USDT dominance is in a downtrend and it is expected to continuThe CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D dominance chart is currently in a downtrend and, based on technical analysis, is expected to continue declining until it reaches approximately 2.25%. At that point, a rebound is anticipated, potentially leading to a renewed upward trend.
Market sentiment has been buoyed by optimism surrounding the Trump election, with investors displaying a willingness to take on more risk in hopes of an improving economic environment. However, this positive outlook is unlikely to persist indefinitely. By Q1 2025, fears and uncertainties are expected to resurface, driven by factors such as ongoing geopolitical conflicts, persistent inflation, a housing crisis, and other adverse economic developments.
While the Trump administration's tariff strategies may provide short-term headlines, they are unlikely to deliver significant improvements to the U.S. position on the global stage. Meanwhile, the BRICS nations, along with China, India, and other East Asian economies, are expected to maintain stronger growth trajectories and better overall prospects.
As the election-driven optimism settles, the markets are likely to shift focus, triggering a period of de-risking. Crypto assets, in particular, may experience increased selling pressure during this phase.
Looking ahead, I expect USDT dominance to begin rising in February or March 2025, potentially peaking around May or June as market conditions shift back toward risk aversion.
