from 52k to 99k.
The triangle in fourth position has 0.75 points - 16.77% min basement or 0.97 - 20.69% max height. Triangles usually precede the last wave in the direction of the main trend. The terminal point for this triangle may reach 3.15% dominance and last in approximately the next 80 days.
The dominance of USDt on RSI 2D TF signals a downward divergence.
I think the signal line could reach ~22% before meeting the support trend line and reversing. It is -18% from the current point.
These values coincide with trend lines on Bitcoin, about 155k, or +55% from the current point.
Dodgecoin in percentage terms does move about 2x further.
This is a third confirmation proving upcoming rise in all crypto assets.
keep in mind that there is always place for an alternative waves count, but i bet that the analysis results worth millions!
So, wish you safe trading, fat profits and see you again :)
NO. 1 IS BITCOIN (STILL) BITCOIN-ALTCOINS-MEMECOINS THIS IS PLANDescending Trading Channel IS IN PROGRESS.
Bitcoin is currently trading within a descending channel, characterized by lower highs and lower lows.
The resistance line at the top of the channel is acting as a barrier to upward momentum.
The support line at the bottom of the channel provides a temporary floor for price movement.
Current Price Action:
The price is near the channel's lower support, indicating a critical decision zone for traders.
The presence of high volume at support suggests potential buying interest.
Indicators:
VMC Cipher B Divergences: Shows momentum divergence, signaling a potential reversal near the current level.
RSI (14): Reading of 27.94 indicates oversold conditions, suggesting a possible bounce.
Stochastic Oscillator (14,3,1): Extremely low (17.32), aligning with the RSI to indicate oversold conditions.
ArTY Money Flow Index (MFI): Neutral, showing neither significant inflow nor outflow of capital.
Key Levels:
Support: $98,282 (current zone within the channel support).
Resistance: $107,153 (aligned with the channel's resistance and previous consolidation).
Breakout Zone: A break above $107,153 could signal bullish momentum toward higher resistance zones ($112,000–$120,000).
Breakdown Risk: A breakdown below $98,000 may trigger bearish continuation to the $90,000 support zone.
Trading Plan
Entry Strategy
Long Position:
Enter near the support zone ($98,000–$99,000) with tight stop-loss at $97,000.
Confirm reversal with bullish candlestick patterns or volume breakout above $100,000.
Short Position:
If the price breaks below $98,000 with strong volume, consider shorting with a target of $92,000.
Take-Profit Levels:
For long trades, scale out profits at:
$105,000 (minor resistance).
$107,150 (channel resistance and key breakout level).
$112,000 (next major resistance).
Stop-Loss Placement:
Place stops 1–2% below the support level ($97,000 for long trades, $99,000 for short trades).
Risk-Reward Ratio:
Aim for a minimum risk-reward ratio of 1:3 (risk $1,000 to make $3,000).
Trade Management:
Monitor volume closely; rising volume during upward movement strengthens bullish conviction.
Use trailing stops to secure profits if the price moves favorably.
Breakout Trading:
If Bitcoin closes above $107,153 with strong momentum, consider entering a breakout trade targeting $112,000 and $120,000.
Contingency Plan:
Stay out if the price consolidates without clear direction near the current levels.
Avoid over-leveraging and stick to predefined risk parameters.
Bitcoin is at a pivotal moment within a descending channel. The oversold indicators and support proximity suggest a high-probability bounce, but traders must remain cautious of breakdown risks. The trading plan emphasizes disciplined risk management and capitalizes on both breakout and breakdown scenarios.
KASPA IS THE FIRST CRYPTO TO SOLVE THE BLOCKCHAIN TRILEMMA!Pattern: Symmetrical Triangle
Formation: The chart shows a symmetrical triangle pattern forming on the weekly timeframe. This pattern typically indicates price consolidation and suggests that a breakout (up or down) is imminent.
Support and Resistance:
Support: Defined by the ascending green trendline.
Resistance: Defined by the descending red trendline.
Prognosis:
Prognosis 1: A bearish breakout (less likely).
Prognosis 2: A bullish breakout (more likely).
Indicators
Volume:
Volume is declining during the formation of the triangle, confirming the pattern’s validity. A volume surge is expected during a breakout.
RSI (Relative Strength Index):
Current RSI value is 44.55, indicating neutral momentum but leaning towards an oversold condition.
Stochastic Oscillator:
The stochastic is in the lower range (23.19), suggesting potential upward momentum soon.
Money Flow Index (MFI):
The MFI is showing a slight uptick, signaling that money inflows may be returning.
Market Cipher B:
Momentum is gradually increasing, with signs of bullish divergence.
Key Levels
Resistance:
$0.24522 (intermediate target).
$0.34669 (major target post-breakout).
Support:
$0.10 (triangle base and psychological level).
Spot Trading Plan
Entry Strategy
Breakout Confirmation:
Buy above $0.145 on a confirmed breakout from the triangle (with a 4-hour or daily candle close above resistance).
Volume Surge:
Enter only if the breakout is accompanied by high trading volume.
Stop Loss:
Place a stop loss below the breakout level or $0.12 to limit downside risk.
Profit Targets
First Take Profit:
$0.24522 (approx. 68% above breakout level).
Sell 50% of the position.
Second Take Profit:
$0.34669 (approx. 138% above breakout level).
Sell the remaining position.
Risk Management:
Allocate no more than 5-10% of your portfolio to this trade.
Maintain a risk/reward ratio of 1:3.
Monitoring:
Keep an eye on overall market conditions (Bitcoin dominance and trends) as they heavily influence altcoin performance.
Reassess if the price deviates significantly from the expected triangle breakout.
Bearish Scenario:
If the price breaks below $0.12 with high volume, wait for the $0.10 level to evaluate for potential entry or exit further positions.
GBPAUD Retesting Resistance with a Potential for Price ReversalGBPAUD is currently trading at 1.981, with a target price set at 2.000, indicating a potential gain of over 200 pips. The market analysis is based on the support and resistance pattern, which suggests key price levels where the pair may react. Currently, the pair is in a retesting phase, meaning it is testing the resistance level after a previous breakout or price movement. This retesting phase helps confirm whether the resistance holds or breaks. If the resistance holds, it signals a potential reversal, leading to a price drop. Traders are advised to closely monitor this retesting period for confirmation before taking positions. A rejection at the resistance level could trigger a bearish move. Patience during this period is critical to avoid premature entries. This setup reflects a potential opportunity for experienced traders following technical analysis strategies.